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DeNA Co Ltd (JP:2432)
:2432

DeNA Co (2432) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2432

DeNA Co

(2432)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,943.00
▲(14.76% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and solid recent cash flow with a conservative balance sheet, tempered by multi-year volatility in revenue and results. Technicals support the outlook with an established uptrend, and valuation appears reasonable given the low P/E and moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Modest leverage gives DeNA financial resilience in a hit-driven industry. Conservative debt levels reduce refinancing and interest risks, preserving capacity to fund live-ops, new titles, or strategic investments during down cycles and supporting multi-quarter operational stability.
Rebounding cash generation
Strong TTM operating and free cash flow enhance DeNA's strategic flexibility: available cash can fund content development, live-ops, marketing, and healthcare/sports initiatives without relying on external financing, supporting sustained investment across business lines.
Profitability rebound and margins
A clear rebound to healthy gross and operating margins and improved returns on equity indicates management can restore earnings after weak periods. Sustained margins imply better ability to fund reinvestment and absorb marketing or platform cost pressure over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue and earnings volatility
Material multi-year swings in revenue and earnings make long-term planning and forecasting difficult. Volatility raises execution risk for content pipelines, complicates capacity investments, and can force cyclical operating adjustments that hinder stable growth trajectories.
Hit-driven game economics
Heavy reliance on hit titles and live-ops creates concentration risk: a few successful releases must offset many lower-performing titles. This structural dependence makes revenue lumpy and requires consistent investment in product, marketing, and partnerships to maintain long-term user engagement.
Cash-flow and earnings variability
Intermittent negative operating and free cash flow in down years shows cash conversion is not stable. Such variability can constrain R&D, live-ops spending, or strategic initiatives during troughs, forcing short-term cuts that impair product roadmaps and future growth.

DeNA Co (2432) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

DeNA Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeNA Co., Ltd. develops and operates mobile and online services worldwide. The company operates through Game Business, Sports Business, Live Streaming Business, Healthcare Business, and New Businesses and Others segments. It operates Mobage, an entertainment platform; Yahoo! Mobage, which offers games for PC browsers; and AndApp, a platform that allows users to play mobile game apps on PC browsers under the same user account; Pococha, a social live streaming community; and IRIAM, an app which allows to livestream as an anime character. The company also operates SHOWROOM, a virtual stage where fans can watch their artists perform live while interacting with them in real time; MYCODE, a direct-to-consumer genetic testing service; kencom, which supports health insurance societies to manage their members' health data; Haretoke, a web service which provides support for millennial women; Caradamo that offers diet support; and ONSEI, an app that uses AI to check for changes in cognitive function. In addition, it operates MENKYO, which enables cognitive function test for elderly drivers seeking license renewal; SHINRI-ADAS, a cognitive functional test; MRI-TAISEKI, a system that analyses brain DICOM images; Easiit, a brain performance app; and DENA SPORTS GROUP, Yokohama DeNA Baystars, Kawasaki Brave Thunders, S.C.SAGAMIHARA, and DeNA Athletics Elite sports teams. Further, the company operates Mobaoku, which allows users to manage their auction items and bids from mobile phones; Anyca, a mobile app for peer-to-peer car sharing; SOMPO DE NORU, a car leasing service; GO, a taxi dispatch app; DRIVE CHART, an accident reduction support service; Coopel, a cloud robotic process automation service; PLAYBACK 9, a NFT service; Easy Ride, a robo-vehicle mobility service; Manga Box, a weekly manga magazine app; and PICKFIVE, a NFT card game. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDeNA generates revenue primarily through the sale of virtual goods within its mobile games, which is a significant portion of its income. The company employs a freemium model, offering games for free while monetizing through in-app purchases. Additionally, DeNA earns revenue from advertising within its applications and through partnerships with other game developers for co-publishing games. The company also has ventures in e-commerce and healthcare, which contribute supplementary revenue streams, though gaming remains its core business. Significant partnerships, including collaborations with major franchises and other tech firms, enhance its market reach and revenue potential.

