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KB Home (KBH)
NYSE:KBH

KB Home (KBH) AI Stock Analysis

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KB Home

(NYSE:KBH)

66Neutral
KB Home's overall score reflects strong financial performance and attractive valuation, tempered by technical analysis indicating bearish momentum. The earnings call highlighted both positive long-term prospects and immediate challenges, such as revised revenue guidance and operational hurdles. Investors should weigh the company's strong order numbers and efficient cost management against the current softer market demand and delivery shortfalls.
Positive Factors
Gross Margin
KB Home's stable gross margin guidance was not expected and is a positive distinction from its peers.
Sales Trends
Sales trends have rebounded to 1+/week/store after KBH cut base prices.
Strategic Growth
KBH grew its land position for the fourth consecutive quarter, indicating a strategic investment in future growth.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Concerns
Concerning macro factors such as higher rates and rising new home supply nationally are present.
Order Decline
Net orders were significantly down year-over-year and below forecast, leading to a lowered revenue outlook.
Revenue Outlook
KBH lowers revenue outlook after orders miss, with net orders 17% down year-over-year.

KB Home (KBH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

KB Home Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKB Home operates as a homebuilding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells various homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. The company also offers financial services, such as insurance products and title services. It has operations in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, Texas, and Washington. The company was formerly known as Kaufman and Broad Home Corporation and changed its name to KB Home in January 2001. KB Home was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyKB Home generates revenue primarily through the construction and sale of residential properties. The company operates a build-to-order business model, allowing customers to personalize various aspects of their homes, which enhances customer satisfaction and increases sales potential. Revenue streams for KB Home include the sale of single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and contractors to manage costs and optimize the construction process. Additionally, KB Home's focus on sustainable and energy-efficient building practices can attract environmentally conscious buyers, contributing to its revenue. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as housing market conditions, interest rates, and economic trends.

KB Home Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KB Home demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cost management with a high Gross Profit Margin. The balance sheet is robust, with a favorable Debt-to-Equity Ratio and strong equity base, enhancing financial stability. However, cash flow metrics show challenges, particularly in free cash flow growth, requiring attention for future performance.
Income Statement
80
Positive
KB Home has demonstrated strong growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 8.1% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin is exceptionally high at 100%, indicating effective cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin of 9.5% suggests room for improvement in profitability efficiency. The EBIT Margin is healthy at 11%, reflecting solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.42, indicating a balanced use of debt and equity, which is relatively low risk. Return on Equity is strong at 16.1%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio of 58.6% indicates a strong reliance on equity financing, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is negative, indicating a decrease in cash flow generated after capital expenditures. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.55 suggests moderate efficiency in converting net income into cash. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.49, showing a reasonable conversion of income into cash flow, despite recent declines.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.93B6.41B6.90B5.72B4.18B
Gross Profit
1.47B1.37B1.69B1.26B802.72M
EBIT
763.91M718.74M1.04B661.34M316.47M
EBITDA
822.89M778.95M1.10B723.99M392.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
655.02M590.18M816.67M564.75M296.24M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
597.97M727.34M328.52M290.76M681.19M
Total Assets
6.94B6.65B6.65B5.84B5.36B
Total Debt
1.71B1.72B2.35B1.69B1.75B
Net Debt
1.11B989.09M2.02B1.39B1.07B
Total Liabilities
2.88B2.84B2.99B2.82B2.69B
Stockholders Equity
4.06B3.81B3.66B3.02B2.67B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
323.41M1.05B138.18M-76.69M281.84M
Operating Cash Flow
362.72M1.08B183.42M-37.30M310.68M
Investing Cash Flow
-50.12M-58.06M-71.77M-38.08M-26.56M
Financing Cash Flow
-440.75M-627.49M-73.58M-315.01M-56.44M

KB Home Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price57.54
Price Trends
50DMA
62.45
Negative
100DMA
67.53
Negative
200DMA
73.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.32
Positive
RSI
40.18
Neutral
STOCH
25.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KBH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 57.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.85, below the 50-day MA of 62.45, and below the 200-day MA of 73.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KBH.

