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Flow Traders (NL:FLOW)
:FLOW

Flow Traders (FLOW) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:FLOW

Flow Traders

(FLOW)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
€30.00
▲(28.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/15/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but volatile financial performance (cyclicality and elevated leverage temper the strength in profitability), supported by constructive technical momentum and a low P/E valuation.
Positive Factors
Technology-driven market making business model
Flow Traders’ core proprietary market-making model is structurally durable: capturing bid-ask spreads across ETPs and multiple asset classes provides recurring, volume-linked revenue. Its tech and risk-management focus supports low-latency execution and scalable liquidity provision over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated balance-sheet leverage
Consistently high debt relative to equity materially increases financial risk during weak trading periods. Elevated leverage can force debt servicing and deleveraging choices that reduce liquidity provision capacity, constrain strategic investments, and amplify earnings volatility over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Technology-driven market making business model
Flow Traders’ core proprietary market-making model is structurally durable: capturing bid-ask spreads across ETPs and multiple asset classes provides recurring, volume-linked revenue. Its tech and risk-management focus supports low-latency execution and scalable liquidity provision over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Flow Traders (FLOW) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Flow Traders Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Flow Traders N.V. operates as a financial technology-enabled liquidity provider in financial products in Europe, the Americas, and Asia. The company uses its proprietary technology platform to quote bid and ask prices in thousands of exchange trad...
How the Company Makes Money
Flow Traders makes money primarily through proprietary market making and liquidity provision. Its main economic engine is capturing trading income from the bid–ask spread and related microstructure opportunities: it quotes two-sided prices (buy an...

Flow Traders Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 26, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, with significant increases in total income and EBITDA, as well as solid performance in the digital assets and ETP markets. However, there are challenges in quarter-on-quarter declines in some areas and the suspension of dividend payments. The overall sentiment leans towards positive, but with caution regarding market volatility and strategic shifts.
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Total Income and EBITDA
Total income for the second quarter was EUR 76.2 million, a 48% increase compared to the same period last year. EBITDA reached EUR 21.1 million, more than a six-fold increase from the second quarter of last year.
Negative Updates
Quarter-on-Quarter Decline in ETP Value Traded
ETP value traded decreased by 9% compared to the first quarter, with overall market volatility remaining subdued.
Read all updates
Q2-2024 Updates
Negative
Significant Increase in Total Income and EBITDA
Total income for the second quarter was EUR 76.2 million, a 48% increase compared to the same period last year. EBITDA reached EUR 21.1 million, more than a six-fold increase from the second quarter of last year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2024, Flow Traders saw a mixed trading environment with the total market ETP value traded rising by 12% year-over-year but declining by 9% quarter-on-quarter. Despite a 15% decrease in volatility compared to the same period last year, total income reached EUR 76.2 million, marking a 48% increase from the previous year. Trading income was EUR 79.5 million, with other income and losses amounting to EUR 3.3 million. The firm achieved an EBITDA of EUR 21.1 million, which represents a more than six-fold increase from the previous year, and the profit for the period was EUR 12.8 million, resulting in a basic EPS of EUR 0.03. The ETP market value traded increased by 12% year-over-year, but declined by 9% quarter-over-quarter, while total ETP assets under management rose by 13% to over EUR 12 trillion. In terms of expenses, fixed operating expenses slightly declined, and NTI increased by 29% year-over-year, resulting in a 40% EBITDA margin for the first half of the year. The firm plans to expand its trading capital and has secured a EUR 25 million bank term loan as part of a broader trading capital expansion strategy, suspending dividend payments to accelerate growth.

Flow Traders Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong underlying profitability, but results are highly cyclical with material revenue/earnings swings. Balance-sheet leverage is consistently high versus equity, and cash generation is uneven with periods of weak operating cash flow.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue485.80M804.51M571.28M656.09M539.91M
Gross Profit467.70M598.00M390.79M552.57M476.76M
EBITDA189.00M211.65M62.95M178.55M160.01M
Net Income133.60M159.54M36.15M126.83M114.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.94B12.90B13.92B11.10B10.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.23M8.39M5.50B8.61M4.51B
Total Debt2.93B1.96B2.02B1.68B1.87B
Total Liabilities15.08B12.13B13.33B10.50B10.32B
Stockholders Equity868.38M766.61M585.84M606.32M508.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow532.48M25.48M67.43M86.15M238.00M
Operating Cash Flow538.75M32.06M79.48M93.75M244.76M
Investing Cash Flow-665.25M-25.85M-17.47M-19.72M-13.84M
Financing Cash Flow125.87M-3.78M-64.69M-70.59M-234.62M

Flow Traders Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price23.32
Price Trends
50DMA
27.07
Positive
100DMA
25.87
Positive
200DMA
25.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
61.44
Neutral
STOCH
60.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:FLOW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 23.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.62, below the 50-day MA of 27.07, and below the 200-day MA of 25.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:FLOW.

Flow Traders Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€1.20B5.9424.83%1.83%37.22%162.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
€2.60B14.2812.31%7.89%24.42%
60
Neutral
€68.60B12.4012.05%5.10%0.12%-2.71%
58
Neutral
€9.94B10.6114.36%5.79%-6.64%
57
Neutral
€23.88B14.959.85%4.36%-12.70%-12.34%
52
Neutral
€5.15B2,118.42-7.45%1.65%8.64%-304.46%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:FLOW
Flow Traders
27.98
-1.76
-5.92%
NL:ABN
ABN AMRO Group N.V.
29.01
12.76
78.49%
NL:AGN
Aegon NV
6.66
1.75
35.73%
NL:INGA
ING GROEP
24.20
9.61
65.89%
NL:VLK
Van Lanschot N.V.
61.30
20.54
50.38%
NL:ALLFG
Allfunds Group plc
8.56
3.99
87.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 15, 2026