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Optex Systems (OPXS)
:OPXS
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Optex Systems Holdings (OPXS) AI Stock Analysis

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OPXS

Optex Systems Holdings

(NASDAQ:OPXS)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(8.79% Upside)
The overall stock score of 74.65 reflects a robust financial performance and strong earnings call results, which highlight significant revenue growth and cash flow improvements. Technical analysis suggests positive momentum, while valuation remains fair. Challenges such as backlog reduction and legacy order issues are mitigated by strong new orders and financial stability.

Optex Systems Holdings (OPXS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Optex Systems Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOptex Systems Holdings (OPXS) is a leading manufacturer specializing in optical sighting systems and assemblies primarily for the defense industry. The company operates within the precision optics sector, producing a range of products such as rifle and surveillance sights, periscopes, and other related optical components. Optex Systems Holdings primarily serves military and government clients, providing essential equipment for various vehicle platforms and weapon systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyOptex Systems Holdings generates revenue through the sale of its precision optical products to defense contractors and government agencies. The company's key revenue streams include contracts for the development and supply of optical sighting systems and components used in military vehicles and weapon systems. Additionally, Optex may engage in long-term contracts and partnerships with major defense contractors, which contribute significantly to its earnings. The company's financial performance is influenced by defense budget allocations and the demand for military modernization and equipment upgrades.

Optex Systems Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 74.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall, the earnings call reflects a strong performance with significant revenue growth, improved profitability, and a robust cash position. However, challenges remain with a decreased backlog and ongoing legacy order issues. The commercial segment also underperformed, but the strong military segment and recent large orders indicate a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 22.2% year-over-year for the six months and 25.9% for the three months ending March 30, 2025, with total revenue reaching $10.7 million for the three-month period and $18.9 million for the six-month period.
Improved Gross Profit and Operating Income
Gross profit increased by 31.4% for the three-month period and 29.4% for the six-month period. Operating income rose by 65% for the three months and 65.2% for the six months, ending at $2.2 million and $3.2 million respectively.
Strong Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
Operating cash flow was $3.9 million, significantly up from the prior year's $1 million, driven by higher revenue and net income. Cash balance increased to $3.5 million from $1 million as of the end of September 2024.
Reduction in Inventory
Inventory decreased by $0.9 million, reflecting higher shipments and efficient inventory use.
New Order for Laser Filters
A significant $5.7 million order for laser filters was received shortly after the reporting period, indicating strong future demand.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Backlog
The backlog as of March 30, 2025, was $41.1 million, down from $44.2 million the previous year, a decrease of $3.1 million or 7%.
Legacy Order Challenges
There are ongoing challenges with legacy orders from the pre-COVID period, reflecting about 7% of the backlog, which are fully reserved on the balance sheet.
Commercial Revenue Decline
There was a noted reduction in commercial line revenues, offsetting some of the gains from the military defense revenue.
Company Guidance
During the Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. Second Quarter Earnings Call, guidance detailed several key financial metrics. The company reported a significant year-over-year revenue increase, with a 22.2% rise for the six-month period and a 25.9% jump for the three-month period ending March 30, 2025. Gross profit also surged, increasing by 31.4% for the three months and 29.4% for the six months. Operating income rose by 65% for the three months and 65.2% for the six months, while net income increased by 66.5% and 74.9% for the respective periods. The company concluded the three-month period with an EBITDA of $2.4 million, up from $1.6 million in the prior year. Cash flow also improved significantly, with operating cash flow rising to $3.9 million compared to $1 million the previous year. These results were driven by higher revenue, improved gross margins, and stable G&A spending. Additionally, Optex reduced its inventory by $0.9 million, which, along with other working capital changes, contributed to the enhanced cash flow.

Optex Systems Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Optex Systems Holdings demonstrates strong financial health with substantial revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. While profitability ratios such as Net Profit Margin can be optimized further, the overall financial stability and cash flow generation are commendable. The balance sheet is healthy with low leverage, although improving Return on Equity would enhance shareholder value.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Optex Systems Holdings has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from previous years. The Gross Profit Margin is healthy, indicating effective cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin is relatively low compared to the revenue, which suggests higher operational or interest expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a high Equity Ratio, indicative of good financial stability. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low, reducing the risk associated with leverage. However, Return on Equity could be improved to better reflect the profitability yielded from shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Optex Systems Holdings exhibits strong operating cash flow, significantly exceeding net income, which reflects excellent cash generation efficiency. The Free Cash Flow is robust, showing the company's ability to fund operations and growth without additional financing. There is substantial growth in Free Cash Flow, indicating improved operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.43M33.99M25.66M22.38M18.22M25.89M
Gross Profit10.78M9.53M6.62M4.90M2.52M6.09M
EBITDA6.60M5.31M3.13M1.95M2.30M2.62M
Net Income4.89M3.77M2.26M1.28M2.13M1.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.48M25.52M22.22M18.54M20.86M20.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.53M1.01M1.20M934.00K3.90M4.70M
Total Debt2.13M3.40M3.90M3.37M3.66M1.83M
Total Liabilities5.89M6.71M7.36M6.13M5.14M6.37M
Stockholders Equity21.58M18.81M14.86M12.41M15.71M13.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.82M1.10M-672.00K1.78M207.00K3.76M
Operating Cash Flow4.79M1.78M-296.00K2.04M481.00K3.91M
Investing Cash Flow-997.00K-1.73M-376.00K-257.00K-274.00K-152.00K
Financing Cash Flow-581.00K-245.00K942.00K-4.75M-1.01M-127.00K

Optex Systems Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.95
Price Trends
50DMA
11.02
Positive
100DMA
8.67
Positive
200DMA
8.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Positive
RSI
57.48
Neutral
STOCH
55.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPXS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.46, above the 50-day MA of 11.02, and above the 200-day MA of 8.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OPXS.

Optex Systems Holdings Risk Analysis

Optex Systems Holdings disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Optex Systems Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Optex Systems Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$89.87M18.9725.69%21.77%36.36%
66
Neutral
$81.31M55.993.10%-29.61%-78.85%
64
Neutral
$10.63B16.035.49%2.12%2.74%-23.62%
60
Neutral
$43.81M24.087.62%-7.34%-88.84%
51
Neutral
$55.23M-594.07%
45
Neutral
$35.47M153.01%-64.51%7.09%
44
Neutral
$30.79M-109.05%-18.70%84.35%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings
13.00
5.42
71.50%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
3.37
1.07
46.52%
VTSI
VirTra
7.22
-0.48
-6.23%
KITT
Nauticus Robotics
0.96
-1.33
-58.08%
SIDU
Sidus Space, Inc. Class A
1.21
-1.11
-47.84%
SPAI
Safe Pro Group, Inc.
3.64
-0.50
-12.08%

Optex Systems Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Optex Systems Holdings Renews Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. and its subsidiary renewed their credit facility with Texas Capital Bank, entering into a new Business Loan Agreement effective May 22, 2025. This agreement provides a $3 million revolving line of credit with a commitment period of 24 months, expiring on May 22, 2027. The credit facility includes a variable interest rate and various covenants, and it is secured by the operating assets of the borrowers. This renewal is significant for Optex’s financial operations, ensuring continued access to capital and potentially impacting its strategic planning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025