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McEwen Mining Inc (MUX)
NYSE:MUX

McEwen Mining (MUX) AI Stock Analysis

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MUX

McEwen Mining

(NYSE:MUX)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(2.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and inconsistent profitability and persistently negative free cash flow, despite a low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are neutral with a longer-term uptrend but softer near-term positioning, while valuation is a notable headwind due to the very high P/E. Offsetting these risks, management commentary and recent corporate updates point to meaningful project-driven upside, though execution and permitting remain key constraints.
Positive Factors
Low leverage balance sheet
Very low leverage materially lowers refinancing and solvency risk and gives McEwen flexibility to fund multi-year development and exploration programs. This balance-sheet strength supports project execution, strategic M&A and weathering metal-price cycles without immediate financing pressure.
Los Azules project economics & incentives
Los Azules has strong structural economics (feasibility NPV ~$2.9B, 19.8% after-tax IRR, ~3.9 year payback at assumed copper prices) plus 30-year investment incentives. That combination creates durable long-term copper exposure, high projected margins and predictability for multi-decade cash generation if built.
Exploration success & asset consolidation
Recent high-quality drill results at Gold Bar and Tartan, plus the Canadian Gold business combination, expand the resource base and high‑grade pipeline. These durable improvements can increase recoverable ounces, extend mine life and lower per‑unit costs over time as projects are advanced toward production.
Negative Factors
Consistent negative free cash flow
Persistent negative free cash flow signals ongoing funding needs to support sustaining and growth capex. Even with recent operating cash improvements, repeated FCF deficits increase reliance on treasury, asset sales or external financing and heighten execution risk for multi‑year development plans.
Volatile profitability and margins
Earnings and margins have swung significantly, with negative operating results across several years. That instability makes cash flow forecasting and internal funding less reliable, undermines return on equity, and complicates planning for capital-intensive projects that require multi-year funding visibility.
Operational and permitting execution risk
Geological reinterpretations at Gold Bar and ongoing permitting delays have already reduced near-term output and can push project timelines. These execution and regulatory risks can materially delay cash flows from El Gallo, Los Azules and restarts, raising capex and financing needs over multiple years.

McEwen Mining (MUX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McEwen Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcEwen Mining Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of gold and silver deposits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. The company also explores for copper deposits. It primarily owns a 100% interest in the Gold Bar mine in Eureka County, Nevada; the Black Fox gold mine in Ontario, Canada; the El Gallo Project and Fenix silver-gold project in Sinaloa, Mexico; the Los Azules copper deposit in San Juan, Argentina; and a portfolio of exploration properties in Nevada, Canada, Mexico, and Argentina. It also owns a 49% interest in the San José mine located in Argentina. The company was formerly known as US Gold Corporation and changed its name to McEwen Mining Inc. in January 2012. McEwen Mining Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcEwen Mining primarily makes money by producing and selling refined gold and silver derived from ore mined at its operating sites. Revenue is recognized when metal is delivered to customers (typically refiners or bullion/metal traders) under sales arrangements that pay based on prevailing market prices, subject to any applicable treatment/refining charges and deductions for payable metal. Its top line is therefore driven mainly by (1) the volume of gold and silver produced and sold, (2) realized metal prices, and (3) operating performance factors such as ore grades, recoveries, throughput, and unit operating costs. In addition to operating mine sales, McEwen Mining can generate or influence future earnings through exploration and development activities that may lead to: (a) resource/reserve growth that supports longer mine life and higher future production, and/or (b) project monetization events such as property sales, option payments, or joint-venture/farm-in arrangements; if specific monetization agreements are not publicly specified here, null. The company’s results are also affected by common mining-industry economic factors including sustaining and growth capital spending, royalties and production taxes where applicable, currency and input-cost movements (fuel, power, labor, consumables), and any hedging or financing structures that may impact realized pricing or cash flows; if the presence or terms of hedging/streaming/royalty financing are not specified here, null.

