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Subaru Co., Ltd. (JP:9778)
:9778
Japanese Market
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Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

Subaru Co., Ltd.

(9778)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥7,870.00
▲(7.37%Upside)
Subaru Co., Ltd. receives an overall score of 63.85, reflecting a mix of financial stability and challenges. The stable balance sheet and improving profitability are positive, but are offset by pressures in revenue growth and cash flow generation. Technical indicators show short-term positive momentum, yet valuation concerns remain due to a high P/E ratio. The absence of earnings call insights and corporate events means the score is primarily driven by financial performance and valuation.

Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Subaru Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSubaru Co., Ltd. (9778) is a Japanese company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and sale of automobiles and related products. The company is known for its all-wheel-drive vehicles, boxer engine technology, and strong emphasis on safety and performance. Subaru operates across various sectors including automotive manufacturing, retail sales, and parts and accessories distribution, serving markets globally with a strong presence in North America, Japan, and other regions.
How the Company Makes MoneySubaru Co., Ltd. generates revenue through the production and sale of its automobiles, which include passenger cars, SUVs, and electric vehicles. A significant portion of its earnings comes from the North American market, where its vehicles are popular for their reliability and all-weather capabilities. The company also makes money through the sale of automotive parts and accessories, as well as through its financial services, which provide financing and leasing options to customers. Subaru maintains partnerships with various suppliers and dealers worldwide, which help in expanding its market reach and enhancing its supply chain efficiency. Additionally, the company's focus on innovative automotive technologies and sustainable practices contributes to its competitive edge and revenue growth.

Subaru Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Subaru Co., Ltd. presents a mixed financial outlook. While profitability is recovering and the balance sheet is stable, challenges remain in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The declining gross profit margin and inconsistent revenue growth suggest competitive pressures and operational challenges. Debt levels are manageable, and return on equity is improving, reflecting financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Subaru Co., Ltd. shows a moderate performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has been under pressure, declining from 25.3% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2025. However, the net profit margin has improved in recent years, reaching 1.7% in 2025 from a negative margin in 2021, indicating a recovery in profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent decline of -2.3% in 2025 compared to the previous year. The EBIT margin also decreased to 2.5% in 2025 from 10.1% in 2020. These factors suggest pressure on the company's pricing power and cost management.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure for Subaru Co., Ltd. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable at approximately 0.47 in 2025, illustrating moderate leverage. The return on equity has improved to 1.6% in 2025, up from negative performance in 2021, indicating a positive trajectory in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 51.5% in 2025, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets. These indicators reflect stability, though there is room for improvement in improving returns.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Subaru Co., Ltd.'s cash flow statement demonstrates some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate experienced a significant decline of -47.5% in 2025, reflecting pressures on operational efficiency and capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was strong at 2.8 in 2025, indicating efficient cash generation relative to income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio fell to 1.6 in 2025, showing reduced free cash flow relative to net income. The company needs to focus on improving cash flow generation to support further growth.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue961.00K3.45B3.53B3.51B3.54B3.67B
Gross Profit244.00K622.62M707.48M831.12M894.53M775.82M
EBITDA103.72M224.08M266.33M465.98M561.70M264.37M
Net Income67.00M57.90M36.02M217.98M136.46M-62.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.77B6.93B7.12B6.71B6.72B6.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments683.08M792.38M963.28M472.09M689.43M491.22M
Total Debt1.73B1.69B1.83B1.44B1.53B1.72B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.35B3.48B3.11B3.27B3.46B
Stockholders Equity3.41B3.57B3.64B3.60B3.45B3.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0092.95M177.18M-16.08M344.05M215.10M
Operating Cash Flow0.00161.81M281.20M193.48M415.16M287.06M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-117.30M-97.62M-225.69M53.33M-99.14M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-232.19M304.81M-230.35M-217.82M-24.15M

Subaru Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7330.00
Price Trends
50DMA
7298.00
Positive
100DMA
7357.74
Negative
200DMA
7327.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.27
Negative
RSI
56.61
Neutral
STOCH
87.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9778, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7330 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7271.00, above the 50-day MA of 7298.00, and above the 200-day MA of 7327.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9778.

Subaru Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥4.97B18.89
3.12%3.01%3.80%
72
Outperform
¥4.17B9.03
2.53%9.04%6.37%
71
Outperform
¥4.86B20.40
18.65%60.09%
69
Neutral
¥4.11B8.61
1.80%1.03%
65
Neutral
$26.91B15.41-4.18%3.21%1.01%1.34%
64
Neutral
¥4.33B76.43
1.64%-2.62%20.04%
60
Neutral
¥3.40B12.67
1.39%-4.52%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9778
Subaru Co., Ltd.
7,330.00
-115.16
-1.55%
JP:2179
Seigakusha Co., Ltd.
756.00
-31.91
-4.05%
JP:2464
Aoba-BBT. Inc.
348.00
-0.28
-0.08%
JP:4319
TAC Co., Ltd.
222.00
40.91
22.59%
JP:6096
RareJob,Inc.
359.00
-58.87
-14.09%
JP:7353
KIYO Learning Co Ltd
702.00
210.00
42.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2025