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Netscout Systems (NTCT)
NASDAQ:NTCT

Netscout Systems (NTCT) AI Stock Analysis

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NTNetscout Systems
(NASDAQ:NTCT)
64Neutral
Netscout Systems shows robust cash flow and a solid balance sheet, but faces challenges with profitability and valuation due to recent losses. The earnings call provides optimism with strong segment performance, but overall revenue decline is a concern. Positive technical indicators offer some support, but the negative P/E ratio limits valuation appeal.

Netscout Systems (NTCT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Netscout Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT) is a leading provider of application and network performance management products and solutions. Operating in the technology sector, the company specializes in offering robust tools for network monitoring, visibility, and cybersecurity, enabling organizations to maintain optimal network performance and security. With its comprehensive suite of products, NetScout serves a wide range of industries including telecommunications, enterprise, and government sectors, helping them to detect and resolve network issues efficiently.
How the Company Makes MoneyNetScout Systems makes money primarily through the sale of its network performance management and cybersecurity solutions. The company's revenue streams include the sale of hardware and software products, as well as subscription services for ongoing software updates and support. Additionally, NetScout generates income from professional services such as consulting and training, which help customers optimize the use of their solutions. Key partnerships with telecommunications companies and large enterprises contribute significantly to its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to long-term contracts and recurring revenue.

Netscout Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Netscout Systems faces challenges in profitability and revenue growth, as evidenced by the income statement metrics. Despite this, the balance sheet shows a solid equity position, and cash flows remain robust, providing liquidity and operational flexibility. However, sustained losses impact overall financial health and investor confidence.
Income Statement
40
Negative
The trailing twelve months (TTM) data shows a decline in revenue and profitability indicators. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are concerning, with the company experiencing a negative net income. Revenue growth has been erratic, with recent periods showing a decline. The negative EBITDA margin highlights operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability, with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio indicates a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets funded by equity. However, return on equity is negative, driven by recent net losses, which is a concern for investors.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement is a strong point for the company, with positive operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that the company generates cash efficiently despite reported net losses. Operating cash flow has shown resilience, supporting the company's liquidity position.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
821.13M829.46M914.53M855.58M831.28M891.82M
Gross Profit
610.06M642.04M691.43M641.39M609.18M649.63M
EBIT
64.65M-149.83M77.66M49.73M37.13M17.64M
EBITDA
-334.26M-51.43M174.01M155.10M147.19M147.61M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-417.96M-147.73M59.65M35.87M19.35M-2.75M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
423.13M423.13M419.00M703.20M476.45M386.46M
Total Assets
2.60B2.60B2.82B3.19B3.09B3.12B
Total Debt
150.08M150.08M160.47M415.34M423.62M531.00M
Net Debt
-239.59M-239.59M-226.32M-220.82M-43.55M192.51M
Total Liabilities
703.24M703.24M790.91M1.13B1.08B1.18B
Stockholders Equity
1.89B1.89B2.03B2.06B2.01B1.94B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
164.12M52.47M146.00M285.61M197.40M205.10M
Operating Cash Flow
169.73M58.81M156.65M296.01M213.92M225.02M
Investing Cash Flow
1.97M13.36M15.30M-68.35M24.70M-4.31M
Financing Cash Flow
-66.74M-69.35M-419.43M-54.16M-118.31M-286.87M

Netscout Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.55
Price Trends
50DMA
22.78
Negative
100DMA
22.28
Negative
200DMA
20.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
32.34
Neutral
STOCH
9.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTCT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.68, below the 50-day MA of 22.78, and above the 200-day MA of 20.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NTCT.

Netscout Systems Risk Analysis

Netscout Systems disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Netscout Systems reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Netscout Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$16.15B27.8718.38%3.02%31.36%
74
Outperform
$251.67B27.7220.18%2.52%-5.34%-30.57%
64
Neutral
$1.55B-27.49%-1.55%-250.10%
60
Neutral
$11.97B41.776.02%2.44%-8.82%-10.01%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
44
Neutral
$1.93B-237.76%-24.49%-250.61%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTCT
Netscout Systems
21.55
0.26
1.22%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
63.26
15.60
32.73%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
14.56
2.53
21.03%
FFIV
F5 Networks
280.11
89.51
46.96%
JNPR
Juniper Networks
35.94
-0.61
-1.67%

Netscout Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.58% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the third quarter, particularly in the Cybersecurity and Service Assurance segments, with significant revenue growth and earnings per share exceeding expectations. However, challenges remain with a year-to-date decline in overall revenue and specific struggles in the Service Assurance and Service Provider verticals. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a positive outlook for the fiscal year end.
Highlights
Exceeding Revenue and Earnings Expectations
Q3 fiscal year 2025 revenue was approximately $252 million, up 16% compared to the prior year period. Diluted earnings per share was $0.94, up approximately 29% from previous year.
Strong Cybersecurity Growth
Cybersecurity revenue increased approximately 29% in Q3 and 7% for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025.
Service Assurance Segment Performance
Service Assurance revenue in Q3 increased by approximately 9% due to early order acceleration.
Product Revenue Surge
Product revenue was $128.2 million for Q3, an increase of 33.8% year-over-year.
Operating Profit Margin Improvement
Operating profit margin for Q3 was 35.6%, compared with 29% in the same quarter last year.
Lowlights
Overall Revenue Decline for Nine Months
Revenue for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025 was approximately $618 million, down approximately 1% year-over-year.
Service Assurance Year-to-Date Decline
Service Assurance revenue decreased by 5.5% for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025.
Service Provider Customer Vertical Decrease
Service provider customer vertical revenue decreased 7.2% for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025.
Company Guidance
During NETSCOUT's Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company reported strong performance with third-quarter revenue reaching approximately $252 million, marking a 16% increase from the prior year. This was driven by robust growth in both Cybersecurity, which saw a 29% revenue increase, and Service Assurance product lines. The company achieved a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.94, up 29% year-over-year. For the first nine months of the fiscal year, revenue was $618 million, reflecting a slight 1% decrease due to prior year benefits from backlog-related revenue and a business divestiture. The corresponding EPS for this period was $1.70, representing a 3% increase. Looking ahead, NETSCOUT updated its fiscal year 2025 outlook, anticipating revenue between $810 million to $820 million and non-GAAP EPS in the range of $2.15 to $2.25, maintaining the midpoint from previous guidance. The company highlighted its confidence in meeting full fiscal year goals, supported by customer orders received earlier than expected and ongoing initiatives in addressing cybersecurity threats and service assurance needs.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.