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Centrus Energy Corp (LEU)
:LEU

Centrus Energy (LEU) AI Stock Analysis

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Centrus Energy

(NYSE MKT:LEU)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$126.00
▼(-20.47%Downside)
Centrus Energy's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, reflecting robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, and valuation appears moderate without dividend yield support. The company's reliance on external shipments presents a risk that needs monitoring.
Positive Factors
Government Support
Recent executive orders signed to spur the domestic nuclear industry could accelerate Centrus's ability to develop a domestic supply chain for enriched uranium.
Licensing and Funding
Centrus is the only wholly U.S.-owned uranium enrichment company and possesses NRC licenses for LEU and HALEU production, positioning it as a front-runner for government funding.
Market Position
Centrus is transitioning from a broker of enriched uranium to a producer, which could enhance its market position.
Negative Factors
Dependency on Executive Orders
Centrus's strategic positioning heavily relies on the Trump administration's executive orders to promote the commercial nuclear power industry.
Regulatory Risks
Risks to an investment in Centrus include regulations and the availability of funding.

Centrus Energy (LEU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centrus Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCentrus Energy Corp. supplies nuclear fuel and services for the nuclear power industry in the United States, Japan, Belgium, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) and Technical Solutions. The LEU segment sells separative work units (SWU) component of LEU; SWU and natural uranium components of LEU; and natural uranium for utilities that operate nuclear power plants. The Technical Solutions segment offers technical, manufacturing, engineering, procurement, construction, and operations services to public and private sector customers, including the American Centrifuge engineering and testing activities. The company was formerly known as USEC Inc. and changed its name to Centrus Energy Corp. in September 2014. Centrus Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyCentrus Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of enriched uranium, which is a critical component for fueling nuclear reactors. The company engages in contracts with utility companies and other entities operating nuclear power plants to supply them with enriched uranium. Additionally, Centrus provides engineering and technical services related to nuclear fuel and reactor operations, contributing to its revenue streams. Key partnerships with government agencies and private sector entities in the nuclear energy industry also play a significant role in the company's earnings, as these collaborations can involve long-term contracts and projects focused on advancing nuclear technology and infrastructure.

Centrus Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 118.54%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Centrus Energy's earnings call depicted strong financial performance with significant revenue and income growth, a robust cash position, and successful HALEU production. However, challenges remain in the Technical Solutions segment and the dependence on Russian shipments poses risks. The overall sentiment is balanced with a positive outlook due to financial and operational achievements, but cautious due to existing challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Centrus Energy reported $73.1 million in revenue, a $29.4 million increase compared to the same quarter last year, and $27.2 million in net income compared to a net loss of $6.1 million in the same quarter last year.
LEU Segment Success
The LEU business generated $51.3 million in SWU revenue, marking an increase of $27.7 million compared to the same quarter last year, with a significant decrease in SWU costs resulting in a gross profit of $31.2 million.
Strong Cash Position
Centrus ended the first quarter with a cash balance of $685.7 million, which includes $32.7 million of restricted cash, allowing for strategic investments and weathering market fluctuations.
HALEU Production Milestone
Successfully delivered approximately 670 kilograms of HALEU to the Department of Energy, demonstrating continuous and safe centrifuge operations over the past 19 months.
Negative Updates
Technical Solutions Segment Challenges
Reported $20.1 million in cost of sales, an increase of $3.8 million compared to the prior year, with lower margins driven by a delay in obtaining sufficient storage cylinders for the HALEU Operation Contract.
Dependence on Russian Shipments
Ongoing reliance on Russian shipments for enriched uranium, with specific shipment authorizations required from Russian authorities, although no impediments have been reported so far.
Company Guidance
During the Centrus Energy Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reported a robust financial performance with $73.1 million in revenue, a gross profit of $32.9 million, and an operating income of $20.5 million. These figures marked an improvement over the first quarter of 2024, attributed to the resolution of a supply interruption from TENEX and the impact of a nonrecurring lower-margin contract in the previous year. The company ended the quarter with a strong cash balance of $653 million and highlighted significant progress in strengthening its balance sheet, including the redemption of higher-yield 8.25% notes and securing $402.5 million from convertible senior notes. Centrus also emphasized its strategic initiatives, such as a $60 million investment to expand centrifuge manufacturing capacity and its ongoing HALEU enrichment operations, which have achieved cumulative deliveries of approximately 670 kilograms to the Department of Energy. The company maintains a $3.8 billion backlog and is actively seeking public and private funding to enhance its enrichment capacity, aligning with national security needs and energy independence goals amidst a dynamic global trade environment.

