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NexGel Inc (NXGL)
NASDAQ:NXGL
US Market
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NexGel Inc (NXGL) AI Stock Analysis

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NXGL

NexGel Inc

(NASDAQ:NXGL)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-69.70% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative cash flow, and higher leverage) and bearish technicals (trading below major moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include more constructive acquisition-driven guidance and strategic financing support from the latest earnings call, but near-term liquidity and execution risks remain significant.
Positive Factors
Transformative acquisition (BioNX/Celularity)
Acquiring a commercial-stage regenerative biomaterials portfolio materially expands NexGel's revenue base and product mix. Tripling pro forma revenue and projected accretion provides a structural shift in scale and margin potential, improving operating leverage if integration executes as planned.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation & low liquidity
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow and only modest cash on hand constrain NexGel's ability to self-fund integration, sales expansion and working capital. This forces reliance on external financing and creates durable execution and dilution risk if revenue synergies are slower than planned.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Transformative acquisition (BioNX/Celularity)
Acquiring a commercial-stage regenerative biomaterials portfolio materially expands NexGel's revenue base and product mix. Tripling pro forma revenue and projected accretion provides a structural shift in scale and margin potential, improving operating leverage if integration executes as planned.
Read all positive factors

NexGel Inc (NXGL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NexGel Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NexGel Inc (NXGL) is a specialized healthcare company that focuses on the development and commercialization of innovative hydrogels and other products primarily for the medical and personal care markets. The company operates in the healthcare sect...
How the Company Makes Money
NexGel makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling hydrogel-based products and by providing contract development and manufacturing services centered on its hydrogel technology. Key revenue streams include: (1) Product sales of hydrogel-base...

NexGel Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized a transformational acquisition (BioNX), strategic financing and partnership with Sequence LifeScience, strengthened leadership, a commercial product portfolio in ~500 hospitals, and pro forma projections to triple revenue to ~$35M and be accretive — all significant positives. Offsetting these are near‑term operational and liquidity pressures: Q1 revenue declined ~5.7% YoY, cash on hand fell to $1.8M, SG&A is elevated, and some legacy consumer products and key customer relationships have underperformed. Management reported early signs of recovery and initial BioNX sales beginning in Q2, but timing and execution risk remain notable.
Positive Updates
Strategic Acquisition of BioNX Closed
Acquisition of BioNX closed in mid‑April; BioNX adds 6 commercial regenerative biomaterial products, positioning the company in a fast‑growing healthcare segment and providing an expanded commercial footprint.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Q1 revenue was $2.65 million versus $2.81 million in the prior year period — a year‑over‑year decline of approximately 5.7%, described by management as 'relatively flat' but down overall.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strategic Acquisition of BioNX Closed
Acquisition of BioNX closed in mid‑April; BioNX adds 6 commercial regenerative biomaterial products, positioning the company in a fast‑growing healthcare segment and providing an expanded commercial footprint.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that the BioNX acquisition is expected to be transformative: on a pro forma basis it should approximately triple annual revenue to roughly $35 million and be “immediately accretive to profitability” upon closing; BioNX revenue will begin to be recognized for about half of Q2. Key near‑term financials and capital metrics cited were Q1 revenue of $2.65M (vs. $2.81M year‑ago), cash and restricted cash of ~$2.1M as of 3/31/2026 with $1.8M on hand today, and $13.8M total capital raised (comprised of $8.8M cash and a $5.0M convertible note to Cellularity), while Sequence LifeScience led financing with a $5.5M investment. Operational and pipeline metrics included a BioNX portfolio of 6 commercial regenerative products already approved in ~500 U.S. hospitals, three 510(k) devices in development representing about $4.6M of invested paid‑in capital targeted for commercialization in 2027, 2026 and (as stated) 2020, and an incremental operating run‑rate of roughly $500K per month (salaries, marketing, commissions) for the expanded commercial/R&D footprint.

