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Kyntra Bio (KYNB)
NASDAQ:KYNB

Kyntra Bio (KYNB) AI Stock Analysis

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KYNB

Kyntra Bio

(NASDAQ:KYNB)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(1.52% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, negative cash flows, and negative equity). Offsetting positives come from earnings-call updates—cash runway extended into 2028 via the China sale and sharply reduced operating costs—while technicals are mixed and valuation looks optically low but is hard to underwrite given current fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Extended cash runway from asset sale
The ~$220M divestiture materially improves near-to-medium term liquidity, reducing immediate refinancing pressure and enabling continued financing of core R&D and ongoing trials. This structural cash buffer supports execution flexibility and lowers short-term dilution risk for 2–6+ months.
Material operating cost reduction
An 86% YoY cut in operating expenses signals a durable structural shrinkage of cash burn, improving margin sustainability and extending runway even absent revenue growth. Lower fixed overhead increases optionality to fund prioritized trials and preserves capital for value-driving milestones.
Regulatory and clinical pathway progress
Constructive FDA engagement and a planned Phase III protocol submission represent a structural reduction in regulatory uncertainty for roxadustat. Clearer pathways enhance the long-term probability of approval and commercialization, supporting strategic value capture beyond short-term market moves.
Negative Factors
Weak historical financial performance
Sustained revenue declines, negative margins and negative equity are structural concerns that undermine solvency and restrict strategic options. These issues increase reliance on asset sales or external financing, raising dilution and execution risk across clinical programs over the coming months.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
A continuing cash burn trajectory limits the company's internal ability to fund trials and commercialization, forcing dependence on one-time asset transactions or external capital. This structural cashflow weakness constrains reinvestment capacity and heightens financing risk into 2–6 months.
Phase III trial cost pressure
A $50–$60M Phase III bill is a material structural expenditure that can meaningfully deplete existing cash reserves and necessitate partnering or new capital. Even with recent asset-sale proceeds, funding large late-stage trials presents sustained execution and financing risk over the medium term.

Kyntra Bio (KYNB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kyntra Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKyntra Bio, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics. It focuses on the hypoxia-inducible factor and connective tissue growth factor biology to develop medicines for the treatment of anemia, fibrotic disease, and cancer. The company was founded by Thomas B. Neff on September 29, 1993, and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.
How the Company Makes MoneyFibroGen generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from the sale of its approved products, such as roxadustat, in markets where it is commercially available. Additionally, the company may receive milestone payments and royalties from partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies that help develop and market its products. Significant partnerships, such as those with larger biopharmaceutical firms, can also provide upfront payments and shared funding for research and development activities. Furthermore, grants and funding from government and non-profit organizations can supplement its revenue, particularly for the advancement of its pipeline projects.

Kyntra Bio Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business areas, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and identifying potential areas of strength or concern.
Chart InsightsFibroGen's revenue from the Product segment surged in 2024 but dropped to zero by year-end, indicating a strategic pivot or product discontinuation. The earnings call reveals a focus on simplifying operations through the sale of FibroGen China, extending the cash runway into 2028. Despite limited revenue growth and ongoing net losses, the company is advancing clinical trials for FG-3246 and roxadustat, signaling a shift towards innovation in oncology and anemia treatments. This strategic realignment could drive future growth, albeit with near-term financial challenges.
Data provided by:The Fly

Kyntra Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial statements indicate material strain: declining revenues over multiple years, historically negative margins, persistently negative operating/free cash flow, and negative stockholders’ equity creating solvency risk despite some debt reduction.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
FibroGen's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced negative revenue growth over the past few years, with a sharp decline in total revenue from 2020 to 2025. Despite a positive net income in the TTM period, historical net profit margins have been negative, indicating profitability issues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also been consistently negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity in recent years, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative due to negative equity, which poses a risk. Although the company has managed to reduce total debt, the negative equity ratio and low return on equity highlight financial instability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates persistent negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining trend in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating some ability to cover net income with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-118.09M29.62M46.80M140.73M235.31M176.32M
Gross Profit-97.71M14.06M42.84M120.45M-213.88M167.45M
EBITDA-127.70M-142.43M-305.20M-282.82M-333.72M-164.28M
Net Income215.65M-47.58M-284.23M-293.65M-290.02M-189.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets137.01M214.53M423.53M610.09M773.82M826.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments117.97M50.48M235.59M422.01M405.19M686.54M
Total Debt19.47M90.17M170.46M89.89M99.72M39.76M
Total Liabilities119.53M398.16M585.73M611.57M544.71M385.39M
Stockholders Equity-17.03M-225.60M-204.17M-21.45M209.15M422.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.09M-138.26M-317.54M-184.67M-112.42M77.61M
Operating Cash Flow-16.91M-138.00M-315.02M-145.93M-82.23M81.60M
Investing Cash Flow88.85M125.99M153.66M89.12M-426.97M452.49M
Financing Cash Flow-86.01M-255.00K122.75M46.78M-563.00K13.34M

Kyntra Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.88
Price Trends
50DMA
8.73
Negative
100DMA
9.94
Negative
200DMA
8.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
37.88
Neutral
STOCH
21.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KYNB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.90, below the 50-day MA of 8.73, and below the 200-day MA of 8.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KYNB.

Kyntra Bio Risk Analysis

Kyntra Bio disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyntra Bio reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kyntra Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$56.17M-6.21-13.15%45.97%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$31.88M0.19-95.39%
49
Neutral
$40.18M-0.90-908.28%588.40%61.76%
48
Neutral
$26.29M-0.30-394.62%78.60%
42
Neutral
$35.77M-0.43-115.64%46.20%
39
Underperform
$37.66M-0.60-80.81%-17.82%57.32%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KYNB
Kyntra Bio
7.88
-4.01
-33.73%
GRCE
Grace Therapeutics
3.63
0.41
12.73%
GBIO
Generation Bio
5.59
-2.01
-26.45%
OKUR
OnKure Therapeutics
2.64
-3.25
-55.18%
SNTI
Senti Biosciences
1.00
-3.39
-77.22%
XLO
Xilio Therapeutics
0.59
-0.10
-14.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026