tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
NEXON Co Ltd (JP:3659)
:3659

NEXON Co (3659) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
6 Followers

Top Page

JP:3659

NEXON Co

(3659)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,350.00
▲(13.84% Upside)
NEXON Co's stock is supported by strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation Ability
NEXON's ability to generate positive free cash flow indicates strong operational efficiency and financial health, enabling reinvestment and debt management.
Balance Sheet Health
A low debt-to-equity ratio suggests conservative leverage, providing financial stability and flexibility to pursue growth opportunities.
Profitability Margins
High gross profit margins reflect efficient cost management, supporting sustained profitability and competitive pricing strategies.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Decline
A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market expansion or product adoption, potentially impacting future earnings.
Decreasing Net Profit Margin
A decreasing net profit margin may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could affect long-term profitability.
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue decline could hinder the company's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and expand its customer base.

NEXON Co (3659) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

NEXON Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNEXON Co (3659) is a leading global online gaming company based in South Korea, primarily known for its development and publishing of interactive entertainment content. The company operates in the gaming sector, focusing on free-to-play online games, mobile games, and various gaming platforms. NEXON's core products include popular titles such as 'Dungeon Fighter Online,' 'MapleStory,' and 'EA Sports FIFA Online,' which cater to a diverse audience across multiple demographics and geographies.
How the Company Makes MoneyNEXON generates revenue primarily through in-game purchases and microtransactions, where players can buy virtual goods and enhancements within their games. The company employs a free-to-play model, allowing users to access games without an upfront cost, while monetizing through optional purchases. Additionally, NEXON earns revenue from subscription models and advertising revenue associated with its games. Strategic partnerships with other gaming companies and collaborations for co-development of new titles further enhance its revenue streams. The company also benefits from a strong presence in the Asian market, particularly in Japan and China, where its games have a substantial player base, contributing significantly to its earnings.

NEXON Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
NEXON demonstrated strong performance in key franchises and successful new title launches, with significant growth in Dungeon&Fighter PC and MapleStory. However, the earnings were negatively impacted by FX losses and challenges in sustaining player engagement, particularly in Dungeon&Fighter Mobile.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Key Franchises
Dungeon&Fighter PC saw a 67% YoY revenue growth, while MapleStory achieved 60% YoY revenue growth. In Korea, quarterly revenue for these titles set new records with MAUs and PUs nearly doubling, resulting in 132% YoY revenue growth.
Successful Launch of New Titles
MABINOGI MOBILE exceeded expectations with strong MAUs, PUs, and ARPPU. Additionally, ARC Raiders, set for release on October 30, is currently the sixth most wish-listed game on Steam.
Strong Revenue and Operating Income Performance
Q2 revenue reached JPY118.9 billion, 8% above the high end of guidance, while operating income was JPY37.7 billion, 21% above guidance.
Shareholder Return Initiatives
Under a JPY100 billion buy-back policy, JPY50 billion worth of shares were repurchased by June, with further repurchases planned.
Negative Updates
Negative Impact of Foreign Exchange
Net income was below expectations at JPY16.8 billion due to a JPY17.5 billion FX loss on US dollar-denominated cash deposits, resulting in a 58% YoY decline.
Decline in Key Franchises
Despite some strong performances, the collective revenue for the three major franchises declined 13% YoY, with Dungeon&Fighter franchise revenue down 40% YoY.
Challenges in Sustaining Player Engagement
While there was strong initial success with the May anniversary update for Dungeon&Fighter Mobile, it was less effective at sustaining returning players than anticipated.
Company Guidance
During NEXON's 2025 Q2 earnings call, the company reported a robust performance, exceeding expectations in revenue and operating income, despite facing FX headwinds. Key highlights included a 60% year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth in the MapleStory franchise, driven by strong performance in Korea and expansion into new regions, alongside a 67% YoY revenue growth in Dungeon&Fighter PC. NEXON achieved Q2 revenues of JPY 118.9 billion and operating income of JPY 37.7 billion, surpassing guidance by 8% and 21%, respectively. While net income fell short at JPY 16.8 billion due to a JPY 17.5 billion FX loss, the company saw a 132% YoY revenue increase in Korea and double-digit growth in China due to successful content updates. Looking ahead, NEXON anticipates strong performances in Q3 from its flagship titles, despite an expected YoY revenue decline of 6% to 14% on an as-reported basis. The upcoming release of ARC Raiders on October 30 and the expansion of the MABINOGI MOBILE franchise are expected to support future growth.

NEXON Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NEXON Co demonstrates strong profitability with a healthy net profit margin of 27.7% and robust EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is solid with low financial leverage and a high equity ratio. However, revenue declined by 0.8% in the TTM period, which is a concern.
Income Statement
75
Positive
NEXON Co's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 63.8% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company experienced a revenue decline of 0.8% in the TTM period, which is a concern. The net profit margin remains healthy at 27.7%, though it has decreased from the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.038, indicating low financial leverage. Return on equity is solid at 12.4%, showcasing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is high, suggesting a stable financial structure with significant equity backing the assets.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth rate of 12.6% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.28, showing good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly below 1, suggesting room for improvement in cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue431.23B446.21B423.36B353.71B274.46B293.02B
Gross Profit264.97B281.37B285.42B247.94B202.34B224.01B
EBITDA210.78B134.32B139.45B158.30B145.29B117.01B
Net Income113.22B134.85B70.61B100.34B114.89B56.22B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.30T1.26T1.10T1.04T986.63B862.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments711.38B600.87B596.76B571.86B534.93B525.70B
Total Debt38.88B40.00B29.72B23.32B15.33B16.59B
Total Liabilities238.35B226.25B191.53B175.30B140.74B141.72B
Stockholders Equity1.05T1.02T896.27B858.19B836.67B709.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow155.65B97.33B123.00B124.24B104.33B134.37B
Operating Cash Flow161.18B100.97B128.71B130.14B105.91B137.60B
Investing Cash Flow174.52B7.45B-188.37B-10.92B18.08B-140.23B
Financing Cash Flow-110.48B-64.78B-78.55B-105.86B-21.05B-2.63B

