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Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD)
NYSE:KD

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) AI Stock Analysis

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KD

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation

(NYSE:KD)

45Neutral
Kyndryl Holdings displays a challenging financial condition with high leverage, declining revenues, and cash flow issues. The technical analysis suggests mixed momentum without clear trends. Valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. Despite positive highlights from the earnings call, overall financial instability and valuation concerns weigh heavily on the stock score.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKyndryl Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology services company and IT infrastructure services provider worldwide. The company offers cloud services; core enterprise and cloud services; application, data, and artificial intelligence services; digital workplace services; security and resiliency services; and network services and edge services. It serves financial, telecommunications, retail, automobile, and transportation industries. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyKyndryl makes money primarily through its range of IT infrastructure services, which it provides to a diverse clientele across various industries. The company's revenue model is based on long-term service contracts with enterprises that require ongoing IT management, cloud services, and digital transformation support. Key revenue streams include fees for managed services, cloud infrastructure management, and digital workplace solutions. Kyndryl's earnings are significantly enhanced by strategic partnerships with major technology providers like Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, which enable it to offer integrated cloud and IT solutions. Additionally, the company benefits from its legacy customer base inherited from IBM, which includes numerous Fortune 500 companies, ensuring a stable and recurring revenue flow.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kyndryl Holdings is experiencing declining revenue and profitability issues across financial statements. The income statement shows decreasing revenue with some margin recovery. The balance sheet reflects high leverage and limited equity, posing financial risks. Cash flow statements indicate struggles in generating positive cash flow. Strategic improvements are needed for stability and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Kyndryl Holdings has been experiencing declining revenue over recent years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a slight recovery in margins, with a gross profit margin of approximately 39.8% and a net profit margin of 0.9%. However, the company has struggled with consistent profitability, evidenced by previous years' losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some improvement, but overall revenue growth has been negative.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) of approximately 3.61, reflecting significant leverage. The return on equity is modest at 12.6%, suggesting limited profitability on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, highlighting potential financial instability. Overall, the balance sheet reflects a high-risk financial structure with limited equity support.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with free cash flow, which has been negative and inconsistent. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 3.67 in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating reliance on operational cash rather than profitability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, underscoring ongoing struggles to generate cash from operations.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.11B16.05B17.03B18.66B19.35B20.28B
Gross Profit
3.03B2.86B2.53B2.11B2.21B2.60B
EBIT
318.00M116.00M-422.00M-704.00M-1.70B-503.00M
EBITDA
1.43B1.14B952.00M960.00M195.00M1.42B
Net Income Common Stockholders
138.00M-340.00M-1.37B-2.31B-2.01B-943.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.50B1.55B1.85B2.22B24.00M36.00M
Total Assets
9.93B10.59B11.46B13.21B11.21B11.74B
Total Debt
3.95B4.14B4.24B4.60B1.39B1.36B
Net Debt
2.45B2.59B2.40B2.38B1.37B1.32B
Total Liabilities
8.72B9.47B10.00B10.45B6.28B5.80B
Stockholders Equity
1.09B1.01B1.36B2.77B4.87B5.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-61.00M-197.00M-84.00M-871.00M-408.00M-56.00M
Operating Cash Flow
506.00M454.00M781.00M-119.00M628.00M1.13B
Investing Cash Flow
-402.00M-553.00M-835.00M-572.00M-953.00M-1.13B
Financing Cash Flow
-219.00M-170.00M-141.00M2.92B312.00M-1.00M

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price35.32
Price Trends
50DMA
37.91
Negative
100DMA
35.00
Negative
200DMA
29.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.94
Negative
RSI
43.73
Neutral
STOCH
66.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.64, below the 50-day MA of 37.91, and above the 200-day MA of 29.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KD.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Risk Analysis

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ACACN
75
Outperform
$193.38B25.3527.26%1.80%4.10%9.78%
74
Outperform
$242.64B26.7220.02%2.62%-5.34%-30.57%
IBIBM
67
Neutral
$231.72B38.6624.14%2.69%1.45%-20.56%
HPHPE
67
Neutral
$21.70B8.1512.09%3.15%10.93%43.19%
58
Neutral
$22.44B10.62-18.43%2.37%4.68%-25.09%
DXDXC
47
Neutral
$3.07B267.98-2.46%-5.65%78.20%
KDKD
45
Neutral
$8.04B63.2212.09%-8.20%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
34.97
13.62
63.79%
ACN
Accenture
308.90
-21.97
-6.64%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
60.99
12.96
26.98%
IBM
International Business Machines
249.90
67.53
37.03%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
16.52
-0.69
-4.01%
DXC
DXC Technology
17.09
-3.55
-17.20%

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 3, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.95% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong quarter of financial performance with significant growth in signings and revenue, particularly in the Kyndryl Consult segment. However, there were some challenges such as the revenue decline in constant currency and the impact of currency movements on reported revenue. The company also continues to face headwinds from IBM software costs. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, showing positive momentum and a strong outlook.
Highlights
Record Signings and Revenue Growth
Signings grew year-over-year for the fifth consecutive quarter, up 31% to $16.3 billion over the last 12 months. Kyndryl Consult revenues were up 18%, and signings were up 45%, reaching a $3 billion revenue stream.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted pretax margins increased substantially, and adjusted free cash flow exceeded $170 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 18.8%, up 320 basis points year-over-year.
Increased Fiscal 2025 Earnings Outlook
Fiscal 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin outlook increased to at least 16.7%, and adjusted pretax income outlook increased to at least $475 million.
Growth in Hyperscaler Related Revenue
Hyperscaler related revenue surpassed $300 million in the quarter, tracking ahead of the nearly $1 billion full year target.
Successful Execution of 3A's Initiatives
The 3A's initiatives (alliances, accounts, advanced delivery) continue to drive incremental signings, revenue, and earnings.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline in Constant Currency
Revenue totaled $3.7 billion, which is a 3% decline in constant currency.
Forex Impact on Reported Revenue
Reported revenues were affected by currency movements, creating a 2-point gap between reported revenue change and constant currency revenue change.
Continued IBM Software Cost Headwinds
Included in adjusted pretax income was a contractually committed $50 million year-over-year increase in IBM software costs.
Company Guidance
During Kyndryl's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported robust financial metrics, highlighting a 31% year-over-year increase in signings, amounting to $16.3 billion over the last 12 months, and delivering more than $170 million in adjusted free cash flow for the quarter. The company's adjusted pretax margins saw substantial growth, with a significant contribution from Kyndryl Consult, which achieved an 18% revenue increase and a 45% rise in signings over the past year. Hyperscaler-related revenues exceeded $300 million, positioning Kyndryl on track to surpass its $1 billion full-year target. The strategic focus on the 3A’s initiatives—alliances, accounts, and advanced delivery—continued to bolster incremental signings, revenue, and earnings, with projected pretax margins from new signings in the high single digits. Kyndryl also initiated a stock buyback under its share repurchase authorization. Looking forward, the company aims to triple its adjusted free cash flow by fiscal 2028, more than double its adjusted pretax income, and achieve mid-single-digit annual revenue growth, underscoring their commitment to sustained profitable growth.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Kyndryl Holdings Announces $300 Million Share Buyback
Positive
Nov 21, 2024

Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. has announced a $300 million share repurchase program, signaling confidence in their business growth and financial stability. The company plans to buy back shares through various market transactions, with the flexibility to modify or discontinue the program as needed. This move aligns with Kyndryl’s strategy to return capital to shareholders while maintaining financial agility.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.