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Phunware (PHUN)
:PHUN

Phunware (PHUN) AI Stock Analysis

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Phunware

(NASDAQ:PHUN)

Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:
Phunware's overall score reflects significant financial challenges and weak technical indicators. The company's persistent losses, negative cash flows, and reliance on external financing raise concerns about its long-term viability. Although the appointment of a new COO could improve operations, it does not sufficiently offset the current negative financial and technical outlook.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
The company’s balance sheet had $110 million in cash and no debt, so it has a very strong balance sheet.
Customer Growth Potential
Phunware added three new hospitality customers and recently signed a $0.5M booking for a multi-location healthcare facility, indicating potential for future customer growth.
Software Bookings Improvement
Positives in the release included an approximately 232.0% improvement in software bookings in 2024 versus 2023.
Negative Factors
Advertising Trends
There is an indication of softening trends among advertisers, which may be a headwind for the remainder of 2025.
Operating Expenses and Cash Burn
Visibility on long-term strategy remains somewhat confusing and operating expense appears to be growing faster than revenue, which could accelerate cash burn in coming quarters.
Revenue Decline
Revenue was $0.7 million (-25% y-o-y), compared to our estimates of $0.9 million and consensus of $0.7 million.

Phunware (PHUN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Phunware Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhunware, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers integrated software platform that equips companies with the products, solutions, and services to engage, manage, and monetize their mobile application portfolios in the United States and internationally. The company's products and services include cloud-based mobile software that licenses in software development kits (SDKs) form utilized inside mobile applications, such as analytics that provides data related to application use and engagement; content management that allows application administrators to create and manage app content in a cloud-based portal; alerts, notifications, and messaging; marketing automation that enables location-triggered messages and workflow; advertising; and location-based services that include mapping, navigation, wayfinding, workflow, asset management, and policy enforcement. It also engages the integration of its SDK licenses into existing applications maintained by its customers, as well as custom application development and support services; provision of cloud-based vertical solutions for healthcare, retail, sports, aviation, real estate, hospitality, education, and other applications; offering application transactions, including re-occurring and one-time transactional media purchases for application discovery, user acquisition and audience building, audience engagement, and audience monetization; and pre-packaged and custom high-end personal computer systems for gaming, streaming, and cryptocurrency mining enthusiasts. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhunware makes money primarily through the licensing of its Multiscreen-as-a-Service (MaaS) platform, which includes features for mobile application development, location-based services, and analytics that allow businesses to optimize customer engagement. Revenue is generated from software and service subscriptions, where clients pay for access to Phunware's platform and its various functionalities. The company also earns through strategic partnerships and collaborations that expand its service offerings and market reach. Additionally, Phunware monetizes its data-driven services by providing actionable insights and analytics that businesses can leverage for targeted marketing and improved operational efficiency.

Phunware Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in bookings, gross margin, and a substantial increase in cash reserves while maintaining a debt-free status. However, there was a decline in net revenues and a continuing non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss. Overall, while there are positive strides in financial health and strategic positioning, the decline in revenues indicates challenges that need addressing.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Software Subscriptions and Service Bookings
Year-to-date software subscriptions and service bookings for the 9 months ended September 30 increased nearly 300% to $2.2 million in 2024 compared to $600,000 in 2023.
Improved Gross Margin and Reduced Operating Expenses
Gross margin improved to 51% in 2024 from 32% in 2023, with non-GAAP gross margin reaching 56% compared to 43% in 2023. Additionally, operating expenses decreased by approximately 28% year-over-year.
Substantial Cash Increase and Debt-Free Status
Phunware closed the quarter with approximately $35.6 million in cash and no debt, with cash reserves boosted to approximately $100 million as of November 6, 2024.
Significant Improvement in Net Loss
Net loss from continuing operations improved by 96% to $2.8 million in Q3 2024 from $13.7 million in Q3 2023.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Revenues
Net revenues for Q3 2024 were approximately $665,000, down from $1.3 million in Q3 2023. Year-to-date net revenues also decreased from $3.9 million in 2023 to $2.6 million in 2024.
Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss was approximately $2.9 million in Q3 2024, compared to a loss of $3.3 million in Q3 2023.
Company Guidance
During the Phunware Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided comprehensive guidance on its strategic direction and financial performance. Phunware's year-to-date software subscriptions and service bookings increased by nearly 300% to $2.2 million compared to $600,000 in 2023. The company's gross margin also improved to 51% in 2024 from 32% in 2023. Operating expenses decreased by 28% in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023, excluding a goodwill impairment expense in the previous year. The non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss was approximately $2.9 million for Q3 2024, showing a significant improvement from a $3.3 million loss in the same quarter of 2023. Phunware ended the quarter with $35.6 million in cash and no debt, bolstered by its at-the-market equity program, which raised gross proceeds of $16.8 million. Subsequent to the quarter, the company raised an additional $79.8 million, bringing its cash reserves to approximately $100 million. This strong financial position supports Phunware's strategic focus on integrating AI into mobile solutions and targeting enterprise and federal government contracts, with expectations to launch a next-generation AI-driven SaaS platform by mid-2025.