Centrus Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centrus Energy has shown robust financial health, with strong revenue and profit margins. The balance sheet has improved with reduced leverage, though high debt levels remain a concern. Cash flow generation is strong, but reliance on financing activities indicates potential volatility.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Centrus Energy has shown robust revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 6.66% from the previous annual period. The company's gross profit margin stands at 28.94%, and the net profit margin is strong at 22.59%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects strong profitability and growth trends, although some fluctuation in EBIT margins over the years suggests potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
The balance sheet of Centrus Energy shows a significant improvement in financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is high due to low equity levels, but the equity ratio has improved to 16.53% as of TTM. Return on equity is notably high at 49.78%, indicating effective use of equity to generate income. While the company has been reducing its debt levels, the overall leverage remains a point to monitor.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Centrus Energy's cash flow statement indicates a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.61, and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.60. The free cash flow growth rate from the previous period is impressive at 93.01%, suggesting strong cash generation capabilities. However, the reliance on financing activities indicates potential volatility in cash flow sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
471.40M442.00M320.20M293.80M298.30M247.20M
Gross Profit
136.40M111.50M112.10M117.90M114.50M97.60M
EBIT
79.10M48.00M52.40M59.70M135.90M51.00M
EBITDA
111.30M86.50M92.90M76.40M144.70M60.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
106.50M73.20M84.40M52.20M135.30M54.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
653.00M671.40M201.20M179.90M193.80M152.00M
Total Assets
1.29B1.09B796.20M705.50M572.40M486.30M
Total Debt
457.60M544.60M174.50M150.50M107.90M114.10M
Net Debt
-195.40M-126.80M-26.70M-29.40M-85.90M-37.90M
Total Liabilities
1.08B932.00M763.90M779.60M714.30M806.90M
Stockholders Equity
213.90M161.40M32.30M-74.10M-141.90M-320.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
63.50M32.90M7.50M19.90M48.80M65.70M
Operating Cash Flow
65.20M37.00M9.10M20.60M50.00M67.10M
Investing Cash Flow
-4.70M-1.60M-700.00K-1.20M-1.40M
Financing Cash Flow
380.10M437.10M13.90M-4.30M-9.90M-44.40M

Centrus Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price158.44
Price Trends
50DMA
91.72
Positive
100DMA
88.89
Positive
200DMA
78.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
18.04
Negative
RSI
83.12
Negative
STOCH
83.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LEU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 158.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.66, above the 50-day MA of 91.72, and above the 200-day MA of 78.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 18.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.12 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LEU.

Centrus Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RERES
75
Outperform
$1.09B14.067.06%3.23%-9.78%-49.45%
LELEU
73
Outperform
$2.49B24.7985.99%58.72%38.27%
NRNRP
70
Neutral
$1.26B9.2131.98%3.13%-19.21%-30.92%
MRMRC
68
Neutral
$1.11B41.188.29%-9.84%-111.71%
UEUEC
63
Neutral
$2.75B-9.06%70.62%-447.72%
58
Neutral
$7.43B3.43-4.49%10.08%0.81%-49.42%
NBNBR
50
Neutral
$539.91M-44.00%-0.94%-19.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LEU
Centrus Energy
158.44
115.25
266.84%
MRC
MRC Global
12.99
0.53
4.25%
NBR
Nabors Industries
33.60
-31.54
-48.42%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
96.60
10.62
12.35%
RES
RPC
4.87
-1.29
-20.94%
UEC
Uranium Energy
6.23
0.30
5.06%

Centrus Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Centrus Energy Announces Leadership Changes Amid Resignation
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Centrus Energy Corp. announced that Mr. Shahram Ghasemian, the Senior Vice President, General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary, will resign from his positions effective June 29, 2025, to pursue another opportunity. Following his departure, Mr. Richard Emery, currently the Deputy General Counsel and Director of Corporate Compliance, will be appointed as Acting General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary, ensuring continuity in leadership and compliance functions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LEU) stock is a Hold with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centrus Energy stock, see the LEU Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Centrus Energy Expands ‘At the Market’ Offering Program
Neutral
May 9, 2025

Centrus Energy Corp. announced the establishment of an ‘at the market’ offering program on February 9, 2024, allowing the company to sell shares of its Class A Common Stock. Initially set at $100 million, the program’s maximum amount was increased to $200 million on May 9, 2025, with approximately $117 million still available for sale. This move is part of Centrus Energy’s strategy to leverage market conditions and optimize its capital structure, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.