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T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. (JP:9812)
:9812
Japanese Market

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. (9812) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9812

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD.

(9812)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
¥274.00
▲(5.79% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:11/07/25
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by the company's weak financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The negative P/E ratio and low dividend yield further contribute to the low valuation score, making the stock unattractive at this time.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Improved operating cash flow indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings, providing a buffer against financial instability.
Business Model Diversification
Diversified revenue streams from real estate and financial instruments enhance resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Strategic Market Positioning
Strategic positioning in urban development and commercial properties supports long-term growth in dynamic Asian markets.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage downturns.
Declining Revenue
Consistent revenue decline suggests challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness, impacting long-term profitability.
Negative Profitability
Negative profitability reflects operational inefficiencies and could hinder reinvestment in business growth and innovation.

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. (9812) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionT.O. Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of clothing, furniture, home appliances, household appliances, mobile phone agency, and credit card business in Japan and internationally. It also offers consumer loans; sells DIY supplies and groceries; sells DVD / CD rentals, books/magazines, etc.; and sells timber, building materials, system kitchens, unit baths, and toilets. In addition, the company is involved in the civil engineering, pavement, and construction works, such as buildings and commercial facilities; leasing business of land and buildings, comprising of condominiums, detached houses, offices, warehouses, etc.; automobile sales and automobile repair business; and operation of sports clubs and swimming schools. Further, it engages in the provision of fire and automobile insurance, non-life insurance agency business, life insurance business, and leasing business, as well as sell and lease office equipment such as printers and multifunction devices, and mail order sales of office supplies and field supplies. Additionally, the company provides consultation services on new car sales, used car handling, inspection, maintenance, catalogs, quotes, and test drive searches services; and women's and men's fashion, accessories, bags, wallets, women's and men's shoes, jewelry, precious metals, cosmetics, home renovation, 100 yen shops, furniture, interiors, bedding, cafes and cakes, relaxation salons, and food. The company was formerly known as T.O. Ogasawara Co., Ltd. and changed its name to T.O. Holdings Co.,Ltd. in June 2017. T.O. Holdings Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Hakodate, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyT.O.Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its real estate investments and development projects. The company earns income by leasing commercial and residential properties, as well as from the sale of developed properties. Additionally, T.O.Holdings may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other real estate developers and investors, sharing profits from collaborative projects. The company's investment portfolio also includes financial instruments which may yield dividends and capital gains, further contributing to its overall earnings. Strategic acquisitions and market positioning enhance its ability to capitalize on favorable economic conditions, thus bolstering its revenue generation.

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. While cash flow generation shows some positive trends, the overall financial health is concerning due to high debt levels and inconsistent profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has faced declining revenue over the past few years, with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.29% in the latest period. Gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but net profit margin has turned negative, indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative, reflecting poor profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing and potential solvency concerns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved, but free cash flow growth is volatile, with a recent spike due to a low base effect. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is inconsistent, reflecting fluctuating cash flow performance.
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.42B24.19B25.61B26.49B27.70B30.86B
Gross Profit5.70B5.77B5.62B6.53B6.60B7.22B
EBITDA690.17M756.88M878.22M323.76M840.40M1.21B
Net Income-67.91M-7.58M111.53M-521.64M-28.26M123.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.73B17.00B17.83B19.60B20.71B21.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments696.00M683.49M474.76M1.14B766.51M800.47M
Total Debt10.57B11.53B11.84B13.78B13.91B14.86B
Total Liabilities16.17B16.40B17.22B19.13B19.63B21.42B
Stockholders Equity422.00M461.52M453.37M329.88M913.24M291.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00578.84M421.08M512.13M307.58M2.13B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.06B734.64M873.59M678.95M3.03B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-471.08M616.39M-287.91M-199.96M437.69M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-382.95M-2.02B-189.21M-532.95M-3.55B

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price259.00
Price Trends
50DMA
273.72
Positive
100DMA
277.68
Positive
200DMA
305.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
48.33
Neutral
STOCH
25.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9812, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 259 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 284.00, below the 50-day MA of 273.72, and below the 200-day MA of 305.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9812.

T.O.Holdings CO. LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥3.09B9.872.13%4.48%5.88%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
¥2.48B-88.483.86%2.13%156.83%
58
Neutral
¥2.93B18.611.59%-4.01%-41.29%
51
Neutral
¥3.27B17.202.96%-8.43%135.83%
41
Neutral
¥1.33B-1.32-41.75%-116.16%
40
Underperform
¥1.78B-16.700.20%-9.71%-280.94%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9812
T.O.Holdings CO. LTD.
278.00
-37.65
-11.93%
JP:5386
Tsuruya Co., Ltd.
383.00
18.92
5.20%
JP:5928
Almetax Manufacturing Co., Ltd.
316.00
61.63
24.23%
JP:6173
Aqualine Ltd.
160.00
-140.00
-46.67%
JP:7896
Seven Industries Co., Ltd.
555.00
39.67
7.70%
JP:9767
Nikken Kogaku Co., Ltd.
1,693.00
372.28
28.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025