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Mustang Bio Inc (MBIO)
NASDAQ:MBIO

Mustang Bio (MBIO) AI Stock Analysis

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MBIO

Mustang Bio

(NASDAQ:MBIO)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-8.26% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality (pre-revenue, ongoing losses and negative free cash flow despite improvement) and bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is also constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Cell and gene therapy-focused pipeline
A concentrated focus on engineered T‑cell and gene therapies targets high unmet need areas (oncology, rare disease). This platform specialization supports durable scientific differentiation, makes the company attractive for strategic partnerships, and underpins long‑term value if clinical progress continues.
Leverage materially reduced; equity recovered
Reporting zero debt and a return to positive equity meaningfully improves solvency and financial flexibility. This structural improvement lowers bankruptcy and refinancing risk, giving management more control over trial pacing and potential partnership terms over the next several months.
Marked narrowing of net losses
A sharp reduction in net losses signals improved cost discipline and program prioritization. Lower ongoing losses extend runway, reduce near‑term financing needs, and increase the probability management can fund key clinical milestones without continual large dilutive financings.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Continued negative operating and free cash flow means the business cannot self‑fund development; reliance on external capital is structural. This elevates dilution and execution risk, and could force program cuts or unfavorable financing if capital markets tighten over the next 2–6 months.
No recurring product revenue (development-stage profile)
Lack of product revenue leaves the company dependent on financings, collaborations, or milestone payments. Margins and cash generation remain theoretical until approvals; long‑term viability hinges on trial success rather than stable operating cash flow.
Termination of CD20 license narrows pipeline
Exiting the CD20 CAR‑T license removes an asset and reduces program diversification, concentrating development risk in fewer programs. While Mustang retained a small upside (10% of future consideration), the structural loss of a development asset can slow value creation and reduce partnership leverage.

Mustang Bio (MBIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mustang Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMustang Bio, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on translating medical breakthroughs in cell and gene therapies into potential cures for hematologic cancers, solid tumors, and rare genetic diseases. Its pipeline focuses on gene therapy programs for rare genetic disorders, chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) engineered T cell (CAR T) therapies for hematologic malignancies, and CAR T therapies for solid tumors. The company develops MB-107 and MB-207, a gene therapy program for X-linked severe combined immunodeficiency, a rare genetic immune system condition in which affected patients do not live beyond infancy without treatment. The company also develops MB-102 CAR T therapies for blastic plasmacytoid dendritic cell neoplasm, acute myeloid leukemia, and myelodysplastic syndrome; MB-106 CAR T cell program for B cell non-hodgkin lymphoma and chronic lymphocytic leukemia; MB-104 CAR T for multiple myeloma and light chain amyloidosis; MB-101 CAR T cell program for glioblastoma; MB-103 CAR T for glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) and metastatic breast cancer to brain; MB-105 CAR T for prostate and pancreatic cancers; and MB-108, a next-generation oncolytic herpes simplex virus. It has license agreements with Nationwide Children's Hospital, CSL Behring; Mayo Clin Mayo Clinic; Leiden University Medical Centre; SIRION Biotech GmbH, and Minaris Regenerative Medicine GmbH. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Worcester, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyMustang Bio generates revenue primarily through strategic partnerships, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other biopharmaceutical companies and research institutions. These partnerships may involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties based on the successful development and commercialization of their therapies. Additionally, Mustang Bio may also receive funding from grants or government contracts aimed at supporting innovative research and development in the field of gene and cell therapies. The company is focused on advancing its clinical trials to bring its products to market, which will eventually result in direct sales revenue from approved therapies.

