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McEwen Mining Inc (MUX)
:MUX

McEwen Mining (MUX) AI Stock Analysis

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McEwen Mining

(NYSE:MUX)

51Neutral
McEwen Mining's overall score is influenced by ongoing financial challenges, reflected in negative profitability metrics and valuation concerns. However, improvements in cash flow and strategic developments, particularly in the Los Azules project, offer potential growth avenues. Technical analysis shows balanced momentum with some resistance, suggesting caution but also opportunity for investors considering the company's strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The company managed to increase its gross profit significantly, comparing favorably with the previous year.
Market Position
McEwen Mining is well-positioned to capitalize on record-high gold prices and maintain strong cash flow from operations.
Negative Factors
Production Issues
The firm produced only 30,150 GEOs at the Fox Complex, which came in somewhat below annual guidance following a stope failure.
Revenue Decrease
The notable decrease in revenue was primarily based on lower production from Gold Bar and the Fox Complex.

McEwen Mining (MUX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

McEwen Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcEwen Mining Inc. (MUX) is a diversified gold and silver producer engaged in the exploration, development, and production of precious metals in the Americas. The company operates through multiple segments including the production of gold and silver, as well as the exploration and development of copper resources. McEwen Mining's principal assets include the El Gallo Project in Mexico, the San José Mine in Argentina, the Black Fox Mine in Canada, and the Los Azules copper project in Argentina. The company's mission is to increase its asset base, production, and shareholder value through strategic acquisitions and efficient operation of its mining assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcEwen Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold and silver produced from its mining operations. The company operates mines in several countries, extracting these precious metals and selling them on the open market. The revenue streams from these operations are dependent on the production volume and market prices of gold and silver. Additionally, McEwen Mining is involved in the exploration and development of copper resources, which could contribute to future revenue streams. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as operational efficiency, commodity prices, and geopolitical conditions affecting its mining locations. Strategic partnerships, such as joint ventures, and acquisitions also play a role in enhancing its revenue-generating capabilities.

McEwen Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
McEwen Mining's financial performance shows mixed signals. The income statement highlights revenue challenges and negative margins, while the balance sheet reveals low leverage and some stability. Cash flow improvements are notable but free cash flow remains negative, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
McEwen Mining has shown inconsistent revenue growth, with total revenue increasing from the previous year but declining over a longer period. The gross profit margin improved but remains low, and the company has negative net and EBIT margins, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. While EBITDA is positive, it indicates limited operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. However, equity ratio improvements suggest better asset utilization, despite historical fluctuations. The return on equity remains negative, reflecting profitability struggles, though the solid equity base provides some financial stability.
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
Operating cash flow has turned positive, a notable improvement, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating ongoing cash outflows despite reduced capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting better cash generation from operations, though free cash flow needs further improvement for financial health.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
174.48M166.23M110.42M136.54M104.79M
Gross Profit
30.93M-35.64M-544.00K-6.48M-26.95M
EBIT
-50.57M-162.06M-95.44M-64.28M-153.17M
EBITDA
18.25M-71.41M-48.72M-30.41M-121.18M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-43.69M55.30M-86.09M-56.88M-152.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
15.31M24.76M40.91M56.09M20.84M
Total Assets
664.62M657.24M528.72M525.34M499.94M
Total Debt
788.00K41.47M66.39M53.28M53.66M
Net Debt
-12.90M18.45M26.60M-1.00M32.81M
Total Liabilities
169.65M154.82M172.44M135.40M134.61M
Stockholders Equity
494.98M502.42M322.81M375.16M365.33M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-13.64M-65.74M-82.80M-55.11M-41.25M
Operating Cash Flow
29.45M-39.64M-58.61M-20.22M-27.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-58.05M-99.64M-23.90M-24.56M-11.77M
Financing Cash Flow
19.20M172.18M65.45M80.98M17.58M

McEwen Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.29
Price Trends
50DMA
7.56
Negative
100DMA
7.93
Negative
200DMA
8.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
47.51
Neutral
STOCH
24.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MUX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.57, below the 50-day MA of 7.56, and below the 200-day MA of 8.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MUX.

