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KDDI Corporation (JP:9433)
:9433
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KDDI (9433) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9433

KDDI

(9433)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,911.00
▲(9.15% Upside)
KDDI's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors contributing to the score. The company's profitability and revenue growth are robust, and the earnings call highlighted strategic advancements and growth in key segments. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and increased leverage on the balance sheet presents a risk if not managed carefully. The valuation is reasonable, with an attractive dividend yield providing additional support to the stock's score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Technological Advancements
Investments in technology enhance operational efficiency and competitive positioning, fostering sustainable growth.
Telecom Infrastructure Enhancements
Expanding infrastructure supports service reliability and capacity, crucial for maintaining leadership in telecommunications.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage can strain financial flexibility, posing risks if not managed, impacting long-term financial health.
Challenges in Finance and DX Segments
Struggles in key segments may hinder growth and require strategic adjustments to maintain profitability.
Stakeholder Benefit Sharing Costs
High stakeholder costs could pressure margins, affecting profitability and cash flow over the long term.

KDDI (9433) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KDDI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKDDI Corporation provides telecommunications services in Japan and internationally. It operates in two segments, Personal Services and Business Services. The Personal Services segment offers smartphone, mobile phone, and other mobile communication services, as well as fixed-line services under the au Hikari brand; MVNO services; mobile services under the au brand; and voice communications, data transmission, FTTH services, and CATV services. It also provides smartphone-centric payment, financial, and other services through au PAY gateway; au HOME, an IoT service that watches over pets using sensors and cameras; au Denki to conserve energy usage; AEON, an English conversation school. The Business Services segment offers data center services to corporate customers under the TELEHOUSE brand; and various solutions for network and cloud services, smartphones, and other devices. It is also involved in the provision of broadcasting, wireless broadband, mail order, IT support, call center, and temporary personnel services; and design, construction, maintenance, and operation support for communication equipment and submarine cable. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKDDI generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from mobile communications, which includes voice and data services provided to its subscribers. A significant portion of its income comes from its vast mobile user base, as well as from fixed-line services and broadband internet access. Additionally, KDDI has expanded its revenue model by investing in digital solutions and cloud services, catering to enterprise clients. The company also benefits from partnerships with various technology and content providers, enhancing its service offerings and driving additional revenue. International operations and strategic collaborations further contribute to its earnings, solidifying KDDI's position in the competitive telecommunications market.

KDDI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with notable revenue and profit growth, especially in the mobile segment, and significant technological advancements. However, challenges in the Finance and DX segments and concerns over stakeholder costs present potential hurdles.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profit Growth
KDDI increased both revenue and profit, with operating revenue reaching JPY 2,963.2 billion (a 3.8% increase year-on-year) and net income at JPY 377.7 billion (up 7.6%).
Mobile Business Transformation
The mobile segment saw revenue growth of JPY 11.1 billion, with significant improvements in churn rates and ARPU growth reaching JPY 4,460 in Q2.
Technological and Structural Reforms
Structural reforms contributed JPY 9.6 billion, and technological advancements are expected to provide a positive impact of approximately JPY 13 billion in the second half.
Telecom Infrastructure Enhancements
KDDI achieved #1 ranking in Japan for user experience in Opensignal analysis, and plans to expand data centers in London and Osaka with significant investments.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Finance and DX Segments
Finance and DX segments are challenged by changes in the business environment, with a strategy shift needed in Finance to improve loan-to-deposit ratios.
Stakeholder Benefit Sharing Costs
Annual costs for stakeholder benefit sharing are anticipated to be JPY 20 billion to JPY 30 billion, which could impact profitability.
Uncertainty in Business Segment Growth
The business segment saw a slow operating income increase of 3.4% year-on-year due to temporary profit decrease factors in the BPO and SI-related business.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year ending March 2026, KDDI reported notable financial performance with a 3.8% increase in operating revenue year-on-year, reaching JPY 2,963.2 billion, and a net income rise of 7.6% to JPY 377.7 billion. The company highlighted a strong second quarter year-over-year growth with operating revenue up 4.1%, and net income surging 18.6%. KDDI's mobile business showed significant improvement with a JPY 11.1 billion year-over-year increase, while Finance and Energy business, along with Lawson equity method profits, collectively added JPY 12.7 billion. The company anticipates a JPY 55 billion increase in profit for the second half, driven by a JPY 30 billion target in focal areas including Finance, Energy, and Lawson, and an expected JPY 19 billion rise in the mobile segment. The call also stressed ongoing structural reforms in the mobile business aimed at enhancing ARPU and reducing churn, with mobile ARPU increasing to JPY 4,460 in Q2. KDDI is focusing on long-term customer retention and value creation, amidst a competitive landscape, with initiatives to promote brand switching to reinforce its main brand, au. The company plans to leverage AI and expand its infrastructure, including data centers, as part of its next midterm management strategy, while maintaining disciplined capital allocation and exploring share buybacks.

