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Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD)
NYSE:KD

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) AI Stock Analysis

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KD

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation

(NYSE:KD)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(2.36% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
The score is held back most by weak technicals (sharp downtrend and very weak momentum) and a mixed financial profile (improving profitability but pressured by leverage and inconsistent cash flow). Valuation is supportive with a low P/E, while the latest earnings call was balanced—strong signings/Consult/hyperscaler momentum offset by lowered FY26 guidance and SEC-related uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Large backlog and signings
A $15.4B trailing-12-month signings backlog with a gross-profit book-to-bill >1 provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and protects near-term top-line stability. Healthy projected gross margins (≈26%) on new contracts support sustainable earnings as projects roll into delivery.
Consulting mix expansion
A fast-growing consulting practice (20% YoY) now at ~25% of revenue shifts the mix toward higher-value, higher-margin work. This structural move toward advisory and modernization strengthens margin sustainability, recurring upsell potential, and client stickiness over the medium term.
Operational efficiency and savings
Large, quantified efficiency programs (roughly $950M and $975M in annualized savings) indicate durable structural cost improvements. Sustained savings materially bolster adjusted margins and free-cash-flow potential, increasing financial flexibility to invest, de-lever, or return capital over coming years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A high debt-to-equity ratio (~3.25x) reduces balance-sheet flexibility for a services company whose revenues can be lumpy. Elevated leverage increases interest and refinancing risk, constrains investment in growth initiatives, and makes the firm more sensitive to cash-flow volatility over the medium term.
Multi-year revenue contraction
Sustained revenue declines mean recent profit improvement largely reflects cost cuts and mix shifts rather than robust demand. Without durable top-line growth, margin gains may be limited and reinvestment capacity constrained, threatening long-term earnings sustainability and FCF expansion.
SEC inquiry and leadership turnover
An SEC document request and an audit-committee review create governance and disclosure uncertainty, while recent finance/legal leadership changes raise execution risk. These issues can slow strategic decisions, distract management, and potentially increase remediation costs or limit stakeholder confidence over months.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKyndryl Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology services company and IT infrastructure services provider worldwide. The company offers cloud services; core enterprise and cloud services; application, data, and artificial intelligence services; digital workplace services; security and resiliency services; and network services and edge services. It serves financial, telecommunications, retail, automobile, and transportation industries. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyKyndryl makes money primarily by selling IT infrastructure services to enterprise and government customers under service contracts that can include recurring managed services and project-based professional services. A major revenue stream is managed infrastructure services (often delivered as ongoing operations/outsourcing engagements) where Kyndryl runs and supports customers’ day-to-day IT environments—such as data center and cloud operations, mainframe and distributed compute, network and edge services, and end-user/digital workplace support—typically billed as recurring fees based on contract terms, service levels, and scope. Another key stream is advisory and modernization work (consulting and implementation projects) where Kyndryl helps customers transform or migrate infrastructure (e.g., hybrid cloud adoption, application and platform modernization tied to infrastructure, network modernization, security and resiliency improvements); these engagements are generally billed on a project or time-and-materials basis, though some may be fixed-price or outcome-oriented depending on the contract structure. Kyndryl also generates revenue through security and resiliency-related offerings (such as managed security services and recovery/continuity capabilities) and through services that support and integrate third-party technologies used in customer environments. A significant factor in how Kyndryl earns revenue is its partner ecosystem: it works with major technology vendors and cloud providers to design and operate solutions on top of their platforms and products. In these arrangements, Kyndryl typically monetizes its role as a systems integrator and managed services provider—charging for design, implementation, integration, and ongoing management—rather than relying solely on reselling software or hardware. Revenue performance is therefore influenced by (i) contract renewals and expansions with large existing customers, (ii) winning new managed services engagements and modernization projects, (iii) the mix between higher-margin consulting/transformation work versus traditional infrastructure management, and (iv) customer demand for cloud migration, security, resiliency, and modernization of legacy environments.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsKyndryl's revenue across all geographic segments shows a declining trend, particularly in the United States and Principal Markets, reflecting broader challenges. Despite this, the earnings call highlights robust growth in consulting and hyperscaler-related revenues, suggesting strategic pivots are gaining traction. The company's focus on alliances and advanced delivery is expected to drive modest revenue growth in fiscal 2026, despite current declines. The increase in customer signings and strong cash flow projections indicate potential for recovery, although focus account issues remain a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: notable operational progress (strong Consult and hyperscaler growth, disciplined signings with healthy projected margins, automation and accounts remediation delivering sizable savings, positive cash generation and a solid balance sheet) was offset by meaningful near-term headwinds (elongated sales cycles, adverse IBM mix impact, localized market softness, higher-than-expected labor costs, a downward revision to fiscal 2026 profit and free cash flow guidance, and an SEC document request delaying the filing). While the company emphasized confidence in its multiyear fiscal 2028 targets, the combination of near-term revenue/margin timing issues and the SEC matter tempers the tone.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Quarterly Result
Reported revenue of $3.9 billion for the quarter, up 3% year-over-year on a reported basis and unchanged in constant currency; company noted margin expansion, higher earnings, and positive free cash flow for the quarter.
Strong Consult Growth
Kyndryl Consult grew 20% year-over-year in constant currency and represented 25% of total revenue in the quarter, reflecting expansion into higher-value services.
Signings and Backlog Quality
Quarter signings of $3.9 billion (including 11 contracts > $50M) and $15.4 billion of signings over the last twelve months; gross profit book-to-bill of 1.2 over the last 12 months with average projected gross margin of 26% on those signings, adding nearly $4 billion of projected gross profit to backlog.
Hyperscaler Momentum
Hyperscaler-related revenue of $500 million in the quarter, up 58% year-over-year; company is on track to realize nearly $2 billion in hyperscaler-related revenue by the end of 2026.
Operational Efficiency Initiatives
Three A's initiatives producing tangible results: Kyndryl Bridge advanced delivery automation cited as yielding roughly $950 million of annualized savings and focus accounts remediation delivering cumulative annualized profit savings of $975 million.
Profitability and Cash Generation
Adjusted pretax income in the quarter grew 5% year-over-year to $168 million; adjusted EBITDA was $696 million; free cash flow of $217 million generated in the quarter and company reaffirmed multi-year targets (combined fiscal 2025–2026 adjusted PTI ~$1.1 billion and combined free cash flow target of $800 million).
Balance Sheet and Capital Returns
Cash balance of $1.35 billion at quarter-end, net leverage of 0.7x adjusted EBITDA (well within target), investment-grade ratings intact, and continued share repurchases (3.7 million shares bought for $100 million in the quarter; ~5% of shares repurchased since program inception, ~$350 million repurchase capacity remaining).
Negative Updates
Slower Sales Cycles and Revised Outlook
Lengthening sales cycles (attributed to AI-driven complexity, data sovereignty concerns, and extended ERP-to-cloud timelines) led to weaker-than-expected sequential acceleration and a revised fiscal 2026 adjusted pretax income outlook of $575 million to $600 million and free cash flow guidance reduced to $325 million to $375 million (down from prior guidance near $550 million).
IBM Partnership Headwind
Evolving customer consumption of IBM innovation had an estimated 3.5% adverse effect on revenue growth; annualized run rate of spend with IBM has declined from nearly $4 billion at spin-off to approximately $2 billion, creating a material mix/headwind dynamic.
Geographic and Market Weaknesses
Underperformance concentrated in strategic markets and the UK, contributing to the disappointment versus expectations and prompting actions to address local-cost and hiring dynamics.
Higher Near-Term Labor Costs
An unanticipated decline in employee attrition increased near-term labor costs relative to assumptions, and investments in Kyndryl Consult have taken longer to translate into revenue because of extended sales cycles.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA decreased 1% year-over-year to $696 million in the quarter, reflecting timing and mix effects despite margin expansion commentary elsewhere.
Signings Softness in Quarter
Quarterly signings decreased 3% year-over-year (per management), indicating some near-term softness in deal closures even though LTM signings remain robust.
SEC Inquiry and Filing Delay
Company disclosed a voluntary document request from the SEC and that the audit committee is reviewing cash management practices, related disclosures, and internal controls; the filing of the quarterly report was delayed. Management stated they do not expect a restatement but limited commentary is possible until review concludes.
Higher-Than-Usual CapEx This Quarter
Net capital expenditures were $210 million in the quarter, above typical quarterly run rate, contributing to near-term cash outflows.
Company Guidance
Kyndryl said Q3 revenue was $3.9B (up 3% reported, flat in constant currency) with $3.9B of signings in the quarter (11 deals >$50M) and $15.4B of signings over the last 12 months, leaving a book-to-bill above 1.0 and a gross profit book-to-bill of 1.2 (average projected gross margin ~26%), while Kyndryl Consult grew 20% YoY in constant currency and represented 25% of revenue; Q3 adjusted EBITDA was $696M (down 1%) and adjusted pretax income was $168M (up 5%), free cash flow in the quarter was $217M (net CapEx $210M), cash was $1.35B, net leverage 0.7x, and hyperscaler-related revenue was $500M in Q3 (up 58% YoY) with management on track for nearly $2B of hyperscaler revenue by end of 2026; updated FY26 guidance is adjusted pretax income $575M–$600M, adjusted EBITDA margin ~17.5%, and free cash flow $325M–$375M (with roughly $160M cash taxes expected), while multiyear targets remain >$1.2B adjusted pretax income and >$1B adjusted free cash flow in fiscal 2028 (exit growth mid-single-digits); management also highlighted operational gains including ~$950M annualized savings from Kyndryl Bridge, $975M of cumulative annualized profit savings from focus accounts, and $100M of buybacks in the quarter (3.7M shares, ~1.6% of shares; ~$350M remaining authorization).

