First Majestic Silver (TSE:AG)
TSX:AG

First Majestic Silver (AG) AI Stock Analysis

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First Majestic Silver

(TSX:AG)

51Neutral
First Majestic Silver's stock score is 51, reflecting a challenging financial performance with negative net margins and leverage issues. While technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, the company has promising strategic plans and significant achievements in recent quarters. The negative P/E ratio and low dividend yield suggest valuation concerns, but strong future guidance provides some optimism.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
Ongoing operational improvements and the acquisition of Gatos Silver, Inc. are expected to have a significant positive impact throughout 2025.
Operational Improvements
Santa Elena produced a new annual record of 10.3M silver equivalent ounces, with increased recovery rates and throughput from optimization efforts.
Renewable Energy
The Las Truchas hydroelectric plant is now operating at full capacity, providing renewable energy to the San Dimas mine at a lower cost.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditures
Total capital expenditures are expected to increase by 34%, primarily due to investments related to Los Gatos.
Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $101.9M for 2024, mainly due to a 20% drop in payable Silver Equivalent Ounces sold.
Production Decline
The company produced 21.7M silver equivalent ounces, representing a 14% decrease YoY, driven by a 21% YoY decrease in gold ounces and an 18% decrease in silver production.

First Majestic Silver (AG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

First Majestic Silver Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties with a focus on silver and gold production in North America. It holds 100% interests in the San Dimas Silver/Gold Mine covering an area of 71,868 hectares located in Durango and Sinaloa states; the Santa Elena Silver/Gold Mine covering an area of 102,244 hectares located in Sonora; Jerritt Canyon gold mine that covers an area of approximately of 30,821 hectares located in Elko County, Nevada; and the La Encantada Silver Mine covering an area of 4,076 hectares situated in Coahuila, as well as surface land ownership of 1,343 hectares. The company also holds 100% interests in the La Parrilla Silver Mine that covers an area of 69,478 hectares located in Durango; the Del Toro Silver Mine consisting of 3,815 hectares of mining concessions and 219 hectares of surface rights located in Zacatecas; the San Martin Silver Mine includes 33 mining concessions covering an area of 12,795 hectares located in Jalisco; and the La Guitarra Silver Mine that covers an area of 39,714 hectares located in Mexico. In addition, it holds interest in the Springpole project, a gold and silver project covering an area of approximately 41,913 hectares in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Majestic Silver makes money through the extraction and sale of precious metals, primarily silver and gold, from its mining operations in Mexico. The company's revenue is generated by selling the silver and gold it mines to various customers, including smelters, refiners, and other buyers in the precious metals market. The company's earnings are influenced by factors like global silver and gold prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies at its mines. Additionally, First Majestic may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to optimize its mining operations and expand its resource base, further contributing to its revenue streams.

