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Ministop Co., Ltd. (JP:9946)
:9946
Japanese Market

Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9946

Ministop Co., Ltd.

(9946)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,894.00
▼(-12.11% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is held down primarily by sustained operating/net losses, declining equity, and negative free cash flow despite recent revenue growth and improved operating cash flow. Technicals show only tentative near-term stabilization with longer-term weakness, and valuation is constrained by negative earnings with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Recovery
Two consecutive years of ~10% revenue growth indicate improved top-line momentum and demand for the convenience format and prepared-foods mix. Durable revenue recovery supports scale economics, helps stabilize franchise fees and wholesale volumes, and provides a base to restore profitability if cost structure is addressed.
Negative Factors
Sustained Loss-Making
Repeated operating and net losses despite revenue growth imply structural margin issues—costs below gross profit remain elevated. Continued deficits hinder the firm's ability to self-fund growth or franchise support, risk further equity erosion, and require sustained margin recovery to achieve durable profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Recovery
Two consecutive years of ~10% revenue growth indicate improved top-line momentum and demand for the convenience format and prepared-foods mix. Durable revenue recovery supports scale economics, helps stabilize franchise fees and wholesale volumes, and provides a base to restore profitability if cost structure is addressed.
Read all positive factors

Ministop Co., Ltd. (9946) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ministop Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MINISTOP Co., Ltd. develops and franchises a chain of convenience stores under the MINISTOP name. As of April 30, 2022, it operated 2,081 stores, including 1,958 stores in Japan and 123 stores internationally. MINISTOP Co., Ltd. was incorporated i...
How the Company Makes Money
Ministop primarily makes money through (1) retail sales at company-operated stores and (2) franchise-related income from franchised MINISTOP stores. Retail sales revenue comes from selling merchandise (e.g., packaged foods, beverages, daily necess...

Ministop Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has rebounded with ~10% growth in each of the last two years, and leverage is very low, but profitability remains weak with operating losses and net losses in 2024–2026. Operating cash flow is positive recently, yet free cash flow is still negative and equity has been declining, indicating the turnaround is not yet translating into durable, self-funding profitability.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.69B91.79B87.47B79.06B81.29B183.68B
Gross Profit39.79B38.75B37.68B37.42B36.93B49.70B
EBITDA765.00M-1.99B-414.00M2.92B2.45B7.77B
Net Income-5.59B-5.63B-6.77B-468.00M12.83B-3.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets88.81B69.01B74.69B77.90B79.22B117.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.18B23.17B23.90B25.78B30.43B29.66B
Total Debt695.00M761.00M247.00M307.00M1.65B14.57B
Total Liabilities55.44B41.85B41.90B37.22B38.60B88.77B
Stockholders Equity32.69B26.46B32.51B39.64B40.61B28.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-374.00M-1.09B-2.28B-3.11B-7.24B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.79B1.94B585.00M-2.07B-3.62B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-947.00M-492.00M-6.62B5.09B22.09B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-774.00M-806.00M-1.96B-1.57B-4.86B

Ministop Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2155.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1901.05
Negative
100DMA
1991.93
Negative
200DMA
1980.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.44
Negative
RSI
52.74
Neutral
STOCH
90.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9946, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2155 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1812.55, above the 50-day MA of 1901.05, and above the 200-day MA of 1980.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9946.

Ministop Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥210.24B7.252.18%6.30%27.88%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
58
Neutral
¥190.33B-33.751.77%30.67%
57
Neutral
¥198.59B8.931.44%1.48%-33.32%
52
Neutral
¥121.82B44.011.77%8.65%-45.94%
51
Neutral
¥2.04B-160.46-3.64%-23.60%
50
Neutral
¥54.94B-3.920.94%10.66%-218.40%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9946
Ministop Co., Ltd.
1,894.00
171.02
9.93%
JP:3222
United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.
918.00
52.22
6.03%
JP:7512
Aeon Hokkaido Corporation
876.00
24.69
2.90%
JP:7601
POPLAR Co., Ltd.
173.00
-18.00
-9.42%
JP:8278
Fuji Co., Ltd.
2,291.00
65.79
2.96%
JP:9956
Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,915.00
1,514.27
63.08%

Ministop Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Ministop Revamps Board With Merchandising-Focused Directors From Aeon Group
Apr 8, 2026
Ministop Co., Ltd. will propose a refreshed board structure at its 47th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on May 22, 2026, retaining President and Representative Director Masashi Hotta and core internal and outside directors while adding new ...
Ministop Swings Back to Profit on Cost Controls and Store Optimization
Apr 8, 2026
Ministop reported consolidated results for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, showing essentially flat gross operating revenue compared with the prior year but a notable improvement in profitability. Operating gross profit and selling, gener...
Ministop Narrows Losses and Targets Return to Profit in FY2027
Apr 8, 2026
Ministop Co., Ltd. reported a 4.9% rise in gross operating revenue to ¥91.8 billion for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, but remained in the red with an operating loss of ¥3.6 billion and a net loss of ¥5.6 billion, although...
Ministop Books ¥1.3 Billion in Extraordinary Impairment Losses for FY2026
Apr 8, 2026
Ministop Co., Ltd. has reported extraordinary losses in its consolidated and non-consolidated financial results for the fourth quarter of the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, due to impairment charges on fixed assets. The company recognized im...
Ministop Cancels Director Stock Options Amid Weaker Earnings Outlook
Mar 25, 2026
Ministop Co., Ltd. has cancelled the planned issuance of its 19th share acquisition rights, a share compensation-type stock option scheme that was to be granted to three company directors. The board decided on March 25, 2026, to withdraw the issua...
Ministop Grows Revenue but Widens Losses, Keeps Dividend Amid Weaker Balance Sheet
Jan 29, 2026
Ministop reported a 5.2% year-on-year increase in gross operating revenue to ¥70.0 billion for the nine months ended November 30, 2025, but remained in the red, posting an operating loss of ¥1.4 billion and a net loss attributable to own...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026