DeNA Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation have rebounded strongly in FY2025/TTM, supported by conservative leverage. The main risk is consistency: revenue and earnings have been volatile across recent years, including weakness in FY2024.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability is strong in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with healthy gross profitability and solid operating and net margins, and results show a sharp rebound from the losses recorded in FY2024. However, top-line momentum is mixed: revenue declined in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and the business has shown notable year-to-year volatility (strong FY2021–FY2022, weak FY2024, recovery in FY2025/TTM).
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage appears conservative, with debt running at a modest level versus equity across periods, supporting balance-sheet resilience. Returns on equity improved meaningfully in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) after turning negative in FY2024, but the swing underscores that earnings power can be uneven, which is the key balance-sheet-related risk to monitor.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation is currently solid: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both strongly positive, with free cash flow up materially versus the prior annual period, supporting financial flexibility. The main drawback is variability—FY2024 showed negative operating and free cash flow—indicating cash conversion can weaken materially in down years, even though recent free cash flow remains reasonably supported relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue161.72B164.00B136.73B134.91B130.87B136.97B
Gross Profit92.84B92.64B60.99B64.09B65.94B74.93B
EBITDA31.53B35.84B-18.44B17.45B20.89B34.82B
Net Income25.26B24.19B-28.68B8.86B30.53B25.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets374.99B394.19B335.71B348.94B340.57B327.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.53B92.80B71.80B98.01B78.53B98.31B
Total Debt58.40B50.01B44.51B45.16B28.27B27.14B
Total Liabilities115.30B141.31B115.68B114.95B95.66B98.46B
Stockholders Equity251.44B241.73B209.20B221.63B240.63B223.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.42B34.75B-21.39B3.23B11.94B20.69B
Operating Cash Flow50.85B39.00B-10.84B10.81B18.38B29.97B
Investing Cash Flow-17.17B-12.26B-12.63B12.45B-19.92B-8.64B
Financing Cash Flow-9.78B-5.46B-4.10B-4.93B-18.55B6.61B

DeNA Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2564.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2588.52
Positive
100DMA
2534.13
Positive
200DMA
2510.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
16.01
Positive
RSI
54.83
Neutral
STOCH
28.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2432, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2564.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2626.22, below the 50-day MA of 2588.52, and above the 200-day MA of 2510.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 16.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2432.

DeNA Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥305.32B11.7317.98%2.52%34.16%
69
Neutral
¥175.48B10.159.54%4.61%1.14%77.07%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥141.52B99.653.38%2.38%-3.12%-63.07%
60
Neutral
¥45.14B11.804.06%-15.30%39.61%
54
Neutral
¥69.49B46.194.14%2.09%-2.61%116.80%
45
Neutral
¥25.42B-4.12-14.71%-38.87%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2432
DeNA Co
2,764.00
-842.84
-23.37%
JP:3632
GREE
388.00
-152.44
-28.21%
JP:3765
Gungho Online Entertainment
2,612.00
-455.40
-14.85%
JP:2121
Mixi
2,673.00
-798.07
-22.99%
JP:3656
KLab Inc.
326.00
186.00
132.86%
JP:3932
Akatsuki, Inc.
3,130.00
105.34
3.48%

DeNA Co Corporate Events

DeNA Shifts to DOE-Based Dividend Policy and Hikes FY2026 Payout Forecast
Feb 5, 2026

DeNA has overhauled its dividend policy to prioritize stable shareholder returns tied to capital efficiency, shifting from a payout-ratio-based framework to targeting a dividend on equity (DOE) of around 3% on a consolidated basis from the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026. Under the new policy, the company will pay a year-end dividend once a year, may supplement returns with share buybacks depending on market and business conditions, and intends to deploy retained earnings into reinforcing its existing earnings base and building a portfolio for medium- to long-term growth. Reflecting this change, DeNA raised its dividend forecast for the current fiscal year to 66 yen per share at year-end, up from an undetermined prior forecast and slightly above the previous year’s 65 yen total payout, signaling stronger commitment to capital efficiency and shareholder returns as it continues a broader review of capital allocation and cost-of-capital-conscious management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Buy with a Yen2738.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Cuts Profit Outlook on Goodwill Impairment Despite Solid Core Businesses
Feb 5, 2026

DeNA has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, lowering its projections for IFRS-based operating profit and non-GAAP operating profit, while keeping revenue broadly in line with previous expectations. The company cited recent business performance trends, noting that its Game Business is tracking toward the upper end of prior guidance, and that both the Live Streaming and Sports businesses are performing steadily with a focus on profitability, but the headline IFRS operating profit outlook is being weighed down by newly recognized impairment losses.

