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McDonald's (MCD)
NYSE:MCD
MCD Analyst Ratings
Moderate Buy
13 Buy
12 Hold
0 Sell
TipRanks enables you to focus on the analyst rating consensus of all analysts or only the top performers in the past 3 months
MCD Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
$327.45
▲(7.08% Upside)
| Highest Price Target$375.00 | Average Price Target$327.45 | Lowest Price Target$130.00 |
The highest, average, and lowest price target of all analysts. Click on ‘Top Analysts’ to focus on the best performers.
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Bank of America Securities
$336→$337
Hold
10.21%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Piper Sandler
$325
Hold
6.28%
Upside
Reiterated
10/22/25
Barclays
$360→$362
Buy
18.38%
Upside
Reiterated
10/22/25
Citi
$381→$375
Buy
22.63%
Upside
Reiterated
10/21/25
UBS
$350
Buy
14.46%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
McDonald's Positioned for Growth Amid Challenges: Strategic Initiatives and Global Market Share Gains Drive Buy RatingFor MCD’s 3Q earnings (11/5), we anticipate risk exists to US sss and earnings given industry and broader macro pressure, but we believe trends should improve in 4Q and see the brand as better positioned globally into '26E. Investor expectations we’ve heard include US sss at ~2% Consensus (2.2%), while expectations for the International Operated Markets (IOM) segment sss appear in line to slightly better than Consensus (Cons. 4.1%). Our lowered 3Q EPS estimate of $3.30 is slightly below Consensus (Cons. $3.35) and now reflects $40MM in incremental marketing, and we're slightly below for '25E ($12.21) and '26E ($13.18), which now reflects MCD value meal franchisee support. We expect sales momentum in the US to improve in 4Q driven by strengthening value perceptions from the Extra Value Meal relaunch, menu innovation and marketing.
Morgan Stanley
$326→$335
Hold
9.55%
Upside
Reiterated
10/17/25
Wells Fargo
$350→$340
Buy
11.19%
Upside
Reiterated
10/16/25
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$330→$335
Buy
9.55%
Upside
Upgraded
10/15/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
Truist Financial
$360→$350
Buy
14.46%
Upside
Reiterated
10/14/25
Guggenheim
$310→$295
Hold
-3.53%
Downside
Reiterated
10/09/25
RBC Capital
$320
Hold
4.65%
Upside
Initiated
10/08/25
J.P. Morgan
$310→$305
Buy
-0.26%
Downside
Reiterated
10/07/25
Jefferies
$360
Buy
17.73%
Upside
Reiterated
10/03/25
McDonald's Poised for Growth: Strategic Initiatives and International Potential Drive Buy RatingWe expect 3Q SSS & EPS slightly below Cons, which is likely stale. Given the expected lower ticket in September, we lower our 3Q U.S. SSS est to 2.5% vs Cons 2.6% and take G&A higher as we balance the 2H & keep our FY target for ~2.2% of system sales inline with guide; our 3Q adj op margin 48.3% is still inline. However, we also raise our IOM SSS to 4.5% vs Cons 4.1%, supported by what we view as solid momentum in key markets on value & mkting initiatives. Net of these changes, we now model EPS of $3.33 (from $3.40) vs Cons $3.38.
Ranks
Any
Analyst Rating
Any
Upside/ Downside
Any
Action
Any
Bank of America Securities
$336→$337
Hold
10.21%
Upside
Reiterated
10/24/25
Piper Sandler
$325
Hold
6.28%
Upside
Reiterated
10/22/25
Barclays
$360→$362
Buy
18.38%
Upside
Reiterated
10/22/25
Citi
$381→$375
Buy
22.63%
Upside
Reiterated
10/21/25
UBS
$350
Buy
14.46%
Upside
Reiterated
10/20/25
McDonald's Positioned for Growth Amid Challenges: Strategic Initiatives and Global Market Share Gains Drive Buy RatingFor MCD’s 3Q earnings (11/5), we anticipate risk exists to US sss and earnings given industry and broader macro pressure, but we believe trends should improve in 4Q and see the brand as better positioned globally into '26E. Investor expectations we’ve heard include US sss at ~2% Consensus (2.2%), while expectations for the International Operated Markets (IOM) segment sss appear in line to slightly better than Consensus (Cons. 4.1%). Our lowered 3Q EPS estimate of $3.30 is slightly below Consensus (Cons. $3.35) and now reflects $40MM in incremental marketing, and we're slightly below for '25E ($12.21) and '26E ($13.18), which now reflects MCD value meal franchisee support. We expect sales momentum in the US to improve in 4Q driven by strengthening value perceptions from the Extra Value Meal relaunch, menu innovation and marketing.
