Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd (9853) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥5.78B
• Dividend Yield: 0.32%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.41K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.08
• Revenue Growth: 6.22%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: JP
• Employees: 156
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 12.82
• Shares Outstanding: 6,252,004
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,380
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,410
• PEG Ratio: -2.45
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.79
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.70
• P/FCF Ratio: 100.33
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥898.00 ▼(-3.65% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/22/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/22/25

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows potential for growth but is hindered by consistent net losses. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative profitability. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events further limits the stock's appeal.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing the company's long-term market position.

Cash Flow Improvement

Positive cash flow reflects improved operational efficiency, providing the company with more financial flexibility for future investments and growth.

Gross Profit Margin

A strong gross profit margin indicates effective cost management and pricing power, contributing to potential future profitability.

Negative Factors

Consistent Net Losses

Ongoing net losses highlight challenges in cost control and revenue generation, potentially limiting long-term financial health and growth.

Negative Profit Margin

A negative profit margin indicates that the company is not currently profitable, which could hinder its ability to reinvest in the business and grow.

Debt Levels

While leverage is balanced, any increase in debt could strain financial resources, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd. engages in the coffee shop business in Japan. It also manufactures, processes, and sells food products; and manages franchise stores. The company operates coffee shops under the Tea room Renoir, Cafe Renoir, Miyama Coffee, Cafe Miyama, and NEW YORKER'S Cafe names. Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Ginza Renoir generates revenue primarily through its coffee shop operations, which include sales of beverages, food items, and merchandise. The company benefits from a steady customer base due to its strategic locations in high foot traffic areas, appealing to both locals and tourists. Additionally, revenue is supplemented through the sale of packaged coffee products and related items, which are distributed through various retail channels. Partnerships with suppliers for premium coffee beans and other products enhance its offerings, contributing to customer satisfaction and repeat business. Seasonal promotions and loyalty programs also play a role in driving sales and enhancing customer retention.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd shows potential for growth with increasing revenues and improving cash flow. However, the company faces challenges in achieving profitability, reflected in consistent net losses over the years. While the balance sheet is stable, enhanced operational efficiency and cost management are crucial for turning the company around.

Income Statement

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd has shown an improving trend in revenue over the years, with a notable revenue growth of 6.1% from 2024 to 2025. Despite this, the company has struggled with profitability, consistently recording net losses. The gross profit margin remains healthy at approximately 80.7% in 2025, but the net profit margin is negative due to high operating expenses and interest costs. The EBIT margin improved to 1.05% in 2025, indicating some operational efficiency gains, yet still insufficient for profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows moderate financial stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 in 2025, suggesting a balanced leverage level. The equity ratio improved to 51.9%, indicating a solid proportion of the company's assets are financed by shareholders. However, the consistent net losses have suppressed return on equity, which is currently negative. Overall, the company has a stable asset base but needs to enhance profitability to improve shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Ginza Renoir has demonstrated improvements in free cash flow, turning from negative in 2024 to positive in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting that operational cash generation is healthier than reported net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio also indicates effective cash conversion, yet the company needs to manage capital expenditures carefully to sustain free cash flow growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.93B	7.80B	7.35B	6.12B	4.56B	4.17B
Gross Profit	6.41B	6.30B	5.94B	5.13B	3.94B	3.66B
EBITDA	290.20M	218.34M	155.55M	-78.14M	598.42M	-2.12B
Net Income	-460.00K	-76.45M	-59.14M	-293.53M	347.41M	-2.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.84B	5.89B	6.26B	6.43B	6.87B	6.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.94B	1.96B	2.29B	2.59B	3.12B	1.74B
Total Debt	1.86B	1.94B	2.22B	2.36B	2.49B	2.06B
Total Liabilities	2.67B	2.79B	3.06B	3.15B	3.27B	2.78B
Stockholders Equity	3.13B	3.06B	3.16B	3.24B	3.55B	3.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	54.73M	-93.35M	-344.05M	81.28M	-2.05B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	295.80M	316.22M	-34.37M	410.11M	-1.73B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-320.41M	-454.06M	-357.19M	586.52M	-187.85M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-300.63M	-162.88M	-141.17M	381.38M	1.63B

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 932.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9853, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 932 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 949.90, below the 50-day MA of 951.66, and above the 200-day MA of 928.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9853.

Ginza Renoir Co., Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
7581	72 Outperform	¥325.52B	22.28	9.66%	0.55%	14.33%	36.83%
3087	70 Outperform	¥129.11B	14.74	―	2.09%	5.78%	10.26%
8153	70 Outperform	¥130.43B	20.09	―	0.70%	5.15%	47.13%
3543	63 Neutral	¥136.62B	22.64	―	1.88%	16.70%	-0.37%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
3395	57 Neutral	¥67.07B	17.62	―	1.95%	23.52%	-13.42%
9853	45 Neutral	¥5.78B	18.17	―	0.32%	6.22%	―