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Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. (JP:9672)
:9672
Japanese Market

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. (9672) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9672

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd.

(9672)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥6,715.00
▲(18.22% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growing revenue/profits and improving leverage), with supportive technical uptrend signals. The main constraints are uneven free cash flow, recent margin compression, and somewhat stretched momentum indicators, while valuation appears fair with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue and profit growth
Multi-year revenue expansion and rising net income demonstrate sustained demand for the company’s core racecourse operations and scalable economics of venue-based events. Durable top-line growth supports reinvestment, steadier medium-term cash flows, and resilience versus short-term attendance fluctuations.
High margins and healthy ROE
Consistently strong operating and net margins alongside mid-teens ROE range reflect structural cost advantages and effective capital allocation in a venue-driven business. Sustainable margin levels support cash generation and the ability to fund capital needs or shareholder returns over multiple quarters.
Improving leverage and solid balance sheet
Material decline in debt-to-equity improves financial flexibility and reduces refinancing risk. A stronger balance sheet enables capex for facility upkeep or modernization and provides a buffer during discretionary-spend cycles common to gambling and events, supporting stability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Volatile free cash flow
Lumpy free cash flow, including a negative year, undermines predictability of internally funded investments, dividends, or debt paydown. For a capital-intensive venue operator, inconsistent cash conversion complicates multi-quarter planning and can constrain strategic initiatives when cash is needed.
Margin compression in 2025
A decline in gross and operating margins signals rising cost pressure or deteriorating revenue mix. If persistent, this trend would erode the company’s strong profitability profile, reduce cash available for reinvestment, and could necessitate pricing or structural changes to restore long-term margin sustainability.
Sizeable absolute debt
Even with improved ratios, large nominal debt levels increase vulnerability to revenue shocks in a cyclical leisure industry. Significant absolute debt can strain cash flow during downturns, limit strategic flexibility, and raise refinancing or covenant risks over the 2–6 month horizon if conditions worsen.

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. (9672) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokyotokeiba Co.,Ltd. engages in the rental of horse racing facilities in Japan. It is involved in the rental of auto racetracks; management of an amusement park; and rental of warehouse facilities, as well as commercial facilities. The company also provides construction management services; and maintenance services for air conditioning equipment, as well as manages and operates shopping mall and office building. In addition, it operates restaurants and parking lots. Tokyotokeiba Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTokyotokeiba generates revenue primarily through the operation of horse racing events, which includes betting activities where a significant portion of the total bets placed is retained as revenue. The company also earns money from ticket sales for racecourse entry, food and beverage sales, and merchandise related to horse racing. Additionally, Tokyotokeiba may engage in partnerships with sponsors and advertisers, which contribute to its income through promotional deals and advertising revenues. The company benefits from a loyal customer base and the popularity of horse racing in Japan, which helps to maintain a steady stream of income from betting and associated services.

