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Mediwound (MDWD)
NASDAQ:MDWD

Mediwound (MDWD) AI Stock Analysis

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MDWD

Mediwound

(NASDAQ:MDWD)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (shrinking/volatile revenue, large losses, and sustained negative free cash flow) and a technically weak price trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). The earnings call provides a partial offset via reaffirmed multiyear guidance, manufacturing expansion and trial progress, but execution, funding, and regulatory timing risks remain meaningful; valuation is also constrained by ongoing losses and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Manufacturing Capacity Expansion
A sixfold increase in NexoBrid production capacity materially reduces supply constraints and supports larger commercial rolls and government stockpiling. Durable manufacturing scale improves the company's ability to meet multi-year demand and supports margin gains as utilization rises.
Late‑stage Clinical Progress (EscharEx)
Active enrollment in a global Phase III VALUE trial with a prespecified interim assessment de‑risks EscharEx development. A successful pivotal outcome would create a durable new product revenue stream and enable expansion into chronic wound indications over the next several years.
Strengthened Cash Position & Financing
A year‑end cash balance (~$53.6M) plus a $30M direct offering meaningfully extends runway to fund Phase III enrollment, commercial scale‑up and manufacturing validation. The stronger liquidity profile reduces near‑term funding pressure for the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash Generation
Operating cash flow has been negative annually and FCF was ~-20M in 2025, signaling persistent cash burn. Continued negative cash generation requires recurring external financing, increasing dilution risk and limiting long‑term strategic flexibility if cash conversion does not improve.
Volatile, Shrinking Revenue and Weak Margins
Revenue declined (~16–19% in 2025) after prior volatility, with gross margins compressed from ~46% in 2022 to ~9–13% in 2024–25 and net margins deeply negative. This indicates limited commercial scale and an unsustainable cost structure absent material demand or mix improvement.
Concentration on Government Awards & Pending Approvals
Revenue and commercialization plans rely on continued BARDA/DoD support and regulatory clearance for the new manufacturing site. This concentration creates timing and execution risk: delays or award changes can materially shift revenue recognition and commercialization pacing.

Mediwound (MDWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mediwound Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMediWound Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes novel and bio-therapeutic solutions for tissue repair and regeneration. It markets NexoBrid, a biopharmaceutical product for the removal of eschar, a dead or damaged tissue in adults with deep partial- and full-thickness thermal burns to burn centers and hospitals burn units. The company also develops EscharEx, which has completed Phase II clinical trials for the debridement of chronic and other hard-to-heal wounds; MW005, which is in phase I/II for the treatment of low-risk basal cell carcinoma. MediWound Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Yavne, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyMediwound generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical products, most notably NexoBrid. The company sells its products directly to hospitals and healthcare facilities, often through partnerships with distributors and medical supply companies. Additionally, Mediwound may enter into licensing agreements or collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies that can help enhance its market reach. The company also explores government and institutional contracts, which can provide significant revenue opportunities. Furthermore, Mediwound has been actively involved in clinical trials and research initiatives, which can lead to future product developments and expansions into new markets, thereby contributing to its overall revenue growth.

