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Centrus Energy Corp (LEU)
NYSE:LEU

Centrus Energy (LEU) AI Stock Analysis

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LEU

Centrus Energy

(NYSE:LEU)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$339.00
▲(20.87% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying profitability/cash-flow metrics and constructive technical trend/momentum. It is moderated by premium valuation (high P/E with no dividend yield) and mixed near-term earnings results despite positive long-term demand, backlog, and strategic funding/expansion progress.
Positive Factors
Long-dated Backlog
A $3.9B backlog to 2040 provides durable, contract-driven revenue visibility, reducing demand volatility risk and enabling multi-year production and capex planning. This supports predictable cash flow windows for scaling enrichment capacity and meeting long-term customer commitments.
Strong Profitability & Cash Flow
Sustained high margins and 37% TTM free cash flow growth indicate efficient operations and strong cash conversion. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment in manufacturing, debt reduction, and funding of expansion initiatives without sole reliance on external capital over the medium term.
Government Support & Domestic Buildout
Significant DOE funding programs and task orders materially reduce entry barriers, validate Centrus's strategic role, and underwrite a national supply-chain rebuild. Government backing enhances demand visibility and de-risks long-term investments in HALEU/LEU domestic capacity.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
A debt-to-equity level near 1.2 with a low equity ratio raises structural financing risk as the company scales capital-intensive enrichment facilities. Elevated leverage can increase interest costs, reduce flexibility for additional capex, and amplify vulnerability to demand or execution setbacks.
Quarterly Gross & Operating Losses
Quarterly gross and operating losses tied to rising HALEU contract costs signal margin sensitivity during industrial ramp-up. Persistent cost inflation or execution inefficiencies could erode the strong historical margins and pressure cash flow until scale efficiencies from new facilities materialize.
Ongoing External Capital Reliance
Repeated capital raises and convertible financings highlight continuing external funding needs to finance expansion. This structural reliance risks shareholder dilution, signals finite internal funding cover, and may constrain returns if operational ramps underperform against capital deployment assumptions.

Centrus Energy (LEU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centrus Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel and services for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Japan, Belgium, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions. The LEU segment sells separative work units (SWU) component of LEU; SWU and natural uranium components of LEU; and natural uranium for utilities that operate nuclear power plants. The Technical Solutions segment offers technical, manufacturing, engineering, procurement, construction, and operations services to public and private sector customers, including the American Centrifuge engineering and testing activities. The company was formerly known as USEC Inc. and changed its name to Centrus Energy Corp. in September 2014. Centrus Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentrus Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of low-enriched uranium and related services to utilities and other customers in the nuclear power sector. The company has a long-term contract-based revenue model, which includes fixed-price contracts for the delivery of uranium and enrichment services. In addition, Centrus benefits from partnerships with government entities and other organizations to provide specialized enrichment technology and services. The company also explores opportunities in advanced nuclear technologies, which could contribute to future revenue streams, particularly as global energy demands evolve towards cleaner sources.

Centrus Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and increased net income year-to-date, bolstered by strategic partnerships and successful capital raises. Despite operating and gross losses for the quarter, the strong backlog, DOE waivers, and record SWU pricing indicate positive long-term prospects. The overall sentiment is positive, with highlights outweighing the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for the third quarter was $74.9 million, an increase of $17.2 million or 30% versus the same quarter last year.
Increased Net Income
2025 year-to-date net income was $60 million compared to $19.5 million during the same period last year.
Successful Capital Raise
Centrus closed an oversubscribed and upsized convertible senior note transaction, increasing unrestricted cash balance to over $1.6 billion.
SWU Pricing Surge
The spot price for LEU SWU soared to $220, near historic levels, indicating high demand for U.S.-owned enrichment capacity.
Partnership with KHNP and POSCO
Centrus signed an agreement with KHNP and POSCO International for a potential investment in enrichment capacity.
Strong Backlog
As of September 30, 2025, the company backlog stood at $3.9 billion, extending to 2040.
DOE Waivers
Centrus received waivers from the Department of Energy to continue to import LEU for all currently committed deliveries to U.S. customers in 2026 and 2027.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss
Centrus reported an operating loss of $16.6 million for the third quarter.
Gross Loss
The company experienced a gross loss of $4.3 million compared to a gross profit of $8.9 million in the same period last year.
Increased Costs
Cost of sales in the CTS segment grew $7.4 million to $26.6 million, attributed to cost increases under the HALEU operations contract.
Company Guidance
During the Centrus Energy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, key guidance highlighted several financial and operational metrics. For the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, Centrus reported $74.9 million in revenue, a gross loss of $4.3 million, and an operating loss of $16.6 million. Despite these losses, the company achieved a net income of $3.9 million, with a cumulative net income of $60 million for the year-to-date compared to $19.5 million during the same period in 2024. Centrus announced a significant $1 billion at-the-market capital raise, aligning with their strategic expansion plans, and emphasized strong market demand for nuclear fuel, with the spot price for LEU SWU soaring to $220. The company also highlighted a backlog of $3.9 billion, extending to 2040, and discussed their ongoing preparations for industrial expansion, including a $805 million convertible senior note transaction.

