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SoftBank Group Corp. (JP:9984)
:9984
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SoftBank Group (9984) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9984

SoftBank Group

(9984)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,480.00
▲(21.05% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/23/26
The score is held back primarily by weak TTM cash flow (negative operating cash flow and free cash flow despite strong net income) and consistently high leverage. Technicals are supportive due to strong trend strength, but overbought signals raise near-term risk. Valuation is moderately supportive, helped by a very high dividend yield alongside a mid-range P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue and profit rebound
SoftBank's recent rebound to strong net income and pronounced revenue growth reflects an improving core earnings base beyond one-off valuation moves. Over 2–6 months, a steadier revenue trend and restored profitability increase capacity to fund investments and reduce reliance on ad hoc asset sales, supporting durable operating leverage if maintained.
Negative Factors
Meaningfully elevated leverage
Consistently high debt relative to equity raises structural financial risk: interest costs, refinancing needs, and vulnerability to market swings. For an investment holding whose earnings depend on portfolio valuations, elevated leverage amplifies downside volatility and constrains strategic flexibility over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and profit rebound
SoftBank's recent rebound to strong net income and pronounced revenue growth reflects an improving core earnings base beyond one-off valuation moves. Over 2–6 months, a steadier revenue trend and restored profitability increase capacity to fund investments and reduce reliance on ad hoc asset sales, supporting durable operating leverage if maintained.
Read all positive factors

SoftBank Group (9984) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SoftBank Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through five segments: Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Latin America Funds. The company offers m...
How the Company Makes Money
SoftBank Group primarily makes money through (1) investment gains and income from its portfolio and (2) earnings from operating businesses it consolidates or holds significant stakes in. 1) Investment business (core earnings driver for the holdin...

SoftBank Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment overall, with significant financial recovery and strategic investments in AI and technology sectors. However, ongoing market volatility and increased leverage were noted as challenges. Despite these, the company's strategic direction and financial achievements outweighed the concerns.
Positive Updates
Record Profitability
SoftBank Group reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years and an increase of JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and Challenges
Weaker performance of tech stocks led to significant market volatility, impacting net asset value down by JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Profitability
SoftBank Group reported a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years and an increase of JPY 1.38 trillion year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the earnings results announcement for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, SoftBank Group Corp. highlighted several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a net asset value of JPY 25.7 trillion, a decrease of JPY 2.1 trillion year-over-year, but noted a recovery to JPY 27.4 trillion based on current share prices. The loan-to-value ratio increased to 18.0% from 8.4% the previous year, remaining below the 25% safety threshold. SoftBank achieved a net income of JPY 1.15 trillion, marking its first profit in four years, and net sales rose to JPY 7.2 billion, up JPY 487 billion year-on-year. The company is focused on advancing its AI strategy, including a significant investment commitment of up to $30 billion in OpenAI and the acquisition of Ampere for $6.5 billion. Additionally, SoftBank is preparing for the IPO of PayPay, which achieved an EBIT of JPY 45 billion and a GMV of JPY 15.4 trillion, reflecting a 23% year-on-year increase.

SoftBank Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows strong revenue growth and a sharp profitability rebound in 2025/TTM, but earnings durability is uncertain due to prior volatility. Balance sheet leverage is consistently high (debt above equity), raising risk. Cash flow is the key concern: TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative despite strong net income, indicating weak cash conversion and potential liquidity pressure if sustained.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.66T7.24T6.76T6.57T6.22T5.63T
Gross Profit3.95T3.75T3.54T3.33T3.27T2.87T
EBITDA5.16T1.60T1.47T980.26B365.37B1.45T
Net Income3.68T1.15T-227.65B-970.14B-1.71T4.99T
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.56T45.01T46.72T43.94T47.54T45.75T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.65T3.71T6.19T6.93T5.33T5.32T
Total Debt25.21T18.91T16.19T16.05T17.79T16.46T
Total Liabilities37.44T31.06T33.49T33.29T35.84T33.79T
Stockholders Equity15.45T11.56T11.16T9.03T9.98T10.21T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.10T118.98B-372.06B107.53B1.89T-89.64B
Operating Cash Flow-773.41B973.15B250.55B741.29B2.73T557.25B
Investing Cash Flow-5.56T-1.71T-841.46B547.58B-3.02T-1.47T
Financing Cash Flow5.70T-1.81T-606.22B191.52B602.22B2.19T

SoftBank Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4527.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3963.90
Positive
100DMA
4130.64
Positive
200DMA
4156.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
143.22
Negative
RSI
64.61
Neutral
STOCH
87.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9984, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4527 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3852.45, above the 50-day MA of 3963.90, and above the 200-day MA of 4156.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 143.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9984.

SoftBank Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
¥9.64T12.0213.75%2.85%3.48%17.26%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
¥30.96T25.2224.50%0.25%8.55%346.72%
60
Neutral
¥495.44B19.6315.67%1.31%10.70%8.50%
60
Neutral
¥10.51T19.083.99%8.53%8.84%
56
Neutral
¥314.76B39.4517.97%1.36%2.96%24.46%
56
Neutral
¥12.96T9.8011.22%3.36%2.69%-2.31%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9984
SoftBank Group
5,424.00
3,575.00
193.35%
JP:9449
GMO Internet
3,045.00
-335.83
-9.93%
JP:3774
Internet Initiative Japan
2,749.00
108.35
4.10%
JP:9433
KDDI
2,548.00
-5.78
-0.23%
JP:9432
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone
152.00
4.93
3.35%
JP:9434
SoftBank Corp.
220.60
7.24
3.39%

SoftBank Group Corporate Events

SoftBank Revamps Board Lineup to Strengthen Governance Ahead of 2026 AGM
Apr 28, 2026
SoftBank Group Corp. has proposed changes to its board of directors ahead of its 46th Annual General Meeting scheduled for June 24, 2026, seeking shareholder approval to reelect seven current directors and appoint two new outside directors. The no...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 23, 2026