Mediwound Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call reflects meaningful operational and strategic progress — a sixfold manufacturing capacity expansion, active Phase III enrollment for EscharEx, expanded indication work (DFU and pressure ulcers), numerous industry collaborations, substantive real-world data for NexoBrid, and a strengthened cash position following a $30M financing — all of which support a multiyear growth thesis. Offsetting these positives are near-term financial challenges: steep Q4 revenue decline (≈-67%), a full-year revenue drop (≈-16%), higher R&D spend and widening operating and EBITDA losses, reliance on government awards and pending regulatory approvals for the new facility, and elevated cash burn. Overall, operational momentum is evident but financial performance and timing risks temper the outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Phase III VALUE Trial Progress
Enrollment ongoing in global Phase III VALUE study targeting 216 patients across ~40 U.S. and European sites; prespecified interim assessment and enrollment completion expected by year-end 2026, preserving ~90% statistical power.
Manufacturing Expansion for NexoBrid
Expanded manufacturing facility is operational and increases production capacity sixfold; commercial release from the site is subject to regulatory approvals expected in 2026, positioning the company to meet growing global demand and support stockpiling/national preparedness.
Strategic Collaborations and Industry Engagement
Multiple research collaborations with market-leading wound care companies (Coloplast/Kerecis, ConvaTec, Essity, Mölnlycke, Solventum, MiMedx and new collaboration with B. Braun for DFU Phase II) strengthen development, broaden clinical footprint, and support market access.
Clinical and Real-World Evidence Supporting NexoBrid
NexoBrid utilization across 70+ U.S. burn centers (majority of Vericel's ~90 target accounts); Israel Defense Forces data (~5,000 combat casualties) show clinical applicability in 71% of war-related injuries; prospective data show >90% reduction in embedded particles in ablation/blast injuries; 15-year military analysis reported a 50% increase in proportion of severe burns among wounded soldiers.
Strengthened Cash Position and Financing
Cash, cash equivalents and deposits of $53.6M at 12/31/2025 versus $43.6M at 12/31/2024 (≈+23%); completed $30.0M registered direct offering plus $3.5M from Series A warrant exercises, supporting runway amid continued investment.
Reaffirmed Multiyear Revenue Guidance
Company reaffirmed guidance: $24M–$26M for 2026, $32M–$35M for 2027, and $50M–$55M for 2028; guidance assumes continued support from BARDA and U.S. Department of War and potential initial EscharEx contribution in 2028.
Improved Full-Year Gross Margin
Full-year 2025 gross profit of $3.3M (19.2% margin) versus $2.6M (13.0% margin) in 2024 — gross profit increased ≈27% year-over-year with a margin improvement of +6.2 percentage points.
Negative Updates
Sharp Q4 Revenue Decline
Q4 2025 revenue of $1.9M versus $5.8M in Q4 2024 (≈-67%), primarily driven by lower development services revenue attributable to the U.S. government shutdown which delayed budget approvals and new contracts.
Full-Year Revenue Reduction
2025 revenue $17.0M versus $20.2M in 2024 (≈-16%), driven by the U.S. government shutdown and lower product sales to Vericel.
Higher R&D Spend and Increased Operating Losses
Full-year R&D increased to $14.0M from $8.9M in 2024 (≈+57%) reflecting heavy investment in the EscharEx VALUE Phase III study; operating loss widened to $25.3M from $19.4M (≈+30%); Adjusted EBITDA loss increased to $20.3M from $14.8M (≈+37%).
Quarterly Profitability Pressure
Q4 2025 net loss of $7.2M ($0.56/share) versus $3.9M ($0.36/share) in Q4 2024 (≈+85% larger net loss); Q4 gross profit fell to $0.3M (14.9% margin) from $0.9M (15.5% margin) prior year (≈-67% gross profit decline).
Dependence on Government Contracts and Pending Regulatory Approval
Revenue outlook and manufacturing commercialization assume BARDA/Department of War support and regulatory clearance for the expanded facility in 2026; award timing and regulatory approvals remain uncertain and could materially affect near-term revenue timing (company does not disclose split of assumed sources).
Operating Cash Use and Elevated Burn
Used $21.4M in cash for operating activities during 2025 and posted larger adjusted EBITDA losses, indicating elevated near-term cash burn despite the strengthened cash balance.
Company Guidance
MediWound reaffirmed multiyear revenue guidance of $24–$26M for 2026, $32–$35M for 2027 and $50–$55M for 2028 (the 2028 range includes potential initial EscharEx contribution), noting the guidance assumes continued BARDA and U.S. Department of War support and expects BARDA‑related revenue to begin in Q2 2026 with stronger second‑half revenue as the expanded manufacturing site (sixfold capacity increase) comes online pending regulatory clearances expected in 2026. On the clinical side, the VALUE Phase III targets 216 patients across ~40 U.S./EU sites with a prespecified interim sample‑size assessment after ~65% of patients complete treatment to preserve ~90% statistical power (if needed, a +20–40 patient increase would add a few months and a few million dollars; a +100 patient increase could add ≥6 months and roughly $10M). Balance‑sheet and runway metrics cited include $53.6M cash/cash equivalents/deposits at 12/31/2025, $21.4M cash used in 2025 operations, and financing proceeds of $30.0M (registered direct offering) plus $3.5M from Series A warrant exercises.

