Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. (9959) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥13.00B
• Dividend Yield: 2.61%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.03K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 16.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.20
• Revenue Growth: 2.42%
• EPS Growth: 33.84%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 744
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
• EPS (TTM): 17.03
• Shares Outstanding: 13,495,248
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,840
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,026
• PEG Ratio: -4.00
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.20
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.36
• P/FCF Ratio: -113.79
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 73 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥1,227.00 ▲(56.70% Upside)
• Action: Upgraded Date: 02/26/26
• Date: Action: Upgraded 02/26/26

The score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum and an established uptrend, supported by generally solid operating performance and margins. This is partially offset by weaker free cash flow trends and a valuation that is not clearly cheap relative to earnings and dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Robust gross and stable operating margins

A ~38% gross margin with stable EBIT and EBITDA margins indicates durable product-level profitability and effective cost control in manufacturing and distribution. This structural margin buffer supports reinvestment and competitive pricing over the next several quarters, sustaining core operating strength.

Positive operating cash conversion

Operating cash flow exceeding net income (1.12x) shows the business converts reported profits into cash, supporting working capital and routine capex. Even with weaker FCF, consistent cash conversion provides a durable source to fund operations and modest strategic activities without immediate financing.

Reasonable shareholder returns and equity cushion

An ROE above 10% signals the company generates respectable returns on shareholder capital, while a ~36.8% equity ratio provides a structural balance-sheet cushion. Together these metrics point to a sustainably profitable business with moderate solvency to support long-term operations and investments.

Negative Factors

Weakened free cash flow

A negative trend in free cash flow and a FCF-to-net-income shortfall indicate capital spending or working capital drains exceeding operating cash excess. Persistently weak FCF can constrain investment, limit dividends or share repurchases, and increase reliance on external funding over multiple quarters.

Elevated leverage

A debt-to-equity around 1.0 denotes meaningful reliance on debt financing. That structural leverage raises interest and refinancing risk, reduces financial flexibility for acquisitions or shocks, and can amplify earnings volatility if sales slow or margins compress over the medium term.

Modest net profit margins

Net margins near 3% show much of gross profitability is absorbed by SG&A, interest, or other costs. This narrow bottom-line margin limits resilience to cost inflation or price competition and constrains the company's ability to build retained earnings or fund growth without improving expense structure.

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aseed Holdings Co.,Ltd. operates in the vending machine operations and retail business in Japan. The company operates, manages, and maintains vending machines for beverages and soft drinks to offices, factories, schools, hospitals, amusement centers, and sports facilities, as well as it provides full-line vending machines and cafe bars. It also manufactures canned coffee, tea, carbonated beverages, canned chuhai, cocktails, alcoholic beverages, and soft pouch beverages, and other PET bottle beverages; and provides contract manufacturing services. In addition, the company offers non-alcoholic sparkling wine, highball, and other soft drinks under the ASEED brand. Further, it develops and leases office buildings and commercial facilities, as well as it provides logistics services. The company was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Fukuyama, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Aseed Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its pharmaceutical products and medical devices. The company engages in research and development to create innovative healthcare solutions, which are then commercialized through direct sales and partnerships with healthcare providers and distributors. Additionally, Aseed Holdings may earn income from licensing agreements with other companies for the use of its proprietary technologies and products. Strategic partnerships with research institutions and healthcare organizations can further enhance its revenue potential by facilitating joint ventures and collaborative projects that yield new products and services for the market.

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (score 75) is supported by a ~38% gross margin and steady profitability, but is tempered by modest net margin (~3.12%). Balance sheet is moderately leveraged (debt-to-equity 1.01) with acceptable ROE (10.36%) (score 68). Cash flow is the key weak spot (score 60) with negative free cash flow relative to net income due to higher capex.

Income Statement

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong gross profit margins with a notable improvement in revenue growth over recent years. The gross profit margin for 2025 is approximately 38.0%, showcasing robust profitability. However, net profit margins are relatively modest at around 3.12% for the same period. Recent revenue growth of 3.05% indicates a positive trend, albeit slower compared to prior years. The company maintains a stable EBIT margin of 3.2% and a healthy EBITDA margin of 7.6%, reflecting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a moderately leveraged position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.01, indicating a balanced but slightly high reliance on debt financing. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 10.36%, suggesting satisfactory profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio of 36.8% signifies a reasonable cushion against liabilities, though there's room for improvement in strengthening equity levels.

Cash Flow

The cash flow analysis reveals some challenges, with a decline in free cash flow due to increased capital expenditures. The free cash flow growth rate is concerning, turning negative in recent periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.12, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity pressures.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	24.44B	23.97B	23.26B	21.23B	19.28B	23.93B
Gross Profit	9.19B	9.11B	8.78B	8.03B	7.63B	7.29B
EBITDA	1.70B	1.83B	1.92B	1.51B	1.32B	1.18B
Net Income	740.00M	748.00M	768.00M	602.00M	178.00M	304.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	20.52B	19.66B	18.93B	16.58B	15.11B	14.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.26B	1.77B	1.57B	1.08B	904.00M	965.00M
Total Debt	7.67B	7.29B	6.75B	6.56B	5.43B	4.73B
Total Liabilities	13.30B	12.43B	12.30B	10.96B	10.01B	9.26B
Stockholders Equity	7.22B	7.22B	6.63B	5.62B	5.10B	5.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-76.00M	1.13B	-401.00M	276.00M	1.13B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	838.00M	1.69B	1.14B	922.00M	1.34B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-828.00M	-988.00M	-1.68B	-481.00M	-143.00M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	192.00M	-206.00M	748.00M	-509.00M	-1.01B

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 783.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9959, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 783 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 982.00, below the 50-day MA of 860.44, and above the 200-day MA of 723.40, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 79.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9959.

Aseed Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
9959	73 Outperform	¥13.00B	16.04	―	2.61%	2.42%	33.84%
2597	66 Neutral	¥14.29B	21.23	―	0.68%	19.53%	43.43%
2585	65 Neutral	¥63.79B	17.76	―	0.65%	17.33%	12.37%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
2586	62 Neutral	¥12.23B	36.86	―	―	106.61%	―
2573	61 Neutral	¥54.15B	33.16	―	0.60%	3.62%	5.25%
2590	51 Neutral	¥83.75B	-27.46	―	1.01%	6.00%	-139.78%