KDDI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KDDI demonstrates strong profitability and stable revenue growth, which are key strengths in the telecommunications industry. The balance sheet shows increased leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow metrics indicate some challenges in cash conversion, but overall, the company maintains a solid financial position with effective capital utilization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
KDDI shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 42% and a net profit margin of approximately 11.6% in the TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. Revenue growth is modest but stable, reflecting steady demand in the telecommunications sector.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, reaching 0.87 in the TTM, which suggests a higher reliance on debt financing. However, the return on equity remains strong at 13.3%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
KDDI's cash flow performance is mixed, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential challenges in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains above 0.7, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.97T5.92T5.75T5.67T5.45T5.31T
Gross Profit2.51T2.51T2.43T2.41T2.46T2.38T
EBITDA1.77T1.78T1.62T1.71T1.78T1.76T
Net Income679.85B685.68B637.87B679.11B672.49B651.50B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.59T16.88T14.15T11.92T11.08T10.54T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments963.51B944.14B907.73B504.62B819.05B840.07B
Total Debt5.10T4.44T2.43T1.66T1.74T1.76T
Total Liabilities11.94T11.23T8.35T6.25T5.57T5.28T
Stockholders Equity5.15T5.13T5.25T5.13T4.98T4.76T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow485.51B958.47B1.12T834.45B1.04T1.27T
Operating Cash Flow876.05B1.36T1.64T1.23T1.47T1.68T
Investing Cash Flow-931.82B-1.28T-820.24B-739.43B-767.35B-663.74B
Financing Cash Flow-402.06B-5.76B-462.97B-671.76B-721.50B-580.76B

KDDI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2667.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2469.44
Positive
100DMA
2475.17
Positive
200DMA
2447.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
67.38
Negative
RSI
65.40
Neutral
STOCH
75.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9433, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2667 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2574.47, above the 50-day MA of 2469.44, and above the 200-day MA of 2447.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 67.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9433.

KDDI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$489.14B23.5515.67%1.27%12.48%18.38%
76
Outperform
€241.55B25.2913.42%2.41%5.10%12.48%
76
Outperform
$9.28T14.4613.75%3.17%3.34%20.36%
73
Outperform
$13.25T12.3810.59%3.31%2.10%-9.29%
65
Neutral
¥10.32T20.533.94%7.79%5.53%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
55
Neutral
¥24.35T7.9824.50%0.19%7.31%44.73%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9433
KDDI
2,667.00
286.93
12.06%
JP:3774
Internet Initiative Japan
2,889.50
-62.45
-2.12%
JP:9432
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone
152.40
4.94
3.35%
JP:9436
Okinawa Cellular Telephone Company
2,747.00
675.90
32.63%
JP:9984
SoftBank Group
15,390.00
6,444.09
72.03%
JP:9434
SoftBank Corp.
225.00
41.39
22.54%

KDDI Corporate Events

KDDI Corporation Reports Strong Revenue Growth
Nov 7, 2025

KDDI Corporation, a leading telecommunications company in Japan, is known for its comprehensive services in mobile communications, finance, energy, and digital transformation, with a strong focus on innovation and sustainable growth. In its latest earnings report for the six-month period ending September 30, 2025, KDDI Corporation reported a 3.8% increase in operating revenue, reaching ¥2,963,161 million, and a 7.6% rise in profit attributable to owners of the parent, totaling ¥377,723 million. The company attributes this growth to increased revenue from its finance business and mobile communication services, alongside expansion in IoT-related services and data centers. Despite a slight decrease in operating income due to promotional expenses, KDDI continues to focus on strategic investments in AI and 5G technologies. Looking ahead, KDDI remains committed to its Satellite Growth Strategy, aiming for a 7% increase in operating revenue for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, while continuing to enhance its service offerings and expand its business segments to drive sustainable growth.

KDDI Reports Revenue Growth and Positive Outlook for 2025
Nov 6, 2025

KDDI Corporation reported a 3.8% increase in operating revenue and a 6.7% rise in profit for the six-month period ending September 30, 2025, compared to the same period last year. The company also conducted a two-for-one stock split on April 1, 2025, affecting dividend figures and earnings per share calculations. KDDI’s financial position remains strong with a total equity of 5,475,126 million yen as of September 30, 2025. The company forecasts a 7.0% increase in operating revenue for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, indicating positive growth expectations. No significant changes in the scope of consolidation were reported, and the company has adjusted its accounting policies as required under IFRS.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9433) stock is a Buy with a Yen2711.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KDDI stock, see the JP:9433 Stock Forecast page.

KDDI Completes Significant Share Repurchase Program
Sep 17, 2025

KDDI Corporation has completed a significant share repurchase program, acquiring 4,255,200 shares of common stock at a cost of over 10.7 billion yen between September 1 and September 12, 2025. This move is part of a broader strategy authorized by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 196 million shares, aiming to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure. The completion of this phase underscores KDDI’s commitment to its strategic financial management and could influence its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9433) stock is a Hold with a Yen2727.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KDDI stock, see the JP:9433 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 10, 2025