Mediwound Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are weak: revenue has been volatile and declined in 2025, profitability is deeply negative with large losses relative to sales, and both operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative. Balance-sheet leverage appears manageable and equity has improved versus 2021, but ongoing losses and cash burn remain the dominant risk.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Revenue has been volatile and is shrinking most recently (2025 down ~19% after a small increase in 2024). Profitability is weak: gross margin is low in 2024–2025 (~9%–13%) versus a stronger 2022 level (~46%), and losses are very large relative to sales (net margin roughly -140% to -150% in 2024–2025). Operating results remain deeply negative, with EBIT and EBITDA consistently below zero across all years shown, indicating the business has not yet reached a sustainable cost structure.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity around ~0.20 in 2023–2025, suggesting debt is not the primary balance-sheet risk. Equity has improved materially versus 2021 (when equity was negative), reaching ~43.6M in 2025, which supports solvency. The key weakness is ongoing losses driving poor returns for shareholders (return on equity remains meaningfully negative in 2022–2025), which can pressure the balance sheet over time if cash burn continues.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash generation is a clear weak point: operating cash flow is negative every year shown, and free cash flow is also consistently negative, including about -20.0M in 2025. While 2025 free cash flow improved versus 2024 (positive growth off a negative base), the company is still funding operations externally. A relative positive is that free cash flow is generally less negative than net income (free cash flow to net income above 1), implying significant non-cash charges, but the underlying cash burn remains substantial.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.96M20.22M18.69M26.50M23.76M
Gross Profit2.13M1.78M2.95M12.32M8.14M
EBITDA-23.57M-28.12M-4.89M-18.09M-12.12M
Net Income-23.88M-30.22M-6.72M-19.60M-13.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets86.25M73.50M66.46M50.02M19.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.14M43.16M41.54M33.90M11.05M
Total Debt8.77M6.93M6.35M846.00K1.39M
Total Liabilities34.33M42.34M34.86M39.10M24.33M
Stockholders Equity43.63M31.15M31.59M10.91M-4.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.04M-19.90M-16.93M-12.44M-9.40M
Operating Cash Flow-14.53M-13.62M-10.46M-11.88M-8.92M
Investing Cash Flow-19.54M-8.40M-34.32M-481.00K3.55M
Financing Cash Flow29.62M19.39M22.92M35.76M-1.05M

Mediwound Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.00
Price Trends
50DMA
17.55
Negative
100DMA
17.92
Negative
200DMA
18.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Positive
RSI
45.74
Neutral
STOCH
66.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.34, below the 50-day MA of 17.55, and below the 200-day MA of 18.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MDWD.

Mediwound Risk Analysis

Mediwound disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mediwound reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mediwound Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$635.22M-7.71-32.72%-40.26%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$373.63M-6.05-130.99%24.05%-169.73%
47
Neutral
$218.38M-8.79-65.79%6.15%34.52%
44
Neutral
$225.25M-2.86-85.31%72.35%
41
Neutral
$21.58M-6.72389.21%-234.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDWD
Mediwound
17.00
-0.05
-0.29%
LCTX
Lineage Therap
1.50
1.00
200.00%
ELDN
Eledon Pharmaceuticals
3.00
-0.44
-12.79%
DSGN
Design Therapeutics
10.30
5.66
121.98%
TVGN
Tevogen Bio Holdings
5.33
-53.17
-90.89%

Mediwound Corporate Events

MediWound Posts 2025 Loss but Strengthens Cash and Advances EscharEx, NexoBrid Capacity
Mar 5, 2026

On March 5, 2026, MediWound reported fourth‑quarter and full‑year 2025 results, highlighting $17 million in 2025 revenue, a net loss of $23.9 million, and a year‑end cash balance of $53.6 million strengthened by a $30 million direct offering and warrant exercises. The company’s operating loss widened on higher R&D spending, mainly for the Phase III VALUE trial of EscharEx, while full‑year gross margin improved on a more favorable revenue mix.

