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Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC)
NASDAQ:SAIC

Science Applications (SAIC) AI Stock Analysis

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Science Applications

(NASDAQ:SAIC)

78Outperform
SAIC's overall score reflects solid financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, supported by strong cash flow and reasonable valuation. The earnings call was positive but highlighted some risks related to government contracts and market conditions. Technical indicators suggest moderate optimism, but longer-term challenges remain, emphasizing the need for continued strategic execution.
Positive Factors
Contract Wins
SAIC won the $1.8B system software lifecycle engineering contract, showing strong performance in securing new business.
Financial Performance
SAIC reported financials above estimates and raised its fiscal 2026 outlook while reaffirming its $11 per share free cash flow target.
Growth Outlook
SAIC raised guidance and expects around 3% organic growth in F2025, despite anticipated headwinds.
Negative Factors
Competitive Challenges
SAIC has lost recompetes and has a re-bid win rate of only 70% compared to the peer average of 90%+.
Contract Delays
SAIC believes that contract award adjudication timelines may extend, posing a potential risk.
Market Sentiment
The creation of the DOGE commission and the looming debt ceiling expiration have soured investor sentiment on government services stocks.

Science Applications (SAIC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Science Applications Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionScience Applications International Corporation (SAIC) is a leading technology integrator providing full lifecycle services and solutions in the technical, engineering, and enterprise information technology sectors. The company offers a broad range of services, including systems engineering, software development, data analytics, and IT modernization to government and commercial customers. SAIC is known for its ability to integrate complex technologies and deliver mission-critical services that advance the capabilities of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneySAIC primarily makes money through contracts and projects with government agencies, especially in the defense, intelligence, and civilian markets. The company's revenue streams include providing engineering and technical support, IT infrastructure services, cybersecurity solutions, and managed services. These contracts are often long-term and are secured through competitive bidding processes. Additionally, SAIC partners with various technology providers and leverages these relationships to enhance its service offerings and drive additional revenue through collaboration on large-scale projects. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by government budgets and spending priorities, particularly in defense and technology modernization initiatives.

Science Applications Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Science Applications has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with strong profitability metrics. The balance sheet is reasonably leveraged, though caution is warranted due to the proportion of assets financed by liabilities. Cash flow performance is strong, providing a solid foundation for future investments and debt management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Science Applications has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in net income for the most recent period. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are strong, indicating effective cost management and profitability. However, the EBIT margin shows some volatility, suggesting potential fluctuations in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is commendable, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. However, the company's equity ratio suggests that a significant portion of its assets is financed by liabilities, which could pose a risk in uncertain economic conditions.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Science Applications has shown strong free cash flow growth, with a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting that the company is successful in converting profits into available cash, enhancing financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.48B7.44B7.70B7.39B7.06B
Gross Profit
892.00M872.00M888.00M859.00M792.00M
EBIT
563.00M741.00M501.00M462.00M390.00M
EBITDA
694.00M882.00M665.00M684.00M626.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
362.00M477.00M300.00M277.00M209.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
56.00M94.00M109.00M106.00M171.00M
Total Assets
5.25B5.31B5.54B5.75B5.72B
Total Debt
486.00M2.25B2.53B2.71B2.72B
Net Debt
430.00M2.15B2.42B2.60B2.55B
Total Liabilities
3.67B3.53B3.84B4.12B4.17B
Stockholders Equity
1.58B1.78B1.69B1.62B1.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
494.00M369.00M507.00M482.00M709.00M
Operating Cash Flow
494.00M396.00M532.00M518.00M755.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-35.00M314.00M-36.00M-292.00M-1.23B
Financing Cash Flow
-498.00M-725.00M-493.00M-301.00M464.00M

Science Applications Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price117.55
Price Trends
50DMA
106.80
Positive
100DMA
110.80
Positive
200DMA
121.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.35
Negative
RSI
63.04
Neutral
STOCH
87.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAIC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 117.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.60, above the 50-day MA of 106.80, and below the 200-day MA of 121.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SAIC.

