NextCure (NXTC) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $35.57M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 37.58K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.37
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: 3.78%
• Country: US
• Employees: 43
• Sector: Healthcare
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Biotechnology
• EPS (TTM): -0.46
• Shares Outstanding: 3,560,410
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 95,061
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 37,578
• PEG Ratio: 0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.15
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.81
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.17
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: -16.28
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -0.11
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): -8.22
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: $10.00 ▼(-27.17% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/06/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/06/26

Overall score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses and cash burn, and reduced equity), partially offset by a moderately positive technical trend and supportive pipeline/runway updates. Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend.

Positive Factors

ADC pipeline progress & platform

Advancing two ADC programs toward Phase 1 readouts showcases the company’s discovery-to-clinic capability and its proprietary immunomedicine platform. Durable clinical progress can materially de-risk programs, attract partners, and create long-term value if dose‑optimization and initial safety signals are positive.

Low financial leverage

Very low reported debt reduces solvency and interest burden risk for a cash‑consuming biotech. This structural strength preserves financial flexibility to raise capital or secure collaborations without heavy fixed obligations, improving the company’s ability to sustain development programs over the medium term.

Near-term cash runway

A disclosed runway into the first half of 2027 provides a tangible time window to advance dose escalation, generate early clinical data, and pursue partnerships or milestone-based funding. This runway supports executing near-term development milestones central to value creation over the next 6–12 months.

Negative Factors

Pre-revenue with sizable losses

The company remains a pre-revenue clinical biotech with recurring multi‑year losses, meaning no internal product cash generation. Persistent negative earnings force dependence on external capital, lengthen the path to self‑sustaining operations, and magnify execution risk if clinical outcomes or financing conditions deteriorate.

Consistent negative cash flow

Sustained negative operating and free cash flow indicates ongoing cash burn to support trials. This structural cash outflow pattern requires recurrent financing, increases dilution risk, and constrains the company’s ability to internally fund multiple parallel development programs or respond to unexpected trial delays.

Shrinking equity base / dilution risk

A pronounced decline in shareholders’ equity reflects accumulated deficits and past dilution, limiting balance sheet capacity to absorb losses. Combined with disclosed at‑the‑market offering risk, this structural weakness raises the likelihood of further equity issuance and long‑term dilution unless clinical progress leads to non‑dilutive partnerships.

NextCure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NextCure, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in discovering and developing novel immunomedicines to treat cancer and other immune-related diseases by restoring normal immune function. Its lead product candidate is NC318, which is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of advanced or metastatic solid tumors. The company is also developing NC410, which is in Phase I for novel immunomedicine designed to block immune suppression mediated by an immune modulator called Leukocyte-Associated Immunoglobulin-like Receptor 1; NC762, an immunomedicine targeting a molecule called human B7 homolog 4 protein, or B7-H4; and NC525, a novel LAIR-1 antibody which is in Preclinical trails that targets acute myeloid leukemia, blast cells, and leukemic stem cells. Its discovery and research programs include an antibody in preclinical evaluation of other potential novel immunomodulatory molecules. The company has a license agreement with Yale University. NextCure, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Beltsville, Maryland.

How the Company Makes Money

NextCure does not have publicly established recurring product sales because it is a clinical-stage biotechnology company; as a result, its revenue model is primarily tied to (i) collaboration and licensing arrangements and (ii) other operating income sources typical for development-stage biotech. When applicable, collaboration revenue can include upfront payments (paid at contract signing), research and development cost reimbursements or funded research payments (to support ongoing work), regulatory and commercial milestone payments (triggered by clinical, approval, or launch events), and royalties on net sales if a partnered product reaches commercialization. If NextCure enters additional partnerships, these arrangements can also provide non-dilutive capital and shift some development costs to partners. If specific current partnerships, product-revenue streams, or the exact composition of revenue are not available from the provided context, those details are null.

NextCure Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial profile remains weak: $0 revenue from 2021–2025 with continued sizable losses (2025 net loss ~$55.8M) and persistent negative operating/free cash flow (~-$49.6M in 2025). Positives include narrowing losses versus 2022–2023 and low leverage (~$4.1M debt; debt-to-equity ~0.12), but sharply reduced equity (~$233.4M in 2021 to ~$34.9M in 2025) signals ongoing funding/dilution risk.