Operationally, MediWound said its global Phase III VALUE trial of EscharEx in venous leg ulcers is progressing, with interim assessment and enrollment completion expected by the end of 2026 and expansion into diabetic foot and pressure ulcer studies planned for the second half of 2026. The company also brought an expanded NexoBrid manufacturing facility online, boosting capacity sixfold ahead of expected 2026 regulatory approvals, reaffirmed its 2026–2028 revenue guidance, and pointed to growing U.S. NexoBrid adoption as it positions for a new phase of commercial scale‑up.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDWD) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mediwound stock, see the MDWD Stock Forecast page.

MediWound Shareholders Approve Expansion of 2024 Equity Incentive Pool
Feb 19, 2026

On February 19, 2026, MediWound Ltd. held an extraordinary general meeting in Israel at which shareholders representing about 30% of the company’s 12.8 million outstanding ordinary shares as of the January 16, 2026 record date were present, constituting a lawful quorum. The meeting focused on a single proposal to expand the company’s 2024 Share Incentive Plan, signaling continued use of equity-based compensation to retain and motivate key personnel.

Shareholders approved an increase of 300,000 ordinary shares reserved for issuance under the 2024 Share Incentive Plan, with 90.9% of votes cast in favor and 9.1% against, excluding abstentions, in accordance with Israeli Companies Law. The vote strengthens MediWound’s ability to grant future equity awards, potentially diluting existing holdings modestly while reinforcing long-term alignment between management, employees, and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDWD) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mediwound stock, see the MDWD Stock Forecast page.

MediWound Calls February 19, 2026 Extraordinary Meeting to Expand 2024 Share Incentive Plan
Jan 15, 2026

On January 15, 2026, MediWound Ltd. filed materials for an extraordinary general meeting of shareholders scheduled for February 19, 2026 in New York, at which investors will be asked to approve an increase of 300,000 ordinary shares reserved for issuance under the company’s 2024 Share Incentive Plan. Shareholders of record as of the close of business on January 16, 2026 are entitled to vote, and the board of directors is unanimously backing the proposal, which, if approved, would expand the pool of shares available for equity compensation and could modestly dilute existing holders while strengthening MediWound’s ability to attract and retain key personnel.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDWD) stock is a Buy with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mediwound stock, see the MDWD Stock Forecast page.

MediWound Lays Out Growth Path With EscharEx Progress, NexoBrid Scale-Up and Strong Cash Position
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, MediWound issued a corporate and financial update ahead of the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, detailing clinical, operational and financial milestones achieved through 2025 and its outlook for the coming years. The company reported that its global Phase III VALUE trial of EscharEx in venous leg ulcers is progressing, with interim assessment and full enrollment of 216 patients across roughly 40 U.S. and European sites expected by year-end 2026, and plans to extend the program into diabetic foot ulcers via a Phase II trial and into pressure ulcers via an investigator-initiated study during 2026, supported by collaborations with several major wound care companies. MediWound also confirmed that its expanded NexoBrid manufacturing facility is now fully operational, boosting production capacity sixfold ahead of anticipated regulatory approvals in 2026, and said it expects discussions among Vericel, BARDA and U.S. authorities on a potential multi-year NexoBrid program, including stockpiling and new formulations, to move forward in early 2026. Financially, the company reported $17 million in 2025 revenue and a $54 million year-end 2025 cash position with no debt, and updated its revenue guidance to $24–26 million for 2026, $32–35 million for 2027, and $50–55 million for 2028, implying a step-up in long-term growth driven by NexoBrid capacity expansion, continued BARDA and U.S. Department of Defense support, and an expected initial revenue contribution from EscharEx later in the decade.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDWD) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mediwound stock, see the MDWD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026