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Kingsway Financial Services (KFS)
NYSE:KFS
US Market

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) AI Stock Analysis

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KF

Kingsway Financial Services

(NYSE:KFS)

56Neutral
Kingsway Financial Services shows a moderate overall performance. Strengths lie in positive revenue and EBITDA growth and strategic acquisitions, as highlighted in the earnings call. Technical analysis presents a neutral outlook with mixed signals. However, the company's financial performance is weakened by negative net income and cash flow issues, while valuation is negatively impacted by a high P/E ratio and lack of dividends.

Kingsway Financial Services (KFS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kingsway Financial Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKingsway Financial Services Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the extended warranty business services, asset management, and real estate businesses. The company operates through three segments: Extended Warranty, Leased Real Estate, and Kingsway Search Xcelerator. The Extended Warranty segment markets, sells, and administers vehicle service agreements and related products for new and used automobiles, motorcycles, and ATVs. This segment also sells new home warranty products, as well as offers uninsured warrant administration services to homebuilders and homeowners; markets and distributes warranty products to manufacturers, distributors, and installers of heating, ventilation and air conditioning, standby generator, commercial LED lighting, and commercial refrigeration equipment; and provides equipment breakdown and maintenance support services to companies. The Leased Real Estate segment owns a parcel of real property consisting of approximately 192 acres located in the State of Texas. The Kingsway Search Xcelerator offers outsourced finance and human resources consulting services, including operational accounting, such as bookkeeping, accounting, financial reporting, and analysis and strategic finance services; technical accounting comprising initial public offerings, SEC reporting, and international consolidation services; human resources, workforce management, and compliance support services; and advisory services. The company offers its products and services through credit unions, dealers, homebuilders, and consumers. Kingsway Financial Services Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Itasca, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyKingsway Financial Services generates revenue through various streams, primarily focused on insurance premiums and service fees. The company's key revenue sources include underwriting income from property and casualty insurance policies and fees from extended warranty services. Additionally, KFS engages in strategic investments and partnerships to enhance its financial offerings and expand its market reach, which contributes to its earnings. By managing risk effectively and optimizing its investment portfolio, the company maximizes returns and sustains profitability.

Kingsway Financial Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kingsway Financial Services faces challenges in profitability and cash flow, with positive aspects in gross profit margins and debt management. The company has limited revenue growth and negative net income, impacting overall financial health. High reliance on liabilities and negative cash flow metrics indicate potential risks in financial stability and liquidity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Kingsway Financial Services has shown a positive gross profit margin of 75.6% for the most recent year, indicating strong cost management relative to revenue. However, the company has a negative net income, leading to a negative net profit margin of -8.6%, which raises concerns about profitability. The revenue growth rate from the previous year is modest at 1.6%, showing limited growth momentum. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low at 2.0%, reflecting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0 due to no outstanding debt, which is positive for financial stability. However, the return on equity (ROE) is negative at -112.3%, driven by negative net income and low equity levels, highlighting inefficiencies. The equity ratio stands at 4.5%, suggesting a high reliance on liabilities to finance assets, which poses a risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Kingsway's free cash flow growth rate shows improvement but remains negative, indicating ongoing cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at -0.06, suggesting insufficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, reflecting cash flow issues that could impact future operations.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
109.38M107.66M114.69M94.78M65.72M
Gross Profit
82.65M76.03M90.61M87.72M63.02M
EBIT
2.16M954.00K37.57M-21.35M-21.59M
EBITDA
2.16M5.93M30.13M3.24M14.11M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-9.45M23.56M24.72M1.86M-5.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.49M9.26M64.33M12.80M14.53M
Total Assets
186.62M197.72M285.65M475.63M452.47M
Total Debt
60.22M45.61M103.31M295.19M271.50M
Net Debt
54.73M36.52M39.14M282.55M257.13M
Total Liabilities
168.31M173.11M263.53M412.96M387.00M
Stockholders Equity
16.66M27.71M21.68M773.00K4.51M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-104.00K-26.39M11.89M-6.74M1.46M
Operating Cash Flow
605.00K-26.19M-14.57M-5.91M1.67M
Investing Cash Flow
-16.85M6.46M100.94M-8.60M4.01M
Financing Cash Flow
11.44M-39.96M-37.93M-540.00K13.60M

Kingsway Financial Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.97
Price Trends
50DMA
7.79
Positive
100DMA
8.08
Negative
200DMA
8.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
56.16
Neutral
STOCH
52.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KFS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.87, above the 50-day MA of 7.79, and below the 200-day MA of 8.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KFS.

