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Centrus Energy Corp (LEU)
:LEU
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Centrus Energy (LEU) AI Stock Analysis

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LEU

Centrus Energy

(NYSE MKT:LEU)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$204.00
▲(14.88% Upside)
Centrus Energy's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic corporate events, offset by technical analysis indicators suggesting potential bearish momentum and a high valuation. The company's profitability and cash position are strengths, but challenges in revenue growth and leverage management need attention.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Centrus Energy delivered robust 2Q25 revenue and gross profit, exceeding estimates significantly.
Growth Potential
The company's plan to expand its centrifuge capacity could receive funding from hyperscalers, reducing the risk of excessive shareholder dilution.
Market Position
Centrus holds the only NRC license for HALEU production in the United States and is believed to be years ahead of potential competitors.
Negative Factors
Debt Management
Centrus raised $114 million from its ATM, ending the quarter with $833.0 million in cash and $390 million in long-term debt, showcasing a strong balance sheet.
Stock Volatility
The large convertible note offering is expected to create near-term share price volatility.

Centrus Energy (LEU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centrus Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel and services for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Japan, Belgium, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions. The LEU segment sells separative work units (SWU) component of LEU; SWU and natural uranium components of LEU; and natural uranium for utilities that operate nuclear power plants. The Technical Solutions segment offers technical, manufacturing, engineering, procurement, construction, and operations services to public and private sector customers, including the American Centrifuge engineering and testing activities. The company was formerly known as USEC Inc. and changed its name to Centrus Energy Corp. in September 2014. Centrus Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentrus Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of enriched uranium and uranium enrichment services. The company's key revenue streams include long-term contracts with utility companies for the supply of nuclear fuel, which provides a stable income base. Additionally, Centrus engages in government contracts, particularly with the U.S. Department of Energy, for enrichment services and supply of fuel for national security purposes. The company also benefits from partnerships and collaborations with other entities in the nuclear sector, which can lead to new projects and additional revenue opportunities. Factors such as the global demand for clean energy solutions, regulatory support for nuclear energy, and advancements in enrichment technology play a significant role in driving Centrus's earnings.

Centrus Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Centrus Energy demonstrated strong financial performance with improved gross margins and a significant cash balance. The achievement of HALEU production milestones and strategic investments in manufacturing readiness position the company well for future growth. However, a notable decline in revenue and LEU segment performance highlights challenges in the current quarter.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Centrus Energy reported robust financial results for Q2 2025 with $154.5 million in revenue, a gross profit of $53.9 million, and an operating income of $33.5 million. The gross margin improved significantly to 35%, up from 19% in the prior year's quarter.
Increased Cash Position
The company ended the quarter with a healthy $833 million cash balance, reflecting strong liquidity and balance sheet discipline. This elevated cash position generated $8 million in investment income, tripling the prior year's amount.
HALEU Production Milestone
Centrus achieved the 900-kilogram production milestone for Phase 2 under their HALEU operation contract with the U.S. Department of Energy, producing close to a metric ton of HALEU for the department.
Expansion Initiatives
The company launched a $60 million investment in its supply chain and manufacturing readiness for future large-scale deployment of their technology, with significant progress in facility readiness and procurement of long lead items.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the second quarter decreased by $34.5 million compared to the same quarter last year, primarily driven by a reduction in SWU sales volume and the absence of uranium sales.
LEU Segment Revenue Drop
The LEU business generated $125.7 million in revenue, a decrease of $43.9 million compared to the same quarter last year, mainly due to a reduction in SWU sales volume.
Company Guidance
During the Centrus Energy Corp. second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key financial metrics and future outlooks were discussed. The company reported $154.5 million in revenue for the quarter, with a gross profit of $53.9 million and an operating income of $33.5 million. Despite a decrease in revenue compared to the previous year, the gross margin improved significantly to 35% from 19%. Net income for the quarter was $28.9 million, and the company ended the period with a strong cash balance of $833 million. A notable highlight was the continued operation of the HALEU cascade at their Piketon, Ohio facility, achieving a 900-kilogram production milestone. The call also highlighted the company's anticipation of the Department of Energy's decision on the allocation of $3.4 billion to support domestic nuclear fuel production, as Centrus aims to expand its enrichment capacity using both public and private capital.

Centrus Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centrus Energy shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin and robust return on equity. However, declining revenue growth and high leverage pose challenges. The company demonstrates efficient operational management and cash generation, but needs to address revenue growth and manage leverage for long-term stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Centrus Energy's income statement reflects strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 22.59% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 7.32% in the same period, indicating a potential challenge in maintaining revenue momentum. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, suggesting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.14 in TTM, indicating significant leverage. However, the return on equity is robust at 80.64%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not directly provided, but the high leverage poses a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 67.87% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential constraints in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue436.90M442.00M320.20M293.80M298.30M247.20M
Gross Profit157.50M111.50M112.10M117.90M114.50M97.60M
EBITDA130.10M86.50M92.90M76.40M144.70M60.50M
Net Income104.80M73.20M84.40M52.20M135.30M54.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31B1.09B796.20M705.50M572.40M486.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments833.00M671.40M201.20M179.90M193.80M152.00M
Total Debt429.80M544.60M174.50M150.50M107.90M114.10M
Total Liabilities955.70M932.00M763.90M779.60M714.30M806.90M
Stockholders Equity359.10M161.40M32.30M-74.10M-141.90M-320.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow106.60M32.90M7.50M19.90M48.80M65.70M
Operating Cash Flow114.00M37.00M9.10M20.60M50.00M67.10M
Investing Cash Flow-7.40M-4.10M-1.60M-700.00K-1.20M-1.40M
Financing Cash Flow480.70M437.10M13.90M-4.30M-9.90M-44.40M

