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Old Republic International Corp. (ORI)
NYSE:ORI

Old Republic International (ORI) AI Stock Analysis

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Old Republic International

(NYSE:ORI)

78Outperform
Old Republic International's strong financial foundation and robust earnings growth drive its solid stock performance, despite challenges in cash flow and specific risk areas. The positive technical indicators and attractive valuation further support its investment potential.
Positive Factors
General Insurance Growth
The General Insurance segment showed strong growth with net earned premiums increasing by 14%, beating the estimated 10%.
Specialty Insurance Performance
Old Republic's Specialty Insurance segment exceeded expectations with strong premium growth and favorable underwriting income.
Negative Factors
Title Insurance Challenges
The Title Insurance segment continues to struggle with high mortgage rates and housing prices, impacting refinance activity and home affordability.
Title Insurance Revenue Uncertainty
There are ongoing concerns about revenue and earnings uncertainty in the Title Insurance segment and broader market reserve and inflation issues in commercial auto and general liability.

Old Republic International (ORI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Old Republic International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOld Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the insurance underwriting and related services business primarily in the United States and Canada. The company operates through three segments: General Insurance, Title Insurance, and the Republic Financial Indemnity Group Run-off Business. The General Insurance segment offers automobile extended warranty, aviation, commercial automobile, commercial multi-peril, commercial property, general liability, home warranty, inland marine, travel accident, and workers' compensation insurance products; and financial indemnity products for specialty coverages, including errors and omissions, fidelity, guaranteed asset protection, and surety. This segment provides its insurance products to businesses, government, and other institutions in transportation, commercial construction, healthcare, education, retail and wholesale trade, forest products, energy, general manufacturing, and financial services industries. The Title Insurance segment offers lenders' and owners' title insurance policies to real estate purchasers and investors based upon searches of the public records. This segment also provides escrow closing and construction disbursement services; and real estate information products, national default management services, and various other services pertaining to real estate transfers and loan transactions. The Republic Financial Indemnity Group Run-off Business segment offers private mortgage insurance coverage that protects mortgage lenders and investors from default related losses on residential mortgage loans made primarily to homebuyers. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyOld Republic International (ORI) generates revenue primarily through the underwriting and sale of insurance policies across its two main business segments: General Insurance and Title Insurance. In the General Insurance Group, ORI offers various types of insurance products, including property, liability, and workers' compensation insurance, earning premiums from policyholders. The Title Insurance Group contributes to revenue by providing title insurance policies, which protect real estate owners and lenders from financial losses related to defects in the title of a property. Additionally, ORI earns investment income from its portfolio of invested assets, which includes bonds and equities, that supports its insurance operations. The company's financial performance is bolstered by its strategic partnerships with independent agents and brokers, who help distribute its insurance products to a broad client base.

Old Republic International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Old Republic International demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth of 13.4% and a debt-free balance sheet. However, potential concerns arise from the absence of recent EBIT and EBITDA metrics, and a decline in free cash flow.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Old Republic International shows a strong revenue growth of 13.4% in the latest year, coupled with a high gross profit margin consistently at 100%. However, the absence of EBIT and EBITDA metrics in recent years suggests a potential decline in operational profitability tracking.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a robust balance sheet with no debt as of the latest year, reflecting strong financial stability. The equity ratio stands at 20.2%, indicating a well-capitalized position. An increasing trend in stockholders' equity further enhances financial strength.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Despite the lack of operating cash flow data in the latest year, previous periods show consistent free cash flow, though there is a notable decline in free cash flow in the current year. Historical operating cash flow to net income ratios indicate efficient cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.23B7.26B8.08B9.34B7.17B
Gross Profit
8.23B7.26B8.08B9.34B7.17B
EBIT
0.000.00923.90M1.78B557.10M
EBITDA
0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
852.70M598.60M686.40M1.53B558.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
201.90M2.82B12.69B11.40B11.37B
Total Assets
27.84B26.50B25.16B24.98B22.82B
Total Debt
1.59B1.59B1.60B1.59B966.40M
Net Debt
-201.90M1.39B-11.09B-9.81B-10.40B
Total Liabilities
22.22B20.09B18.99B1.84B1.10B
Stockholders Equity
5.62B6.41B6.17B6.89B6.19B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.23B880.40M1.17B1.31B1.19B
Operating Cash Flow
1.23B880.40M1.17B1.31B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.80M25.30M-415.00M-936.50M-845.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.23B-783.20M-832.70M-335.70M-300.00M

