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Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL)
NYSE:LOCL
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Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) AI Stock Analysis

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LOCL

Local Bounti Corporation

(NYSE:LOCL)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(6.38% Upside)
Local Bounti Corporation's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by high leverage, negative equity, and persistent losses. While the earnings call showed some operational improvements, the technical analysis and valuation metrics remain concerning. The company needs to address its financial instability to improve its stock attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiencies
The implementation of automated systems enhances productivity and reduces costs, which can lead to improved margins and long-term profitability.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective expansion strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Cost Reductions
Significant cost reductions enhance financial health by improving margins and providing more resources for strategic investments.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term viability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows indicate difficulties in funding operations and investments, which can hinder growth and stability over time.
Profitability Issues
Persistent profitability challenges suggest difficulties in cost management and pricing strategy, affecting long-term financial health.

Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Local Bounti Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLocal Bounti Corporation grows fresh greens and herbs in the United States. It produces lettuce, herbs, and loose-leaf lettuce. The company sells its products to food retailers and food service distributors. Local Bounti Corporation was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Montana.
How the Company Makes MoneyLocal Bounti generates revenue through the sale of its fresh produce products to retail grocery chains, food service providers, and direct-to-consumer platforms. The company’s revenue model primarily relies on wholesale and retail sales, with a significant portion coming from long-term contracts with grocery retailers who value the consistency and quality of Local Bounti's products. Additionally, the company may explore partnerships with delivery services and meal kit companies, expanding its market reach and customer base. The emphasis on sustainable practices and local sourcing also positions Local Bounti favorably in the growing market for organic and environmentally friendly produce, contributing to its earnings.

Local Bounti Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates strong operational and financial improvements, with significant revenue growth, cost reductions, and strategic partnerships. However, there are ongoing challenges such as sequential revenue constraints and continued EBITDA losses, though these are being addressed with strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Local Bounti reported a 19% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $12.2 million for Q3 2025, driven by increased production from Georgia, Texas, and Washington facilities.
Operational Efficiencies and Facility Upgrades
The Texas automated harvesting system is operational, improving labor productivity by approximately 19% and reducing direct labor costs by 17%. Tower upgrades in Texas and Washington are expected to increase yield by over 10%.
Cost Reductions and Improved Financial Metrics
$8 million in annualized cost reductions were achieved through the first nine months of 2025, with targeted additional reductions of $1.5 to $2 million in Q4. Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $7.2 million from $8.4 million in the prior year.
Commercial Expansion and Strategic Partnerships
Local Bounti launched a new 10-ounce Romano Caesar family-sized salad kit in 89 Walmart stores, and expanded home delivery offerings and a private label partnership with Markon Cooperative.
Capital Structure Transformation
A $10 million convertible note was closed in August, along with a $10 million debt reduction and a new $2 million equipment leasing transaction, enhancing financial flexibility.
Market Validation of CEA
The market has shifted to view controlled environment agriculture (CEA) as essential infrastructure, with increased strategic partnerships and retailer engagements.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Growth Constraints
Sequential revenue growth was limited due to the transition work in Texas, which was completed in July.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Despite improvements, Local Bounti still reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $7.2 million for Q3 2025.
Company Guidance
During Local Bounti's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported significant progress, highlighted by a 19% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $12.2 million. The quarter saw a reduction in adjusted EBITDA loss to $7.2 million from $8.4 million the previous year and an improvement in net loss from $34.3 million to $26.4 million. Local Bounti completed crucial facility upgrades, including the Texas automated harvesting system, boosting labor productivity by approximately 19% and reducing direct labor costs by around 17%. The company also achieved nearly $8 million in annualized cost reductions and anticipates further savings of $1.5 million to $2 million. Looking ahead, Local Bounti aims for positive adjusted EBITDA by early 2026, driven by new product launches, operational efficiencies, and sustained cost discipline.

