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DeNA Co (JP:2432)
:2432

DeNA Co (2432) AI Stock Analysis

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DeNA Co

(OTC:2432)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,620.00
▲(7.84%Upside)
The overall stock score of 67.5 reflects a balance between strong financial performance and undervaluation against technical challenges. Significant improvements in financial metrics and an attractive valuation are tempered by negative technical signals, suggesting caution in the short term despite long-term potential.
Positive Factors
Model Update
A stronger-than-expected contribution from PokéPoké is reflected in the model update.
Monetization Momentum
The near-term outlook is solid, with a sustained top-10 ranking and strong monetization momentum.
Potential Buybacks
Near-term upside may come from potential buybacks or a positive surprise in the first quarter results.
Negative Factors
High Reliance on Single Title
High reliance on a single title limits long-term visibility.
Price Target Reduction
Initial momentum of Pokémon TCG Pocket has normalized, leading to a reduction in the price target.
Structural Constraints
Structural constraints remain for the company, potentially limiting growth opportunities.

DeNA Co (2432) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

DeNA Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeNA Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese company primarily involved in the internet and mobile services sector. Established in 1999, DeNA operates a diverse range of businesses including mobile games, e-commerce, sports, and healthcare. The company is renowned for its development and operation of mobile and online games, which are popular in Japan and globally. Additionally, DeNA has expanded into various digital content and platform services, leveraging its expertise in mobile technology and digital entertainment.
How the Company Makes MoneyDeNA Co., Ltd. generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is its mobile games segment, where it develops and operates a wide array of games available on smartphones and other digital platforms. This includes both original games and collaborations with other prominent game developers. Revenue in this segment is typically earned through in-app purchases, subscription services, and advertising. Beyond gaming, DeNA also earns revenue from its e-commerce platforms, which involve online sales and transactions across various products and services. Additionally, DeNA has ventured into the healthcare and sports industries, providing digital solutions and services that contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other technology and entertainment companies further enhance its business operations and revenue potential.

DeNA Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -32.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with significant revenue growth across multiple segments, a successful recovery in the Sports business, and promising expansion in the Healthcare & Medical areas. The challenges in the mature Game market are noted but are outweighed by numerous achievements and forward-looking strategies.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Operating Profit Increase
Revenue for Q2 was JPY 39.0 billion, with an increase in both revenue and operating profit on a quarter-over-quarter basis.
Game Segment Growth
Revenue grew quarter-over-quarter due to new title launches and existing title seasonality. The company launched several new titles, expanding into various regions including Mainland China and Europe.
Live Streaming Business Expansion
Significant growth in Pococha Japan and IRIAM. The Live Streaming segment is prioritizing revenue growth while aiming for profitability by the end of fiscal year 2023.
Sports Segment Recovery
The Sports business has recovered from COVID-19 impacts, with the Yokohama DeNA BayStars achieving record stadium attendance.
Healthcare & Medical Segment Growth
Steady progress in revenue and profit goals, with a notable increase in data use business revenue from JPY 0.3 billion to JPY 0.84 billion year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Game Market
The Game market is described as mature, implying potential challenges in sustaining growth amid market saturation.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2023, Shingo Okamura provided detailed guidance on the company's performance and strategic direction. The revenue for Q2 reached JPY 39.0 billion, with an IFRS operating profit of JPY 3.1 billion and a non-GAAP operating profit of JPY 2.9 billion, indicating growth both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year in revenue. The company's Game business saw revenue growth driven by new title launches and existing title seasonality, while the Live Streaming segment, particularly through Pococha Japan and IRIAM, achieved significant user growth and reduced losses. The Sports segment, exemplified by record-breaking attendance at Yokohama DeNA BayStars games, has recovered from COVID-19 impacts. In the Healthcare & Medical segment, strategic expansions and data utilization efforts have led to increased revenue and client acquisition, with the data health business seeing revenue grow from JPY 0.3 billion to JPY 0.84 billion year-over-year. The medical area, particularly through the Join platform, continues to expand regionally and is expected to tap into a market of several hundred billion yen. These initiatives are part of the overarching strategy to strengthen the business portfolio and achieve mid-term growth goals.

DeNA Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DeNA Co demonstrates a strong recovery in financial performance with significant improvements in profitability and operational efficiency. Revenue growth is robust at 19.9% in 2025, and the company shows strong profitability metrics with a net profit margin of 14.7%. The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.2, and cash flow generation is healthy, although past volatility poses some risk.
Income Statement
75
Positive
DeNA Co has shown a strong recovery in its income statement, with notable improvements in profitability metrics. The gross profit margin for 2025 stands at approximately 56.5%, reflecting efficient cost management. Net profit margin improved significantly to 14.7% in 2025 from a negative margin in 2024, indicating a turnaround. Revenue grew by 19.9% in 2025, demonstrating strong growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved considerably, signaling enhanced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company exhibits a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.2, indicating conservative leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) improved to 10.0% in 2025, reflecting better profitability. The equity ratio remains strong at 61.3%, showcasing financial stability. These strengths indicate a resilient financial structure, although the equity ratio has slightly declined over the years.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
DeNA Co's cash flow statement reveals a strong free cash flow growth, reversing from negative free cash flows in 2024 to positive in 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, showing the company's ability to generate cash beyond its net income. However, past volatility in cash flows suggests potential risk factors.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue164.00B136.73B134.91B130.87B136.97B
Gross Profit92.64B60.99B64.09B65.94B74.93B
EBITDA35.84B-18.44B17.45B20.89B34.82B
Net Income24.19B-28.68B8.86B30.53B25.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets394.19B335.71B348.94B340.57B327.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments92.80B71.80B98.01B78.53B98.31B
Total Debt48.41B44.51B45.16B28.27B27.14B
Total Liabilities141.31B115.68B114.95B95.66B98.46B
Stockholders Equity241.73B209.20B221.63B240.63B223.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.75B-21.39B3.23B11.94B20.69B
Operating Cash Flow39.00B-10.84B10.81B18.38B29.97B
Investing Cash Flow-12.26B-12.63B12.45B-19.92B-8.64B
Financing Cash Flow-5.46B-4.10B-4.93B-18.55B6.61B

