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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:3543)
:3543
Japanese Market
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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3543

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.

(3543)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,987.00
▼(-1.58% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/09/26
The score is led by a healthy financial profile: strong revenue growth, solid profitability, and reliable cash generation, alongside improving leverage. Offsetting this, technical indicators show the stock is overbought despite an uptrend, and valuation looks somewhat full at a ~22.6 P/E with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Franchise-centered business model
KOMEDA’s franchise-centric model generates recurring fee and supply revenue while keeping expansion capital light. This structure supports steady margin capture, scalable unit economics, and geographic roll-out via franchisees, providing durable, low-capex growth and stable cash flow contribution.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Net margins declined from earlier years, suggesting rising input costs or reinvestment pressure. Persistent margin erosion can restrain free cash flow and return on invested capital, limiting the company’s ability to fund growth or absorb future cost shocks without pricing actions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise-centered business model
KOMEDA’s franchise-centric model generates recurring fee and supply revenue while keeping expansion capital light. This structure supports steady margin capture, scalable unit economics, and geographic roll-out via franchisees, providing durable, low-capex growth and stable cash flow contribution.
Read all positive factors

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. oversees an extensive network of coffee houses operating across Japan, China, and Taiwan. As of May 31, 2022, the company's footprint included 966 establishments. In addition to its core café business, the firm diversifie...
How the Company Makes Money
KOMEDA Holdings primarily makes money by monetizing its café brands through a franchise-centered model. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) franchise-related income, such as franchise fees and ongoing royalties paid by franchisees for the r...

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth with healthy sector profitability and generally rising net income. Cash generation is solid with good earnings-to-cash conversion, but margins have compressed versus earlier years and free cash flow growth has been volatile. Balance sheet risk has improved as leverage declined, though debt remains meaningful.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.23B47.06B43.24B37.84B33.32B
Gross Profit16.85B15.54B14.46B12.83B11.89B
EBITDA11.62B10.24B10.18B9.27B8.75B
Net Income6.46B5.81B5.97B5.42B4.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.39B116.31B112.79B100.31B97.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.86B10.39B7.92B6.68B6.21B
Total Debt42.64B43.98B44.48B45.56B46.62B
Total Liabilities60.23B70.70B69.68B59.69B60.03B
Stockholders Equity49.86B45.62B43.11B40.54B37.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.95B10.05B10.40B9.18B6.91B
Operating Cash Flow12.35B11.23B11.44B10.26B8.15B
Investing Cash Flow-4.77B642.00M-1.96B-1.58B9.71B
Financing Cash Flow-9.50B-9.51B-8.24B-8.25B-18.98B

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3035.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2947.14
Negative
100DMA
2917.17
Negative
200DMA
2957.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-69.25
Negative
RSI
37.30
Neutral
STOCH
50.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3543, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3035 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2802.80, above the 50-day MA of 2947.14, and above the 200-day MA of 2957.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -69.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3543.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥118.37B15.522.09%6.94%8.70%
68
Neutral
¥126.72B19.301.88%21.61%11.23%
65
Neutral
¥260.61B21.639.66%0.55%15.12%18.16%
63
Neutral
¥112.24B24.510.70%6.85%45.60%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
¥626.31B34.969.53%0.55%12.02%20.18%
61
Neutral
¥53.22B19.321.95%24.74%1.44%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3543
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,717.00
-186.72
-6.43%
JP:3197
Skylark Holdings Co
2,774.00
-283.78
-9.28%
JP:7581
Saizeriya Co
5,440.00
347.58
6.83%
JP:3087
Doutor Nichires Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,682.00
59.35
2.26%
JP:3395
Saint Marc Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,440.00
147.82
6.45%
JP:8153
MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.
3,625.00
-63.59
-1.72%

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

KOMEDA Lifts Full-Year Dividend, Exceeds Five-Year Shareholder Return Target
Apr 15, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved a year-end dividend of ¥30 per share for the fiscal year ended February 28, 2026, matching its latest forecast and bringing the full-year dividend to ¥60 per share. The payout, funded from retained ...
KOMEDA Holdings Unveils Five-Year CONNECT 2030 Medium-Term Plan
Apr 8, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings has unveiled a new five-year medium-term management plan, branded “CONNECT 2030,” covering fiscal years from ending February 2027 through February 2031. The plan is positioned as a roadmap to realize the group’s m...
Komeda Holdings Lifts Earnings and Dividends, Projects Further Growth for FY2027
Apr 8, 2026
Komeda Holdings reported strong results for the year ended February 28, 2026, with revenue climbing 21.6% to ¥57.2 billion and net income attributable to owners rising 11.1% to ¥6.46 billion, while equity and earnings per share also impr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 09, 2026