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Subaru Co., Ltd. (JP:9778)
:9778
Japanese Market
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Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9778

Subaru Co., Ltd.

(9778)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,656.00
▼(-11.49% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/17/26
The score is primarily held back by weakening financial performance (declining revenue and sharply lower profits) alongside a bearish technical trend (below key moving averages with negative MACD). A stable balance sheet and moderate dividend yield provide partial support, but the negative P/E and recent free-cash-flow weakening limit the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Stable balance sheet & moderate leverage
A consistently sized equity base and moderate leverage give the company structural financial resilience. This capital stability supports operations during cyclical earnings weakness, preserves borrowing capacity for investments or restructuring, and reduces risk of distress over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A multi-year top-line decline signals weakening market position or demand and limits operating leverage. With revenue shrinking, management must achieve efficiency gains or new revenue streams to restore growth, otherwise margin pressure and earnings deterioration can persist over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable balance sheet & moderate leverage
A consistently sized equity base and moderate leverage give the company structural financial resilience. This capital stability supports operations during cyclical earnings weakness, preserves borrowing capacity for investments or restructuring, and reduces risk of distress over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Subaru Co., Ltd. (9778) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Subaru Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Subaru Co., Ltd. engages in the cram school business in Japan. The company offers learning and examination guidance for older children, elementary school students, junior high school students, and high school students; mock tests; special training...
How the Company Makes Money
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Subaru Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: revenue has declined modestly for several years and profitability has deteriorated sharply since 2022–2023 (EBIT and net income materially lower). Balance sheet stability and moderate leverage help offset some risk, while cash flow is positive but volatile with weakening recent free cash flow.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue961.00K3.38B3.45B3.53B3.51B3.54B
Gross Profit244.00K611.22M622.62M707.48M831.12M894.53M
EBITDA103.72M256.16M224.08M266.33M421.71M439.01M
Net Income67.00M40.75M57.90M36.02M217.98M136.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.77B6.87B6.96B7.15B6.71B6.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments683.08M752.93M792.38M963.28M472.09M689.43M
Total Debt1.73B1.60B1.69B1.83B1.44B1.52B
Total Liabilities3.35B3.25B3.39B3.51B3.11B3.27B
Stockholders Equity3.41B3.62B3.57B3.64B3.60B3.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0059.05M92.95M177.18M-16.08M344.05M
Operating Cash Flow0.00274.48M161.81M281.20M193.48M415.16M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-125.08M-117.30M-97.62M-225.69M53.33M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-169.32M-232.19M304.81M-230.35M-217.82M

Subaru Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6390.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5547.60
Negative
100DMA
5691.56
Negative
200DMA
6102.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-21.37
Positive
RSI
51.42
Neutral
STOCH
51.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9778, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6390 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5524.50, above the 50-day MA of 5547.60, and above the 200-day MA of 6102.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -21.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9778.

Subaru Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥15.81B10.283.81%7.75%71.62%
76
Outperform
¥33.14B20.445.00%2.53%-6.30%
76
Outperform
¥43.65B16.712.56%7.38%4.61%
75
Outperform
¥42.82B12.892.28%7.47%12.35%
71
Outperform
¥36.40B12.653.55%3.13%6.72%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
52
Neutral
¥3.27B80.281.95%-2.18%-29.63%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9778
Subaru Co., Ltd.
5,530.00
-1,529.05
-21.66%
JP:4668
Meiko Network Japan Co., Ltd.
685.00
-15.10
-2.16%
JP:4714
Riso Kyoiku Co., Ltd.
194.00
-16.32
-7.76%
JP:4718
Waseda Academy Co., Ltd.
2,250.00
-137.31
-5.75%
JP:9470
Gakken Holdings Co., Ltd.
993.00
90.15
9.99%
JP:9795
Step Co., Ltd.
2,206.00
53.29
2.48%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 17, 2026