McEwen Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The company has shown resilience with strong metal prices and strategic advancements in the Los Azules project, but faced challenges with production issues at Gold Bar and permitting delays. The sentiment is balanced, with both positive outlooks and areas needing improvement.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Metal Prices
Gold prices increased by 45%, silver by 47%, and copper is up 13%.
Los Azules Project Advancements
Los Azules accepted into Argentina's large-scale investment incentive program, providing 30 years of legal, fiscal, and custom stability with a competitive tax rate.
Q3 Financial Performance
Reported a net loss of $0.5 million, an improvement from $2.1 million loss in the previous period. Adjusted EBITDA of $11.8 million, up from $10.5 million.
Exploration Success
Discovery of the Froome West deposit and optimism about the Seven Troughs property with historic high-grade potential.
Negative Updates
Gold Bar Production Issues
Q3 production was lower than expected due to geological reinterpretations and mining areas not yielding expected ore.
Permitting Delays
Delays in permitting have impacted production pipeline and development plans.
Company Guidance
During the McEwen Mining Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance in light of improved metal prices, with gold nearing $4,000 per ounce, up 45%, silver up 47%, and copper prices at $5, up 13%. The company aims to achieve an annual production of 250,000 to 300,000 gold equivalent ounces by 2030 and anticipates the Los Azules project to produce over 450 million pounds of copper annually, with an estimated gross margin of 64%. The recent feasibility study for Los Azules projects an after-tax NPV of $2.9 billion at an 8% discount rate, a 19.8% after-tax IRR, and a payback period of 3.9 years, assuming a copper price of $4.35 per pound. Additionally, McEwen Mining plans to close the acquisition of Canadian Gold Corp in January 2026, with an updated resource estimate expected by February. The company also reported a net loss of $0.5 million, or $0.01 per share, and an adjusted EBITDA of $11.8 million, with plans to use its existing treasury and cash flows for upcoming capital projects.

McEwen Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is below average: operating profitability has been volatile with weak/negative operating earnings in recent years, and free cash flow has been consistently negative. The main offset is a strengthened balance sheet with very low leverage, which reduces financial risk.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Revenue improved in 2023 and grew modestly in 2024, but profitability has been highly volatile. Operating performance has been weak with negative operating earnings in most years (notably 2022–2024), and margins have swung sharply from deeply negative (2020–2022) to positive net income in 2023 and 2025. The 2025 annual revenue figure is reported as zero, which makes that year’s margin signals hard to rely on and increases uncertainty around the recent trajectory.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: leverage is very low in the latest year (debt-to-equity ~0.00 in 2025) and equity is sizable versus assets. Debt has come down dramatically from 2022–2024 levels, improving financial flexibility and reducing refinancing risk. The key weakness is inconsistent returns on equity, reflecting unstable profitability rather than balance sheet strain.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is pressured and uneven. Operating cash flow turned positive in 2024 and remained positive in 2025, but free cash flow has been negative every year shown, including a large outflow in 2025. The relationship between cash flow and earnings is also inconsistent (e.g., positive earnings years still showing negative free cash flow), suggesting ongoing funding needs for sustaining/capital spending and weaker cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue197.55M174.48M166.23M110.42M136.54M
Gross Profit21.73M30.93M17.78M-544.00K-6.48M
EBITDA17.94M18.25M-73.94M-78.68M-32.66M
Net Income34.43M-43.69M55.30M-81.08M-56.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets820.22M664.62M659.55M528.72M534.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.13M14.90M24.76M40.91M58.64M
Total Debt926.00K42.11M42.25M66.39M55.99M
Total Liabilities273.98M169.65M157.13M172.44M144.74M
Stockholders Equity546.24M494.98M502.42M322.81M375.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-37.77M-13.64M-65.74M-80.77M-55.11M
Operating Cash Flow7.58M29.45M-39.64M-56.58M-20.22M
Investing Cash Flow-48.74M-58.05M-99.64M-23.90M-24.56M
Financing Cash Flow78.73M19.20M172.18M65.45M80.98M

McEwen Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.56
Price Trends
50DMA
24.74
Negative
100DMA
21.55
Negative
200DMA
17.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
30.43
Neutral
STOCH
11.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.99, below the 50-day MA of 24.74, and above the 200-day MA of 17.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MUX.

