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NextCure Inc (NXTC)
NASDAQ:NXTC

NextCure (NXTC) AI Stock Analysis

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NextCure

(NASDAQ:NXTC)

Rating:36Underperform
Price Target:
NextCure's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including a lack of revenue and ongoing cash burn typical of early-stage biotech firms. The technical analysis suggests a bearish trend with potential volatility, while valuation metrics are unfavorable due to negative earnings. Despite a positive corporate event related to clinical trials, the company must urgently address its financial sustainability through partnerships or additional funding to enhance its long-term prospects.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trials
The progress on the dose escalation portion of the Phase 1 trial for LNCB74 is viewed as a positive signal of safety with no dose-limiting toxicities noted.
Preclinical Results
NextCure's LNCB74 has demonstrated superior efficacy in preclinical results compared to similar competitors, indicating potential for better outcomes.
Strategic Partnership
NextCure entered into a strategic partnership with Chinese pharma company Simcere to develop and commercialize SIM0505, a novel antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) for the treatment of solid tumors.
Negative Factors
Competitive Landscape
The B7-H4 ADC landscape remains competitive with several clinical stage players, posing a challenge for NextCure.
Market Competition
CDH6 ADC development landscape is becoming increasingly competitive, with significant clinical-stage competitors setting the bar for efficacy.

NextCure (NXTC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NextCure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextCure, Inc. (NXTC) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to discovering and developing novel, first-in-class immunomedicines to treat cancer and other immune-related diseases. The company's approach is centered around its proprietary Functional, Integrated, NextCure Discovery in Immuno-Oncology (FIND-IO) platform, which enables the identification of targets for new immunotherapies. NextCure's core products focus on addressing unmet medical needs in oncology through innovative therapeutic solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextCure primarily generates revenue through strategic collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. These partnerships often involve joint development agreements, where NextCure provides its proprietary technology and expertise in exchange for research funding, milestone payments, and potential royalties on future product sales. Additionally, the company may receive revenue from government grants supporting specific research initiatives. However, as a clinical-stage company, NextCure has not yet achieved commercial sales of its products, which means its revenue streams are largely dependent on these collaborative and developmental agreements.

NextCure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NextCure's financials reflect a typical early-stage biotech company with no revenue generation and a focus on research and development. The income statement shows operational challenges with negative EBIT and net income. The balance sheet is stable due to a strong equity position and low debt, but declining assets pose sustainability concerns. Cash flow analysis indicates significant cash burn and reliance on cash reserves, highlighting the need for additional funding or revenue generation.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
NextCure's income statement shows a lack of revenue generation with consistent negative EBIT and net income, reflecting operational challenges. The absence of revenue growth and negative margins indicate significant financial strain, typical of early-stage biotech companies focused on R&D without marketable products.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position and low debt levels, with a favorable equity ratio. However, declining total assets and equity over the years pose concerns about sustainability. The company's reliance on cash reserves for funding operations highlights potential liquidity risks if revenue streams don't materialize.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows with no signs of improvement, suggesting ongoing cash burn. The company's cash reserves have decreased substantially, although the ability to generate positive investing cash flow offers some relief. This trend indicates a need for external financing or strategic shifts to ensure long-term viability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.0022.38M
Gross Profit-701.00K0.00-3.68M-4.48M-4.30M22.33M
EBITDA-50.34M-52.79M-59.04M-70.25M-65.01M-37.81M
Net Income-49.52M-55.65M-62.72M-69.43M-69.39M-33.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.14M80.86M128.04M184.16M242.39M306.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.86M68.62M108.30M159.91M219.59M283.45M
Total Debt4.91M5.95M6.61M7.12M0.003.47M
Total Liabilities11.28M15.39M13.62M16.63M9.00M12.92M
Stockholders Equity55.85M65.47M114.42M167.53M233.39M293.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-41.63M-41.28M-53.79M-56.00M-59.60M-52.09M
Operating Cash Flow-41.19M-40.80M-52.97M-53.89M-57.24M-44.95M
Investing Cash Flow44.52M55.31M39.27M67.98M36.60M43.52M
Financing Cash Flow143.00K144.00K154.00K200.00K-3.27M-1.42M

NextCure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.47
Price Trends
50DMA
0.48
Negative
100DMA
0.52
Negative
200DMA
0.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
49.64
Neutral
STOCH
52.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.49, below the 50-day MA of 0.48, and below the 200-day MA of 0.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NXTC.

NextCure Risk Analysis

NextCure disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NextCure reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We are currently not in compliance with the continued listing standards of the Nasdaq Global Select Market, and if we are unable to regain compliance, our common stock will be delisted from the exchange. Q4, 2024
2.
The pharmaceutical industry is subject to extensive regulatory obligations and policies that may be subject to significant and abrupt change, including due to judicial challenges, election cycles, and resulting regulatory updates and changes in policy priorities. Q4, 2024

NextCure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$23.97M-92.35%-85.48%45.13%
52
Neutral
$7.53B0.20-61.87%2.28%16.72%1.10%
44
Neutral
$12.57M-214.79%52.82%
43
Neutral
$16.80M-362.79%32.45%39.31%
41
Neutral
$14.76M-105.79%-82.54%-12.53%
36
Underperform
$12.78M-63.94%22.63%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXTC
NextCure
0.47
-1.18
-71.52%
CARM
Carisma Therapeutics
0.40
-0.80
-66.67%
MBRX
Moleculin Biotech
0.53
-3.82
-87.82%
HOOK
Hookipa Pharma
1.23
-5.02
-80.32%
SABS
SAB Biotherapeutics
2.50
-0.49
-16.39%

NextCure Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NextCure Updates Presentation on LNCB74 Clinical Trial
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, NextCure updated its corporate presentation to provide insights into its ongoing clinical trial of LNCB74, a differentiated antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) targeting B7-H4, which is being developed in partnership with LigaChem Biosciences. The trial, which began in January 2025, is focused on breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancers, with data readouts expected in the first half of 2026. This development highlights NextCure’s strategic focus on advancing its pipeline of ADCs, leveraging its expertise in B7-H4, and addressing unmet needs in oncology, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Spark’s Take on NXTC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, NXTC is a Underperform.

NextCure’s overall stock score is low, reflecting significant financial challenges with no current revenue and ongoing cash burn. Technical analysis shows a bearish trend, and the negative P/E ratio highlights the company’s pre-commercial phase with no earnings. The company must urgently address these issues through strategic partnerships or additional funding to improve its financial stability.

To see Spark’s full report on NXTC stock, click here.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 26, 2025