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Ncs Multistage Holdings Inc (NCSM)
NASDAQ:NCSM

Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM) AI Stock Analysis

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NCSM

Ncs Multistage Holdings

(NASDAQ:NCSM)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$71.00
▲(89.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/31/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (profitability, cash generation, and low leverage) and a very low P/E valuation. Offsetting factors include elevated technical momentum signals that raise near-term pullback risk and 2026 guidance that is steady but includes softer free cash flow expectations and seasonality-related timing risk.
Positive Factors
Improving profitability and margins
Margin expansion to 41.1% gross and 12.9% net in 2025 reflects stronger pricing, cost control and improved project economics. Sustained higher margins materially increase free cash flow generation and resilience to weaker cycles, supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High cyclicality and historical earnings swings
Revenue and profitability remain tightly linked to completion activity and E&P capital cycles, creating durable volatility risk. Even with improved 2024–25 performance, historic swings underscore that weaker commodity or completion cycles can quickly reverse margins, FCF and ROIC in future downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving profitability and margins
Margin expansion to 41.1% gross and 12.9% net in 2025 reflects stronger pricing, cost control and improved project economics. Sustained higher margins materially increase free cash flow generation and resilience to weaker cycles, supporting reinvestment and shareholder returns over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Ncs Multistage Holdings (NCSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ncs Multistage Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. provides engineered products and support services for oil and natural gas well completions and field development strategies in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It offers fracturing systems, which includ...
How the Company Makes Money
NCSM makes money by selling and/or renting completion tools and providing associated field services used in multistage well completions. Its revenue is primarily generated when exploration and production (E&P) customers execute completion programs...

Ncs Multistage Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call presents a positive operational and financial story: the company delivered double-digit revenue growth, a 20% increase in adjusted EBITDA, strong free cash flow conversion (>70% of adjusted EBITDA), successful integration progress of the ResMetrics acquisition, and continued product commercialization and geographic expansion. Offsetting these positives are region-specific headwinds in Canada, modest margin compression, seasonal/back-half weighted earnings, lower free cash flow guidance for 2026 versus 2025, and external macro/geo-political risks that are not included in guidance. On balance, the company beat guidance in 2025, strengthened its balance sheet, and provided reasonable 2026 guidance while calling out manageable near-term risks.
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $183.6M, up 13% year-over-year (10% ex-ResMetrics contribution), exceeding the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Canada Softness and Near-Term Headwinds
Canada Q4 revenue declined 7% YoY; management expects Canadian revenue to be lower in 2026 due to lower rig counts and customer consolidation (Q1 Canada revenue guidance $26.5M–$28.5M).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Full-Year Revenue Growth
Fiscal 2025 revenue of $183.6M, up 13% year-over-year (10% ex-ResMetrics contribution), exceeding the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided Q1 2026 revenue of $49–$53 million (≈+2% at the midpoint vs. 2025) with U.S. revenue $19.5–$20.5M, international $3–$4M, and Canada $26.5–$28.5M; adjusted gross margin 39–41%; adjusted EBITDA $6.5–$8.5M; and depreciation & amortization ≈$1.6M. For full-year 2026 management expects revenue of $184–$194M, adjusted EBITDA of $26–$29M, gross capital expenditures of $1.5–$2.0M, and free cash flow after JV distributions of $12–$16M (targeting >50% adjusted-EBITDA-to-FCF conversion). They noted seasonality with EBITDA and FCF weighted to H2, paid $1.5M contingent ResMetrics consideration in Jan 2026, and reiterated medium-term targets of 25–35% incremental adjusted-EBITDA margins and a 15% ROIC objective.

Ncs Multistage Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a strong inflection: revenue growth through 2025, net margin improvement to 12.9%, expanding gross margin, rising operating cash flow and free cash flow, and a conservatively levered balance sheet with declining debt. The main constraint is historical cyclicality and the relatively short track record of the improved profitability versus prior volatility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue184.73M162.56M142.47M155.63M118.50M
Gross Profit70.64M62.15M50.99M56.09M43.97M
EBITDA17.68M13.98M1.86M4.73M1.72M
Net Income23.75M6.59M-3.15M-1.10M-4.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets181.20M152.81M152.03M138.60M142.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.73M25.88M16.72M16.23M22.17M
Total Debt12.95M14.63M13.51M12.88M13.15M
Total Liabilities38.10M36.70M42.64M29.34M31.66M
Stockholders Equity126.24M98.84M91.62M91.03M92.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.97M11.42M2.58M-2.55M10.75M
Operating Cash Flow22.18M12.72M4.77M-1.42M11.58M
Investing Cash Flow-6.29M479.00K-1.68M-698.00K-444.00K
Financing Cash Flow-5.30M-4.27M-2.44M-2.74M-4.26M

Ncs Multistage Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.44
Price Trends
50DMA
50.78
Positive
100DMA
44.93
Positive
200DMA
41.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.55
Positive
RSI
56.11
Neutral
STOCH
25.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NCSM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.45, below the 50-day MA of 50.78, and below the 200-day MA of 41.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NCSM.

Ncs Multistage Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$161.92M4.3121.30%16.61%-72.29%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$216.38M116.130.57%18.98%
52
Neutral
$84.46M-24.93-11.82%-22.31%39.11%
51
Neutral
$124.91M-23.15-3.08%7.46%-165.76%
49
Neutral
$108.58M-11.34-7.14%-6.90%94.14%
45
Neutral
$48.82M-0.46147.42%-12.57%-45.75%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NCSM
Ncs Multistage Holdings
63.61
36.65
135.94%
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
2.72
1.52
126.67%
BOOM
DMC Global
5.30
-1.28
-19.45%
SND
Smart Sand
4.97
3.00
152.80%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
2.50
0.59
30.89%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
3.55
1.55
77.50%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 31, 2026