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Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL)
NYSE:LOCL
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Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) AI Stock Analysis

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LOCL

Local Bounti Corporation

(NYSE:LOCL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-4.58% Downside)
Local Bounti Corporation's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by high leverage and negative profitability margins. While the earnings call showed some operational improvements, ongoing challenges in profitability and technical indicators suggest caution. The valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings and lack of dividends.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective expansion strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Operational Efficiencies
Enhanced operational efficiencies through automation reduce costs and improve margins, strengthening competitive positioning.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships expand market reach and enhance product distribution, fostering long-term growth and market presence.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns, affecting long-term stability.
Negative Profitability Margins
Persistent negative margins highlight operational inefficiencies, challenging the company's path to profitability and financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Ongoing cash flow issues strain liquidity, impacting the ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt obligations.

Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Local Bounti Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLocal Bounti Corporation (LOCL) is an innovative agricultural company focused on sustainable and efficient farming practices. Operating primarily in the controlled environment agriculture sector, Local Bounti utilizes advanced indoor farming techniques to grow a variety of fresh produce, including leafy greens and herbs. The company aims to reduce the carbon footprint associated with traditional farming by leveraging technology to optimize production, minimize resource usage, and deliver fresh, locally grown products to consumers and retailers.
How the Company Makes MoneyLocal Bounti generates revenue through the sale of its fresh produce products to retail grocery chains, food service providers, and direct-to-consumer platforms. The company’s revenue model primarily relies on wholesale and retail sales, with a significant portion coming from long-term contracts with grocery retailers who value the consistency and quality of Local Bounti's products. Additionally, the company may explore partnerships with delivery services and meal kit companies, expanding its market reach and customer base. The emphasis on sustainable practices and local sourcing also positions Local Bounti favorably in the growing market for organic and environmentally friendly produce, contributing to its earnings.

Local Bounti Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates strong operational and financial improvements, with significant revenue growth, cost reductions, and strategic partnerships. However, there are ongoing challenges such as sequential revenue constraints and continued EBITDA losses, though these are being addressed with strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Local Bounti reported a 19% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $12.2 million for Q3 2025, driven by increased production from Georgia, Texas, and Washington facilities.
Operational Efficiencies and Facility Upgrades
The Texas automated harvesting system is operational, improving labor productivity by approximately 19% and reducing direct labor costs by 17%. Tower upgrades in Texas and Washington are expected to increase yield by over 10%.
Cost Reductions and Improved Financial Metrics
$8 million in annualized cost reductions were achieved through the first nine months of 2025, with targeted additional reductions of $1.5 to $2 million in Q4. Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $7.2 million from $8.4 million in the prior year.
Commercial Expansion and Strategic Partnerships
Local Bounti launched a new 10-ounce Romano Caesar family-sized salad kit in 89 Walmart stores, and expanded home delivery offerings and a private label partnership with Markon Cooperative.
Capital Structure Transformation
A $10 million convertible note was closed in August, along with a $10 million debt reduction and a new $2 million equipment leasing transaction, enhancing financial flexibility.
Market Validation of CEA
The market has shifted to view controlled environment agriculture (CEA) as essential infrastructure, with increased strategic partnerships and retailer engagements.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth Constraints
Sequential revenue growth was limited due to the transition work in Texas, which was completed in July.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Despite improvements, Local Bounti still reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $7.2 million for Q3 2025.
Company Guidance
During Local Bounti's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported significant progress, highlighted by a 19% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $12.2 million. The quarter saw a reduction in adjusted EBITDA loss to $7.2 million from $8.4 million the previous year and an improvement in net loss from $34.3 million to $26.4 million. Local Bounti completed crucial facility upgrades, including the Texas automated harvesting system, boosting labor productivity by approximately 19% and reducing direct labor costs by around 17%. The company also achieved nearly $8 million in annualized cost reductions and anticipates further savings of $1.5 million to $2 million. Looking ahead, Local Bounti aims for positive adjusted EBITDA by early 2026, driven by new product launches, operational efficiencies, and sustained cost discipline.

