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GREE Inc (JP:3632)
:3632

GREE (3632) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3632

GREE

(3632)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
¥458.00
▲(13.65% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges and bearish technical indicators. The strong balance sheet provides some stability, but the high P/E ratio and negative market momentum weigh heavily on the score.

GREE (3632) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

GREE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGREE, Inc., a technology company, engages in the online media business in Japan and internationally. The company offers various mobile social games; and develops and operates titles on the Nintendo Switch and Facebook Messenger. It also engages in the live entertainment business specializing in the virtual YouTuber (VTuber). The company discovers, produces, and manages VTubers; creates and distributes video programs of VTubers; develops and publishes platforms; and provides studio systems, as well as offers financial support for creators and start-ups. In addition, the company operates MINE, an online video magazine that features women's fashion, beauty, and lifestyle topics; LIMIA, an online magazine that features home and living lifestyle content; ARINE, an online magazine for young women; and aumo, an online lifestyle magazine. Further, it provides solutions for online advertising and marketing business; and invests in Internet business related technology services companies. GREE, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyGREE generates revenue primarily through in-game purchases and advertising within its mobile games. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the freemium model, where games are offered for free but players can purchase virtual goods and enhancements. Additionally, GREE earns money through partnerships and collaborations with other game developers, allowing it to publish and promote third-party titles on its platform, thereby earning a share of the revenue. The company also explores monetization through advertising by integrating ad placements in its games, which provides another significant revenue stream.

GREE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2024
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with strong growth in the Metaverse and VTuber businesses counterbalanced by significant challenges in the Investment and Game and Anime businesses, as well as foreign exchange losses.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start for Heaven Burns Red
The Chinese version of Heaven Burns Red had a strong start, contributing positively to the Game and Anime business.
Metaverse Business Growth
The Metaverse business continued its growth with sales and profit increasing quarter-on-quarter, driven by live streaming and the VTuber business.
Solid Performance in the DX Business
The DX business achieved steady sales and operating profit, aligning with forecasts despite challenging conditions.
VTuber Business Expansion
The VTuber business expanded its talent pool by 12 VTubers and saw a 71% year-on-year increase in sales, indicating strong growth.
Continuous Growth Strategy
The company continues to focus on long-term growth, especially in the Metaverse and DX businesses, with a targeted CAGR of 120% to 140%.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss in Investment Business
The Investment business posted an operating loss of JPY 0.81 billion, primarily due to valuation losses and low dividend distributions.
Foreign Exchange Losses
The company faced foreign exchange losses of approximately JPY 1.4 billion due to yen appreciation, impacting ordinary and net profit.
Decline in Game and Anime Business
Sales and profit in the Game and Anime business declined quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year due to increased costs and development stages of titles.
Continued Losses in aumo Business
The aumo business remained in the red at the operating level due to declining sales and challenging market conditions.
High Volatility in Investment Business
The Investment business experienced high volatility with realized losses and write-downs amounting to JPY 0.4 billion.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for GREE, Inc.'s Q1 2025 results, several key financial metrics were highlighted. The company reported net sales of JPY 12.9 billion, an operating loss of JPY 0.1 billion, and a negative EBITDA of JPY 0.1 billion. In the Investment business, GREE faced an operating loss of JPY 0.8 billion largely due to valuation losses, while the Game and Anime, Metaverse, and DX businesses exceeded expectations. The company also incurred foreign exchange losses of approximately JPY 1.4 billion, impacting ordinary and net profits. Despite these challenges, the Metaverse and DX businesses are targeted for stable growth with a CAGR of 120% to 140%, while the Game and Anime business is positioned for long-term investment. Looking forward, GREE anticipates Q-on-Q growth in sales and profit for the Game and Anime business in the second quarter, supported by anniversary events for key titles.

GREE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces revenue and profit challenges with declining margins and growth rates. Despite this, the balance sheet is strong with low leverage, providing financial stability. Cash flow generation is a concern, but cash conversion relative to net income is efficient.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a -4.5% growth rate in the latest year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining market share or product demand. Gross profit margin remains healthy at approximately 51.1%, but net profit margin has decreased significantly to 2.1%, reflecting reduced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting operational inefficiencies or increased costs.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity is modest at 1.3%, suggesting limited returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is robust at 70.4%, highlighting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth, although operating cash flow remains positive. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2023Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.11B57.11B75.44B61.31B74.91B56.77B
Gross Profit29.21B29.21B46.61B34.24B44.85B31.55B
EBITDA4.14B4.14B13.15B7.68B15.27B14.24B
Net Income1.20B1.19B9.28B4.63B10.12B13.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets132.90B132.90B124.81B128.79B116.73B141.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.61B104.61B69.87B71.89B76.84B94.82B
Total Debt25.70B25.70B15.70B16.70B8.00B8.00B
Total Liabilities39.25B39.25B32.26B33.26B25.80B21.18B
Stockholders Equity93.53B93.53B92.50B95.43B90.88B120.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00668.00M4.16B3.36B11.87B1.72B
Operating Cash Flow0.00674.00M4.59B3.50B13.22B1.77B
Investing Cash Flow0.00312.00M-439.00M-23.00M-5.30B1.90B
Financing Cash Flow0.006.02B3.26B-999.00M-37.52B-4.01B

GREE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price403.00
Price Trends
50DMA
404.40
Negative
100DMA
430.01
Negative
200DMA
470.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.24
Negative
RSI
49.41
Neutral
STOCH
47.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3632, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 403 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 402.10, below the 50-day MA of 404.40, and below the 200-day MA of 470.53, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3632.

GREE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
¥43.00B8.160.74%22.82%811.76%
64
Neutral
¥132.64B30.983.38%2.38%-3.12%-63.07%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
¥37.86B18.124.06%-15.30%39.61%
58
Neutral
¥23.27B18.56-9.17%51.84%
54
Neutral
$71.64B17.504.14%2.09%-2.61%116.80%
46
Neutral
¥17.60B6.14-37.68%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3632
GREE
403.00
-40.24
-9.08%
JP:3765
Gungho Online Entertainment
2,461.00
-839.00
-25.42%
JP:3903
gumi, Inc.
349.00
-66.00
-15.90%
JP:3932
Akatsuki, Inc.
2,658.00
-43.00
-1.59%
JP:4393
Bank of Innovation, Inc.
6,310.00
80.00
1.28%
JP:7803
Bushiroad, Inc.
305.00
107.21
54.20%

GREE Corporate Events

GREE Holdings Reports Positive Turnaround Despite Market Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

GREE Holdings, Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2025, showing a slight decrease in net sales compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company achieved a positive turnaround in operating and ordinary profits, as well as profit attributable to shareholders, indicating a recovery from the losses experienced in the same period last year. The company has suspended its earnings forecast due to rapid changes in the business environment affecting its investment business, highlighting the challenges posed by market conditions.

GREE Holdings Affirms Independence Amid Majority Stake by Sequoia, Inc.
Sep 29, 2025

GREE Holdings, Inc. announced details about its controlling shareholder, Sequoia, Inc., which holds 53.55% of the company’s voting rights. Despite this significant stake, GREE maintains operational independence with a majority of independent directors on its board, ensuring that its management decisions are made independently. The company emphasizes protecting minority shareholders by ensuring fair and appropriate business relationships in transactions with its controlling shareholder.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025