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Capcom Co Ltd (JP:9697)
:9697

Capcom Co (9697) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9697

Capcom Co

(9697)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,541.00
▲(11.00% Upside)
Strong fundamentals (high margins, rapid TTM growth, and a debt-free balance sheet) are the primary support for the score. This is tempered by a clear bearish technical setup (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a key fundamental watch-out in the recent TTM free-cash-flow decline.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. It enables Capcom to fund game development, marketing, licensing and M&A from internally generated capital, while maintaining flexibility for shareholder returns or cyclical buffering.
High profitability and ROE
Very high gross and operating margins reflect scalable IP economics and low variable costs per unit. Strong ROE indicates efficient capital use and durable earnings power, supporting reinvestment in live services, DLC and franchise growth without eroding core profitability.
Robust IP monetization and catalog strength
Large and growing catalog sales plus multi-million unit hits show sustainable recurring revenue from back-catalog and new-platform rollouts. Cross-media coordination (esports, film, licensing) and multi-platform releases stretch IP lifetime and diversify monetization over time.
Negative Factors
TTM free cash flow decline
A sharp TTM FCF decline weakens near-term cash flexibility and raises execution risk for funding sequels, live services and marketing without tapping reserves. Lower FCF conversion and only ~1.5x operating cash/NI make investment pacing and returns more sensitive to timing of releases.
Hit-driven revenue dependence
Capcom’s core economics hinge on blockbuster releases and their launch timing, creating inherent revenue lumpiness. This concentration makes forecasting and steady investment in development or new channels more difficult and elevates execution and market-timing risk.
Sustainability risk of accelerated growth
Exceptionally rapid TTM revenue growth suggests recent results may be driven by specific hits and catalog rollouts. If growth normalizes, margin maintenance will depend on continued high-margin content or higher ongoing marketing and live-service costs, pressuring predictability.

Capcom Co (9697) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Capcom Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapcom Co., Ltd. plans, develops, manufactures, sells, and distributes home video games, online games, mobile games, and arcade games in Japan and internationally. It operates through Digital Contents, Arcade Operations, Amusement Equipments, and Other Businesses segments. The Digital Contents segment develops and sells packaged and digital game content for consumer home video game platforms, as well as mobile content and PC online games. The Arcade Operations segment operates Plaza Capcom amusement facilities primarily in commercial complexes, as well as hosts various events. The Amusement Equipments segment is involved in the development, manufacture, and sale of frames and LCD devices for gaming machines, as well as software. The Other Businesses segment publishes walkthrough and strategy guides, as well as game art books; licenses movies, animated television programs, music CDs, and merchandise; and focuses on the esports business. It also manages amusement arcades. Capcom Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapcom generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of video games. This includes physical and digital game sales, downloadable content (DLC), and in-game purchases. The company also benefits from recurring revenue through its online services and subscriptions associated with specific titles. Additionally, Capcom earns revenue from licensing its intellectual properties for merchandise, films, and collaborations with other media. Significant partnerships with platform holders such as Sony, Microsoft, and Nintendo further enhance its distribution capabilities and visibility in the market. Seasonal sales promotions and events, like the Tokyo Game Show, also contribute to increased sales and brand awareness.

Capcom Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very strong profitability and growth (TTM gross margin ~61%, EBIT margin ~42%, net margin ~31%, revenue growth ~+88%) plus a conservative balance sheet with zero debt and strong ROE (~27%). The main weakness is cash flow volatility: TTM free cash flow declined ~34% and FCF is ~76% of net income, which reduces the score despite strong earnings.
Income Statement
92
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show very strong profitability, with gross margin ~61%, EBIT margin ~42%, and net margin ~31%—all indicating high-quality earnings. Revenue growth is exceptionally strong in TTM (about +88%), building on solid growth in prior annual periods, pointing to strong demand/monetization. The main watch-out is sustainability: growth has accelerated sharply versus the last annual report, which can be hit-driven in gaming and may normalize.
Balance Sheet
95
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned, with TTM showing zero debt and a debt-to-equity ratio at 0.0, which materially reduces financial risk. Equity is sizable relative to assets, and return on equity is strong (roughly 27% TTM), indicating efficient capital use. A minor consideration is that total assets were higher in the most recent annual period than in TTM, suggesting some balance sheet fluctuation over time, but leverage remains very low overall.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is positive with TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow both solid, and free cash flow is about 76% of net income—generally supportive of earnings quality. However, TTM free cash flow declined materially (about -34%), and operating cash flow is only ~1.5x net income, which is decent but not exceptionally strong for a company showing very high margins. Prior annual periods show better free-cash-flow conversion and growth, so the TTM dip looks like the key near-term weakness to monitor.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue169.60B152.41B125.93B110.05B95.31B
Gross Profit98.76B84.66B111.54B91.00B76.66B
EBITDA70.41B63.56B54.63B47.76B37.69B
Net Income48.45B43.37B36.74B32.55B24.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets312.98B243.48B217.37B187.37B163.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments166.78B125.19B102.12B107.26B71.24B
Total Debt11.92B12.16B11.75B6.10B6.83B
Total Liabilities86.68B48.40B56.23B40.89B43.10B
Stockholders Equity226.30B195.08B161.13B146.47B120.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.34B31.79B14.37B42.88B11.50B
Operating Cash Flow67.62B36.92B21.79B46.95B14.63B
Investing Cash Flow-7.27B-5.96B-7.68B-7.43B-4.23B
Financing Cash Flow-18.73B-15.97B-22.48B-9.98B-6.96B

Capcom Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3190.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3645.66
Negative
100DMA
3859.37
Negative
200DMA
4037.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-33.07
Positive
RSI
36.12
Neutral
STOCH
16.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9697, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3190 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3631.50, below the 50-day MA of 3645.66, and below the 200-day MA of 4037.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -33.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9697.

Capcom Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥518.52B14.692.49%-1.05%6.49%
72
Outperform
¥1.33T23.0326.66%1.17%45.17%81.91%
72
Outperform
¥2.63T33.3317.57%0.84%18.39%23.33%
68
Neutral
¥496.83B29.404.45%2.12%-8.73%-55.81%
62
Neutral
¥10.45T29.3013.46%1.17%24.47%12.54%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
¥920.47B41.266.70%1.80%-12.02%126.06%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9697
Capcom Co
3,190.00
-664.52
-17.24%
JP:9766
KONAMI HOLDINGS
19,380.00
576.81
3.07%
JP:7974
Nintendo Co
8,973.00
-1,906.13
-17.52%
JP:6460
Sega Sammy Holdings
2,363.00
-899.48
-27.57%
JP:9684
Square Enix Holdings Co
2,524.50
300.77
13.53%
JP:3635
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,550.50
-484.04
-23.79%

Capcom Co Corporate Events

Capcom Posts Strong Nine-Month Profit Surge and Confirms Full-Year Forecast, Dividend Plan
Jan 27, 2026

Capcom reported strong results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 29.8% year on year to ¥115.3 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 68.6% to ¥38.9 billion, reflecting a significant rebound in profitability from the prior-year period. Operating profit climbed 75.1%, ordinary profit increased 64.6%, and basic earnings per share reached ¥92.96, while the equity ratio improved to 85.9% on a larger net asset base, underscoring a solid financial position. The company maintained its full-year forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, targeting ¥190.0 billion in net sales and ¥51.0 billion in profit attributable to owners of parent, and kept its dividend outlook unchanged at a total annual payout of ¥40 per share, signaling confidence in continued earnings growth and shareholder returns without altering its consolidation scope or accounting policies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9697) stock is a Buy with a Yen4281.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capcom Co stock, see the JP:9697 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026