Local Bounti Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Local Bounti Corporation faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage, negative profitability margins, and cash flow difficulties. While there is some revenue growth, the company's financial health is undermined by operational inefficiencies and high debt levels, posing risks to its long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Local Bounti Corporation shows a modest revenue growth rate of 6.43% TTM, indicating some positive momentum. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -294.95% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. These figures suggest significant operational challenges and inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning debt-to-equity ratio of -3.98 TTM, indicating high leverage and negative equity. This high leverage poses a risk to financial stability. The return on equity is positive at 126.11%, but this is due to negative equity, which distorts the metric.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a negative free cash flow growth rate of -17.33% TTM, highlighting cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow issues relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.02M38.14M27.56M19.47M638.00K82.00K
Gross Profit4.89M4.09M2.22M2.21M206.00K-9.00K
EBITDA-46.09M-42.11M-85.14M-83.91M-50.28M-7.60M
Net Income-129.84M-119.90M-124.02M-111.07M-56.09M-8.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets426.77M428.04M381.75M278.74M143.93M9.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.17M937.00K10.33M13.67M96.66M45.00K
Total Debt528.88M437.16M327.42M120.08M11.20M9.37M
Total Liabilities559.50M528.53M366.48M157.41M42.25M11.67M
Stockholders Equity-132.72M-100.50M15.27M121.33M101.68M-2.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-67.76M-109.52M-195.42M-130.64M-49.77M-7.26M
Operating Cash Flow-34.25M-27.06M-33.16M-48.81M-20.11M-3.84M
Investing Cash Flow-33.51M-82.45M-162.26M-172.38M-29.67M-3.42M
Financing Cash Flow64.76M100.09M187.38M145.05M150.81M5.17M

Local Bounti Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.62
Price Trends
50DMA
2.82
Negative
100DMA
2.74
Negative
200DMA
2.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
44.45
Neutral
STOCH
38.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOCL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.85, below the 50-day MA of 2.82, and above the 200-day MA of 2.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LOCL.

Local Bounti Corporation Risk Analysis

Local Bounti Corporation disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Local Bounti Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Local Bounti Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$6.04M0.8217.52%4.42%
44
Neutral
$55.75M-0.1839.74%16.76%
43
Neutral
$4.11M-0.06
40
Underperform
$4.68M-0.04-146.28%-16.60%96.72%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOCL
Local Bounti Corporation
2.62
0.27
11.49%
AQB
AquaBounty Technologies
1.09
0.04
3.81%
SDOT
Sadot Group
5.10
-32.80
-86.54%
AFRI
Forafric Global
9.58
-0.73
-7.08%
AGRI
AgriFORCE Growing Systems
2.04
-40.62
-95.22%
EDBL
Edible Garden AG , Inc.
1.39
-2.95
-67.97%

Local Bounti Corporation Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Local Bounti Approves New Stock Issuance
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Local Bounti Corporation held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where 74.2% of the company’s common stock was represented. Stockholders approved the issuance of up to 5,681,871 shares of Common Stock to U.S. Bounti, LLC, as well as the potential adjournment of the meeting to solicit additional proxies if necessary.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOCL) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Local Bounti Corporation stock, see the LOCL Stock Forecast page.

Local Bounti’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Local Bounti Corporation showcased a generally positive sentiment, driven by notable revenue growth, strategic cost reductions, and expansion efforts. However, the call also highlighted ongoing challenges, particularly concerning adjusted EBITDA losses and delays in achieving positive EBITDA, which somewhat tempered the overall optimistic outlook.

Local Bounti Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth
Aug 14, 2025

Local Bounti Corporation is a U.S.-based indoor agriculture company known for its innovative Stack & Flow Technology®, which enhances crop production efficiency and sustainability in the agriculture sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2025