Centrus Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and operating efficiency (TTM gross margin 36.05%, net margin 23.99%, EBIT/EBITDA margins 28.15%/29.78%) supported by strong free cash flow growth (TTM FCF growth 37.43%). Balance sheet is improving but still carries leverage risk (debt-to-equity 1.20; low equity ratio noted).
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Centrus Energy shows strong profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 36.05% and a net profit margin of 23.99%. The revenue growth rate of 3.94% in the TTM indicates steady growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 28.15% and 29.78%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.20 in the TTM, indicating a more balanced capital structure compared to previous years. Return on equity is strong at 51.70%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential risks in financial stability. The balance sheet reflects a positive trajectory but with caution needed regarding leverage.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Centrus Energy's free cash flow growth rate of 37.43% in the TTM is impressive, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.24 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.94 indicate efficient cash flow management. The cash flow statement shows a healthy cash position with significant growth in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue454.10M442.00M320.20M293.80M298.30M247.20M
Gross Profit144.30M111.50M112.10M117.90M114.50M97.60M
EBITDA134.00M86.50M92.90M77.90M144.60M60.40M
Net Income113.70M73.20M84.40M52.20M175.00M54.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.24B1.10B796.20M705.50M572.40M486.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.63B701.40M201.20M179.90M193.80M152.00M
Total Debt1.21B547.20M177.10M169.80M134.20M116.50M
Total Liabilities1.88B937.60M763.90M779.60M714.30M806.90M
Stockholders Equity363.10M161.40M32.30M-74.10M-141.90M-320.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow146.50M32.90M7.50M19.90M48.80M65.70M
Operating Cash Flow157.30M37.00M9.10M20.60M50.00M67.10M
Investing Cash Flow-10.80M-4.10M-1.60M-700.00K-1.20M-1.40M
Financing Cash Flow1.26B437.10M13.90M-4.30M-9.90M-44.40M

Centrus Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price280.47
Price Trends
50DMA
274.65
Negative
100DMA
298.19
Negative
200DMA
230.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.22
Positive
RSI
41.51
Neutral
STOCH
15.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LEU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 280.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 299.69, above the 50-day MA of 274.65, and above the 200-day MA of 230.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LEU.

Centrus Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.58B38.2151.74%15.25%37.48%
72
Outperform
$7.07B18.755.93%3.24%-1.43%-63.13%
70
Neutral
$6.28B29.479.32%4.32%-13.41%-60.18%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$5.08B-18.17%103.69%-126.48%
61
Neutral
$7.78B-90.55-7.29%189.19%-38.15%
51
Neutral
$620.75M-7.60-65.17%138.94%-62.94%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LEU
Centrus Energy
251.43
167.03
197.90%
FRO
Frontline
28.20
10.56
59.86%
NOV
NOV
19.38
3.58
22.64%
URG
UR-Energy
1.65
0.58
54.21%
UEC
Uranium Energy
16.10
9.06
128.69%
UUUU
Energy Fuels
21.42
16.09
301.88%

Centrus Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Centrus Energy Expands Tennessee Facility for Advanced Enrichment
Positive
Jan 23, 2026

On January 23, 2026, Centrus Energy announced a major expansion of its Technology & Manufacturing Center in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, converting it into a high-rate manufacturing plant for advanced uranium enrichment centrifuges. The company plans to invest more than $560 million and create nearly 430 new jobs in Anderson County over the next several years, with the first new centrifuges from Tennessee expected to begin operating at Centrus’s expanding Ohio enrichment plant in 2029. State officials highlighted the project as reinforcing Tennessee’s growing role as a hub for nuclear innovation and clean energy, while Centrus and local leaders framed the move as a significant step in rebuilding U.S. uranium enrichment capacity, strengthening energy security and delivering long-term economic benefits to the Oak Ridge region.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEU) stock is a Hold with a $344.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centrus Energy stock, see the LEU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Centrus Energy Launches U.S. Centrifuge Manufacturing for Enrichment
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Centrus Energy announced it had begun domestic centrifuge manufacturing to support commercial low-enriched uranium enrichment at its Piketon, Ohio facility, marking a major step in rebuilding U.S.-owned uranium enrichment capacity amid an expected ban on Russian enriched uranium imports from 2028 and growing global nuclear power demand. Backed by a multi-billion-dollar expansion plan, $2.3 billion in contingent LEU sales contracts, significant recent capital-raising, and prospective Department of Energy task orders, the project is expected to bring the first new production capacity online in 2029 and support thousands of jobs across Ohio, Tennessee, and a nationwide supply chain, reinforcing Centrus’s role in U.S. energy and national security as it targets future commercial-scale HALEU production and positions itself as a first mover in domestic enrichment technology.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEU) stock is a Buy with a $299.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centrus Energy stock, see the LEU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Centrus Energy Uplists to New York Stock Exchange
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Centrus Energy Corp. announced its approval for uplisting from the NYSE American to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), with trading set to commence on December 4, 2025, under the symbol ‘LEU’. This strategic move is expected to enhance liquidity and visibility for Centrus, supporting its mission to re-establish large-scale U.S.-owned uranium enrichment capacity, which is crucial for both commercial and national security purposes.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEU) stock is a Hold with a $245.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centrus Energy stock, see the LEU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Centrus Energy Announces $1 Billion Equity Offering
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Centrus Energy Corp. announced an at-the-market equity offering program, allowing the company to sell shares of its Class A common stock up to $1 billion through several sales agents, including Barclays and Citigroup. The proceeds from this program are intended for general corporate purposes, including technology investment, debt repayment, and potential acquisitions, potentially impacting the company’s operational flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEU) stock is a Hold with a $368.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centrus Energy stock, see the LEU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026