Old Republic International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price39.62
Price Trends
50DMA
36.97
Positive
100DMA
35.79
Positive
200DMA
33.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Negative
RSI
73.09
Negative
STOCH
86.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 39.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.79, above the 50-day MA of 36.97, and above the 200-day MA of 33.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.09 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORI.

Old Republic International Risk Analysis

Old Republic International disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Old Republic International reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Old Republic International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ORORI
78
Outperform
$9.73B12.0914.17%2.70%13.41%55.56%
CBCB
78
Outperform
$120.92B13.3015.01%1.19%11.78%4.39%
CNCNA
78
Outperform
$13.72B14.449.40%3.50%7.30%-20.49%
RLRLI
75
Outperform
$7.37B21.4823.56%0.73%18.31%13.13%
75
Outperform
$5.56B28.366.82%1.59%15.35%-44.64%
TRTRV
75
Outperform
$59.96B12.3218.94%1.57%12.23%68.50%
63
Neutral
$14.35B9.948.94%4.37%16.34%-11.76%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORI
Old Republic International
39.62
11.48
40.80%
CB
Chubb
301.40
48.39
19.13%
CNA
CNA Financial
50.88
10.34
25.51%
RLI
RLI
80.71
9.39
13.17%
SIGI
Selective Insurance Group
91.96
-11.32
-10.96%
TRV
Travelers Companies
264.54
40.66
18.16%

Old Republic International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 23, 2025 | % Change Since: 11.73% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with significant growth in key areas such as Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance, despite some challenges like investment value decrease and unfavorable developments in specific segments. The company's proactive capital management and strategic growth initiatives contribute to a positive outlook.
Highlights
Increase in Consolidated Pretax Operating Income
Consolidated pretax operating income increased to $285 million in Q4 2024 from $237 million in Q4 2023.
Specialty Insurance Growth
Specialty Insurance net premiums earned grew by 13% in Q4 2024 with pretax operating income rising to $228 million from $195 million last year.
Title Insurance Performance
Title Insurance grew premiums and fees by 9% and increased pretax operating income to $55 million from $44 million in Q4 2023.
Special Dividend and Capital Management
A special dividend of $2 per share was declared, contributing to a total capital return of just over $1.7 billion for the year.
Investment Income Increase
Net investment income increased by 10% in the quarter and 16% for the year, driven by higher yields on the bond portfolio.
Lowlights
Decrease in Total Investment Portfolio Value
The value of the total investment portfolio decreased by about $400 million during the quarter.
Unfavorable Development in General Liability
Unfavorable development was noted in general liability, which was spread across multiple subsidiaries and accident years.
Exit from Transactional Risk
The company decided to exit transactional risk, which contributed less than $20 million of premium in 2024, due to unfavorable experience.
Property Catastrophic Losses
Estimated losses from the Los Angeles wildfires were between $10 million and $15 million.
Company Guidance
During the Old Republic International's Q4 2024 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted as part of the company's guidance and performance summary. The company reported a consolidated pretax operating income of $285 million, up from $237 million in 2023, and a consolidated combined ratio of 92.7%, an improvement from 93.3% in the previous year. Specialty Insurance net premiums earned grew by 13% in the quarter, with a combined ratio of 91.8%. Additionally, Title Insurance premiums and fees increased by 9%, achieving a pretax operating income of $55 million, up from $44 million last year, with a combined ratio of 94.4%. The company also declared a special dividend of $2 per share, reducing the book value per share accordingly, and repurchased $174 million worth of shares in the quarter. The balance sheet remained robust, and the guidance suggested continued growth and profitability in Specialty Insurance into 2025, alongside improvements in Title Insurance driven by better market conditions and operational strategies.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.