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GREE (JP:3632)
:3632
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GREE (3632) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

GREE

(OTC:3632)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
¥510.00
▲(6.47%Upside)
The company's financial stability, evidenced by strong profitability and a robust balance sheet, is a key strength. However, technical analysis reflects bearish momentum, and valuation concerns arise from a high P/E ratio. These factors, coupled with cash flow challenges, contribute to the overall moderate stock score.

GREE (3632) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

GREE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGREE, Inc. (3632) is a Japanese internet media company primarily known for its involvement in the mobile and social gaming sectors. The company develops and operates a wide range of mobile games, and also owns and manages several social networking services. Additionally, GREE is engaged in the advertising business, leveraging its extensive network to provide advertising solutions. The company is committed to creating enjoyable and engaging experiences for its users through innovative technology and content.
How the Company Makes MoneyGREE makes money through several revenue streams, primarily driven by its mobile gaming segment. The company generates revenue from in-game purchases made by users playing its mobile games. This includes the sale of virtual goods, characters, and other digital assets that enhance the gaming experience. Additionally, GREE earns revenue from advertising by leveraging its social networking platforms to host ads for third-party companies, targeting specific user demographics. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships to enhance its service offerings, which can contribute to its earnings. Another part of GREE's revenue model involves licensing its games and technology to other companies, creating additional revenue channels.

GREE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with strong growth in the Metaverse and VTuber businesses counterbalanced by significant challenges in the Investment and Game and Anime businesses, as well as foreign exchange losses.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start for Heaven Burns Red
The Chinese version of Heaven Burns Red had a strong start, contributing positively to the Game and Anime business.
Metaverse Business Growth
The Metaverse business continued its growth with sales and profit increasing quarter-on-quarter, driven by live streaming and the VTuber business.
Solid Performance in the DX Business
The DX business achieved steady sales and operating profit, aligning with forecasts despite challenging conditions.
VTuber Business Expansion
The VTuber business expanded its talent pool by 12 VTubers and saw a 71% year-on-year increase in sales, indicating strong growth.
Continuous Growth Strategy
The company continues to focus on long-term growth, especially in the Metaverse and DX businesses, with a targeted CAGR of 120% to 140%.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss in Investment Business
The Investment business posted an operating loss of JPY 0.81 billion, primarily due to valuation losses and low dividend distributions.
Foreign Exchange Losses
The company faced foreign exchange losses of approximately JPY 1.4 billion due to yen appreciation, impacting ordinary and net profit.
Decline in Game and Anime Business
Sales and profit in the Game and Anime business declined quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year due to increased costs and development stages of titles.
Continued Losses in aumo Business
The aumo business remained in the red at the operating level due to declining sales and challenging market conditions.
High Volatility in Investment Business
The Investment business experienced high volatility with realized losses and write-downs amounting to JPY 0.4 billion.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for GREE, Inc.'s Q1 2025 results, several key financial metrics were highlighted. The company reported net sales of JPY 12.9 billion, an operating loss of JPY 0.1 billion, and a negative EBITDA of JPY 0.1 billion. In the Investment business, GREE faced an operating loss of JPY 0.8 billion largely due to valuation losses, while the Game and Anime, Metaverse, and DX businesses exceeded expectations. The company also incurred foreign exchange losses of approximately JPY 1.4 billion, impacting ordinary and net profits. Despite these challenges, the Metaverse and DX businesses are targeted for stable growth with a CAGR of 120% to 140%, while the Game and Anime business is positioned for long-term investment. Looking forward, GREE anticipates Q-on-Q growth in sales and profit for the Game and Anime business in the second quarter, supported by anniversary events for key titles.