Morgan Stanley
$326→$335
Hold
9.55%
Upside
Reiterated
10/17/25
Wells Fargo
$350→$340
Buy
11.19%
Upside
Reiterated
10/16/25
TR | OpenAI - 4o
$330→$335
Buy
9.55%
Upside
Upgraded
10/15/25
AI Generated ArticleAI Generated Article
Truist Financial
$360→$350
Buy
14.46%
Upside
Reiterated
10/14/25
Guggenheim
$310→$295
Hold
-3.53%
Downside
Reiterated
10/09/25
RBC Capital
$320
Hold
4.65%
Upside
Initiated
10/08/25
J.P. Morgan
$310→$305
Buy
-0.26%
Downside
Reiterated
10/07/25
Jefferies
$360
Buy
17.73%
Upside
Reiterated
10/03/25
McDonald's Poised for Growth: Strategic Initiatives and International Potential Drive Buy RatingWe expect 3Q SSS & EPS slightly below Cons, which is likely stale. Given the expected lower ticket in September, we lower our 3Q U.S. SSS est to 2.5% vs Cons 2.6% and take G&A higher as we balance the 2H & keep our FY target for ~2.2% of system sales inline with guide; our 3Q adj op margin 48.3% is still inline. However, we also raise our IOM SSS to 4.5% vs Cons 4.1%, supported by what we view as solid momentum in key markets on value & mkting initiatives. Net of these changes, we now model EPS of $3.33 (from $3.40) vs Cons $3.38.
Best Analysts Covering McDonald's
1 Month
xxx
Success Rate
30/51 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+1.18%
reiterated a xxx
rating 21 days ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 1 Month would result in 58.82% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +1.18% per trade.
3 Months
xxx
Success Rate
20/23 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+5.83%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 3 Months would result in 86.96% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +5.83% per trade.
1 Year
Success Rate
45/51 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+13.85%
reiterated a buy rating 21 days ago
Copying John Ivankoe's trades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in 88.24% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +13.85% per trade.
2 Years
xxx
Success Rate
23/23 ratings generated profit
Average Return
+21.93%
reiterated a xxx
rating 3 months ago
Copying xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
trades and holding each position for 2 Years would result in 100.00% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +21.93% per trade.
The Best Analyst Covering tool allows you to follow the analysts who have the best success rates and average returns on a specific stock. Only analysts that gave a Buy or Sell rating on the stock in the past 12 months are eligible for inclusion in this tool. Follow the analysts of your choice to receive real-time updates when they publish a new rating.
MCD Analyst Recommendation Trends
Rating
Jun 25
Jul 25
Aug 25
Sep 25
Oct 25
Strong Buy
0
1
1
1
0
Buy
30
30
24
29
26
Hold
22
25
31
34
30
Sell
1
2
2
1
0
Strong Sell
0
0
0
0
0
total
53
58
58
65
56
Each month's total comprises the sum of three months' worth of ratings.
MCD Financial Forecast
MCD Stock Forecast FAQ
What is MCD’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, McDonald's’s 12-month average price target is 327.45.
What is MCD’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
McDonald's has 7.08% upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is MCD a Buy, Sell or Hold?
McDonald's has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 13 buy ratings, 12 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.
What is McDonald's’s price target?
The average price target for McDonald's is 327.45. This is based on 25 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.
The highest analyst price target is $375.00 ,the lowest forecast is $130.00. The average price target represents 7.08% Increase from the current price of $305.79.
The highest analyst price target is $375.00 ,the lowest forecast is $130.00. The average price target represents 7.08% Increase from the current price of $305.79.
What do analysts say about McDonald's?
McDonald's’s analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 25 Wall Streets Analysts.
How can I buy shares of MCD?
Open a brokerage account, see exclusive account opening deals on our Best Online Brokers page.