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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd.
(3543)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,191.00
▲(5.14% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/16/26
The score is primarily driven by solid financial performance—strong TTM growth, healthy profitability, and especially robust free cash flow—offset by the risk of ongoing margin compression. Technicals are moderately positive but not fully aligned with long-term trend indicators, and valuation is reasonable rather than clearly attractive.
Positive Factors
Franchise-centered business model
A franchise-centric model creates durable, recurring revenue streams (royalties, supply sales, support fees) and scales with low corporate capex. Standardized brand operations and training reduce execution risk and enable consistent margin capture as store count grows.
Negative Factors
Ongoing margin compression
A sustained downtrend in gross, operating and net margins suggests structural cost pressures or pricing stress. Persisting margin erosion will reduce available cash for franchisor initiatives, constrain reinvestment, and make earnings more sensitive to revenue volatility over months to years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise-centered business model
A franchise-centric model creates durable, recurring revenue streams (royalties, supply sales, support fees) and scales with low corporate capex. Standardized brand operations and training reduce execution risk and enable consistent margin capture as store count grows.
Read all positive factors
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. (3543) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥133.66B
Dividend Yield2.08%
Average Volume (3M)183.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)19.7
Beta (1Y)0.16
Revenue Growth18.68%
EPS Growth13.05%
CountryJP
Employees828
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)146.94
Shares Outstanding46,271,400
10 Day Avg. Volume248,190
30 Day Avg. Volume183,563
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.84
Price to Book (P/B)2.67
Price to Sales (P/S)2.33
P/FCF Ratio12.18
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)152.58
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥61.33B
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. operates a coffee shop franchise business under the Komeda Coffee and Okagean brand names in Japan. It also involved in the real estate rental activities. KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered...
How the Company Makes Money
KOMEDA Holdings primarily makes money through a franchise-centered model. Key revenue streams include: (1) Franchise-related income: recurring fees paid by franchisees for the right to operate under the company’s brands (e.g., royalties and other ...
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Feb 2026 | Feb 2025 | Feb 2024 | Feb 2023 | Feb 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 58.96B | 57.23B | 47.06B | 43.24B | 37.84B | 33.32B |
| Gross Profit | 17.43B | 16.85B | 15.52B | 14.46B | 12.83B | 11.89B |
| EBITDA | 12.07B | 11.62B | 10.24B | 10.18B | 9.27B | 8.75B |
| Net Income | 6.69B | 6.46B | 5.81B | 5.97B | 5.42B | 4.93B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 110.54B | 110.39B | 116.31B | 112.79B | 100.31B | 97.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 9.93B | 8.86B | 10.39B | 7.92B | 6.68B | 6.21B |
| Total Debt | 41.80B | 42.64B | 43.98B | 44.48B | 45.56B | 46.62B |
| Total Liabilities | 59.88B | 60.23B | 70.70B | 69.68B | 59.69B | 60.03B |
| Stockholders Equity | 50.34B | 49.86B | 45.62B | 43.11B | 40.54B | 37.56B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 12.65B | 10.95B | 10.05B | 10.40B | 9.18B | 6.91B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 14.06B | 12.35B | 11.23B | 11.44B | 10.26B | 8.15B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.24B | -4.77B | 642.00M | -1.96B | -1.58B | 9.71B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -11.37B | -9.50B | -9.51B | -8.24B | -8.25B | -18.98B |
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
3035.00
Price Trends
2792.92
Positive
2897.16
Negative
2911.92
Negative
Market Momentum
11.71
Positive
47.20
Neutral
8.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3543, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3035 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2861.10, above the 50-day MA of 2792.92, and above the 200-day MA of 2911.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 11.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3543.
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | ¥141.27B | 17.02 | ― | 1.75% | 7.36% | 24.66% | |
72 Outperform | ¥133.66B | 19.67 | ― | 1.88% | 18.68% | 13.05% | |
67 Neutral | ¥384.57B | 32.03 | 9.75% | 0.55% | 16.06% | 12.26% | |
63 Neutral | ¥118.87B | 25.93 | ― | 0.70% | 6.85% | 45.60% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | ¥714.58B | 39.89 | 9.69% | 0.78% | 12.02% | 20.18% | |
61 Neutral | ¥56.13B | 20.46 | ― | 2.01% | 24.74% | 1.53% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Komeda Holdings completes restricted stock treasury share disposal for executive and employee incentives
Jul 15, 2026
Komeda Holdings Co., Ltd. has completed payment procedures for the disposal of 19,836 treasury shares, issued as restricted stock compensation to directors, executives, and employees. The shares were disposed at ¥2,704 each for a total of ...
KOMEDA Holdings Delivers Double-Digit Profit Growth and Keeps Full-Year Outlook Intact
Jul 15, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings reported a solid first quarter for the fiscal year ending February 2027, with revenue rising 12.7% year on year to ¥15.4 billion and operating profit climbing 15.5% to ¥2.65 billion, supported by double-digit gains in net...
KOMEDA Issues Restricted Treasury Shares to Align Pay with Long-Term Performance
Jun 24, 2026
KOMEDA Holdings Co., Ltd. has approved the disposal of 19,836 treasury shares as restricted stock compensation for three directors, 13 directors and executive officers of its subsidiaries, and 125 subsidiary employees, at a disposal price of ¥...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.