Phunware Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phunware faces substantial financial challenges with declining revenues, negative net income, and persistent cash flow issues. Despite a strong cash position, the high liabilities and negative stockholders' equity indicate financial vulnerability and reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The income statement shows significant challenges with declining revenues and negative net income over the years, indicating unsustainable operational performance. The gross profit margin has decreased, and the company has consistently reported negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting ongoing financial distress.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a mixed picture with strong liquidity due to a high cash position. However, there is instability as evidenced by a history of negative stockholders' equity and high ratios of liabilities to equity, indicating financial vulnerability despite recent improvements.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals persistent negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash outflows exceed cash inflows. Despite an influx of financing cash, the company's reliance on external funding for operations poses a risk to long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.96M3.19M4.83M21.79M10.64M10.00M
Gross Profit
1.29M1.45M1.69M5.08M3.61M6.64M
EBIT
-15.40M-10.32M-45.69M-27.44M-16.84M-17.50M
EBITDA
-12.76M-10.12M-40.10M-42.97M-49.23M-18.63M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-11.75M-10.32M-52.78M-50.89M-53.52M-22.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
109.72M112.97M3.93M1.96M23.14M3.94M
Total Assets
112.03M114.78M6.73M54.84M98.02M31.84M
Total Debt
320.00K932.00K6.60M12.29M6.45M8.39M
Net Debt
-109.40M-112.04M2.66M10.34M-16.69M4.45M
Total Liabilities
8.41M7.60M18.18M29.95M32.74M33.81M
Stockholders Equity
103.63M107.18M-11.46M24.88M65.28M-1.98M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-11.11M-13.30M-18.43M-28.02M-63.80M-10.97M
Operating Cash Flow
-11.07M-13.30M-18.43M-26.86M-22.51M-10.97M
Investing Cash Flow
0.000.0015.38M-2.26M-46.38M0.00
Financing Cash Flow
99.12M122.34M4.97M8.05M88.02M14.60M

Phunware Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.04
Price Trends
50DMA
2.97
Positive
100DMA
3.13
Negative
200DMA
4.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
47.73
Neutral
STOCH
24.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PHUN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.13, above the 50-day MA of 2.97, and below the 200-day MA of 4.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PHUN.

Phunware Risk Analysis

Phunware disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Phunware reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Phunware Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$11.92B10.03-7.37%3.70%7.32%-8.25%
SYSYT
62
Neutral
$39.98M6.2512.16%1.81%27.23%47.65%
54
Neutral
$88.69M-189.13%89.27%26.30%
IDIDN
51
Neutral
$103.79M-4.57%5.78%54.19%
37
Underperform
$64.14M-19.87%
$101.26M
$64.81M0.59
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PHUN
Phunware
3.04
-2.05
-40.28%
IDN
Intellicheck Mobilisia
5.26
2.06
64.37%
TROO
TROOPS
0.84
-0.86
-50.59%
DUOT
Duos Technologies Group
7.23
4.68
183.53%
NUKK
Nukkleus
11.57
6.41
124.22%
SYT
SYLA Technologies Co., Ltd. ADR
1.50
-0.30
-16.67%

Phunware Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Phunware Appoints Quyen Du to Board of Directors
Neutral
Mar 4, 2025

Phunware, Inc. announced the appointment of Quyen Du to its Board of Directors as an independent director, effective February 28, 2025. Ms. Du, who brings 25 years of experience in strategy and corporate development, will also serve on the Company’s Audit, Compensation, and Nominating and Corporate Governance Committees. Her appointment is expected to satisfy Nasdaq’s continued listing requirements and assist in planning Phunware’s 2024 Annual Shareholder Meeting. The appointment follows the resignation of former CEO Michael Snavely, and interim CEO Stephen Chen highlighted Ms. Du’s strategic growth experience as a valuable asset for Phunware’s future growth initiatives.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Phunware Appoints Jeremy Krol as Chief Operating Officer
Positive
Feb 6, 2025

Phunware, Inc. announced the appointment of Jeremy Krol as the Chief Operating Officer effective January 31, 2025. As part of his employment agreement, Mr. Krol will receive a base salary of 429,270 CAD, a sign-on bonus, and potential annual bonuses. The agreement includes non-competition and non-solicitation clauses, and offers restricted stock units as an inducement. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Phunware’s leadership team and enhance its operational capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.