Mustang Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Development-stage profile with essentially no revenue. Losses and cash burn have improved materially versus prior years, and the balance sheet is cleaner with no reported debt and positive equity in TTM, but profitability and free cash flow remain negative, keeping the company reliant on external funding.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Across the available periods, the company reports essentially no revenue, consistent with a development-stage biotech profile. Losses have narrowed meaningfully versus prior years (annual net loss improved from about $77.5M in 2022 and $51.6M in 2023 to $15.8M in 2024, and to about $2.3M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), which is a clear positive trajectory. However, profitability remains deeply negative overall, and margins are not yet economically meaningful given minimal revenue, leaving the business highly dependent on funding rather than operations.
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Leverage has improved substantially: total debt is now reported at $0 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), versus $0.9M in 2024 and much higher levels in 2022. Equity has also recovered from negative in 2024 (-$3.9M) to positive in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~$9.8M), indicating recapitalization and improved solvency. The key weakness is balance-sheet volatility over time (including very high leverage in 2023 when equity was near-zero), which underscores financing risk and limited cushion if cash burn accelerates.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash generation remains a major pressure point: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative, including about -$5.5M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and -$11.4M in 2024. The burn rate has improved dramatically versus 2022–2023 (when operating cash outflows were roughly -$65.1M and -$49.5M, respectively), but free cash flow growth in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is negative (down ~14.5%), signaling potential re-acceleration of cash usage. Overall, the company still relies on external capital to fund operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-41.00K0.00-2.23M-3.03M-2.31M-1.78M
EBITDA-2.34M-14.92M-48.06M-71.14M-64.05M-54.31M
Net Income-2.33M-15.75M-51.60M-77.53M-66.37M-60.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.36M9.31M17.74M92.42M125.17M109.90M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.98M6.84M6.23M75.66M109.62M97.80M
Total Debt0.00878.00K2.50M31.38M2.03M2.23M
Total Liabilities9.59M13.18M17.62M46.15M12.77M11.46M
Stockholders Equity9.77M-3.87M123.00K46.27M112.40M98.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.54M-11.41M-49.59M-68.14M-59.03M-41.73M
Operating Cash Flow-5.54M-11.41M-49.48M-65.07M-53.67M-37.32M
Investing Cash Flow1.17M0.005.89M-2.95M-5.37M-4.41M
Financing Cash Flow19.46M11.27M-26.08M34.06M70.85M78.12M

Mustang Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.09
Price Trends
50DMA
1.12
Negative
100DMA
1.31
Negative
200DMA
1.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Positive
RSI
36.12
Neutral
STOCH
10.04
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.06, below the 50-day MA of 1.12, and below the 200-day MA of 1.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.04 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBIO.

Mustang Bio Risk Analysis

Mustang Bio disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mustang Bio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mustang Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$11.32M-0.26-81.97%-46.88%34.83%
45
Neutral
$5.55M-0.28-291.07%61.10%
44
Neutral
$5.72M-0.07-771.23%91.47%
42
Neutral
$7.04M-0.76-418.83%98.58%
41
Neutral
$3.16M-0.07-404.48%-59.21%68.97%
39
Underperform
$8.27M-7.6165.45%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBIO
Mustang Bio
0.97
-3.04
-75.88%
XTLB
XTL Biopharmaceuticals Sponsored ADR
0.85
-0.85
-49.94%
LYRA
Lyra Therapeutics
1.78
-7.34
-80.48%
BOLT
Bolt Biotherapeutics
5.90
-4.30
-42.16%
SLXN
Silexion Therapeutics
1.83
-21.72
-92.23%
ACXP
Acurx Pharmaceuticals
2.37
-12.24
-83.80%

Mustang Bio Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mustang Bio Shareholders Approve Equity Plans and Directors
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

At its 2025 Annual Meeting of stockholders held virtually on December 22, 2025, Mustang Bio shareholders approved all four proposals on the agenda, including the election of seven directors to serve until the 2026 annual meeting and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the company’s independent auditor for the year ending December 31, 2025. Investors also backed amendments to Mustang’s 2019 Employee Stock Purchase Plan, adding 250,000 issuable shares and increasing the shares subject to a Purchase Right to 10,000, and to its 2016 Incentive Plan, expanding the pool of issuable shares by 2,500,000, moves that enhance the company’s ability to use equity compensation in attracting and retaining talent. Separately, on December 17, 2025, Mustang and Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center agreed to terminate their CD20 License Agreement covering Mustang’s CD20 CAR-T program, with Mustang paying $730,000 to settle about $1.4 million in outstanding payables, and securing the right to receive at least 10% of any future consideration Fred Hutch obtains from third-party licenses of the former CD20 assets over the next three years, preserving some upside despite exiting the program.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025