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Subaru Co., Ltd. (JP:9778)
:9778
Japanese Market

Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9778

Subaru Co., Ltd.

(9778)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,720.00
▼(-10.49% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:09/26/25
Subaru Co., Ltd.'s overall stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and technical indicators. The company's financial stability is offset by challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management. Technical analysis suggests a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, with the stock trading below key moving averages. The high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns, despite a modest dividend yield. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet stability
Moderate leverage and a solid equity ratio give the company financial resilience over the medium term. A ~0.47 debt/equity and improved ROE indicate capacity to absorb shocks, access financing at reasonable terms, and support strategic investments without immediate refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
Persistent or recurring revenue declines reduce operational scale and weaken pricing leverage. Over a multi‑quarter horizon, falling top line constrains margin recovery, limits reinvestment capacity, and raises the burden on cost cuts to sustain earnings and long-term growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet stability
Moderate leverage and a solid equity ratio give the company financial resilience over the medium term. A ~0.47 debt/equity and improved ROE indicate capacity to absorb shocks, access financing at reasonable terms, and support strategic investments without immediate refinancing pressure.
Read all positive factors

Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Subaru Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Subaru Co., Ltd. provides learning and examination instruction services in Japan. The company offers elementary school, junior high school, middle school, high school, satellite preparatory school, and individualized instruction courses. It operat...
How the Company Makes Money
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Subaru Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Subaru Co., Ltd. presents a mixed financial outlook. While the company shows signs of recovering profitability and maintains a stable balance sheet, there are challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The declining gross profit margin and inconsistent revenue growth suggest competitive pressures and operational challenges. Nonetheless, the manageable debt levels and improving return on equity reflect financial stability. The company needs to enhance its cash flow management to support sustainable growth and profitability in the Education & Training Services sector.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMFeb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022Feb 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue961.00K3.45B3.53B3.51B3.54B3.67B
Gross Profit244.00K622.62M707.48M831.12M894.53M775.82M
EBITDA103.72M224.08M266.33M421.71M439.01M264.37M
Net Income67.00M57.90M36.02M217.98M136.46M-62.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.77B6.96B7.15B6.71B6.72B6.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments683.08M792.38M963.28M472.09M689.43M491.22M
Total Debt1.73B1.69B1.83B1.44B1.52B1.72B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.39B3.51B3.11B3.27B3.47B
Stockholders Equity3.41B3.57B3.64B3.60B3.45B3.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0092.95M177.18M-16.08M344.05M215.10M
Operating Cash Flow0.00161.81M281.20M193.48M415.16M287.06M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-117.30M-97.62M-225.69M53.33M-99.14M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-232.19M304.81M-230.35M-217.82M-24.15M

Subaru Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6390.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5835.53
Negative
100DMA
6077.57
Negative
200DMA
6478.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-61.82
Negative
RSI
48.11
Neutral
STOCH
66.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9778, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6390 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5532.50, above the 50-day MA of 5835.53, and below the 200-day MA of 6478.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -61.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9778.

Subaru Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥18.01B13.553.81%9.96%252.72%
76
Outperform
¥32.97B17.485.00%
75
Outperform
¥44.17B28.752.28%7.30%60.93%
71
Outperform
¥40.24B8.143.55%4.95%9.43%
70
Outperform
¥38.05B18.912.56%7.41%22.70%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
55
Neutral
¥3.31B-35.051.95%-3.28%38.72%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9778
Subaru Co., Ltd.
5,600.00
-1,557.10
-21.76%
JP:4668
Meiko Network Japan Co., Ltd.
718.00
12.12
1.72%
JP:4714
Riso Kyoiku Co., Ltd.
194.00
-34.41
-15.06%
JP:4718
Waseda Academy Co., Ltd.
2,018.00
-51.00
-2.47%
JP:9470
Gakken Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,015.00
72.22
7.66%
JP:9795
Step Co., Ltd.
2,438.00
206.13
9.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025