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NexGel Inc (NXGL)
NASDAQ:NXGL
US Market

NexGel Inc (NXGL) AI Stock Analysis

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NXGL

NexGel Inc

(NASDAQ:NXGL)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-10.18% Downside)
NexGel Inc's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which is hindered by persistent losses and negative cash flows. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing down the score. Valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. However, the earnings call and corporate events provide some optimism with strategic initiatives and potential revenue growth.
Positive Factors
Strategic Spin-Off
The spin-off allows NEXGEL to focus on core operations while unlocking value through a 5% royalty and 19.99% equity in NexGelRx, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and product adoption, supporting the company's long-term business model and market position.
Improved Gross Profit Margins
Improved gross profit margins suggest better cost management and pricing power, enhancing profitability and financial health over time.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses undermine profitability and financial stability, posing a risk to long-term sustainability and investor confidence.
Negative Cash Flows
Negative cash flows indicate operational challenges and hinder the company's ability to self-fund growth, affecting long-term financial resilience.
Flat Revenue Growth
Flat revenue growth suggests potential market saturation or competitive pressures, challenging future expansion and revenue generation.

NexGel Inc (NXGL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NexGel Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNexGel Inc (NXGL) is a specialized healthcare company that focuses on the development and commercialization of innovative hydrogels and other products primarily for the medical and personal care markets. The company operates in the healthcare sector, providing solutions that cater to wound care, drug delivery, and personal care applications. NexGel's core products include hydrogel-based formulations that offer unique properties such as moisture retention and biocompatibility, making them suitable for a variety of therapeutic uses.
How the Company Makes MoneyNexGel generates revenue through the sale of its proprietary hydrogel products to healthcare providers, distributors, and retail outlets. The company has established key partnerships with healthcare institutions and manufacturers that facilitate the distribution of its products, enhancing its market reach. Additionally, NexGel may also engage in contract manufacturing services, creating customized hydrogel solutions for clients, which adds another layer to its revenue model. The successful commercialization of new products and the expansion into emerging markets further contribute to the company's earnings.

NexGel Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 11, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced view of the company's performance, with significant highlights in improved gross profit margins, strategic partnerships, and product expansions. However, revenue growth was flat, and logistical delays and partnership uncertainties posed challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Profit Margins
Gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 42.4%, an increase from 39.3% in Q3 2024.
Contract Manufacturing Growth
Contract manufacturing revenue totaled $907,000 in Q3 2025, showing slight year-over-year and sequential growth. Strong partnerships, such as with Cintas, continue to drive performance.
Strategic Partnerships
NEXGEL signed an agreement with iRhythm to supply hydrogels for their Zio ECG heart monitoring system, with anticipated orders in Q4 2025.
Product Expansion and Market Approvals
New product launches in consumer segments, including expanded beauty lines and new skin care solutions. Also, Metagel received approval from Health Canada to sell SilverSeal.
Non-Dilutive Financing
Received $1 million from Stada to support product launches and marketing, strengthening the financial position.
Negative Updates
Flat Revenue Growth
Q3 2025 revenue was flat year-over-year at $2.9 million, with contract manufacturing and branded product revenue remaining stable.
Logistical Delays
Unforeseen logistical delays affected inventory movement, pushing some product launches to late September and potentially impacting revenue by $100,000 to $200,000.
AbbVie Partnership Uncertainty
Uncertainty surrounding partnership with AbbVie, as they took a large impairment charge on the recycling device, raising concerns about future orders.
Company Guidance
During the call, NEXGEL provided guidance for the remainder of 2025, indicating that they expect fourth-quarter revenues to increase sequentially and potentially set a record for the company. They project full-year revenues to range between $12 and $12.5 million, with the higher end being contingent on a strong holiday season for consumer branded products. The company also highlighted its focus on narrowing its adjusted EBITDA loss, which was reduced to $354,000 in the third quarter, with expectations to approach breakeven in the fourth quarter. The company is leveraging its partnerships and new product launches to drive growth, including their collaboration with iRhythm and the expanding relationship with Stada, supported by $1 million in non-dilutive financing to aid upcoming launches and marketing.

