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Minerva Neurosciences (NERV)
NASDAQ:NERV

Minerva Neurosciences (NERV) AI Stock Analysis

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NERV

Minerva Neurosciences

(NASDAQ:NERV)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-7.41% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial fundamentals (ongoing losses, sustained cash burn, and negative equity). Technicals are moderately supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while corporate events add support via improved financing capacity (though with dilution risk). Valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Innovative Product Pipeline
Minerva Neurosciences' focus on innovative therapies for CNS disorders positions it well in a niche market with high unmet needs, potentially leading to significant future revenue if clinical trials are successful.
Strategic Partnerships Potential
The company's strategy to secure licensing agreements and partnerships could provide essential funding and market access, enhancing its ability to bring products to market and generate revenue.
Focus on CNS Disorders
By targeting CNS disorders, Minerva Neurosciences addresses a growing market with significant demand for new treatments, potentially leading to strong market positioning if successful.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates financial distress, as liabilities exceed assets, posing a risk to solvency and limiting the company's ability to invest in growth or withstand financial shocks.
Lack of Revenue
The absence of revenue generation highlights operational challenges and reliance on external funding, which may hinder long-term sustainability and growth prospects.
Negative Cash Flow
Consistently negative cash flow indicates operational inefficiencies and a reliance on external financing, which could strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility.

Minerva Neurosciences (NERV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Minerva Neurosciences Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMinerva Neurosciences, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of product candidates for the treatment of central nervous system diseases. Its lead product candidate is roluperidone for the treatment of schizophrenia; and MIN-301, a soluble recombinant form of the neuregulin-1b1 protein for the treatment of Parkinson's disease and other neurodegenerative disorders. Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. has a license agreement with Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma Corporation to develop, sell, and import roluperidone globally excluding Asia. The company was formerly known as Cyrenaic Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. in 2013. Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyMinerva Neurosciences makes money through the development and potential future commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates, which are aimed at treating central nervous system disorders. The company seeks to advance its drug candidates through clinical trials, obtain regulatory approval, and eventually bring these therapies to market. Revenue generation is expected to come from product sales, licensing agreements, and strategic partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies. However, as a clinical-stage company, Minerva Neurosciences currently does not have significant revenue from product sales and relies on funding through public and private investments to support its research and development activities.

Minerva Neurosciences Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall, Minerva Neurosciences faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reflects a lack of revenue generation, coupled with ongoing operational losses. The balance sheet shows negative equity, raising solvency issues. Cash flow analysis indicates a consistent inability to generate positive operating cash flows, underscoring operational inefficiencies. These factors combined suggest a high-risk financial position with urgent need for strategic changes to improve financial health.
Income Statement
The income statement shows significant challenges. The company has not reported any revenue since 2020, indicating a lack of sales or operational income. Net income has been highly volatile, with significant losses in recent years, except for a positive net income in 2024, which seems driven by non-operational factors. The absence of revenue growth and negative profitability margins signal financial instability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects substantial financial distress with negative stockholders' equity, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, highlighting severe financial leverage issues. Total liabilities greatly exceed assets, and the equity ratio is negative, pointing to potential solvency concerns.
Cash Flow
Cash flows show persistent negative free cash flow, indicating the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations to cover its expenses. Operating cash flow has been consistently negative, and while there was a positive financing cash flow in some years, this indicates reliance on external financing. The inability to generate positive cash flow raises concerns about the company's operational efficiency and financial sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.0041.18M
Gross Profit-1.36K0.000.000.000.0041.18M
EBITDA-10.27M6.02M-21.69M-24.69M-45.28M2.12M
Net Income-10.27M1.44M-30.01M-32.11M-49.91M1.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.09M37.14M56.90M55.09M77.12M57.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.29M21.36M40.91M36.09M60.76M25.36M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00111.23K
Total Liabilities62.67M62.84M85.36M75.11M69.15M4.96M
Stockholders Equity-34.58M-25.69M-28.46M-20.02M7.98M52.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.13M-19.55M-14.78M-24.66M-24.60M-33.82M
Operating Cash Flow-10.13M-19.55M-14.78M-24.65M-24.60M-33.82M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.00-16.33K0.0024.53M
Financing Cash Flow-45.17K0.0019.60M-5.0060.00M13.24M

Minerva Neurosciences Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.32
Price Trends
50DMA
4.00
Positive
100DMA
3.33
Positive
200DMA
2.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
54.67
Neutral
STOCH
64.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NERV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.14, above the 50-day MA of 4.00, and above the 200-day MA of 2.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NERV.

Minerva Neurosciences Risk Analysis

Minerva Neurosciences disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Minerva Neurosciences reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Minerva Neurosciences Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$192.57M-2.33-323.61%
48
Neutral
$13.31M-2.09-22.03%-41.76%87.36%
43
Neutral
$8.62M-1.38-79.47%-99.97%35.59%
39
Underperform
$11.02M-0.98-73.63%53.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NERV
Minerva Neurosciences
4.32
2.20
103.77%
BLRX
Bioline RX Ltd Sponsored ADR
2.86
-2.06
-41.87%
PULM
Pulmatrix
2.35
-3.55
-60.17%
CMMB
Chemomab Therapeutics
1.83
-5.77
-75.92%
ABP
Abpro Holdings
3.92
-34.48
-89.79%
ASBP
Aspire Biopharma Holdings
0.10
-11.38
-99.17%

Minerva Neurosciences Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Minerva Neurosciences Shareholders Approve Key Governance Measures
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

At its annual meeting of stockholders held on December 22, 2025, Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. secured broad shareholder approval for a series of measures expanding its equity and capital flexibility, including an amendment to its 2013 Equity Incentive Plan to add 12,500,000 shares for potential issuance. Stockholders re-elected two directors to terms running until the 2028 annual meeting, approved doubling the company’s authorized common shares from 125 million to 250 million, authorized the issuance of common stock upon conversion of Series A Convertible Voting Preferred Stock in line with Nasdaq rules, endorsed executive compensation on an advisory basis, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, collectively reinforcing management’s governance, financing capacity and incentive structures.

The most recent analyst rating on (NERV) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minerva Neurosciences stock, see the NERV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Minerva Neurosciences Expands Board Amid Fundraising Effort
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Minerva Neurosciences appointed Dr. Inderjit Kaul to its Board of Directors as part of an expansion following a securities purchase agreement. Dr. Kaul, who brings extensive experience in drug development, will also serve as a consultant to assist with the clinical development of roluperidone, a treatment for negative symptoms of schizophrenia. This appointment aligns with Minerva’s recent $200 million fundraising effort to support a Phase 3 trial of roluperidone, aiming to address a significant unmet need in schizophrenia treatment.

The most recent analyst rating on (NERV) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minerva Neurosciences stock, see the NERV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Minerva Neurosciences Secures $200M for Drug Trials
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Minerva Neurosciences announced a securities purchase agreement with accredited investors to raise up to $200 million through a private placement. This funding will support the Phase 3 confirmatory trial of roluperidone, the resubmission of its New Drug Application, and preparation for a potential U.S. commercial launch. The agreement includes an initial $80 million upfront and additional proceeds contingent on warrant exercises. The company plans to appoint new directors with schizophrenia clinical trial experience to its board to strengthen its clinical operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NERV) stock is a Hold with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Minerva Neurosciences stock, see the NERV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025