Income Statement

The income statement reflects a pre-revenue biotech profile: total revenue is $0 from 2021–2025, with ongoing sizeable losses (2025 net loss of about $55.8M). Losses have improved versus 2022–2023 (net loss narrowed from ~$74.7M in 2022 to ~$55.8M in 2025), but profitability remains firmly negative and there is no visible commercial ramp in the provided data.

Balance Sheet

Leverage is low, with modest debt of ~$4.1M in 2025 and a low debt-to-equity ratio (~0.12), which reduces financial risk. However, the equity base has contracted sharply over time (from ~$233.4M in 2021 to ~$34.9M in 2025), and returns on equity are deeply negative (2025 ROE about -1.60), highlighting ongoing dilution/deficits and weakening balance sheet capacity if losses persist.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is a key weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative (2025 operating cash flow about -$49.6M; free cash flow about -$49.6M). A positive note is that cash burn improved versus 2023–2024 levels (less negative than 2023 free cash flow of about -$53.8M), but the company still relies on external funding to sustain operations given persistent cash outflows.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Gross Profit	-2.19M	-2.87M	0.00	0.00	0.00
EBITDA	-55.43M	-54.34M	-63.95M	-71.78M	-66.59M
Net Income	-55.84M	-55.65M	-62.72M	-74.73M	-69.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	50.18M	80.86M	128.04M	184.16M	242.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	41.82M	68.62M	108.30M	159.91M	219.59M
Total Debt	4.15M	5.95M	6.61M	7.12M	0.00
Total Liabilities	15.24M	15.39M	13.62M	16.63M	9.00M
Stockholders Equity	34.94M	65.47M	114.42M	167.53M	233.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-49.61M	-41.28M	-53.79M	-56.00M	-59.60M
Operating Cash Flow	-49.61M	-40.80M	-52.97M	-53.89M	-57.24M
Investing Cash Flow	25.56M	55.31M	39.27M	67.98M	36.60M
Financing Cash Flow	22.31M	144.00K	154.00K	200.00K	-3.27M

NextCure Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 13.73
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXTC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.41, above the 50-day MA of 12.40, and above the 200-day MA of 8.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NXTC.

NextCure Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NXTC	54 Neutral	$35.57M	-1.32	-152.90%	―	―	3.78%
Sector *	51 Neutral	$7.86B	-0.30	-43.30%	2.27%	22.53%	-2.21%
NERV	49 Neutral	$326.29M	-0.12	506.72%	―	―	-323.61%
MTVA	46 Neutral	$4.67M	-1.70	-229.48%	―	―	71.57%
APM	41 Neutral	$8.80M	-3.67	-9.02%	―	―	-1979.68%
ATON	40 Underperform	$8.29M	-0.33	-925.11%	―	―	―

NextCure Corporate Events

NextCure Updates ADC Pipeline Progress and Cash Runway

On January 23, 2026, NextCure reported program and financial updates, highlighting progress in its two antibody-drug conjugate candidates and outlining its cash position. The company plans to present Phase 1 dose-escalation data for SIM0505, a cadherin-6–targeting ADC focused on advanced solid tumors and particularly platinum-resistant ovarian and other gynecological cancers, in the second quarter of 2026, and is adding clinical sites and increasing drug supply ahead of dose optimization. For LNCB74, a B7-H4–targeting ADC, dosing has begun in higher-dose cohorts in its Phase 1 study prioritizing patients with high B7-H4 expression in breast and gynecological cancers and now including adenoid cystic carcinoma type 1, while proof-of-concept data have been delayed in favor of a broader enrollment window, with a trial progress update now expected in the second half of 2026. Financially, NextCure reported preliminary, unaudited cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of approximately $41.8 million as of December 31, 2025, which it expects will fund operations into the first half of 2027, underscoring both the runway to advance its oncology pipeline and the ongoing execution risk typical of early-stage biotech development.

The most recent analyst rating on (NXTC) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NextCure stock, see the NXTC Stock Forecast page.