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Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation (JP:9432)
:9432

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (9432) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9432

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone

(9432)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥157.00
▲(2.41% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/07/26
The score is held back mainly by weakening cash flow (TTM free cash flow turning slightly negative) and increased leverage, plus bearish technical momentum below key moving averages. These risks are partially offset by a relatively attractive valuation (modest P/E and solid dividend yield) and a still-profitable core business.
Positive Factors
Diversified recurring-revenue model
NTT's business spans mobile, fixed broadband, enterprise ICT, data centers and cloud with substantial subscription and multi-year contract revenue. This diversified, recurring-revenue mix creates durable cash flow backbones, customer stickiness, and lower volatile sales exposure over months to years.
Large scale and capitalization
A large asset base and meaningful equity position provide long-term strategic flexibility: funding network upgrades, data center expansion and M&A without immediate reliance on external markets. Scale also yields procurement and pricing advantages and higher barriers to entry.
Stable, profitable core operations
NTT exhibits steady low-single-digit revenue growth and still-positive margins, reflecting resilient demand for connectivity and enterprise services. Consistent profitability supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and long-term service development despite cyclical pressures.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
The step-up in leverage meaningfully increases financial risk and reduces balance-sheet flexibility. Higher debt amplifies interest-cost sensitivity and limits capacity for opportunistic investments or defensive spending if earnings weaken or rates rise, pressuring long-term resilience.
Weakened free cash flow
A shift to slightly negative TTM free cash flow signals less internal funding for capex, dividends or debt reduction. If persistent, cash-generation weakness constrains strategic options, forces reliance on external financing, and raises the risk of deferred investment or payout cuts.
Margin pressure and profitability softness
Eroding gross and operating margins indicate cost or mix pressures that can persist absent pricing power or efficiency gains. Continued margin compression would reduce return on invested capital and limit cash available for growth or debt reduction over multiple quarters.

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone (9432) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNTT, Inc. operates as a telecommunications company in Japan and internationally. It operates through Integrated ICT Business, Regional Communications Business, Global Solutions Business, and Others segments. The Integrated ICT Business segment offers mobile phone, domestic inter-prefectural communications, international communications, solutions, and system development and related services. Its Regional Communications Business segment provides intra-prefectural communications and related ancillary services. The Global Solutions Business segment offers system integration, network system, cloud, global center, and related services, as well as consulting, managed, and system and software development services. Its Others segment engages in the real estate and construction, energy, and other businesses. The company was formerly known as Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation and changed its name to NTT, Inc. in July 2025. NTT, Inc. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyNTT generates revenue primarily through its diverse telecommunications services, including fixed-line and mobile voice services, broadband internet, and data communications. Key revenue streams include subscription fees from residential and business clients, mobile service charges, and enterprise solutions. The company also earns income from its IT services through NTT Data, which provides consulting, system integration, and managed services. Significant partnerships with global technology firms and its investments in advanced technologies such as 5G networks and cloud computing further contribute to its earnings by expanding service offerings and enhancing operational efficiency.

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there are positive developments in global solutions and Smart Life Business, the company faces significant challenges with declining profits and intense market competition affecting several key segments.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Operating Revenue
Operating revenue increased by JPY332.9 billion, reaching a record high of JPY10,049.7 billion for the third quarter due to a boost in domestic and global revenue.
Growth in Smart Life Business
Smart Life Business at Docomo contributed to the increase in operating revenue, with a focus on expanding finance and payment segments.
Global Solution Business Segment Growth
Operating profit increased year-on-year due to higher sales in public, financial, and corporate sectors in Japan, as well as increased income from the data center business overseas.
Expansion in Data Center and Urban Solutions
Year-on-year growth in sales and profit for the Other business segment due to the expansion of data center engineering and NTT Urban solutions.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Operating Profit
Operating profit decreased by JPY87 billion, reaching JPY1,399.2 billion, due to a decline in communication service revenues and the impact of slowing down non-core assets.
Significant Decline in Profit
Profit fell by JPY160.4 billion year-on-year due to declining operating profit and rebound from gains on stock sales from the previous year.
Challenges in Integrated ICT Business
Despite growth in Smart Life Business, overall profit declined due to measures to strengthen the customer base and a decline in mobile communication service revenue.
Intense Competition Affecting ARPU
The consumer communication segment faced challenges with lower-than-expected ARPU and increased marketing expenses to maintain market share.
Enterprise Business Struggles
The enterprise section of Integrated ICT business experienced weaker profitability, with challenges in SME market growth and slower growth in large companies.
Impact of Inflation and Market Competition
Market conditions, including inflation and intense competition, have made it challenging to realize the expected growth in telecommunications business.
Company Guidance
During the call, NTT provided guidance on their financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, noting a record high operating revenue of JPY10,049.7 billion, an increase of JPY332.9 billion year-on-year, largely driven by domestic and global revenue growth, particularly from the Smart Life Business at Docomo. However, operating profit decreased by JPY87 billion to JPY1,399.2 billion due to declines in communication service revenues in mobile and fixed-line segments and measures to strengthen Docomo's customer base. Profit also fell by JPY160.4 billion to JPY850.7 billion, influenced by a rebound from gains on stock sales the previous year. EBITDA was reported at JPY2,552.5 billion, down JPY19.2 billion. The company highlighted challenges in achieving annual profit targets but emphasized ongoing efforts to enhance marketing and cost reduction initiatives. Additionally, they discussed segment-specific performances, including the Integrated ICT business, Regional Communication Business, and Global Solution business, each facing unique challenges and growth opportunities. Looking ahead, NTT expressed commitment to regional revitalization and urban development initiatives, expansion of their data center business, and participation in global events, such as the Mobile World Congress.