NEXON Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3821.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3443.84
Positive
100DMA
3298.95
Positive
200DMA
2837.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
108.29
Positive
RSI
62.41
Neutral
STOCH
75.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3659, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3821 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3746.95, above the 50-day MA of 3443.84, and above the 200-day MA of 2837.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 108.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3659.

NEXON Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.72T27.1810.76%0.79%-4.40%89.91%
76
Outperform
¥704.12B18.942.47%-1.05%6.49%
70
Neutral
¥3.43T40.4117.57%0.80%18.39%23.33%
69
Neutral
$1.66T27.4026.66%1.16%45.17%81.91%
68
Neutral
¥503.91B31.754.45%2.01%-8.73%-55.81%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$1.05T45.476.70%1.85%-12.02%126.06%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3659
NEXON Co
3,821.00
1,656.30
76.51%
JP:9766
KONAMI HOLDINGS
22,400.00
7,465.43
49.99%
JP:9697
Capcom Co
3,615.00
213.60
6.28%
JP:6460
Sega Sammy Holdings
2,551.50
-22.12
-0.86%
JP:9684
Square Enix Holdings Co
2,789.00
747.23
36.60%
JP:3635
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,951.00
212.66
12.23%

NEXON Co Corporate Events

NEXON Co. Updates on Share Buyback Progress
Dec 1, 2025

NEXON Co., Ltd. announced the status of its share buyback program, acquiring 1,654,300 ordinary shares for JPY 6,045,852,900 between November 12 and November 30, 2025. This buyback is part of a broader initiative authorized by the board to acquire up to 10 million shares, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to enhance shareholder value.

NEXON Co., Ltd. Announces Share Buyback Program to Enhance Capital Efficiency
Nov 11, 2025

NEXON Co., Ltd. has announced a share buyback program approved by its Board of Directors, aiming to enhance capital efficiency and implement a flexible capital management policy. The program involves acquiring up to 10 million ordinary shares, representing 1.3% of the total shares outstanding, with a maximum acquisition cost of JPY 25 billion, to be executed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from November 12, 2025, to January 26, 2026.

NEXON Co., Ltd. Announces Mixed Financial Outlook for 2025
Nov 11, 2025

NEXON Co., Ltd. announced its full-year consolidated and standalone financial outlook for 2025, indicating a mixed financial performance. While the company expects a slight increase in revenue and operating profit, it anticipates a decrease in profit before tax and profit attributable to owners due to expected foreign exchange losses. For standalone results, a decline in revenue is expected due to the termination of a service, but ordinary and net income are projected to rise significantly, driven by dividends from subsidiaries.

NEXON Co. Announces Financial Results and Dividend Increase
Nov 11, 2025

NEXON Co. reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, showing a decline in revenue and profit compared to the previous year. Despite the decrease, the company revised its dividend forecast for FY 2025, indicating an increase in year-end dividends, which may positively impact investor sentiment.

Nexon Completes Share Buyback Program
Oct 23, 2025

Nexon Co., Ltd. announced the completion of its share buyback program, which was conducted under the stipulations of the Companies Act of Japan. The program, which ran from October 1 to October 24, 2025, resulted in the acquisition of 3,502,600 ordinary shares at a total cost of JPY 11,304,484,200, marking the end of the buyback initiative that was resolved by the Board of Directors on August 13, 2025.

NEXON Subsidiary Nitro Studio Files for Bankruptcy
Oct 21, 2025

NEXON Co., Ltd. announced that its consolidated subsidiary, Nitro Studio Co., Ltd., has filed for bankruptcy in South Korea. Nitro, which was fully acquired by NEXON Korea in 2024, failed to meet performance expectations with its in-house game, leading to the termination of its services. As a result, Nitro’s bankruptcy is seen as a necessary step to liquidate the entity, which holds significant liabilities, including loans from NEXON Korea. Despite this development, NEXON’s consolidated financial results will remain unaffected due to prior allowances for doubtful accounts.

NEXON Co. Reports Progress on Share Buyback Program
Oct 1, 2025

NEXON Co., Ltd. announced the status of its ongoing share buyback program, acquiring 2,680,400 shares for approximately JPY 9 billion between September 1 and September 30, 2025. This initiative is part of a broader plan approved by the Board of Directors to repurchase up to 11 million shares, reflecting the company’s strategic efforts to enhance shareholder value and optimize its capital structure.

NEXON Co. to Receive Significant Dividend from Subsidiary
Sep 26, 2025

NEXON Co., Ltd. announced it will receive a dividend of JPY 124,254 million from its subsidiary, NEXON Korea Corporation. This dividend will be recorded as non-operating income for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, but will not affect the company’s consolidated business results as it is from a consolidated subsidiary.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025