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SoftBank Group Corp. (JP:9984)
:9984
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SoftBank Group (9984) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9984

SoftBank Group

(9984)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,385.00
▼(-2.09% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality (negative 2026 operating/free cash flow, volatile earnings, and high leverage) and bearish technicals (below major moving averages). These risks are partially offset by very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Capital allocation & investment platform
SoftBank’s durable business model centers on capital allocation and investment management, giving it structural access to high-growth tech opportunities. This expertise supports recurring value creation through active portfolio management and potential monetization, sustaining returns across cycles.
Negative Factors
Volatile profitability and earnings quality
Earnings volatility and a disconnect between headline net income and operating profit reflect reliance on fair-value gains and make sustainable earnings visibility poor. This undermines forecasting, dividend reliability and long-term planning for capital allocation across the portfolio.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Capital allocation & investment platform
SoftBank’s durable business model centers on capital allocation and investment management, giving it structural access to high-growth tech opportunities. This expertise supports recurring value creation through active portfolio management and potential monetization, sustaining returns across cycles.
Read all positive factors

SoftBank Group (9984) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SoftBank Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SoftBank Group Corp. (9984) is a Japan-based investment holding company focused on building and managing a portfolio of technology and telecommunications-related businesses globally. Its activities include strategic and financial investments in pu...
How the Company Makes Money
SoftBank Group primarily makes money through (1) returns from investments and (2) earnings from consolidated operating subsidiaries. 1) Investment returns (core driver) - Capital gains and losses on investments: A major source of performance is t...

SoftBank Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant financial recovery and strategic investments in AI and technology sectors. However, ongoing market volatility and increased leverage were noted as challenges. Despite these, the company's strategic direction and financial achievements outweighed the concerns.
Positive Updates
Record Profitability
SoftBank Group reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years and an increase of JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and Challenges
Weaker performance of tech stocks led to significant market volatility, impacting net asset value down by JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Profitability
SoftBank Group reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years and an increase of JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the earnings results announcement for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, SoftBank Group Corp. highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a net asset value of JPY 25.7 trillion, a decrease of JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, but noted a recovery to JPY 27.4 trillion based on current share prices. The loan-to-value ratio increased to 18.0% from 8.4% the previous year, remaining below the 25% safety threshold. SoftBank achieved a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, and net sales rose to JPY 7.2 billion, up JPY 487 billion year-on-year. The company is focused on advancing its AI strategy, including a significant investment commitment of up to $30 billion in OpenAI and the acquisition of Ampere for $6.5 billion. Additionally, SoftBank is preparing for the IPO of PayPay, which achieved an EBIT of JPY 45 billion and a GMV of JPY 15.4 trillion, reflecting a 23% year-on-year increase.

SoftBank Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth and strong ~51–52% gross margins are positives, but overall quality is weakened by highly volatile profitability, slightly negative 2026 operating profit despite strong net income, elevated leverage with sharply higher debt in 2026, and a major deterioration in 2026 cash generation (negative operating and deeply negative free cash flow).
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.80T7.24T6.76T6.57T6.22T
Gross Profit4.02T3.75T3.54T3.33T3.27T
EBITDA7.83T3.15T1.47T980.26B365.37B
Net Income5.00T1.15T-227.65B-970.14B-1.71T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.75T45.01T46.72T43.94T47.54T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.50T3.71T6.19T6.93T5.33T
Total Debt25.86T18.91T16.19T16.05T17.79T
Total Liabilities40.47T31.06T33.49T33.29T35.84T
Stockholders Equity17.43T11.56T11.16T9.03T9.98T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.48T118.98B-372.06B107.53B1.89T
Operating Cash Flow-744.36B973.15B250.55B741.29B2.73T
Investing Cash Flow-4.36T-1.71T-841.46B547.58B-3.02T
Financing Cash Flow6.01T-1.81T-606.22B191.52B602.22B

SoftBank Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥631.41B25.6616.08%1.12%9.02%21.15%
69
Neutral
¥10.52T15.5214.41%2.71%3.58%11.30%
66
Neutral
¥10.67T19.703.88%7.55%3.35%
65
Neutral
¥439.73B25.2716.96%1.49%5.57%31.99%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
¥12.99T12.1010.96%3.50%5.14%5.33%
56
Neutral
¥30.03T6.0224.50%0.20%7.66%349.30%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9984
SoftBank Group
5,695.00
2,563.04
81.83%
JP:9449
GMO Internet
4,196.00
308.57
7.94%
JP:3774
Internet Initiative Japan
3,513.00
750.74
27.18%
JP:9433
KDDI
2,901.00
450.92
18.40%
JP:9432
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone
154.50
3.17
2.10%
JP:9434
SoftBank Corp.
228.60
7.54
3.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2026