McEwen Mining Risk Analysis

McEwen Mining disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. McEwen Mining reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

McEwen Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HMHMY
76
Outperform
$8.27B13.8725.19%0.81%20.35%20.44%
TSNGD
73
Outperform
$3.37B24.2811.14%18.32%
CDCDE
70
Outperform
$3.57B38.785.49%27.30%
TSEDR
54
Neutral
$1.23B-7.23%6.18%-515.57%
MUMUX
51
Neutral
$359.74M3.61-8.76%4.96%-182.95%
TSAG
51
Neutral
$3.75B-7.52%0.35%-0.64%28.24%
47
Neutral
$2.43B-2.83-21.76%3.74%4.16%-28.82%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MUX
McEwen Mining
7.29
-4.38
-37.53%
CDE
Coeur Mining
5.58
0.86
18.22%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining
14.69
5.93
67.69%
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
8.37
-2.41
-22.33%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
4.56
2.08
83.87%
TSE:EDR
Endeavour Silver
5.22
1.26
31.82%

McEwen Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.19% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, such as increased selling prices, successful exploration, and significant value growth at Los Azules, contrasted by challenges like net losses due to high expenditures, increased debt, and permitting delays.
Highlights
Increased Selling Price and EBITDA
Despite a 12% decrease in production, the selling price of output increased by 24%, leading to an adjusted EBITDA that was 3.8 times higher than the previous year, reaching $29.2 million.
Significant Value Increase of Los Azules
The value of Los Azules increased from $175 million to an implied value of $984 million, with McEwen Mining holding a 46% interest, equating to $457 million in value.
Exploration Success at Fox Complex
Exploration at the Fox Complex increased indicated and inferred resources to over 2 million ounces, allowing plans to double production by 2027.
Positive Developments at Los Azules
Los Azules achieved safety excellence with 1.5 million hours without lost time incidents and received an environmental impact statement for future mine construction.
Dividend from San Jose Mine
The San Jose Mine, operated by Hochschild Mining, is expected to pay a dividend shortly, a positive change after years without dividends.
Strong Cash Position
McEwen Mining increased its cash position to approximately $62 million, supporting increased production efforts.
Lowlights
Net Loss Due to Los Azules Expenditures
A net loss of $43.7 million was posted due to Los Azules-related expenditures of $47 million, despite positive operating income from the mines.
Increased Debt Levels
Debt increased from $40 million to $130 million through a capped call convertible debenture, which raises concerns about financial leverage.
Challenges with Indigenous Claims
Received a claim from an indigenous group regarding a property in Timmins, which the company believes is without merit.
Permitting Delays in Canada and Mexico
Delays in permitting at the Stock and Grey Fox projects in Canada and uncertainty in Mexico affect production timelines.
Company Guidance
In the McEwen Mining Fourth Quarter and Year End 2024 conference call, the company reported a 12% decrease in consolidated production to 135,884 gold equivalent ounces compared to 2023, but benefited from a 24% increase in the selling price of their production. This led to an adjusted EBITDA that was 3.8 times higher than the previous year, reaching $29.2 million or $0.57 per share. However, the company posted a net loss of $43.7 million due to significant investments in the Los Azules project and exploration expenditures, despite their mines being profitable. The Los Azules project, valued at $984 million based on recent financing, is anticipated to move towards a feasibility study completion by June 2025, potentially leading to an IPO. The Fox Complex's exploration efforts increased resources, allowing for a planned production increase to 60,000 ounces by 2027, with potential further expansion. The company also increased its debt to $130 million via a capped call convertible debenture, achieving a 100% premium over market price, and currently holds approximately $62 million in cash.

McEwen Mining Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
McEwen Mining Amends Credit Agreement and Plans Note Offering
Neutral
Feb 6, 2025

On January 31, 2025, McEwen Mining Inc. amended its credit agreement, extending its maturity date to August 31, 2028, and allowing the issuance of up to $110 million in unsecured convertible senior notes due 2030. The company plans to use the proceeds from this offering to cover capped call transactions, repay $20 million of its existing credit agreement, and for general corporate purposes. Additionally, McEwen Mining faces potential impacts from recently announced tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, which could increase operational costs and affect competitiveness.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
McEwen Mining Aligns 2024 Production with Guidance
Neutral
Feb 3, 2025

On January 28, 2025, McEwen Mining reported its 2024 production results, achieving 135,900 Gold Equivalent Ounces (GEOs), which aligns with their guidance. For 2025, the company expects production between 120,000 and 140,000 GEOs, with operations at the Gold Bar and Fox Complex mines undergoing strategic developments and transitions. These plans are anticipated to impact production timing and costs, with specific investments like ramp development at Fox and waste stripping at Gold Bar aimed at enhancing future productivity.

Business Operations and Strategy
McEwen Mining Highlights Copper Strategy at Conference
Positive
Jan 15, 2025

On January 16, 2025, McEwen Mining Inc. presented at the Futures Minerals Conference, sharing updates on its operations, assets, and strategic plans. This presentation underscored the company’s alignment with shareholder interests and highlighted its focus on leveraging copper’s market potential amidst a looming supply deficit, which could impact its industry position and stakeholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.