First Majestic Silver Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The financial performance of First Majestic Silver reflects ongoing challenges. Despite an improved gross profit margin and positive EBITDA, the company continues to face net losses and revenue declines, indicating operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet shows moderate stability with low leverage and a strong equity base, but cash flow remains negative, reflecting difficulties in cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reflects significant challenges. Gross profit margin improved to 11.66% in TTM, showing a recovery from the prior year's 4.45%. However, the net profit margin remains negative at -14.81% due to ongoing net losses. Revenue has decreased by 8.39% from the previous year, highlighting a declining trend. EBIT margin is negative, indicating operational inefficiencies, although EBITDA margin shows positive traction at 16.82%.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.17, indicating low leverage, which is a positive aspect. Return on Equity is negative due to net losses, but the equity ratio is healthy at 69.64%, suggesting a strong asset base funded by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow performance is mixed. Free cash flow improved from negative $90.37 million to negative $25.80 million, showing improvement but still negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to losses, while free cash flow to net income ratio also remains negative, reflecting challenges in cash generation relative to net losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
527.97M576.38M626.85M587.23M366.68M368.83M
Gross Profit
61.56M25.64M16.75M101.42M105.05M67.86M
EBIT
-26.99M-178.78M-50.54M49.20M40.36M28.38M
EBITDA
88.81M-54.50M88.95M165.56M105.02M40.22M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-78.18M-135.11M-114.28M-4.92M23.09M-40.47M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.32M187.96M185.97M264.41M274.90M175.51M
Total Assets
259.91M1.98B2.11B2.12B1.24B1.03B
Total Debt
4.63M256.51M247.94M221.09M173.28M177.75M
Net Debt
-3.68M130.93M96.51M-16.83M-65.30M8.74M
Total Liabilities
55.11M618.24M698.71M714.02M387.28M365.60M
Stockholders Equity
204.80M1.36B1.41B1.41B850.24M662.32M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-25.80M-90.37M-198.69M-120.24M-34.78M21.42M
Operating Cash Flow
90.24M55.61M18.99M68.72M79.71M140.03M
Investing Cash Flow
-121.31M-154.00M-213.80M-180.75M-127.11M-116.93M
Financing Cash Flow
43.65M64.65M113.89M111.82M116.57M87.68M

First Majestic Silver Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.92
Price Trends
50DMA
8.65
Negative
100DMA
8.58
Negative
200DMA
8.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Positive
RSI
56.43
Neutral
STOCH
24.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.53, below the 50-day MA of 8.65, and below the 200-day MA of 8.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AG.

First Majestic Silver Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAG
51
Neutral
$3.83B-7.52%0.34%-0.64%28.24%
47
Neutral
$2.36B-3.00-21.73%3.58%3.97%-28.71%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
7.92
-2.85
-26.44%
EXK
Endeavour Silver
3.15
0.29
10.14%
FSM
Fortuna Silver Mines
5.37
0.69
14.74%
MAG
MAG Silver
13.37
1.31
10.86%
SVM
Silvercorp Metals
3.32
-0.48
-12.63%
BCEKF
Bear Creek Mining
0.12
-0.16
-57.14%

First Majestic Silver Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 3.92% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as record cash flow, strong production numbers, and successful strategic acquisitions. However, challenges like stock performance pressure, currency fluctuation impacts, and exploration delays were noted. The positive aspects, including strong financial performance and strategic plans for 2025, outweigh the lowlights.
Highlights
Record Cash Flow in Q4
First Majestic Silver reported record cash flow of $68 million in Q4, with significant cash flow improvements and an all-time low in reportable loss and incidents.
Santa Elena Production Milestone
Santa Elena achieved record production, breaking through 10 million ounces of production for the first time ever.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the year with a strong cash balance of $308 million and $364 million in liquidity.
Exploration and Production Guidance
The company plans a large exploration program for 2025, aiming for 270,000 meters of drilling. Production guidance for 2025 is set at 29 million silver equivalent ounces.
Successful Gatos Acquisition
The acquisition of Gatos is expected to significantly contribute to future production and synergies are being identified to lower costs.
Lowlights
Pressure on Stock Performance
Pressure on First Majestic's stock performance due to liquidity events and shareholder position adjustments following the Gatos acquisition.
Fluctuating Mexican Peso Impact
Currency fluctuations, particularly the Mexican peso, have led to non-cash foreign exchange losses affecting bottom-line earnings.
Exploration Program Delays
The exploration program in 2024 was below target due to delays in permit approvals and contractor performance issues.
Company Guidance
During the First Majestic Silver 2024 Production and Results Financial Results and 2025 Guidance Conference Call, CEO Keith Neumeyer highlighted the company's accomplishments and future projections. In 2024, the company achieved a record cash flow of $68 million and met its guidance with 21.7 million ounces of silver equivalent production at an all-in sustaining cost of $21.11. Notably, the Santa Elena mine hit a record production of over 10 million ounces. The year ended with a robust cash balance of $308 million and total liquidity of $364 million. For 2025, First Majestic Silver is guiding a production midpoint of 29 million silver equivalent ounces, with 53% in silver, 30% in gold, and the remainder in lead and zinc. The company plans a significant exploration program, aiming to drill 270,000 meters, and is focusing on integrating the Gatos acquisition, which increased the workforce from 4,100 to 5,300 employees. A share buyback program is ongoing, and the company aims to maintain strong financial health with plans to increase its treasury.

