Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. (MLYS)
NASDAQ:MLYS
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Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. (MLYS) AI Stock Analysis

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MLYS

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc.

(NASDAQ:MLYS)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
Mineralys Therapeutics shows promise with positive clinical trial results and a strong cash position, but faces challenges with continuous losses and negative cash flows. Technical analysis suggests short-term momentum, while valuation remains a concern due to lack of revenue. The earnings call highlighted upcoming milestones that could enhance future prospects.
Positive Factors
Strong Clinical Progress
Successful enrollment and progress in pivotal trials indicate robust R&D capabilities and potential for future product approvals, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Robust Financial Position
A strong cash position with no debt provides financial stability, enabling continued investment in R&D and strategic initiatives without immediate external financing.
Positive Market Potential for Lorundrostat
Lorundrostat's promising trial results suggest strong market potential, positioning it as a competitive therapy in the hypertension market, which could drive future revenue.
Negative Factors
Consistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses highlight the challenge of achieving profitability, necessitating successful product commercialization to ensure long-term financial sustainability.
Increased R&D Expenses
Rising R&D costs, while essential for development, strain financial resources and emphasize the need for efficient management to balance innovation with fiscal responsibility.
Potential Challenges in Clinical Outcomes
Challenges in clinical trial outcomes could delay product approvals, affecting the timeline for revenue generation and market entry, impacting strategic planning.

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. (MLYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMineralys Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops therapies for the treatment of hypertension and associated cardiovascular diseases. It clinical-stage product candidate is lorundrostat, a proprietary, orally administered, highly selective aldosterone synthase inhibitor for the treatment of patients with uncontrolled or resistant hypertension. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyMineralys Therapeutics, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceutical products. The company aims to secure revenue through successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals, which can lead to product sales and potential licensing agreements. Mineralys may also engage in strategic partnerships or collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, which can provide additional funding and revenue-sharing opportunities. These partnerships could involve co-development, co-marketing, or distribution agreements that help expand the reach and financial success of its therapies. Additionally, the company may receive milestone payments and royalties from licensing its technologies or products to third parties.

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including successful clinical trial outcomes and a strong financial position, with sufficient funds to support operations into 2028. The company is progressing well towards NDA submission. However, there were concerns regarding data imputation and increased G&A expenses. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Clinical Trial Outcomes
Lorundrostat demonstrated a clinically meaningful and sustained reduction in systolic blood pressure in both Launch-HTN and Advance-HTN pivotal trials, with consistent, statistically significant reductions across diverse patient populations, including subgroups like African-Americans and women.
Strong Financial Position
Mineralys ended the quarter with $593.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, sufficient to fund planned clinical trials and regulatory activities into 2028.
Reduction in Net Loss
Net loss decreased to $36.9 million for the quarter, compared to $56.3 million in the same quarter last year, primarily due to a decrease in R&D expenses.
Promising Exploratory Trials
The Explore-CKD trial showed a clinically meaningful reduction in systolic BP and was well tolerated, with 77% of surveyed healthcare professionals indicating they would consider prescribing lorundrostat to CKD patients with uncontrolled hypertension.
Preparation for NDA Submission
Mineralys received pre-NDA feedback from the FDA with no surprises and is moving ahead with its NDA filing for lorundrostat, expected either late in the current quarter or in the first quarter of 2026.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Data Imputation
Questions were raised regarding data imputation and missing data analysis in clinical trials, which may impact the interpretation of lorundrostat's efficacy.
Increased G&A Expenses
General and administrative expenses increased to $9.7 million for the quarter, a rise from $6.1 million in the same quarter last year, primarily due to higher compensation expenses and professional fees.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Mineralys Therapeutics made significant progress with lorundrostat, a promising treatment for uncontrolled and resistant hypertension. The company received pre-NDA feedback from the FDA, with no surprises, and plans to submit the NDA either late in 2025 or in the first quarter of 2026. Clinical trial data, including from the Launch-HTN and Advance-HTN pivotal trials, demonstrated consistent, statistically significant, and clinically meaningful reductions in systolic blood pressure, particularly in diverse patient populations. The Launch-HTN trial included nearly 1/3 black or African-American participants, half were women, and the majority were overweight or obese, with over half having resistant hypertension. Lorundrostat showed a sustained effect with once-daily dosing, achieving significant systolic BP reductions, measured at 24 hours post-dose. Financially, Mineralys reported a net loss of $36.9 million for the quarter, with cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaling $593.6 million as of September 30, 2025, sufficient to fund operations into 2028.