DeNA Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2429.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2827.91
Negative
100DMA
3168.48
Negative
200DMA
2750.27
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-117.37
Positive
RSI
25.93
Positive
STOCH
8.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2432, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2429.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2603.45, below the 50-day MA of 2827.91, and below the 200-day MA of 2750.27, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -117.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.93 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:2432.

DeNA Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$224.84B13.319.81%3.79%5.43%156.35%
76
Outperform
$152.30B18.036.97%2.14%-17.33%-28.64%
68
Neutral
¥268.37B10.9910.56%2.72%19.94%
66
Neutral
$87.40B35.592.39%3.00%-14.96%-72.07%
66
Neutral
¥369.47B13.442.24%2.50%5.32%-15.13%
66
Neutral
¥42.21B25.64
3.76%-1.33%5.97%
48
Neutral
¥30.54B14.73
-12.61%-314.92%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2432
DeNA Co
2,410.50
806.81
50.31%
JP:3903
gumi, Inc.
605.00
255.00
72.86%
JP:3932
Akatsuki, Inc.
2,970.00
492.49
19.88%
JP:3632
GREE
487.00
-48.58
-9.07%
JP:3765
Gungho Online Entertainment
2,834.50
-50.77
-1.76%
JP:2121
Mixi
3,415.00
466.82
15.83%

DeNA Co Corporate Events

DeNA Co. Revises Financial Results for FY 2025
Jun 11, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. announced a revision to its Consolidated Financial Results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, due to an error in the printed figures. The revision adjusts the recorded goodwill from ¥33,562 million to ¥33,361 million, reflecting a correction in the company’s financial position. This adjustment highlights the company’s commitment to transparency and accuracy in its financial reporting, which is crucial for maintaining stakeholder trust and ensuring compliance with regulatory standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Hold with a Yen2660.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Finalizes Stock Options for Director Compensation
Jun 11, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. has finalized the details for issuing stock acquisition rights as a form of compensation for its directors, excluding outside directors. This decision, made by the Board of Directors, involves issuing 34,954 stock acquisition rights, which will be allocated to four directors, aligning their interests with the company’s performance and potentially impacting shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Hold with a Yen2660.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Co. Issues Stock Options to Align Director Compensation with Performance
May 22, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. has announced the issuance of stock acquisition rights as part of a compensation package for its directors, linking their compensation to the company’s stock performance. This move aims to align directors’ interests with shareholders by incentivizing them to enhance corporate performance and value, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Hold with a Yen2660.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Co. Proposes New Board Appointments to Strengthen Governance
May 22, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. has announced its intention to propose the appointment of six directors and one corporate auditor at its upcoming 27th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders. This strategic move includes the reappointment of five incumbent directors and the introduction of one new outside director, reflecting the company’s commitment to maintaining a strong and independent board. The proposed changes aim to enhance the board’s effectiveness and ensure robust oversight of the company’s operations, aligning with DeNA’s strategic goals and governance standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Hold with a Yen2660.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Co., Ltd. Announces Dividend Allocation for Fiscal Year 2025
May 22, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. announced its decision to allocate dividends from surplus, with a record date of March 31, 2025. The company plans to pay a total dividend of 65 yen per share, including a regular cash dividend of 33 yen and a special cash dividend of 32 yen, reflecting its strong performance and commitment to shareholder returns. This decision underscores DeNA’s strategy of maintaining a minimum payout ratio and aiming for a higher consolidated payout ratio in the future, aligning with its goal of enhancing corporate value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Hold with a Yen2660.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Co. Announces Revised Dividend Forecast for FY 2025
May 9, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. has announced a revised dividend forecast for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, with a total dividend of 65 yen per share, comprising a regular cash dividend of 33 yen and a special cash dividend of 32 yen. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to shareholder interests and its strategy to balance profit allocation with business growth, aiming for a consolidated payout ratio of 30% in the future.

DeNA Co., Ltd. Reports Strong Financial Recovery in FY2025
May 9, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. reported a significant turnaround in its financial performance for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, with a 19.9% increase in revenue to ¥163,997 million and a return to profitability with an operating profit of ¥28,973 million. This positive shift marks a recovery from the previous fiscal year’s losses, indicating a strong operational rebound and improved market positioning, which is likely to have favorable implications for its stakeholders.

DeNA Co., Ltd. Reports Improved Financial Results for Fiscal Year 2025
May 9, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. reported a significant improvement in its financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, compared to the previous year. The company saw a 19.9% increase in revenue, largely driven by the successful launch of the Pokémon Trading Card Game Pocket. Despite recording impairment losses of 4,389 million yen, the company’s profitability improved significantly, marking a positive shift in its financial health.

DeNA Reports Financial Discrepancies and Losses for Subsidiary
May 9, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. announced significant financial discrepancies for its subsidiary, DATA HORIZON CO., LTD., for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. The company reported substantial impairment losses and special losses, impacting its financial results. These developments may affect DeNA’s operational strategies and stakeholder interests, highlighting challenges in its financial management and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025