NexGel Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NexGel Inc shows strong revenue growth, reflecting potential in its core business operations. However, persistent net losses and negative cash flows indicate challenges in achieving profitability and financial stability. The balance sheet remains stable with a reasonable equity position, but the company must address profitability issues to improve its financial health. Continuous negative cash flow and net income are key risks that need to be managed.
Income Statement
30
Negative
NexGel Inc has experienced significant revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the company continues to report negative net income, leading to a negative net profit margin. The gross profit margin has improved, but operating losses remain a concern, reflected in negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The improvement in revenue is overshadowed by persistent losses, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio with an increasing stockholders' equity base, indicating a stable equity position. However, the return on equity remains negative due to ongoing net losses, which is concerning. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting that the company is not overly reliant on debt financing. Despite these positive aspects, the inability to generate net income affects overall stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
NexGel Inc's cash flow statements show negative operating and free cash flows, indicating operational challenges. Despite this, the company has managed to secure financing, which has supported cash flow needs. However, the inability to generate positive free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the ongoing struggles in achieving cash flow profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.66M8.69M4.09M2.05M1.55M674.00K
Gross Profit4.47M2.75M374.00K256.00K8.00K-291.00K
EBITDA-2.23M-2.90M-2.73M-3.11M-2.17M-2.20M
Net Income-2.88M-3.28M-3.16M-4.75M-4.31M-2.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.62M10.98M9.96M10.36M16.98M2.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments938.00K1.81M2.70M6.61M13.35M32.00K
Total Debt3.09M2.83M2.80M2.08M4.26M1.28M
Total Liabilities6.04M4.90M4.79M2.72M4.90M2.19M
Stockholders Equity5.19M5.75M4.70M7.64M12.09M71.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.55M-4.31M-3.93M-3.09M-3.02M-2.11M
Operating Cash Flow-2.45M-3.87M-3.24M-2.99M-2.75M-1.80M
Investing Cash Flow-91.00K-775.00K4.46M-5.59M-269.00K-312.00K
Financing Cash Flow3.34M3.75M379.00K-3.66M16.34M1.88M

NexGel Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.67
Price Trends
50DMA
2.16
Negative
100DMA
2.29
Negative
200DMA
2.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Negative
RSI
43.80
Neutral
STOCH
39.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NXGL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.68, below the 50-day MA of 2.16, and below the 200-day MA of 2.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NXGL.

NexGel Inc Risk Analysis

NexGel Inc disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NexGel Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NexGel Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$32.40M-4.94-57.98%13.67%-37.01%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$53.80M-376.23%63.53%12.49%
46
Neutral
$24.55M-3.68-8.05%-0.95%58.17%
45
Neutral
$23.44M-5.47-58.34%73.38%34.87%
42
Neutral
$215.35M-27.19%30.55%-340.19%
41
Neutral
$29.73M-4.35-136.47%0.59%-39.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NXGL
NexGel Inc
1.67
-3.26
-66.13%
RVP
Retractable Technologies
0.82
0.17
26.62%
MLSS
Milestone Scientific
0.39
-0.45
-53.79%
POCI
Precision Optics Corporation
4.15
-1.00
-19.42%
SMTI
Sanara MedTech
25.91
-7.92
-23.41%
FEMY
Femasys
0.86
-0.29
-25.22%

NexGel Inc Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
NexGel Inc Announces Spin-Off of Drug Delivery Unit
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

On December 11, 2025, NEXGEL, Inc. announced the spin-off of its drug delivery program into a new entity, NexGelRx, which will focus on developing prescription drug delivery solutions using NEXGEL’s proprietary hydrogel technology. As part of the spin-off, NEXGEL shareholders will receive a 19.99% equity interest in NexGelRx and a 5% global royalty on products sold using its technology. This move allows NEXGEL to concentrate on its core business areas while potentially unlocking significant value for its shareholders.

Shareholder Meetings
NexGel Inc Cancels Special Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Nov 24, 2025

On November 21, 2025, NexGel Inc.’s Board of Directors decided to cancel a Special Meeting of Stockholders that was scheduled for November 26, 2025. The meeting was initially intended to vote on a proposal to significantly increase the company’s authorized shares from 25 million to 1 billion. This decision indicates that the company will not seek stockholder approval for this substantial increase in authorized shares, which could have implications for the company’s future capital structure and shareholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NexGel Inc Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, NEXGEL, Inc. reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, showing a slight decrease in net revenue to $2.93 million compared to the previous year. Despite a flat revenue, the company improved its gross profit margin to 42.4% and narrowed its adjusted EBITDA loss, driven by strong performance in contract manufacturing and consumer branded products. The company continues to expand its reach with new product launches and strategic partnerships, reflecting confidence in its advanced hydrogel technology.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 12, 2025