Science Applications Risk Analysis

Science Applications disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Science Applications reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Science Applications Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$9.25B19.3513.79%14.04%29.08%
78
Outperform
$5.56B16.2521.53%1.26%0.47%-18.98%
68
Neutral
$5.90B62.3021.12%0.17%4.51%43.29%
PSPSN
67
Neutral
$6.93B30.709.99%24.03%43.75%
WEWEX
66
Neutral
$4.37B16.9518.71%3.15%21.82%
65
Neutral
$4.20B450.482.11%16.42%
58
Neutral
$11.09B9.81-6.44%3.15%7.57%-10.71%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAIC
Science Applications
117.18
-5.34
-4.36%
CACI
Caci International
417.22
51.31
14.02%
PEGA
Pegasystems
69.66
11.04
18.83%
WEX
WEX
127.24
-106.28
-45.51%
PSN
Parsons
64.08
-14.86
-18.82%
BILL
Bill.Com Holdings, Inc.
42.21
-20.29
-32.46%

Science Applications Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 17, 2025 | % Change Since: 12.93% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, strategic contract wins, and growth in the commercial sector. However, challenges such as recompete headwinds, procurement delays, and the impacts of government efficiency initiatives pose risks. The company's guidance reflects cautious optimism, but the reliance on backlog and new work to drive growth remains a concern.
Highlights
Strong Q4 and Full-Year Financial Performance
Fourth-quarter revenue of $1.84 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year. Full-year FY 2025 revenue of $7.48 billion, representing a 3.1% organic growth at the high end of guidance.
Commercial Operating Sector Growth
Revenue increased from less than $1 million in FY 2022 to approximately $45 million in FY 2025, with a goal of $100 million by FY 2028.
Strategic Contract Wins and Backlog
Net bookings in Q4 of $1.3 billion and $6.6 billion for FY 2025. Won a $1.8 billion system software lifecycle engineering contract, with a backlog of submitted bids increasing to over $20 billion.
Guidance for FY 2026
Guiding revenues to a range of $7.6 billion to $7.75 billion, representing approximately 3% organic growth at the midpoint. EBITDA margin guidance of 9.4% to 9.6%.
Lowlights
Recompete and Procurement Challenges
Recompete headwinds, particularly related to a NASA program exit. Procurement delays and extended timelines have been observed but not broad-based.
Government Efficiency Initiative Impacts
Potential risks from government efficiency initiatives, including workforce reductions and contract scrutiny, could impact future revenue and operations.
Lower Backlog Year-over-Year
Backlog is down year-over-year, raising concerns about the reliance on new work to achieve growth targets.
Challenges with Cost-Plus to Fixed Price Transition
Transitioning from cost-plus to fixed-price contracts poses challenges, requiring customer cooperation and potential revenue impacts.
Company Guidance
During the Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) FY 2025 Q4 earnings call, several key metrics and strategic guidance points were highlighted. SAIC reported fourth-quarter revenue of $1.84 billion, marking a 6% year-over-year increase, with full-year revenue reaching $7.48 billion, reflecting 3.1% organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $177 million with a margin of 9.6%, and for the full year, it was $710 million with a margin of 9.5%, which was 20 basis points above guidance. The adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $2.57 for Q4 and $9.13 for the full year. SAIC's net bookings were $1.3 billion in Q4 and $6.6 billion for FY 2025, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 0.9. Looking forward, SAIC provided FY 2026 revenue guidance of $7.6 billion to $7.75 billion, indicating approximately 3% organic growth at the midpoint. They also expect an EBITDA margin range of 9.4% to 9.6% and adjusted diluted EPS between $9.10 and $9.30. Free cash flow is projected to be between $510 million and $530 million, translating to about $11 per share. SAIC aims to achieve a book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 by the first half of FY 2026. The company continues to focus on mission-critical and enterprise IT opportunities, aligning its strategy with market trends and customer needs.

Science Applications Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Science Applications Expands Board with New Appointment
Positive
Nov 18, 2024

Science Applications International Corporation appointed John K. Tien, Jr. to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to twelve members. Tien, with a rich background in government and finance, including roles at Citigroup and the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, will join the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee. His appointment reflects his diverse leadership experience and promises to bring strategic insights to the company’s governance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.