NexGel Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite multi-year revenue expansion and improved gross margin (~39% TTM), financial strength remains constrained by deeply negative operating/net margins, ongoing net losses (~$(3.2)M TTM), persistently negative operating/free cash flow (~-$1.4M TTM), and increased leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.05 TTM) that reduces flexibility.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.42M8.69M4.09M2.05M1.55M
Gross Profit4.51M2.75M374.00K256.00K8.00K
EBITDA-2.61M-2.90M-2.73M-3.11M-2.17M
Net Income-3.00M-3.28M-3.16M-4.75M-4.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.46M10.98M9.96M10.36M16.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments317.00K1.81M2.70M6.61M13.35M
Total Debt3.09M2.83M2.80M2.08M4.26M
Total Liabilities5.57M4.90M4.79M2.72M4.90M
Stockholders Equity4.46M5.75M4.70M7.64M12.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.38M-4.31M-3.93M-3.09M-3.02M
Operating Cash Flow-1.31M-3.87M-3.24M-2.99M-2.75M
Investing Cash Flow-68.00K-775.00K4.46M-5.59M-269.00K
Financing Cash Flow630.00K3.75M379.00K-3.66M16.34M

NexGel Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.64
Price Trends
50DMA
0.63
Negative
100DMA
1.01
Negative
200DMA
1.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
42.85
Neutral
STOCH
39.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXGL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.58, above the 50-day MA of 0.63, and above the 200-day MA of 1.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NXGL.

NexGel Inc Risk Analysis

NexGel Inc disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NexGel Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NexGel Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$53.96M-79.00-37.47%64.18%28.90%
55
Neutral
$212.33M81.48-246.44%17.41%-189.91%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$33.73M-7.04-166.28%3.37%15.78%
47
Neutral
$26.45M21.30-258.08%39.88%64.70%
46
Neutral
$21.35M-1.17-8.13%10.08%71.71%
45
Neutral
$6.33M-1.40-55.33%10.14%12.18%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXGL
NexGel Inc
0.54
-1.64
-75.23%
RVP
Retractable Technologies
0.71
0.06
9.86%
MLSS
Milestone Scientific
0.38
-0.61
-61.51%
POCI
Precision Optics Corporation
4.93
0.27
5.79%
SMTI
Sanara MedTech
23.17
-7.61
-24.72%
FEMY
Femasys
0.44
-0.60
-57.88%

NexGel Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
NexGel Raises Insider-Funded Convertible Notes to Bolster Liquidity
Positive
May 15, 2026
Between May 11 and May 14, 2026, NexGel, Inc. raised $1.21 million in a private placement of unsecured convertible promissory notes and accompanying warrants to accredited investors, with the securities convertible at $0.60 per share and warrants ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
NEXGEL Strengthens Board with Sequence LifeScience Leaders
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 6, 2026, NEXGEL, Inc. appointed Brian J. Kieser, CEO of Sequence LifeScience, and Kevin Harris, Sequence’s COO, to its board of directors for a term expiring at the next annual shareholder meeting or until successors are elected, unde...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
NexGel Appoints Ian Blackman as New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Apr 30, 2026
On April 27, 2026, NEXGEL’s board appointed veteran finance executive Ian Blackman as Chief Financial Officer, succeeding interim CFO Adam E. Drapczuk III, who will continue as a financial consultant. Blackman’s compensation package in...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NexGel Receives Nasdaq Deficiency Notice Over Bid Price
Negative
Apr 24, 2026
On April 22, 2026, NexGel, Inc. disclosed that it received a deficiency notice from Nasdaq after its common stock traded below the $1.00 minimum bid price for 30 consecutive business days, triggering noncompliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
NEXGEL Secures Strategic Financing and Regenerative Portfolio License
Positive
Apr 21, 2026
On April 17, 2026, NEXGEL completed an amended asset purchase and exclusive license deal with Celularity to acquire an exclusive license to a commercial-stage regenerative biomaterials portfolio, related assets and sales representative obligations...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
NexGel Acquires Celularity Regenerative Biomaterials in Transformative Deal
Positive
Mar 10, 2026
On March 6, 2026, NEXGEL, Inc. entered into an asset purchase and exclusive license agreement with Celularity, Inc. to acquire an exclusive license to Celularity’s commercial-stage regenerative biomaterials portfolio and related assets, focu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026