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Energy Fuels Inc (UUUU)
:UUUU
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Energy Fuels (UUUU) AI Stock Analysis

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Energy Fuels

(NYSE MKT:UUUU)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(6.84%Upside)
The overall score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call developments, although financial performance and valuation concerns, particularly the ongoing losses and negative P/E ratio, remain significant hurdles. The company's strategic advancements in production and rare earth capabilities provide potential upside.
Positive Factors
Project Performance
The Pinyon Plain mine has produced better than anticipated, with uranium mining rates exceeding expectations mainly due to higher than anticipated grades.
Regulatory Approval
The price target for UUUU has been increased from $5.75 to $6.00 due to the outperformance of the Pinyon Plain mine and a higher valuation of the Donald project following recent regulatory approval.
Revenue Growth
Energy Fuels experienced notable year-over-year revenue growth driven by heavy mineral sand sales, showing strong sales performance.
Negative Factors
Potential Equity Dilution
There is potential for equity dilution as the company looks to fund its Astron investment and expand its rare earth processing capabilities at the White Mesa mill.
Stock Downgrade
The recommendation for shares of UUUU has been downgraded from Buy to Neutral as they are believed to be fairly valued.
Uranium Market Risks
The biggest near-term risk for Energy Fuels is a further decline in the uranium spot price.

Energy Fuels (UUUU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Energy Fuels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEnergy Fuels Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the extraction, recovery, exploration, and sale of conventional and in situ uranium recovery in the United States. The company owns and operates the Nichols Ranch project, the Jane Dough property, and the Hank project located in Wyoming; and the Alta Mesa project located in Texas, as well as White Mesa Mill in Utah. It also holds interests in uranium and uranium/vanadium properties and projects in various stages of exploration, permitting, and evaluation located in Utah, Wyoming, Arizona, New Mexico, and Colorado. The company was formerly known as Volcanic Metals Exploration Inc. and changed its name to Energy Fuels Inc. in May 2006. Energy Fuels Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyEnergy Fuels generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of uranium and rare earth elements. The company's key revenue streams include supplying uranium to nuclear power plants, where it is used as fuel to generate electricity. Additionally, the company processes monazite sands to extract rare earth elements, which are vital for various high-tech applications including renewable energy technologies, electronics, and defense systems. Energy Fuels has strategic partnerships and contracts with companies and government entities that facilitate the sale and distribution of these materials. The company's earnings are influenced by market demand for clean energy solutions, global supply chain dynamics, and regulatory policies affecting the mining and energy sectors.

Energy Fuels Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 97.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights Energy Fuels' strong financial position, increased production guidance, and strategic advancements in rare earth capabilities. However, these positives are somewhat offset by a reported net loss, funding challenges for future expansion, and lower contract sales for 2025.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Production and Inventory Guidance
Energy Fuels has increased their 2025 production and finished goods inventory guidance by 22% and 193% respectively, showcasing growth and confidence in future operations.
Strong Financial Position
The company reported a strong working capital position of $214 million, no debt, and excellent liquidity with over $210 million in cash and marketable securities at the end of Q1 2025.
Record Uranium Production
In April, Energy Fuels achieved record uranium production of 151,000 pounds at an average grade of 1.64%, which is nearly three times the expected grade.
Rare Earth Capabilities and Progress
Energy Fuels is advancing their world-class rare earth and heavy mineral sand projects and has the capability to produce six of the seven heavy rare earths under current China export controls.
Strategic Alliances and Collaborations
The company signed collaboration agreements with POSCO International and Chemours, enhancing their position in the global rare earths market.
Negative Updates
Net Loss in Q1 2025
The company reported a net loss of $26.3 million, or $0.13 per share, due to an aggressive project advancement program and electing not to sell uranium at current prices.
Uncertain Funding for Phase 2 Expansion
There is a significant gap between projected capital costs and the current balance sheet for advancing the Phase 2 expansion at White Mesa, indicating potential challenges in securing necessary funding.
Lower Contract Sales in 2025
Contract sales are light for 2025, with an expected 220,000 pounds of uranium, down from previous expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Energy Fuels First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, CEO Mark Chalmers provided guidance indicating a significant increase in production and inventory metrics. The company raised its 2025 production guidance by 22% and finished goods inventory guidance by 193%. Energy Fuels reported a strong working capital position of $214 million and highlighted a record uranium production in April of 151,000 pounds at an average grade of 1.64%, nearly three times the expected grade of 0.58% in the reserve zone. The company plans to mine between 875,000 to 1.4 million pounds of uranium in 2025 and process between 700,000 to 1 million pounds of finished goods. Energy Fuels aims to maintain significant inventories and is exploring switching between uranium and rare earth processing at its White Mesa Mill, with the flexibility to produce various critical elements. The company also reported a net loss of $26.3 million for Q1, driven by the decision not to sell uranium at current market prices, which have recently increased by 10% to around $70 per pound.

