KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥139.90B
• Dividend Yield: 1.88%
• Average Volume (3M): 183.56K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.22
• Revenue Growth: 16.70%
• EPS Growth: -0.37%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 533
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Restaurants
• EPS (TTM): 35.99
• Shares Outstanding: 46,271,400
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 248,190
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 183,563
• PEG Ratio: -11.19
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.72
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.63
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.33
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥3,354.00 ▲(10.51% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by steady growth, solid profitability, and strong free cash flow, partially tempered by a relatively leveraged balance sheet and some margin fade. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages, while valuation (P/E ~23 with a ~1.88% yield) is a moderate headwind.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business expansion strategies, enhancing long-term stability.

Profitability

Strong profitability metrics reflect efficient operations and pricing power, supporting sustainable business growth and shareholder value.

Cash Flow Management

Effective cash flow management ensures the company can fund operations and investments, maintaining financial flexibility and resilience.

Negative Factors

High Debt Levels

High debt levels can strain financial resources and limit strategic options, posing risks if economic conditions worsen or interest rates rise.

Capital Structure Variability

Variability in capital structure management may lead to uncertainty in financial planning and increased exposure to market volatility.

Debt Management

While improved, the need for careful debt management remains crucial to avoid financial distress and ensure long-term operational stability.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. operates a chain of coffee shops in Japan, China, and Taiwan. As of May 31, 2022, the company operated 966 stores. It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of breads, and other food and equipment; and sub-lease of stores. In addition, the company provides consultancy services for the construction of new stores. KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is based in Nagoya, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

KOMEDA Holdings generates revenue primarily through its extensive network of coffee shops, where it sells a variety of beverages, baked goods, and light meals. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to customers in-store, as well as potential franchise fees from its franchised locations. Key revenue streams include coffee sales, food items, and possibly merchandise related to its brand. Significant partnerships may include collaborations with food suppliers and beverage distributors, which help maintain product quality and availability. Additionally, the company's focus on customer experience and brand loyalty contributes to repeat business, enhancing its overall earnings.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability metrics. The income statement shows a solid revenue increase and healthy margins. The balance sheet is stable with improved debt-to-equity ratios, although high debt levels require careful management. Cash flow management is strong, supporting operations and investments effectively.

Income Statement

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. shows a strong income statement performance with a consistent revenue growth trend, as evidenced by a revenue increase from 28.8 billion yen in 2021 to 47.1 billion yen in 2025. The gross profit margin remains robust, and the net profit margin has improved marginally over the years. EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect healthy operational efficiency. Overall, the company exhibits solid profitability and growth, positioning it well within the restaurant industry.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. indicates a stable financial position with an increase in stockholders' equity over time, from 33.2 billion yen in 2020 to 45.6 billion yen in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, suggesting a prudent approach to leveraging. The equity ratio has slightly increased, further enhancing financial stability. However, the company carries a significant amount of debt, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong cash flow management, with consistent operating cash flow growth. The free cash flow has shown a positive trend, supporting the company's ability to fund operations and investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, fluctuations in financing cash flows suggest potential variability in capital structure management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	52.53B	47.06B	43.24B	37.84B	33.32B	28.84B
Gross Profit	16.17B	15.68B	14.46B	12.99B	12.04B	10.36B
EBITDA	11.05B	10.43B	10.35B	9.69B	8.90B	6.96B
Net Income	6.00B	5.81B	5.97B	5.42B	4.93B	3.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	109.00B	105.74B	102.77B	100.05B	97.43B	109.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	10.96B	10.39B	7.92B	6.68B	6.21B	7.30B
Total Debt	43.46B	43.98B	44.48B	45.56B	46.62B	59.96B
Total Liabilities	61.17B	60.12B	59.66B	59.43B	59.82B	74.70B
Stockholders Equity	47.66B	45.62B	43.11B	40.54B	37.56B	34.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	10.31B	10.05B	10.33B	8.99B	6.86B	8.88B
Operating Cash Flow	11.43B	11.23B	11.44B	10.26B	8.15B	10.36B
Investing Cash Flow	-510.00M	642.00M	-1.96B	-1.58B	9.71B	-11.56B
Financing Cash Flow	-8.66B	-9.51B	-8.24B	-8.25B	-18.98B	1.89B

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3035.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3543, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3035 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3024.35, above the 50-day MA of 3000.32, and above the 200-day MA of 2963.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3543.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3097	72 Outperform	¥172.29B	24.92	―	0.80%	16.91%	12.17%
3543	71 Outperform	¥139.90B	22.95	―	1.88%	16.70%	-0.37%
8179	69 Neutral	¥130.30B	26.35	9.66%	1.17%	8.16%	-6.01%
7630	66 Neutral	¥146.69B	51.90	―	1.71%	9.51%	6.29%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
2695	58 Neutral	¥133.05B	36.98	―	0.63%	4.32%	11.78%
7412	41 Neutral	¥108.71B	154.23	―	―	-12.01%	―