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Mediwound (MDWD)
NASDAQ:MDWD

Mediwound (MDWD) AI Stock Analysis

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MDWD

Mediwound

(NASDAQ:MDWD)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▼(-7.41% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (shrinking/volatile revenue, large losses, and sustained negative free cash flow) and a technically weak price trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call provides a partial offset via reaffirmed multiyear guidance, manufacturing expansion and trial progress, but execution, funding, and regulatory timing risks remain meaningful; valuation is also constrained by ongoing losses and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Manufacturing scale-up
A sixfold increase in NexoBrid production capacity materially strengthens the company's ability to supply commercial demand, support national stockpiling and secure larger institutional contracts. Once regulatory release occurs, higher throughput can lower unit costs, improve gross margins and enable sustainable volume-driven revenue growth over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flow
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow demonstrates the business requires external funding to sustain operations. Ongoing cash burn forces repeated financing or dilution, constrains strategic optionality and elevates solvency risk if anticipated contract or grant receipts are delayed, impairing long-term execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manufacturing scale-up
A sixfold increase in NexoBrid production capacity materially strengthens the company's ability to supply commercial demand, support national stockpiling and secure larger institutional contracts. Once regulatory release occurs, higher throughput can lower unit costs, improve gross margins and enable sustainable volume-driven revenue growth over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

Mediwound (MDWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mediwound Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MediWound Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes novel and bio-therapeutic solutions for tissue repair and regeneration. It markets NexoBrid, a biopharmaceutical product for the removal of eschar, a dead or d...
How the Company Makes Money
MediWound makes money primarily by commercializing its approved product NexoBrid and by partnering with third parties for distribution and market access. Revenue is generated from product sales (either direct sales where MediWound commercializes i...

Mediwound Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflects meaningful operational and strategic progress — a sixfold manufacturing capacity expansion, active Phase III enrollment for EscharEx, expanded indication work (DFU and pressure ulcers), numerous industry collaborations, substantive real-world data for NexoBrid, and a strengthened cash position following a $30M financing — all of which support a multiyear growth thesis. Offsetting these positives are near-term financial challenges: steep Q4 revenue decline (≈-67%), a full-year revenue drop (≈-16%), higher R&D spend and widening operating and EBITDA losses, reliance on government awards and pending regulatory approvals for the new facility, and elevated cash burn. Overall, operational momentum is evident but financial performance and timing risks temper the outlook.
Positive Updates
Phase III VALUE Trial Progress
Enrollment ongoing in global Phase III VALUE study targeting 216 patients across ~40 U.S. and European sites; prespecified interim assessment and enrollment completion expected by year-end 2026, preserving ~90% statistical power.
Negative Updates
Sharp Q4 Revenue Decline
Q4 2025 revenue of $1.9M versus $5.8M in Q4 2024 (≈-67%), primarily driven by lower development services revenue attributable to the U.S. government shutdown which delayed budget approvals and new contracts.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Phase III VALUE Trial Progress
Enrollment ongoing in global Phase III VALUE study targeting 216 patients across ~40 U.S. and European sites; prespecified interim assessment and enrollment completion expected by year-end 2026, preserving ~90% statistical power.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
MediWound reaffirmed multiyear revenue guidance of $24–$26M for 2026, $32–$35M for 2027 and $50–$55M for 2028 (the 2028 range includes potential initial EscharEx contribution), noting the guidance assumes continued BARDA and U.S. Department of War support and expects BARDA‑related revenue to begin in Q2 2026 with stronger second‑half revenue as the expanded manufacturing site (sixfold capacity increase) comes online pending regulatory clearances expected in 2026. On the clinical side, the VALUE Phase III targets 216 patients across ~40 U.S./EU sites with a prespecified interim sample‑size assessment after ~65% of patients complete treatment to preserve ~90% statistical power (if needed, a +20–40 patient increase would add a few months and a few million dollars; a +100 patient increase could add ≥6 months and roughly $10M). Balance‑sheet and runway metrics cited include $53.6M cash/cash equivalents/deposits at 12/31/2025, $21.4M cash used in 2025 operations, and financing proceeds of $30.0M (registered direct offering) plus $3.5M from Series A warrant exercises.

