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Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (JP:3635)
:3635

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (3635) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3635

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.

(3635)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,957.00
▲(2.70% Upside)
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. scores well due to its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's robust revenue growth and profitability are key strengths, while the technical analysis suggests short-term momentum. The valuation is reasonable, with a fair P/E ratio and a decent dividend yield. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
Sustained high gross (>60%) and net (~45%) margins alongside recent double-digit revenue growth indicate durable franchise economics and pricing power. These margins support steady R&D and content investment, funding sequels, DLC and cross-media projects across product cycles.
Strong cash generation
Consistently strong operating cash conversion and free cash flow provide durable funding for development pipelines, dividends, buybacks or selective M&A without relying on external financing. This cash strength enhances strategic optionality through industry cycles.
Low leverage and solid balance sheet
A low debt-to-equity profile and healthy return on equity support resilience against platform cycle volatility and allow the company to invest in long-term IP, marketing and partnerships while preserving flexibility to pursue strategic opportunities with limited refinancing risk.
Negative Factors
Signs of margin pressure
A recent dip in gross margin signals rising development, licensing or platform costs that could erode long-term profitability if persistent. Over time, sustained cost inflation without offsetting pricing or efficiency gains would compress operating leverage across game release cycles.
Lagging EPS growth
Earnings per share growth materially trails revenue expansion, suggesting margin compression, higher operating costs, share issuance or one-off items. Persistently weak EPS growth can limit per-share returns and reduce ability to increase dividends or fund buybacks sustainably.
Moderate reliance on equity financing
A moderate equity financing stance may dilute returns and indicate a suboptimal capital mix versus modest leverage. Over the medium term this can restrain ROE and shareholder returns if management does not rebalance toward more efficient capital allocation or deploy excess cash into higher-return uses.

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. (3635) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKoei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company in Japan, North America, Europe, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Entertainment, Amusement, and Real Estate segments. The Entertainment segment develops and sells entertainment contents. It offers software for personal computers and gaming consoles. The Amusement segment develops commercial amusements; and manages amusement arcades. The Real Estate segment engages in the operation, management, and lease of real estate properties. It is also involved in the venture capital and other activities. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan. Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Koyu Holdings Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyKoei Tecmo generates revenue primarily through the sale of video games across multiple platforms, including consoles, PC, and mobile devices. The company's revenue model includes direct sales of physical and digital copies of games, downloadable content (DLC), and in-game purchases. Additionally, Koei Tecmo earns money through licensing agreements and partnerships, which may involve collaborations with other media franchises or adaptations into other forms of entertainment such as anime or merchandise. Significant partnerships with hardware manufacturers and distribution platforms also contribute to its earnings by expanding its market reach. The company may also benefit from seasonal sales and promotional events that boost game sales.

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. exhibits strong financial health with robust revenue growth, high profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a low leverage profile, enhancing its financial stability. Minor areas for improvement include optimizing equity financing and addressing cost pressures.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable 9.38% increase in the most recent year. The company maintains high profitability with a consistent gross profit margin above 60% and a net profit margin around 45%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect strong operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin from previous years indicates potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial management and low leverage risk. The return on equity is healthy, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing, which could be optimized further.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Koei Tecmo Holdings shows strong cash flow management, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow growth has been impressive, although it experienced volatility in earlier years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is consistently high, underscoring solid cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue80.34B83.15B84.58B78.42B72.76B60.37B
Gross Profit49.63B52.39B55.30B57.10B50.60B39.07B
EBITDA41.96B51.90B30.31B40.78B36.08B25.95B
Net Income30.06B37.63B33.79B30.93B35.36B29.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets243.40B209.83B245.80B210.89B219.80B190.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.21B44.49B70.09B20.61B45.42B17.23B
Total Debt35.92B467.00M46.54B47.34B48.15B41.00M
Total Liabilities56.28B20.41B70.25B68.20B81.70B25.54B
Stockholders Equity187.12B189.42B175.55B142.68B138.10B165.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0032.82B34.80B28.80B23.47B28.14B
Operating Cash Flow0.0034.37B36.60B29.69B24.82B29.73B
Investing Cash Flow0.0040.97B-24.86B-21.39B-13.17B-12.29B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-63.17B-15.47B-16.59B-4.56B-19.40B

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1905.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1936.31
Negative
100DMA
1974.86
Negative
200DMA
2105.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-56.18
Positive
RSI
26.50
Positive
STOCH
23.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3635, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1905.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1841.25, below the 50-day MA of 1936.31, and below the 200-day MA of 2105.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -56.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.50 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3635.

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥282.35B6.4417.98%2.52%34.16%
76
Outperform
¥580.89B15.382.49%-1.05%6.49%
75
Outperform
¥1.49T23.1426.66%1.17%45.17%81.91%
68
Neutral
¥500.30B28.984.45%2.12%-8.73%-55.81%
64
Neutral
¥142.01B33.173.38%2.38%-3.12%-63.07%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
¥993.58B43.226.70%1.80%-12.02%126.06%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3635
Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd.
1,732.00
-171.92
-9.03%
JP:9697
Capcom Co
3,904.00
352.22
9.92%
JP:2432
DeNA Co
2,515.50
-254.46
-9.19%
JP:3765
Gungho Online Entertainment
2,610.00
-586.26
-18.34%
JP:6460
Sega Sammy Holdings
2,341.00
-637.49
-21.40%
JP:9684
Square Enix Holdings Co
2,693.50
587.38
27.89%

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Koei Tecmo Posts Slight Sales Decline but Strengthens Balance Sheet, Keeps FY2026 Outlook and Dividend Plan
Jan 26, 2026

For the nine months ended 31 December 2025, Koei Tecmo reported a slight 1.6% year-on-year decline in net sales to ¥51.7 billion and lower operating profit of ¥14.6 billion, while ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of parent also fell compared with the previous year. Despite softer earnings and a drop in basic EPS to ¥73.84, total assets and equity increased sharply, with the equity ratio at a solid 82.8% and net assets per share rising to ¥772.35, reflecting balance sheet reinforcement including a significant reduction in treasury shares. The company kept its full-year FY2026 guidance unchanged, forecasting ¥92.0 billion in net sales and a 28.2% decline in profit attributable to owners of parent to ¥27.0 billion, and plans to maintain shareholder returns with a forecast annual dividend of ¥43 per share, signaling a focus on capital efficiency and stable distributions even amid earnings pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3635) stock is a Buy with a Yen2003.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Koei Tecmo Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3635 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025