Energy Fuels Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Energy Fuels shows significant revenue growth but remains unprofitable with negative cash flows. While the balance sheet is strong with low leverage, operational inefficiencies and persistent losses are concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Energy Fuels has demonstrated significant revenue growth, increasing from $12.5M in 2022 to $78.1M in 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable, with a negative net income of $47.8M in 2024. Margins are concerning, with a gross profit margin of approximately 28.4% in 2024 and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity base with a stockholders' equity of $527.8M in 2024, reflecting a solid equity ratio of 86.3%. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.004, indicating minimal leverage, which reduces financial risk. However, the company has yet to achieve a positive ROE due to persistent losses.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Energy Fuels has faced challenges in cash flow generation, with a negative free cash flow of $74.9M in 2024. Operating cash flows have also been negative, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash losses are significant compared to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the company's struggle to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue78.11M37.93M12.52M3.18M1.66M
Gross Profit22.20M19.75M4.67M1.37M14.00K
EBITDA-34.05M-28.42M-52.94M-30.95M-20.02M
Net Income-47.77M99.86M-89.33M-763.00K-29.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets611.97M401.94M273.95M315.45M183.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments119.46M190.49M75.01M113.01M22.41M
Total Debt2.18M1.32M1.38M469.00K758.00K
Total Liabilities80.29M22.73M29.54M19.92M25.69M
Stockholders Equity527.79M375.25M240.43M291.57M153.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.00M-60.12M-51.70M-30.66M-32.80M
Operating Cash Flow-43.97M-15.41M-49.70M-29.29M-32.18M
Investing Cash Flow-13.30M-23.85M-7.07M3.19M3.58M
Financing Cash Flow15.59M30.41M7.87M117.94M36.58M

Energy Fuels Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.36
Price Trends
50DMA
5.65
Positive
100DMA
4.91
Positive
200DMA
5.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Negative
RSI
82.83
Negative
STOCH
96.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UUUU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.49, above the 50-day MA of 5.65, and above the 200-day MA of 5.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UUUU.

Energy Fuels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LELEU
73
Outperform
$4.25B39.1085.99%58.72%38.27%
68
Neutral
$2.03B-16.11%59.09%-551.15%
MRMRC
67
Neutral
$1.20B41.188.29%-9.84%-111.71%
UEUEC
61
Neutral
$3.57B-9.06%70.62%-447.72%
60
Neutral
$448.59M-30.25%6.50%-151.25%
URURG
57
Neutral
$492.51M-45.54%200.09%26.67%
44
Neutral
AU$1.42B-6.68-23.02%6.21%5.33%-26.92%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UUUU
Energy Fuels
9.36
3.65
63.92%
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels
2.03
-0.60
-22.81%
MRC
MRC Global
14.05
-0.37
-2.57%
URG
UR-Energy
1.35
0.00
0.00%
UEC
Uranium Energy
8.03
2.18
37.26%
LEU
Centrus Energy
249.34
205.68
471.09%

Energy Fuels Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Energy Fuels Enters New Equity Offering Agreement
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 13, 2025, Energy Fuels Inc. entered into a new Controlled Equity Offering Agreement with several agents, allowing the company to sell common shares at its discretion through an ‘at the market’ program. This move follows the termination of a previous sales agreement from 2024, enabling the company to potentially raise up to $300 million, which could impact its market positioning and provide flexibility in capital management.

The most recent analyst rating on (UUUU) stock is a Buy with a $5.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Fuels stock, see the UUUU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Energy Fuels Releases New Bullfrog Project Report
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

Energy Fuels Inc. released a new Technical Report for its Bullfrog Project in Garfield County, Utah, on June 3, 2025. This report includes updated mineral resource estimates and an economic analysis, replacing previous assessments that lacked economic evaluations. The report reveals that the Bullfrog Project’s economic viability is still uncertain due to the speculative nature of Inferred Mineral Resources. The analysis suggests a 12-year mine life with a 12.4% internal rate of return based on Indicated Mineral Resources, while a separate analysis including Inferred Resources projects a 14% IRR over 15 years. The project’s success depends on securing necessary permits and approvals from various federal, state, and local agencies.

The most recent analyst rating on (UUUU) stock is a Buy with a $10.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Energy Fuels stock, see the UUUU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Energy Fuels Reports Record Uranium Mining Rates
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Energy Fuels Inc. announced that its Pinyon Plain mine in Arizona achieved record uranium mining rates in April 2025, with 4,604 tons of ore mined containing approximately 151,400 pounds of uranium. The ongoing underground drill program identified significant uranium mineralization, suggesting higher potential uranium yields than previously estimated. The company also reported promising results from its Juniper Zone drilling program, indicating the potential for increased mineable uranium resources, which could enhance the company’s operational capacity and market position.

Executive/Board Changes
Energy Fuels Appoints Nathan Bennett as CFO
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

Nathan Bennett has been appointed as the Chief Financial Officer of Energy Fuels, effective April 21, 2025. Bennett, who has been with the company since August 2022, previously served as the Chief Accounting Officer and Interim CFO. His extensive experience in the energy sector, including roles at Antero Midstream Corporation and PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP, positions him well for his new role. There are no existing family relationships or material transactions between Bennett and the company that require disclosure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025