Tokai Lease Co., Ltd. (JP:9761)
:9761
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Tokai Lease Co., Ltd.
(9761)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,239.00
▼(-9.50% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/16/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance (steep revenue/margin decline and negative free cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). A reasonable P/E and high dividend yield provide partial support but are not enough to offset the recent fundamental and momentum deterioration.
Positive Factors
Recurring leasing model
Tokai Lease's core business is recurring leasing and rental of temporary buildings plus ancillary services. This contract-driven, usage-based revenue and lifecycle service model creates durable cash inflows, customer stickiness, and predictable demand from construction/events sectors over months.
Negative Factors
Sharp recent revenue drop
A ~59% YoY revenue contraction materially undermines predictability of cash flows and utilization of leased assets. Such a steep fall pressures pricing leverage and contract renewals, reducing the stability of recurring revenues and making near-term operational planning and investment sizing more difficult.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring leasing model
Tokai Lease's core business is recurring leasing and rental of temporary buildings plus ancillary services. This contract-driven, usage-based revenue and lifecycle service model creates durable cash inflows, customer stickiness, and predictable demand from construction/events sectors over months.
Read all positive factors
Tokai Lease Co., Ltd. (9761) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥7.57B
Dividend Yield5.03%
Average Volume (3M)8.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.5
Beta (1Y)0.41
Revenue Growth2.49%
EPS Growth-32.47%
CountryJP
Employees568
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)326.74
Shares Outstanding3,494,322
10 Day Avg. Volume8,330
30 Day Avg. Volume8,546
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.35
Price to Book (P/B)0.48
Price to Sales (P/S)0.44
P/FCF Ratio-5.50
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Tokai Lease Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Tokai Lease Co., Ltd. manufactures, sells, and leases temporary buildings, and fixtures and fittings in Japan. The company's solutions cover flat houses, such as convenience stores, schools, support centers, factories, post offices, fire and disas...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokai Lease makes money mainly by leasing and renting out temporary buildings (e.g., prefabricated units used as site offices, dormitories, storage, or event facilities) and related equipment to customers for a contracted period, generating recurr...
Tokai Lease Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 18.97B | 18.86B | 18.40B | 17.18B | 15.74B | 16.42B |
| Gross Profit | 4.16B | 1.95B | 3.95B | 3.30B | 2.30B | 2.79B |
| EBITDA | 3.44B | 3.14B | 3.28B | 2.74B | 2.02B | 2.32B |
| Net Income | 1.13B | 723.22M | 1.07B | 675.33M | 148.51M | 324.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 36.61B | 39.41B | 36.66B | 34.55B | 31.29B | 31.78B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.52B | 3.57B | 2.55B | 2.38B | 2.58B | 2.49B |
| Total Debt | 14.98B | 17.18B | 13.95B | 12.41B | 11.34B | 11.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 19.66B | 21.75B | 19.58B | 18.32B | 15.89B | 16.25B |
| Stockholders Equity | 16.80B | 17.50B | 16.92B | 16.08B | 15.26B | 15.39B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.51B | -1.14B | -1.83B | 664.30M | 348.17M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 695.97M | 1.03B | 1.19B | 2.40B | 2.42B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -2.16B | -1.82B | -3.59B | -1.93B | -1.02B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 2.54B | 958.49M | 1.59B | -388.62M | -624.12M |
Tokai Lease Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
2474.00
Price Trends
2367.28
Negative
2455.69
Negative
2352.42
Negative
Market Momentum
-51.19
Positive
29.18
Positive
19.10
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9761, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2474 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2267.40, above the 50-day MA of 2367.28, and above the 200-day MA of 2352.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -51.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.18 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9761.
Tokai Lease Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | ¥21.90B | 11.93 | ― | 4.36% | -0.08% | -1.83% | |
72 Outperform | ¥24.47B | 9.58 | ― | 3.29% | 24.94% | 17.77% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
64 Neutral | ¥46.67B | 5.87 | ― | 2.38% | 38.97% | -8.68% | |
57 Neutral | ¥61.84B | 9.29 | ― | 2.89% | 4.32% | 11.25% | |
52 Neutral | ¥39.73B | 21.02 | ― | 0.45% | 23.11% | 8.31% | |
47 Neutral | ¥7.57B | 10.53 | ― | 5.03% | 2.49% | -32.47% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
JP:9761
Tokai Lease Co., Ltd.
2,198.00
220.63
11.16%
JP:2980
SRE Holdings Corp.
2,401.00
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Japan Property Management Center Co.Ltd.
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Loadstar Capital KK
2,861.00
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JP:7187
J-LEASE CO., LTD.
1,325.00
78.27
6.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.