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable, profitable core business (income statement score 72) is offset by rising financial risk from higher leverage (balance sheet score 58) and a notable TTM deterioration in cash generation with slightly negative free cash flow (cash flow score 45).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue is generally stable-to-slightly growing (annual growth low-single-digits; TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a higher growth figure), but profitability has softened versus prior years. Gross margin and operating margin have trended down from the 2022–2024 period, and net margin in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is lower than the recent annual average, indicating some pressure from costs, pricing, or mix. Offsetting this, margins remain healthy for a large telecom operator and earnings are still solidly positive.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage has increased meaningfully: debt-to-equity rose from ~1.0–1.1 in recent annual reports to ~1.9 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Equity remains sizable, and return on equity is still respectable (low-teens in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), but the step-up in debt raises financial risk and reduces flexibility if rates rise or earnings weaken. Assets are large and the company remains well-capitalized, yet the trajectory of leverage is the key concern.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Operating cash generation is positive and relatively steady, but cash conversion has deteriorated in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Free cash flow turned slightly negative in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) after being positive in prior years, and free cash flow relative to net income flipped negative—suggesting higher investment spend, working-capital drag, or other cash uses. While prior annual periods showed reasonable free cash flow and decent cash backing of profits, the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) weakness is a notable red flag.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.08T13.70T13.37T13.14T12.16T11.94T
Gross Profit2.14T2.39T2.63T2.50T2.46T2.36T
EBITDA3.55T3.42T3.70T3.46T3.39T3.20T
Net Income1.08T1.00T1.28T1.21T1.18T916.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets46.83T30.93T30.43T25.76T23.86T22.97T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.82T1.61T1.05T859.65B888.65B965.09B
Total Debt18.23T11.29T10.71T9.15T8.21T8.37T
Total Liabilities36.85T19.59T19.54T16.41T14.84T14.76T
Stockholders Equity9.51T10.22T9.84T8.56T8.28T7.56T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.65B231.74B290.15B409.13B1.25T1.21T
Operating Cash Flow2.24T2.36T2.37T2.26T3.01T3.01T
Investing Cash Flow-3.33T-2.01T-1.99T-1.74T-1.70T-1.42T
Financing Cash Flow2.70T-328.64B-234.45B-590.20B-1.44T-1.69T

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price153.30
Price Trends
50DMA
155.77
Negative
100DMA
155.41
Negative
200DMA
154.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.10
Negative
RSI
48.49
Neutral
STOCH
35.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9432, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 153.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 153.14, below the 50-day MA of 155.77, and below the 200-day MA of 154.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9432.

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥315.82B24.0813.42%2.27%5.10%12.48%
76
Outperform
¥10.10T15.1313.75%2.85%3.34%20.36%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
¥410.56B17.9915.67%1.31%12.48%18.38%
60
Neutral
¥10.18T18.013.99%7.79%5.53%
56
Neutral
¥13.07T11.7610.59%3.36%2.10%-9.29%
56
Neutral
¥312.57B19.0217.97%1.36%4.75%17.02%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9432
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone
153.30
11.16
7.85%
JP:9449
GMO Internet
2,997.00
122.63
4.27%
JP:3774
Internet Initiative Japan
2,278.00
-248.44
-9.83%
JP:9433
KDDI
2,671.00
280.28
11.72%
JP:9436
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company
3,355.00
1,296.07
62.95%
JP:9434
SoftBank Corp.
213.80
4.22
2.01%

Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporate Events

NTT Cuts Full-Year Profit Forecast on Intensifying Competition and Weaker Global Conditions
Feb 5, 2026

NTT has revised downward its consolidated financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, trimming expected operating revenue to ¥14.164 trillion and cutting projected operating profit, profit before taxes and profit attributable to NTT, resulting in lower basic earnings per share compared with its previous guidance. The company cited weaker profitability in its Integrated ICT Business Segment, where intensified and prolonged competition is driving up costs to strengthen its customer base, as well as reduced revenue and profit in its Global Solutions Business Segment due to adverse market conditions and exchange rate fluctuations that offset gains from data-center transfers; despite the softer outlook, NTT will maintain its dividend forecast, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns even as near-term earnings come under pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9432) stock is a Buy with a Yen174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Telegraph and Telephone stock, see the JP:9432 Stock Forecast page.