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has improved and the company has returned to positive earnings, but multi-year revenue contraction, elevated leverage (per the balance sheet assessment), and uneven/weak TTM free-cash-flow conversion keep overall financial quality constrained.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability has improved meaningfully versus prior years: annual net income moved from deep losses in 2022–2023 to a loss in 2024 and then a profit in 2025, with margins also expanding (2025 annual net margin ~1.7%; TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin ~3.8%). However, the top line has been shrinking for several years (annual revenue growth negative in 2023–2025), which limits the quality of the earnings recovery and suggests the turnaround is not being driven by demand growth.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage is a key constraint: debt-to-equity is elevated (roughly 3.25x in the annual data; even higher in 2023), leaving less room for operational volatility in a services business. Equity returns swing sharply from strongly negative in 2022–2023 to positive in 2025, reflecting a volatile earnings base. Balance sheet quality is also difficult to fully assess because the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) balance sheet fields show zeros for debt and equity despite a leverage ratio being provided, creating internal inconsistencies that reduce confidence in the snapshot.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation has improved from 2024 (negative free cash flow) to 2025 annual (positive operating and free cash flow), indicating better conversion as profitability normalized. That said, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is materially lower than the annual figure (and shows a steep decline rate), and the TTM relationship between free cash flow and net income is weak/negative, implying working-capital or investment swings are pressuring cash. Operating cash flow relative to debt remains modest, which is a consideration given the leverage profile.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.12B15.06B16.05B17.03B18.66B18.66B
Gross Profit3.31B3.14B2.86B2.53B2.11B2.11B
EBITDA2.96B1.55B1.14B617.00M-175.00M-175.00M
Net Income249.00M252.00M-340.00M-1.37B-2.30B-2.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.28B10.45B10.59B11.46B13.21B13.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments450.00M1.79B1.55B1.85B2.22B2.22B
Total Debt4.57B3.96B4.14B4.24B4.60B4.60B
Total Liabilities9.97B9.12B9.47B10.00B10.45B10.45B
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.22B1.01B1.36B2.77B2.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-99.00M337.00M-197.00M-197.00M-871.00M-408.00M
Operating Cash Flow594.00M942.00M454.00M454.00M-119.00M628.00M
Investing Cash Flow-639.00M-404.00M-553.00M-553.00M-572.00M-953.00M
Financing Cash Flow-495.00M-286.00M-170.00M-170.00M2.92B312.00M

