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Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:3635)
:3635

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (3635) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3635

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.

(3635)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,039.00
▲(7.01% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/01/25
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. scores well due to its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's robust revenue growth and profitability are key strengths, while the technical analysis suggests short-term momentum. The valuation is reasonable, with a fair P/E ratio and a decent dividend yield. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth (9.38% most recently) reflects durable demand for Koei Tecmo's franchises across consoles, PC and mobile. A diversified platform mix and recurring DLC/licensing revenues support multi-period top-line resilience and reduce dependence on single releases.
High Profitability Margins
Consistently high gross (60%+) and net (~45%) margins indicate strong pricing power and cost-efficient digital distribution. Margins support reinvestment in development, marketing and IP expansion, enabling sustained cash generation from core game and licensing businesses.
Strong Cash Generation
Robust operating cash conversion and impressive free cash flow growth underline the company's ability to self-fund development, partnerships and returns. Reliable cash generation reduces refinancing risk and supports strategic flexibility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Emerging Cost Pressures
A recent slight decline in gross margin signals rising development, distribution or operational costs. If persistent, these cost pressures could erode the premium margins that fund R&D and licensing, compressing long-term profitability unless offset by higher ASPs or efficiencies.
Moderate Equity Reliance
A moderate reliance on equity financing can dilute shareholder returns and indicates capital structure is not fully optimized. Over time this may limit ROE expansion and reduce financial leverage flexibility compared with peers using lower equity intensity.
Historic FCF Volatility
Past volatility in free cash flow, despite recent growth, points to sensitivity to release timing and investment cycles. Such swings can complicate long-term planning for large projects, M&A or steady shareholder returns if volatility recurs.

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (3635) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKoei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company in Japan, North America, Europe, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Entertainment, Amusement, and Real Estate segments. The Entertainment segment develops and sells entertainment contents. It offers software for personal computers and gaming consoles. The Amusement segment develops commercial amusements; and manages amusement arcades. The Real Estate segment engages in the operation, management, and lease of real estate properties. It is also involved in the venture capital and other activities. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan. Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Koyu Holdings Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyKoei Tecmo generates revenue primarily through the sale of video games across multiple platforms, including consoles, PC, and mobile devices. The company's revenue model includes direct sales of physical and digital copies of games, downloadable content (DLC), and in-game purchases. Additionally, Koei Tecmo earns money through licensing agreements and partnerships, which may involve collaborations with other media franchises or adaptations into other forms of entertainment such as anime or merchandise. Significant partnerships with hardware manufacturers and distribution platforms also contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach. The company may also benefit from seasonal sales and promotional events that boost game sales.

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth, high profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a low leverage profile, enhancing its financial stability. Minor areas for improvement include optimizing equity financing and addressing cost pressures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable 9.38% increase in the most recent year. The company maintains high profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 60% and a net profit margin around 45%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect strong operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from previous years indicates potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial management and low leverage risk. The return on equity is healthy, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing, which could be optimized further.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Koei Tecmo Holdings shows strong cash flow management, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow growth has been impressive, although it experienced volatility in earlier years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is consistently high, underscoring solid cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue80.34B83.15B84.58B78.42B72.76B60.37B
Gross Profit49.63B52.39B55.30B57.10B50.60B39.07B
EBITDA41.96B51.90B30.31B40.78B36.08B25.95B
Net Income30.06B37.63B33.79B30.93B35.36B29.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets243.40B209.83B245.80B210.89B219.80B190.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.21B44.49B70.09B20.61B45.42B17.23B
Total Debt35.92B467.00M46.54B47.34B48.15B41.00M
Total Liabilities56.28B20.41B70.25B68.20B81.70B25.54B
Stockholders Equity187.12B189.42B175.55B142.68B138.10B165.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0032.82B34.80B28.80B23.47B28.14B
Operating Cash Flow0.0034.37B36.60B29.69B24.82B29.73B
Investing Cash Flow0.0040.97B-24.86B-21.39B-13.17B-12.29B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-63.17B-15.47B-16.59B-4.56B-19.40B

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1905.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1775.31
Positive
100DMA
1917.38
Negative
200DMA
2029.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.23
Negative
RSI
61.22
Neutral
STOCH
90.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3635, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1905.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1652.70, above the 50-day MA of 1775.31, and below the 200-day MA of 2029.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3635.

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥603.30B15.972.49%-1.05%6.49%
72
Outperform
¥2.82T32.8617.57%0.84%18.39%23.33%
72
Outperform
¥1.50T23.3826.66%1.17%45.17%81.91%
68
Neutral
¥549.82B-40.414.45%2.12%-8.73%-55.81%
62
Neutral
¥10.47T26.1513.46%1.17%24.47%12.54%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
¥938.70B36.686.70%1.80%-12.02%126.06%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3635
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,804.00
-161.59
-8.22%
JP:9766
KONAMI HOLDINGS
20,830.00
2,299.24
12.41%
JP:9697
Capcom Co
3,593.00
-168.52
-4.48%
JP:7974
Nintendo Co
8,995.00
-1,948.41
-17.80%
JP:6460
Sega Sammy Holdings
2,615.00
-242.13
-8.47%
JP:9684
Square Enix Holdings Co
2,574.50
237.41
10.16%

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Koei Tecmo Posts Slight Sales Decline but Strengthens Balance Sheet, Keeps FY2026 Outlook and Dividend Plan
Jan 26, 2026

For the nine months ended 31 December 2025, Koei Tecmo reported a slight 1.6% year-on-year decline in net sales to ¥51.7 billion and lower operating profit of ¥14.6 billion, while ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent also fell compared with the previous year. Despite softer earnings and a drop in basic EPS to ¥73.84, total assets and equity increased sharply, with the equity ratio at a solid 82.8% and net assets per share rising to ¥772.35, reflecting balance sheet reinforcement including a significant reduction in treasury shares. The company kept its full-year FY2026 guidance unchanged, forecasting ¥92.0 billion in net sales and a 28.2% decline in profit attributable to owners of parent to ¥27.0 billion, and plans to maintain shareholder returns with a forecast annual dividend of ¥43 per share, signaling a focus on capital efficiency and stable distributions even amid earnings pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3635) stock is a Buy with a Yen2003.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3635 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025