McEwen Mining Risk Analysis

McEwen Mining disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McEwen Mining reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McEwen Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$9.80B8.9821.24%1.45%27.42%20.63%
66
Neutral
$11.80B38.8913.65%0.07%45.61%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
$1.15B-5.45-15.81%-12.07%-821.68%
58
Neutral
$1.27B8.8414.19%1.14%7.92%91.83%
56
Neutral
$3.24B-15.02-14.14%-128.69%
52
Neutral
$1.16B29.056.89%-16.62%-110.79%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MUX
McEwen Mining
19.56
11.22
134.53%
BVN
Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA
31.89
16.74
110.55%
GPRE
Green Plains
16.51
11.25
213.88%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
17.61
11.77
201.54%
PPTA
Perpetua Resources
26.61
15.15
132.20%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
9.56
3.99
71.54%

McEwen Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
McEwen Mining reports strong Gold Bar drilling, acquisition
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 27, 2026, McEwen Inc. reported strong drilling results from its Gold Bar Mine Complex in Nevada, highlighted by its best hole to date at the Windfall deposit, which intersected 5.55 grams per tonne of gold over 44.2 metres of oxide mineralization and supported by multiple additional long-width, near-surface intercepts that demonstrate excellent continuity along a 1.6-kilometre fault zone. The company said these results, along with an upcoming updated Mineral Resource Estimate for Lookout Mountain due at the end of February and planned 2026 exploration spending of about $10 million, are expected to significantly increase gold ounces at Gold Bar and underpin ongoing work to advance the Windfall, Lookout Mountain and Unity Ridge deposits toward a production decision using existing infrastructure, reinforcing Gold Bar’s role in McEwen’s strategy to transform the complex into a long-life asset and expand its overall production base. On January 28, 2026, McEwen also announced a definitive agreement to acquire all outstanding shares of Golden Lake Exploration Inc., a move that underscores its continued consolidation and growth strategy in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
McEwen Mining highlights promising drill results at Tartan
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 13, 2026, McEwen Inc. reported final drill results for its newly acquired Tartan Mine Project near Flin Flon, Manitoba, highlighting a standout intercept of 7.5 grams per tonne (g/t) gold over 18.9 metres along the Western Flank of the Main Zone, following its January 5, 2026 acquisition of Tartan via the purchase of Canadian Gold Corp. The company said these results, together with prior late‑2025 intercepts of up to 12.3 g/t gold over 14.0 metres, have extended gold mineralization about 30 metres west over an 80‑metre vertical range and expanded the Main Zone’s strike length at depth, supporting the view that Tartan is a rare high‑grade Canadian gold project with strong potential to increase ounces per vertical metre and support a potential mine restart at lower costs. McEwen is budgeting $3 million for 2026 exploration at Tartan, with additional high‑priority targets identified on the Eastern Flank, at depth in the Main Zone, in the South Zone and regionally along the Tartan Lake Shear Zone, underscoring Tartan’s role as a prospective key growth driver as the company works toward its long‑term production and value‑creation goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
McEwen Mining completes business combination with Canadian Gold
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 6, 2026, McEwen Inc. announced the completion of its previously agreed business combination with Canadian Gold Corp., following Canadian Gold shareholders’ approval on December 5, 2025 and a final order from the British Columbia Supreme Court on December 10, 2025. The deal, effective January 5, 2026, exchanges each Canadian Gold share for 0.0225 McEwen shares, and will result in Canadian Gold being delisted from the TSX Venture Exchange as of market close on January 7, 2026 and seeking to cease reporting issuer status, while former Canadian Gold shareholders must follow set procedures to exchange their certificates for McEwen shares. To comply with New York Stock Exchange requirements, McEwen and Canadian Gold amended their arrangement so that all Canadian Gold shares held by Chairman and Chief Owner Rob McEwen are exchanged for subscription receipts that convert into McEwen shares only upon future shareholder approval, or are settled in cash if such approval is not obtained, a change that applies solely to him and leaves other shareholders’ consideration unchanged, tightening corporate governance around insider participation in the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
McEwen Mining advances El Gallo project with permit extension
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 16, 2025, McEwen announced that the Mexican government had granted an extension of the Environmental Impact Assessment for its El Gallo Mine, a key permit that enables the company to advance Phase 1 mill construction, targeted to start in mid-2026, with a first gold pour anticipated in mid-2027. Phase 1 is expected to produce about 20,000 gold-equivalent ounces annually by reprocessing material from the historical leach pad, with remaining capital costs estimated at $25 million and limited additional development or exploration spending, while early work on Phase 2 aims to exploit in-situ silver deposits that could significantly extend El Gallo’s operating life beyond the initial 10-year plan and unlock value from substantial historical silver resources once updated in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (MUX) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McEwen Mining stock, see the MUX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026