KB Home Risk Analysis

KB Home disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KB Home reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KB Home Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DHDHI
78
Outperform
$38.54B8.6419.35%1.09%2.12%1.63%
PHPHM
74
Outperform
$20.41B6.8927.40%0.83%11.74%25.66%
TOTOL
69
Neutral
$9.78B6.7720.38%0.91%5.86%12.20%
LELEN
68
Neutral
$28.47B7.8914.97%1.80%2.03%-3.80%
KBKBH
66
Neutral
$3.97B6.7815.60%1.74%5.54%11.25%
NVNVR
66
Neutral
$22.00B14.6039.23%10.81%10.16%
59
Neutral
$11.22B10.13-1.22%3.96%1.32%-18.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KBH
KB Home
57.54
-8.00
-12.21%
DHI
DR Horton
127.87
-27.45
-17.67%
LEN
Lennar
111.03
-45.45
-29.05%
NVR
NVR
7,410.93
-460.22
-5.85%
PHM
PulteGroup
101.24
-12.99
-11.37%
TOL
Toll Brothers
100.86
-22.96
-18.54%

KB Home Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -6.88% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While KB Home reported strong order numbers and improved several key metrics such as gross margin and community count, the call highlighted challenges including revised revenue guidance, a delivery shortfall, and a difficult sales environment in Florida. The sentiment is balanced with positive long-term outlooks and investments in land and community growth, but overshadowed by current operational challenges.
Highlights
Revenue and Earnings
KB Home reported total revenues of $1.4 billion and diluted earnings per share of $1.49 for the first quarter of fiscal 2025.
Improved Metrics
Gross margin held at 20.3% excluding inventory-related charges, above the midpoint of the guided range, and the book value per share increased to over $57, a 12% year-over-year increase.
Strong Net Orders
The company generated 2,772 net orders in the first quarter, and saw a meaningful improvement in net orders in the last two weeks of the quarter, continuing into the second quarter.
Community Count Growth
The average community count increased by 7% year over year, with plans to maintain roughly 250 to 260 active communities throughout the 2025 second and third quarters.
Investment in Land
Invested $920 million in land acquisition and development during the quarter, with a lot position increased by 41% to over 78,200 lots owned or controlled.
Efficient Build Times
Build times improved to 147 days, with built-to-order homes at 139 days, moving closer to the goal of 120 days from start to home completion.
Lowlights
Lowered Revenue Guidance
Revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 was lowered due to softer demand at the start of the spring selling season.
Delivery Shortfall
Delivered fewer homes than anticipated, approximately 225 homes short of the first quarter expectation, including a delay of 75 homes in Southern California.
Reduced Operating Income Margin
Operating income margin decreased to 9.2% from 10.8% in the prior year, with reduced guidance for the full year operating income margin.
Challenges in Florida
Florida was identified as the softest state in terms of sales demand, requiring significant pricing action to stimulate sales.
Increased Cancellation Rates
The monthly absorption pace per community dropped to 3.6 homes, compared to 4.6 in the previous year's first quarter.
Company Guidance
During the KB Home 2025 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a reduction in revenue expectations for fiscal 2025 due to a softer selling environment. The total revenues for the first quarter were $1.4 billion with a diluted earnings per share of $1.49. The company reported delivering fewer homes than anticipated, with a shortfall of approximately 225 homes, partly due to 75 delayed deliveries in Southern California affected by wildfires. The gross margin, excluding inventory-related charges, was 20.3%, with an SG&A ratio of 11%, resulting in an operating income margin of 9.3%. The company also highlighted an increase in book value per share to over $57, a 12% year-over-year increase. Net orders were 2,772, with an average community count in line with projections, and a monthly absorption pace of 3.6 homes. KB Home's backlog stood at over 4,400 homes valued at $2.2 billion, with improved build times of 147 days for built-to-order homes. The company anticipates maintaining 250 to 260 active communities throughout the second and third quarters of 2025 and ending the year with approximately 250 communities. The guidance for full-year revenues was revised to a range of $6.6 billion to $7 billion, and the overall average selling price projection was adjusted to between $480,000 and $495,000.

KB Home Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
KB Home Sets 2024 Incentive Awards for Executives
Neutral
Jan 27, 2025

On January 23, 2025, KB Home’s board of directors determined the 2024 fiscal year incentive awards for eligible participants under the company’s annual incentive compensation program. The awards included payouts in cash and restricted stock, which will vest over three years starting January 25, 2026. Notably, Jeffery T. Mezger received a substantial incentive award, highlighting his key role in the company.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.