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.70
Price Trends
50DMA
19.86
Negative
100DMA
23.26
Negative
200DMA
29.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.87
Negative
RSI
35.56
Neutral
STOCH
63.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.50, below the 50-day MA of 19.86, and below the 200-day MA of 29.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KD.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Risk Analysis

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$13.07B23.7013.16%12.61%11.85%
73
Outperform
$6.61B14.7221.81%1.41%7.40%-14.45%
70
Outperform
$234.70B26.0736.86%2.21%4.51%21.89%
69
Neutral
$7.70B30.3210.27%14.26%-15.49%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$2.08B6.0713.41%-4.13%2143.48%
53
Neutral
$2.86B26.5320.43%-1.90%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
12.70
-21.60
-62.97%
CACI
Caci International
591.71
224.77
61.26%
EPAM
Epam Systems
142.18
-49.18
-25.70%
G
Genpact
38.92
-10.14
-20.67%
IBM
International Business Machines
250.20
7.29
3.00%
DXC
DXC Technology
12.25
-5.27
-30.08%

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Kyndryl Announces Interim Finance and Legal Leadership Changes
Negative
Feb 9, 2026

On February 5, 2026, Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. named former Chief Operating Officer and current Global Head of Practices, Corporate Development and Administration, Harsh Chugh, as Interim Chief Financial Officer, and Senior Vice President for Finance and Strategy, Bhavna Doegar, as Interim Corporate Controller, with no immediate changes to their compensation. Both executives bring extensive finance and operational experience from prior roles at PlanSource, Genpact and General Electric, and the company emphasized there are no related-party relationships or disclosable transactions tied to their appointments.

The board also accepted the immediate departures of Chief Financial Officer David Wyshner and General Counsel Edward Sebold on February 5, 2026, while Senior Vice President and Global Controller Vineet Khurana stepped down from his role to assume a different position within Kyndryl, signaling a broader reshuffle of its senior finance and legal leadership. On the same date, longtime IBM legal executive and current Senior Vice President, Deputy General Counsel, Mark Ringes, was elevated to Interim General Counsel, underscoring the company’s reliance on seasoned internal talent as it navigates this leadership transition in key governance and financial oversight roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (KD) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation stock, see the KD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Kyndryl Announces Retirement of Chief Human Resources Officer
Neutral
Jan 6, 2026

On January 2, 2026, Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. announced that Chief Human Resources Officer Maryjo Charbonnier intends to retire from her role effective March 31, 2026, after more than four years in the post since Kyndryl’s debut as a public company and nearly two decades as a CHRO at public companies. Following her retirement from the CHRO position, Charbonnier will remain with Kyndryl as an Executive Advisor until August 31, 2026, ensuring continuity in human resources leadership during the transition and providing ongoing strategic guidance to the company’s management team and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (KD) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation stock, see the KD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026