Mediwound Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue has been volatile and declined in 2025, profitability is deeply negative with large losses relative to sales, and both operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative. Balance-sheet leverage appears manageable and equity has improved versus 2021, but ongoing losses and cash burn remain the dominant risk.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.96M20.22M18.69M26.50M23.76M
Gross Profit2.13M1.78M2.95M12.32M8.14M
EBITDA-23.57M-28.12M-4.89M-18.09M-12.12M
Net Income-23.88M-30.22M-6.72M-19.60M-13.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.25M73.50M66.46M50.02M19.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.14M43.16M41.54M33.90M11.05M
Total Debt8.77M6.93M6.35M846.00K1.39M
Total Liabilities34.33M42.34M34.86M39.10M24.33M
Stockholders Equity43.63M31.15M31.59M10.91M-4.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.04M-19.90M-16.93M-12.44M-9.40M
Operating Cash Flow-14.53M-13.62M-10.46M-11.88M-8.92M
Investing Cash Flow-19.54M-8.40M-34.32M-481.00K3.55M
Financing Cash Flow29.62M19.39M22.92M35.76M-1.05M

Mediwound Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.20
Price Trends
50DMA
17.26
Negative
100DMA
17.72
Negative
200DMA
18.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
44.23
Neutral
STOCH
40.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.72, below the 50-day MA of 17.26, and below the 200-day MA of 18.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MDWD.

Mediwound Risk Analysis

Mediwound disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mediwound reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mediwound Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$227.56M-2.71-46.46%72.35%
55
Neutral
$679.01M-7.71-32.72%-40.26%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$396.05M-6.05-130.99%24.05%-169.73%
47
Neutral
$208.10M-8.79-65.79%6.15%34.52%
43
Neutral
$18.66M-2.09389.21%-234.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDWD
Mediwound
16.81
0.81
5.06%
LCTX
Lineage Therap
1.57
1.15
276.50%
ELDN
Eledon Pharmaceuticals
3.07
-0.09
-2.85%
DSGN
Design Therapeutics
11.23
7.71
219.03%
TVGN
Tevogen Bio Holdings
4.46
-45.54
-91.08%

Mediwound Corporate Events

MediWound Sets May 6, 2026 Shareholder Meeting to Vote on Board, Auditor and CEO Bonus
Mar 30, 2026
On March 30, 2026, MediWound filed a Form 6-K announcing it had published proxy materials and notice for its 2026 annual general meeting of shareholders, to be held on May 6, 2026 in New York. The meeting will cover the re-election of five directo...
MediWound Posts 2025 Loss but Strengthens Cash and Advances EscharEx, NexoBrid Capacity
Mar 5, 2026
On March 5, 2026, MediWound reported fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results, highlighting $17 million in 2025 revenue, a net loss of $23.9 million, and a year‑end cash balance of $53.6 million strengthened by a $30 million dir...
MediWound Shareholders Approve Expansion of 2024 Equity Incentive Pool
Feb 19, 2026
On February 19, 2026, MediWound Ltd. held an extraordinary general meeting in Israel at which shareholders representing about 30% of the company’s 12.8 million outstanding ordinary shares as of the January 16, 2026 record date were present, ...
MediWound Calls February 19, 2026 Extraordinary Meeting to Expand 2024 Share Incentive Plan
Jan 15, 2026
On January 15, 2026, MediWound Ltd. filed materials for an extraordinary general meeting of shareholders scheduled for February 19, 2026 in New York, at which investors will be asked to approve an increase of 300,000 ordinary shares reserved for i...
MediWound Lays Out Growth Path With EscharEx Progress, NexoBrid Scale-Up and Strong Cash Position
Jan 12, 2026
On January 12, 2026, MediWound issued a corporate and financial update ahead of the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, detailing clinical, operational and financial milestones achieved through 2025 and its outlook for the coming years. The company...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026