First Majestic Silver Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Silver Achieves Record Mineral Reserves and Resources in 2024
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced significant increases in its 2024 Mineral Reserve and Mineral Resource estimates, marking a record milestone for the company. The strategic acquisition of Gatos Silver and a successful exploration program led to a 45% increase in Proven and Probable Reserves and a 25% increase in Measured and Indicated Resources. These developments enhance the company’s operational capacity and strengthen its position in the silver and gold mining industry.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Silver Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has appointed Daniel Muñiz Quintanilla to its Board of Directors, bringing his extensive experience in international law, mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, and finance in the mining and infrastructure industries. This strategic move is expected to enhance First Majestic’s operations and relationships in Mexico, supporting its vision of becoming the leading primary silver company globally.

Business Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Expands Mineralization at Navidad Discovery
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

First Majestic Silver has significantly expanded the high-grade gold and silver mineralization at the Navidad discovery within its Santa Elena Mine in Sonora, Mexico. Recent drilling results have shown substantial growth in the mineralization footprint, with metallurgical testing confirming excellent recovery rates. This advancement enhances the potential for increasing the mineral resource and reserve base at Santa Elena and aligns with First Majestic’s strategic goals to optimize its operations and resource quality.

Business Operations and Strategy
First Majestic Reports Positive Exploration Results at San Dimas Mine
Positive
Jan 23, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has announced successful results from its 2024 exploration program at the San Dimas mine, revealing significant silver and gold mineralization across several veins. These results have expanded and upgraded mineral resources, de-risking future mining operations planned for 2025 and 2026, thereby enhancing the company’s resource base and operational stability.

First Majestic Completes Acquisition of Gatos Silver, Enhancing Silver Production Portfolio
Jan 16, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has successfully completed its acquisition of Gatos Silver, Inc., which will now operate as a wholly-owned subsidiary. This acquisition includes the integration of the Cerro Los Gatos mining district, known for its robust production and exploration potential, into First Majestic’s portfolio. The transaction is expected to enhance First Majestic’s operations in Mexico, positioning it as a leading silver producer. The Gatos Silver shares will cease trading on the NYSE and TSX, and stockholders will receive First Majestic shares as part of the merger consideration.

First Majestic Secures Shareholder Approval for Gatos Silver Acquisition
Jan 14, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. has received shareholder approval for its acquisition of Gatos Silver, Inc., with 98.44% of votes in favor of issuing up to 190 million common shares to Gatos Silver shareholders. The merger, approved by Gatos Silver stakeholders with 71.3% voting in favor, will be finalized on January 16, 2025, subject to customary closing conditions. This acquisition strengthens First Majestic’s position in the mining industry, potentially expanding its market presence and operational capabilities.

First Majestic Silver Corp. Marks Increased Production and Record Safety Performance in Q4 2024
Jan 8, 2025

First Majestic Silver Corp. announced a total production of 5.7 million silver equivalent ounces in Q4 2024, with the full-year production reaching 21.7 million AgEq ounces, aligning with their revised guidance. The company experienced a 4% increase in quarterly production driven by a 20% rise in consolidated silver output. Notably, the La Encantada mine achieved its highest quarterly production since Q2 2023, contributing to these results. Additionally, First Majestic’s safety performance set a new benchmark, with significant improvements in the Total Reportable Incident Frequency Rate and the Lost Time Incident Frequency Rate, establishing an all-time record and peer-leading safety performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.