GREE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company demonstrates solid profitability and a robust balance sheet, with a strong equity ratio and low debt. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and cash flow issues, posing potential liquidity risks.
Income Statement
74
Positive
The company shows strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 54.47% and a net profit margin of 8.14% in TTM. However, the revenue has decreased by 2.46% from the last annual report, indicating potential challenges in growth. Despite this, the EBIT margin of 10.13% and EBITDA margin of 10.57% reflect efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a healthy equity ratio of 74.26% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, which indicates low leverage and strong financial stability. The return on equity is moderate at 5.20%, suggesting room for enhanced profitability.
Cash Flow
61
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates challenges with no operating or free cash flow reported in the TTM period. Historical data shows a decline in free cash flow from the previous year, highlighting potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not calculable due to zero free cash flow.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.31B75.44B74.91B56.77B62.66B
Gross Profit34.24B46.61B44.85B31.55B34.06B
EBITDA7.68B12.83B12.12B6.20B6.75B
Net Income4.63B9.28B10.12B13.53B2.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets128.79B124.81B116.73B141.39B126.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.89B69.87B76.84B94.82B87.02B
Total Debt16.70B15.70B8.00B8.00B150.00M
Total Liabilities33.26B32.26B25.80B21.18B13.09B
Stockholders Equity95.43B92.50B90.88B120.16B113.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.36B4.16B11.87B1.72B1.71B
Operating Cash Flow3.50B4.59B13.22B1.77B2.03B
Investing Cash Flow-23.00M-439.00M-5.30B9.29B4.20B
Financing Cash Flow-999.00M3.26B-37.52B-4.01B-3.75B

GREE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price479.00
Price Trends
50DMA
498.51
Negative
100DMA
514.19
Negative
200DMA
483.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.05
Positive
RSI
41.15
Neutral
STOCH
61.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3632, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 479 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 493.22, below the 50-day MA of 498.51, and below the 200-day MA of 483.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3632.

GREE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$151.71B18.006.97%2.14%-17.33%-28.64%
69
Neutral
¥46.19B85.62
-18.69%-48.21%
66
Neutral
¥375.24B14.942.24%2.50%5.43%-14.83%
63
Neutral
¥42.54B25.84
3.22%-1.33%5.97%
63
Neutral
¥85.79B35.232.39%3.03%-14.96%-72.07%
48
Neutral
¥32.12B15.81
-12.61%-314.92%
47
Neutral
¥47.84B18.40
0.69%13.49%233.58%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3632
GREE
479.00
-49.77
-9.41%
JP:3903
gumi, Inc.
622.00
289.00
86.79%
JP:3932
Akatsuki, Inc.
2,926.00
561.65
23.75%
JP:4393
Bank of Innovation, Inc.
11,870.00
6,580.00
124.39%
JP:7803
Bushiroad, Inc.
653.00
261.40
66.75%
JP:3765
Gungho Online Entertainment
2,773.00
-86.50
-3.03%

GREE Corporate Events

GREE Holdings Revises Dividend Forecast with Commemorative Addition
May 9, 2025

GREE Holdings, Inc. announced a revision of its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, with a total annual dividend expected to be 14.5 yen per share. This includes a 10 yen commemorative dividend celebrating the company’s 20th anniversary, in addition to the ordinary dividend of 4.5 yen per share. The decision reflects GREE’s commitment to providing returns to shareholders while maintaining business growth and stability.

GREE Holdings to Launch New Venture Capital Fund
May 9, 2025

GREE Holdings, Inc. has announced the establishment of a new investment limited liability partnership, GREE LP Fund JP II, LP, to further its venture capital investments. This strategic move, scheduled for July 2025, aims to bolster startup growth and development with a planned investment of up to ¥2.5 billion. While the initiative is not expected to significantly impact the current fiscal year’s consolidated business results, it reinforces GREE’s commitment to supporting the venture capital ecosystem.

GREE Holdings Reports Decline in Financial Performance Amid Market Challenges
May 9, 2025

GREE Holdings, Inc. reported a decline in its financial performance for the nine months ending March 31, 2025, with significant drops in net sales, operating profit, and profit attributable to shareholders compared to the previous year. The company has suspended its consolidated earnings forecast due to rapid changes in the business environment affecting its Investment Business, highlighting challenges in market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025