The revision is driven mainly by a ¥9.6 billion impairment loss on goodwill related to Allm Inc. in the Healthcare & Medical Business, which has been booked as other expenses under IFRS, and a related ¥15.7 billion loss on valuation of shares of subsidiaries and associates expected to be recorded as an extraordinary loss in the non-consolidated results under Japanese GAAP. While these non-cash charges depress IFRS operating profit, they are excluded from non-GAAP operating profit, underscoring that the underlying operating performance in DeNA’s core segments remains resilient even as the company resets balance-sheet valuations in its healthcare-related investments, with implications for investors monitoring earnings quality and segment strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Buy with a Yen2738.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Lifts Dividend Outlook Despite Lower Revenue and Profit Forecasts
Feb 5, 2026

DeNA reported consolidated revenue of ¥114.5 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, down 1.9% year on year, while operating profit fell 19.5% to ¥16.9 billion, but profit before tax and profit attributable to owners of the parent rose 5.2% and 6.8%, respectively, supported by improved profitability and higher earnings per share. The company strengthened its balance sheet, lifting the equity ratio attributable to owners from 61.3% to 67.1%, revised its full-year forecast downward to ¥146.5 billion in revenue and ¥17.0 billion in IFRS operating profit, and simultaneously announced a dividend policy change that raises the full-year dividend forecast from ¥65 to ¥66 per share, signaling a continued commitment to shareholder returns despite expectations of lower sales and profit growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Buy with a Yen2738.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Affiliate GO Inc. Applies for Tokyo Stock Exchange Listing
Feb 2, 2026

DeNA announced that its equity-method affiliate GO Inc., a long-established mobility services provider that operates taxi dispatch and related systems, has applied for listing on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The potential listing, which remains subject to regulatory examination and TSE approval with no guaranteed timing, could raise GO Inc.’s profile and liquidity while underscoring DeNA’s role as a major strategic shareholder with a 25.75% stake, though the company cautioned that it will provide further disclosures only as progress warrants.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Buy with a Yen2738.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA to Receive Significant Dividend from Cygames
Nov 14, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. announced it will receive a dividend of 8.379 billion yen from its equity-method affiliate, Cygames, Inc., following a resolution by CyberAgent, Inc., the largest shareholder of Cygames. This dividend will be recorded as non-operating income in DeNA’s standalone financial results for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2026, with limited impact on its consolidated financial results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Hold with a Yen2070.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Co. Announces New Management Policy for Sustainable Growth
Nov 10, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. has announced a new policy initiative aimed at enhancing management practices with a focus on cost of capital and stock price, targeting sustainable growth and increased corporate value in the medium to long term. The company plans to disclose specific measures and progress leading up to the fiscal year ending March 2026, which could impact its operational strategies and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Buy with a Yen2694.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Co., Ltd. Strengthens AI Focus with New Investment Partnership
Nov 10, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. has announced the establishment of the Delight Ventures Builder III Investment Limited Partnership, aimed at strengthening its AI initiatives under the AI-ALL-IN policy. This investment is expected to enhance the startup ecosystem and entrepreneurial culture, although its immediate impact on financial results is projected to be minimal.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Buy with a Yen2694.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

DeNA Co. Reports Robust Financial Growth in First Half of 2025
Nov 10, 2025

DeNA Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with revenue rising by 18.3% and operating profit surging by 354.1% compared to the previous year. The company’s strong results reflect its strategic initiatives and market positioning, indicating a robust recovery and potential growth opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2432) stock is a Buy with a Yen2694.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DeNA Co stock, see the JP:2432 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026