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mineralys Therapeutics faces financial challenges typical of early-stage biotech firms, with consistent net losses and negative cash flows due to high R&D costs and no revenue. However, a strong cash position with no debt provides some financial stability.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. has consistently reported zero revenue over multiple years, indicating a lack of product commercialization or monetization strategy. The net losses have widened significantly, with the latest EBIT and net income showing substantial negative figures. This suggests high operating costs not offset by income, posing sustainability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company shows a strong cash position with no debt, leading to a negative net debt, which is favorable. However, the consistent negative stockholders' equity until 2022 indicates a history of liabilities exceeding assets. In 2024, equity improved, reflecting some balance sheet recovery but with ongoing risks from potential liabilities.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Operating cash flows are consistently negative, suggesting a dependency on external financing for operations. There is a notable improvement in cash flows from financing activities, helping maintain liquidity. However, the negative free cash flow highlights operational inefficiencies and the need for sustainable cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-46.00K-43.00K0.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-179.83M-192.36M-84.66M-31.48M-19.38M-3.31M
Net Income-171.36M-177.81M-71.90M-29.80M-19.41M-3.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets599.95M205.90M251.64M114.44M11.13M1.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments217.60M198.19M236.57M110.11M10.61M1.41M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.004.50M
Total Liabilities23.52M14.65M10.48M166.71M34.05M5.08M
Stockholders Equity576.43M191.26M241.15M-52.27M-22.93M-3.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-171.37M-166.41M-81.17M-29.22M-14.56M-2.46M
Operating Cash Flow-171.37M-166.31M-81.17M-29.22M-14.56M-2.46M
Investing Cash Flow-202.69M114.96M-160.47M-21.76M0.000.00
Financing Cash Flow494.39M116.14M203.25M128.02M23.81M3.83M

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.85
Price Trends
50DMA
40.17
Positive
100DMA
27.86
Positive
200DMA
20.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.25
Negative
RSI
49.66
Neutral
STOCH
72.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLYS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.57, above the 50-day MA of 40.17, and above the 200-day MA of 20.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MLYS.

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Risk Analysis

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$4.35B-18.78-39.94%
53
Neutral
$3.23B-42.14%9.60%
53
Neutral
$4.42B-29.23%-126.16%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$2.53B66.7214.10%42.11%
48
Neutral
$3.07B-45.14%-38.30%
33
Underperform
$3.71B-60.45%117.83%-18.91%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLYS
Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc.
40.85
29.45
258.33%
VKTX
Viking Therapeutics
39.11
-10.00
-20.36%
XENE
Xenon
40.76
2.45
6.40%
APLS
Apellis Pharmaceuticals
20.33
-5.85
-22.35%
NAMS
NewAmsterdam Pharma Company
38.35
13.69
55.52%
CNTA
Centessa Pharmaceuticals
27.61
11.51
71.49%

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. Corporate Events

Product-Related Announcements
Mineralys Therapeutics Unveils Promising Trial Results for Lorundrostat
Positive
Mar 31, 2025

On March 29, 2025, Mineralys Therapeutics announced detailed results from the Advance-HTN pivotal trial of lorundrostat for uncontrolled and resistant hypertension. The trial demonstrated significant blood pressure reductions and a favorable safety profile, underscoring lorundrostat’s potential as a best-in-class treatment for high-risk patients. The results were presented at the American College of Cardiology’s Annual Scientific Session & Expo, highlighting lorundrostat’s clinical utility across diverse care settings and its potential impact on hypertension care.

Product-Related Announcements
Mineralys Therapeutics Reports Positive Phase 3 Trial Results
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Mineralys Therapeutics announced positive results from its pivotal Launch-HTN Phase 3 and Advance-HTN Phase 2 trials for lorundrostat, a treatment for uncontrolled or resistant hypertension. Both trials met their primary efficacy endpoints, showing statistically significant reductions in systolic blood pressure and a favorable safety profile, indicating potential for regulatory approval and commercial value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2025