NTT Issues Cautionary Notice With Nine-Month Financial Results Translation
Feb 5, 2026

NTT released an English translation of its financial results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, emphasizing that the original Japanese document remains the authoritative version. The company highlighted that any projections or forward-looking figures regarding its future performance are based on management assumptions about economic conditions, industry trends, competition, regulation, and other risks, and that actual results could differ materially, underscoring the inherent uncertainty and risk factors relevant for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9432) stock is a Buy with a Yen174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Telegraph and Telephone stock, see the JP:9432 Stock Forecast page.

NTT Posts Higher Nine-Month Earnings as Investment and Leverage Rise
Feb 5, 2026

NTT has released supplementary consolidated financial data for the nine months ended 31 December 2025, showing steady growth in operating revenues and operating profit versus the prior year, alongside a higher consolidated EBITDA and increased depreciation reflecting continued capital-intensive network and data-center operations. While operating cash flow remained solid, the period featured large swings in investing and financing cash flows, including higher interest-bearing liabilities largely tied to its finance and data-center businesses, underscoring NTT’s ongoing balance sheet expansion as it invests in infrastructure and related financial services. The updated full-year forecasts indicate management’s expectation of further increases in revenues, EBITDA and operating profit compared with the previous fiscal year, suggesting confidence in the resilience of its core telecom and ICT operations despite heavier leverage and continued capex, a trend that will be closely watched by creditors, shareholders and customers reliant on its network and data capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9432) stock is a Buy with a Yen174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Telegraph and Telephone stock, see the JP:9432 Stock Forecast page.

NTT Posts Higher Nine-Month Earnings, Lifts Dividend and Expands into Digital Banking
Feb 5, 2026

NTT reported solid results for the nine months ended 31 December 2025, with operating revenues rising 3.7% year on year to ¥10.42 trillion and operating profit up 4.1% to ¥1.46 trillion, while profit attributable to the company climbed 8.9% to ¥926.1 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥11.23. Although the equity ratio declined following a balance sheet expansion, NTT maintained its progressive dividend stance, nudging interim and full-year dividend forecasts higher to ¥2.65 and ¥5.30 per share respectively, and revised its full-year consolidated forecast, signaling modest revenue and profit growth alongside a minor anticipated decline in full-year net profit. The group also broadened its financial services footprint by adding SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Ltd. to the scope of consolidation, underscoring ongoing portfolio diversification and potential synergies between its telecoms platform and digital financial services offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9432) stock is a Buy with a Yen174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Telegraph and Telephone stock, see the JP:9432 Stock Forecast page.

NTT Reports Progress on Large-Scale Share Buyback Program
Feb 2, 2026

NTT, Inc. has disclosed the latest progress of its ongoing share buyback program, reporting that it repurchased 154,892,700 shares of its common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between January 5 and January 30, 2026, for a total of approximately 24.3 billion yen. These purchases form part of a broader board-approved authorization, under which NTT is permitted to buy back up to 1.5 billion shares or 200 billion yen of stock between May 2025 and March 2026; as of January 30, 2026, the company has already repurchased about 1.14 billion shares for 178.1 billion yen, signaling continued capital return to shareholders and an active effort to manage its capital structure and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9432) stock is a Buy with a Yen174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Telegraph and Telephone stock, see the JP:9432 Stock Forecast page.

NTT Updates Progress on Large-Scale Share Buyback Program
Jan 5, 2026

NTT, Inc. disclosed the latest status of its ongoing share repurchase program, announcing that it bought back 153,990,500 shares of common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between December 1 and December 23, 2025, for a total of approximately ¥23.8 billion. These purchases form part of a larger board-approved buyback authorization, under which NTT is permitted to repurchase up to 1.5 billion shares or ¥200 billion by March 31, 2026; as of December 31, 2025, the company had already acquired 989,292,600 shares for about ¥153.8 billion, underscoring a significant capital return effort that may support earnings per share and signal management confidence in the company’s long-term value to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9432) stock is a Buy with a Yen174.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Telegraph and Telephone stock, see the JP:9432 Stock Forecast page.

NTT Announces Progress in Stock Repurchase Program
Dec 1, 2025

NTT, Inc. announced the status of its stock repurchase program, revealing that it repurchased 284,454,800 shares of its common stock for a total of 43,378,171,960 yen between November 4 and November 28, 2025. This move is part of a broader strategy approved by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 1.5 billion shares by March 31, 2026, with the aim to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9432) stock is a Buy with a Yen184.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nippon Telegraph and Telephone stock, see the JP:9432 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026