Kingsway Financial Services Risk Analysis

Kingsway Financial Services disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kingsway Financial Services reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kingsway Financial Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$718.28M15.599.60%4.35%-58.76%
69
Neutral
$397.49M5.387.59%-53.97%
60
Neutral
$7.23B11.553.67%4.04%2.96%-13.54%
60
Neutral
$385.33M52.171.50%-2.26%
KFKFS
56
Neutral
$218.92M-40.97%2.95%-130.51%
SDSDA
44
Neutral
$281.32M-167.38%
41
Neutral
$94.09M-110.47%-12.27%79.29%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KFS
Kingsway Financial Services
8.05
-0.36
-4.28%
CRMT
America's Car-Mart
46.94
-9.30
-16.54%
CARS
Cars
11.15
-5.01
-31.00%
RMBL
RumbleON
2.42
-2.89
-54.43%
CANG
Cango
3.57
2.15
151.41%
SDA
SunCar Technology Group
2.64
-4.66
-63.84%

Kingsway Financial Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 17, 2025 | % Change Since: 4.87% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a generally positive sentiment with strong growth in revenue and EBITDA, successful acquisitions, and positive trends in key segments like nurse staffing and software. However, challenges in the Extended Warranty segment and increased debt levels present some concerns.
Highlights
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
For the full year 2024, consolidated revenue was $109.4 million, up 6% from 2023, and consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $10.6 million, up 17% compared to 2023.
Kingsway Search Accelerator (KSX) Performance
KSX reported revenue of $40.5 million, an increase of 16% compared to $35 million in 2023. KSX adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $6.6 million, an increase of 15% from $5.7 million in 2023.
Acquisition of Buds Plumbing
Kingsway acquired Buds Plumbing, a 100-plus year-old service and repair plumbing company, for $5 million, expanding its skilled trades platform.
Positive Trends in Nurse Staffing
SNS, a nurse staffing service, reported an 8.5% increase in total shifts in Q4, with travel shifts up 42%, indicating a recovering market.
Strong Performance of SPI
SPI, acquired in 2023, showed strong revenue growth and exceeded baseline financial models with impressive gains in EBITDA growth.
Lowlights
Extended Warranty Segment Challenges
Extended Warranty adjusted EBITDA declined from $8.4 million in 2023 to $7.6 million in 2024 due to increased claims costs from inflation in parts and labor.
Debt Increase
Net debt increased to $52 million as of December 31, 2024, compared to $35.3 million at the end of 2023, primarily due to acquisitions.
Talent Acquisition Issues
SNS and CSuite faced challenges in effectively integrating new hires, highlighting issues in talent acquisition and retention.
Company Guidance
During the Kingsway Full Year 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Consolidated revenue for the year was $109.4 million, marking a 6% increase from the previous year. The consolidated adjusted EBITDA stood at $10.6 million, up by 17% compared to 2023, with sequential improvement observed in each quarter of 2024. The Extended Warranty segment reported a modest revenue growth of 1% to $68.9 million, while its adjusted EBITDA saw a decline to $7.6 million from $8.4 million in the prior year, primarily due to increased claims costs. In contrast, the Kingsway Search Accelerator (KSX) segment showed strong performance, with revenue increasing by 16% to $40.5 million and adjusted EBITDA growing by 15% to $6.6 million. The company highlighted significant acquisitions, including Image Solutions and Bud's Plumbing, and emphasized its strategy of growing through acquisitions in asset-light, high-return businesses. Looking ahead, Kingsway expressed optimism for 2025, fueled by a robust acquisition pipeline and a strategic focus on maintaining financial discipline while expanding its portfolio.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.