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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:3543)
:3543
Japanese Market

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3543

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.

(3543)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,100.00
▲(2.14% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/16/26
The score is supported primarily by solid financial performance (profitability, improving leverage, and strong free cash flow), but it is meaningfully weighed down by weak technical conditions (price below key moving averages and negative momentum). Valuation is acceptable but not compelling at a ~22x P/E with a ~1.9% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained, growing free cash flow provides durable internal funding for store investment, maintenance, and selective expansion without heavy external financing. This strengthens resilience through cycles, supports shareholder returns, and enables reinvestment in customer experience.
Negative Factors
Margin compression trend
A multi-year erosion in margins signals structural cost pressure or adverse mix changes. If sustained, it can erode unit economics, limit reinvestment capacity, and force price increases that could suppress traffic or margin recovery without operational efficiency gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Sustained, growing free cash flow provides durable internal funding for store investment, maintenance, and selective expansion without heavy external financing. This strengthens resilience through cycles, supports shareholder returns, and enables reinvestment in customer experience.
Read all positive factors

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. operates a chain of coffee shops in Japan, China, and Taiwan. As of May 31, 2022, the company operated 966 stores. It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of breads, and other food and equipment; and sub-lease of ...
How the Company Makes Money
KOMEDA Holdings generates revenue primarily through its extensive network of coffee shops, where it sells a variety of beverages, baked goods, and light meals. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to customers in-store, as well as ...

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid fundamentals: healthy TTM revenue growth (4.3%), strong profitability (TTM operating margin ~16.7%, net margin ~11.1%), improving leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.89x), and strong/growing free cash flow (¥11.3B, +9.4%). Offsetting factors are margin compression versus 2022–2024 and only moderate operating cash flow coverage of earnings (~0.82x).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.80B47.06B43.24B37.84B33.32B28.84B
Gross Profit16.29B15.54B14.46B12.83B11.89B10.22B
EBITDA11.03B10.24B10.18B9.27B8.75B7.17B
Net Income6.10B5.81B5.97B5.42B4.93B3.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets107.53B116.31B112.79B100.31B97.65B109.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.03B10.39B7.92B6.68B6.21B7.30B
Total Debt42.56B43.98B44.48B45.56B46.62B59.96B
Total Liabilities59.27B70.70B69.68B59.69B60.03B74.95B
Stockholders Equity48.08B45.62B43.11B40.54B37.56B34.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.27B10.05B10.40B9.18B6.91B8.98B
Operating Cash Flow12.63B11.23B11.44B10.26B8.15B10.36B
Investing Cash Flow-6.50B642.00M-1.96B-1.58B9.71B-11.56B
Financing Cash Flow-9.29B-9.51B-8.24B-8.25B-18.98B1.89B

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3035.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2881.30
Positive
100DMA
2927.85
Positive
200DMA
2954.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.11
Negative
RSI
62.39
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3543, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3035 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2926.45, above the 50-day MA of 2881.30, and above the 200-day MA of 2954.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 21.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3543.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥131.46B14.742.09%5.78%10.26%
72
Outperform
¥331.86B22.289.66%0.55%14.33%36.83%
70
Outperform
¥132.28B20.090.70%5.15%47.13%
63
Neutral
¥138.01B22.641.88%16.70%-0.37%
63
Neutral
¥777.15B45.719.53%0.55%15.58%60.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
¥67.51B17.621.95%23.52%-13.42%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3543
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,984.00
194.97
6.99%
JP:3197
Skylark Holdings Co
3,416.00
432.73
14.51%
JP:7581
Saizeriya Co
6,800.00
2,373.97
53.64%
JP:3087
Doutor Nichires Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,973.00
570.86
23.76%
JP:3395
Saint Marc Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,085.00
713.85
30.11%
JP:8153
MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.
4,290.00
722.84
20.26%

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

KOMEDA Holdings Delivers Double-Digit Revenue Growth and Raises Dividend Outlook
Jan 14, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings reported strong results for the nine months ended November 30, 2025, with revenue rising 22.3% year-on-year to ¥42.4 billion and operating profit up 4.5% to ¥7.0 billion, while net income attributable to owners of the par...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026