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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:3543)
:3543
Japanese Market

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3543

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.

(3543)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,395.00
▲(11.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/09/26
The score is led by a healthy financial profile: strong revenue growth, solid profitability, and reliable cash generation, alongside improving leverage. Offsetting this, technical indicators show the stock is overbought despite an uptrend, and valuation looks somewhat full at a ~22.6 P/E with only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Franchise-based business model
A franchise-centered model with company-owned stores and centralized brand and store support drives scalable, recurring royalty and supply revenue while keeping capital intensity lower. Over months this structure supports predictable cash flows, faster footprint expansion and operational leverage versus all-owned rollouts.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Observed margin compression suggests rising input costs or higher reinvestment into the business. If persistent, this erodes operating leverage and reduces the amount of incremental profit from revenue growth, limiting the company's ability to improve returns or fund initiatives without pricing changes or efficiency gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise-based business model
A franchise-centered model with company-owned stores and centralized brand and store support drives scalable, recurring royalty and supply revenue while keeping capital intensity lower. Over months this structure supports predictable cash flows, faster footprint expansion and operational leverage versus all-owned rollouts.
Read all positive factors

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. operates a chain of coffee shops in Japan, China, and Taiwan. As of May 31, 2022, the company operated 966 stores. It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of breads, and other food and equipment; and sub-lease of ...
How the Company Makes Money
KOMEDA Holdings primarily makes money by monetizing its café brands through a franchise-centered model. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) franchise-related income, such as franchise fees and ongoing royalties paid by franchisees for the r...

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth with healthy sector profitability and generally rising net income. Cash generation is solid with good earnings-to-cash conversion, but margins have compressed versus earlier years and free cash flow growth has been volatile. Balance sheet risk has improved as leverage declined, though debt remains meaningful.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.23B47.06B43.24B37.84B33.32B
Gross Profit16.85B15.54B14.46B12.83B11.89B
EBITDA11.62B10.24B10.18B9.27B8.75B
Net Income6.46B5.81B5.97B5.42B4.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets110.39B116.31B112.79B100.31B97.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.86B10.39B7.92B6.68B6.21B
Total Debt42.64B43.98B44.48B45.56B46.62B
Total Liabilities60.23B70.70B69.68B59.69B60.03B
Stockholders Equity49.86B45.62B43.11B40.54B37.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.95B10.05B10.40B9.18B6.91B
Operating Cash Flow12.35B11.23B11.44B10.26B8.15B
Investing Cash Flow-4.77B642.00M-1.96B-1.58B9.71B
Financing Cash Flow-9.50B-9.51B-8.24B-8.25B-18.98B

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3035.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2932.69
Positive
100DMA
2944.01
Positive
200DMA
2964.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
36.91
Positive
RSI
54.86
Neutral
STOCH
53.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3543, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3035 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3014.00, above the 50-day MA of 2932.69, and above the 200-day MA of 2964.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 36.91 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3543.

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
¥129.78B14.742.09%5.78%10.26%
70
Outperform
¥130.89B20.090.70%5.15%47.13%
68
Neutral
¥141.06B19.061.88%16.70%-0.37%
65
Neutral
¥268.42B33.859.66%0.55%14.33%36.83%
63
Neutral
¥739.84B45.719.53%0.55%15.58%60.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
¥62.02B17.621.95%23.52%-13.42%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3543
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.
3,030.00
156.67
5.45%
JP:3197
Skylark Holdings Co
3,257.00
313.97
10.67%
JP:7581
Saizeriya Co
5,340.00
1,277.00
31.43%
JP:3087
Doutor Nichires Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,894.00
205.68
7.65%
JP:3395
Saint Marc Holdings Co., Ltd.
2,771.00
383.52
16.06%
JP:8153
MOS FOOD SERVICES, INC.
4,170.00
332.47
8.66%

KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

KOMEDA Holdings Unveils Five-Year CONNECT 2030 Medium-Term Plan
Apr 8, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings has unveiled a new five-year medium-term management plan, branded “CONNECT 2030,” covering fiscal years from ending February 2027 through February 2031. The plan is positioned as a roadmap to realize the group’s m...
Komeda Holdings Lifts Earnings and Dividends, Projects Further Growth for FY2027
Apr 8, 2026
Komeda Holdings reported strong results for the year ended February 28, 2026, with revenue climbing 21.6% to ¥57.2 billion and net income attributable to owners rising 11.1% to ¥6.46 billion, while equity and earnings per share also impr...
KOMEDA Holdings Delivers Double-Digit Revenue Growth and Raises Dividend Outlook
Jan 14, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings reported strong results for the nine months ended November 30, 2025, with revenue rising 22.3% year-on-year to ¥42.4 billion and operating profit up 4.5% to ¥7.0 billion, while net income attributable to owners of the par...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 09, 2026