Centrus Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price177.57
Price Trends
50DMA
197.54
Negative
100DMA
140.44
Positive
200DMA
111.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.76
Positive
RSI
36.94
Neutral
STOCH
5.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LEU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 177.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 216.47, below the 50-day MA of 197.54, and above the 200-day MA of 111.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LEU.

Centrus Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (45)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.36B9.7128.59%4.09%-20.92%-26.59%
68
Neutral
$966.30M17.604.92%3.65%-2.74%-54.52%
68
Neutral
$3.34B30.1348.11%12.72%8.10%
67
Neutral
$4.77B-9.06%70.62%-447.72%
64
Neutral
$1.17B41.185.66%-9.81%-124.43%
50
Neutral
$510.66M-49.08%3.49%18.16%
45
Neutral
AU$1.35B-11.89-2.14%8.43%2.17%-33.54%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LEU
Centrus Energy
177.57
138.81
358.13%
MRC
MRC Global
13.82
1.42
11.45%
NBR
Nabors Industries
31.58
-47.35
-59.99%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
103.01
18.10
21.32%
RES
RPC
4.43
-1.56
-26.04%
UEC
Uranium Energy
10.60
5.58
111.16%

Centrus Energy Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Centrus Energy Issues $805M Convertible Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Centrus Energy Corp. announced the issuance of $805 million in 0% convertible senior notes due 2032 to qualified institutional buyers in a private placement. The notes, which are senior unsecured obligations, will mature on August 15, 2032, and the company plans to use the net proceeds of approximately $782.1 million for general corporate purposes. The issuance of these notes is expected to impact the company’s financial strategy by providing significant capital for future operations, while the terms of the notes offer flexibility for conversion and redemption under specific conditions.

Private Placements and Financing
Centrus Energy Announces $700M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Centrus Energy Corp. announced the pricing of its upsized private offering of $700 million in zero-coupon convertible senior notes due 2032, aimed at qualified institutional buyers. This strategic financial move, which increased from an initial $650 million, is anticipated to raise approximately $680 million in net proceeds, intended for general corporate purposes, potentially strengthening Centrus’ market position and financial flexibility.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Centrus Energy Announces $650M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Centrus Energy Corp. announced its intention to offer $650 million in convertible senior notes due 2032 in a private placement to qualified institutional buyers. This move is expected to provide Centrus with additional capital for general corporate purposes, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and market positioning in the nuclear fuel industry. The notes will bear interest semiannually and have specific conditions for conversion, reflecting a strategic financial maneuver to bolster the company’s resources.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Centrus Energy Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Changes
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Kevin J. Harrill resigned as the Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of Centrus Energy Corp. to pursue other opportunities. His departure was amicable, and he will remain in an advisory role until August 29, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition. Todd K. Tinelli has been appointed as his successor, effective August 11, 2025. Tinelli, who has over 20 years of experience in the energy industry, will oversee Centrus’ financial operations and contribute to the company’s long-term growth strategy. His appointment underscores Centrus’ commitment to maintaining a strong leadership team as it aims to expand its uranium enrichment capacity in Ohio.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Centrus Energy Delivers HALEU to U.S. Department of Energy
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

On June 25, 2025, Centrus Energy announced that its subsidiary, American Centrifuge Operating, LLC, successfully produced and delivered 900 kilograms of High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) to the U.S. Department of Energy, achieving a significant milestone in Phase II of its contract. This accomplishment positions Centrus as the only HALEU enrichment source in the Western world, critical for powering next-generation reactors, and marks the beginning of Phase III of the contract, with a potential extension for up to eight additional years, highlighting the company’s strategic role in advancing national energy priorities.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Centrus Energy Stockholders Meeting and Elections 2025
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

Centrus Energy held its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders on June 20, 2025, where approximately 69% of the company’s Class A common stock was represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected seven directors, approved the company’s executive compensation on an advisory basis, and ratified the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the company’s independent auditors for 2025.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Centrus Energy Extends HALEU Contract with DOE
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Centrus Energy announced an amendment to its contract with the U.S. Department of Energy, which extends the production of High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) through June 30, 2026, with an option for further extensions. This extension, valued at approximately $110 million, allows Centrus to continue its partnership with the Department, enhancing America’s uranium enrichment capabilities and supporting the development of HALEU-fueled advanced reactors, which are crucial for national energy and security priorities.

Executive/Board Changes
Centrus Energy Announces Leadership Changes Amid Resignation
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Centrus Energy Corp. announced that Mr. Shahram Ghasemian, the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary, will resign from his positions effective June 29, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. Following his departure, Mr. Richard Emery, currently the Deputy General Counsel and Director of Corporate Compliance, will be appointed as Acting General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary, ensuring continuity in leadership and compliance functions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025