Local Bounti Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Local Bounti Corporation is facing significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement shows persistent losses and low margins, the balance sheet indicates high leverage and negative equity, and the cash flow statement reveals substantial cash outflows. The company needs to focus on improving profitability, reducing leverage, and enhancing cash flow management to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
25
Negative
Local Bounti Corporation has shown some revenue growth with a TTM increase of 4.45%. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit margins of -294.95% and EBIT margins of -158.07%. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 11.10%, suggesting challenges in managing production costs. Overall, the income statement reflects significant financial pressure and a need for improved cost management and profitability.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity of -$158.14 million, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -3.98. This indicates high financial leverage and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is also negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not favorable, suggesting a weak capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet highlights significant financial instability and high leverage risks.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a TTM free cash flow growth rate of -29.38%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.98, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. Despite this, the overall cash flow position is weak, with significant cash outflows and limited cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.98M38.14M27.56M19.47M638.00K82.00K
Gross Profit1.12M4.09M2.22M2.21M206.00K-9.00K
EBITDA-51.96M-42.11M-85.14M-83.91M-48.79M-7.60M
Net Income-121.94M-119.90M-124.02M-111.07M-56.09M-8.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets417.76M428.04M381.75M278.74M143.93M9.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.71M937.00K10.33M13.67M96.66M45.00K
Total Debt535.53M437.16M327.42M120.08M24.31M9.37M
Total Liabilities575.90M528.53M366.48M157.41M42.25M11.67M
Stockholders Equity-158.14M-100.50M15.27M121.33M101.68M-2.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-47.85M-109.52M-195.42M-130.64M-49.77M-7.26M
Operating Cash Flow-25.96M-27.06M-33.16M-48.81M-20.11M-3.84M
Investing Cash Flow-21.90M-82.45M-162.26M-172.38M-29.67M-3.42M
Financing Cash Flow53.76M100.09M187.38M145.05M150.81M5.17M

Local Bounti Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.35
Price Trends
50DMA
2.78
Negative
100DMA
2.72
Negative
200DMA
2.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
42.85
Neutral
STOCH
53.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOCL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.48, below the 50-day MA of 2.78, and below the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LOCL.

Local Bounti Corporation Risk Analysis

Local Bounti Corporation disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Local Bounti Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Local Bounti Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
50
Neutral
$6.04M0.82-46.64%-29.40%-535.63%
43
Neutral
$55.75M-0.1831.61%37.02%
43
Neutral
$4.11M-0.06
41
Neutral
$4.68M-0.04-179.10%-10.77%97.27%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LOCL
Local Bounti Corporation
2.35
0.73
45.06%
AQB
AquaBounty Technologies
0.99
0.09
9.76%
SDOT
Sadot Group
3.30
-39.20
-92.24%
AFRI
Forafric Global
10.45
0.25
2.45%
AGRI
AgriFORCE Growing Systems
1.72
-26.18
-93.84%
EDBL
Edible Garden AG , Inc.
1.22
-3.11
-71.88%

Local Bounti Corporation Corporate Events

Local Bounti Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Advances
Nov 13, 2025

Local Bounti Corporation is a U.S.-based indoor agriculture company that utilizes its patented Stack & Flow Technology to produce fresh and sustainable produce with significantly reduced land and water usage compared to traditional farming methods.

Local Bounti’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 13, 2025

Local Bounti Corporation’s recent earnings call painted a picture of strong operational and financial improvements, underscored by significant revenue growth and cost reductions. The company has also forged strategic partnerships, although it continues to face challenges such as sequential revenue constraints and ongoing EBITDA losses. These issues are being actively addressed through strategic initiatives.

Private Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Local Bounti Approves New Stock Issuance
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Local Bounti Corporation held a Special Meeting of Stockholders where 74.2% of the company’s common stock was represented. Stockholders approved the issuance of up to 5,681,871 shares of Common Stock to U.S. Bounti, LLC, as well as the potential adjournment of the meeting to solicit additional proxies if necessary.

The most recent analyst rating on (LOCL) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Local Bounti Corporation stock, see the LOCL Stock Forecast page.

Local Bounti’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for Local Bounti Corporation showcased a generally positive sentiment, driven by notable revenue growth, strategic cost reductions, and expansion efforts. However, the call also highlighted ongoing challenges, particularly concerning adjusted EBITDA losses and delays in achieving positive EBITDA, which somewhat tempered the overall optimistic outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025