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue and profit growth with consistently high margins, plus improving leverage (lower debt-to-equity). Offsetting factors are margin compression in 2025 and volatile free cash flow (including a negative year in 2023), which adds variability to the otherwise strong fundamentals.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Revenue has grown strongly over the period (from ~28.8B in 2020 to ~41.8B in 2025), and profitability is a clear strength with consistently high operating and net margins. Net income also trends upward overall, reaching ~10.5B in 2025. The main weakness is margin compression in 2025 versus prior years (gross margin notably lower than 2022–2024), suggesting higher costs or a less favorable revenue mix despite continued top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks solid: leverage is moderate and improving, with debt-to-equity declining from ~0.36 (2021) to ~0.18 (2025) alongside rising equity. Returns on equity remain healthy and fairly stable (roughly ~10–12% in recent years). A key watch item is that total debt remains sizeable in absolute terms, which can matter in a cyclical, discretionary-spend industry even though leverage ratios are currently comfortable.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is generally strong, with operating cash flow rising to ~19.9B in 2025 and free cash flow positive in most years. However, free cash flow has been volatile (including a meaningful negative year in 2023), indicating lumpy investment or working-capital swings. Also, some TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)/latest-period cash flow relationship metrics appear unavailable or unusable in the provided data, limiting confidence in certain cash-conversion assessments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.08B41.76B40.44B37.54B35.45B31.80B
Gross Profit16.69B11.19B16.09B15.42B15.96B14.51B
EBITDA20.95B21.67B20.27B18.92B19.06B17.06B
Net Income10.04B10.46B9.71B8.45B9.39B9.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.58B125.79B122.41B115.79B124.65B110.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.10B21.87B17.44B17.16B32.56B26.85B
Total Debt18.37B17.47B19.17B18.79B25.04B26.02B
Total Liabilities29.51B30.88B31.26B29.00B44.36B37.27B
Stockholders Equity93.91B94.76B91.03B86.72B80.29B72.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0013.65B5.66B-7.08B7.82B3.45B
Operating Cash Flow0.0019.90B16.10B12.80B14.68B14.37B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-12.82B-8.63B-8.73B-14.84B-10.82B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-8.70B-5.36B-8.28B-2.76B2.20B

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5680.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5636.39
Positive
100DMA
5554.36
Positive
200DMA
5211.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
108.77
Negative
RSI
68.62
Neutral
STOCH
85.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9672, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5680 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5631.50, above the 50-day MA of 5636.39, and above the 200-day MA of 5211.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 108.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9672.

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥168.33B15.221.78%4.04%4.80%
72
Outperform
¥66.11B18.042.88%12.39%9.81%
66
Neutral
¥22.12B16.350.76%20.69%17.46%
63
Neutral
¥174.17B58.110.49%-1.00%5.32%
63
Neutral
¥142.98B15.190.30%10.26%6.31%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
¥6.32B12.992.41%<0.01%23.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9672
Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd.
5,890.00
1,465.45
33.12%
JP:6040
Nippon Ski Resort Development Co., Ltd.
445.00
0.11
0.02%
JP:7504
Kohsoku Corporation
3,315.00
1,297.71
64.33%
JP:9656
Greenland Resort Company Limited
606.00
7.55
1.26%
JP:9708
Imperial Hotel Ltd
1,400.00
506.66
56.72%
JP:9722
Fujita Kanko Inc.
2,274.00
347.83
18.06%

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tokyotokeiba taps former Tokyo vice governor as new CEO in April 2026 leadership shift
Feb 13, 2026

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. announced a planned change in its top leadership, with the Board of Directors tentatively approving the appointment of Takashi Takeichi as the new President and CEO, replacing current President and CEO Mitsuchika Tarao. The transition is part of a new executive management structure set to take effect after the 101st Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on March 26, 2026.

Takeichi, a former Vice Governor of Tokyo and senior official within the Tokyo Metropolitan Government, brings extensive public-sector and organizational leadership experience, including current roles in personnel support and major sports event planning. His appointment signals a strategic move that may strengthen Tokyotokeiba’s relationships with local authorities and enhance its positioning in city-linked events and infrastructure-related initiatives.

The scheduled date for Takeichi to assume office as representative director is March 26, 2026, aligning the leadership shift with the company’s new fiscal and governance cycle. Stakeholders can expect continuity in operations during the transition, while the new management structure could influence the company’s long-term strategic direction and its engagement with regional development and sports-related opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Raises Year-End Dividend on Strong Public Competition Earnings
Feb 13, 2026

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. has resolved to increase its year-end dividend for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 to 73 yen per share, up 4 yen from its most recent forecast, with the proposal to be submitted at the March 26, 2026 shareholders’ meeting. Supported by strong performance in its public competition business, the company’s total annual dividend will rise to 118 yen per share including the already paid interim dividend of 45 yen, resulting in a consolidated payout ratio of 30.1% in line with its three-year dividend policy.

The company reiterates its policy for the 2023–2025 period of securing a stable management base while targeting a payout ratio of around 30% and ensuring at least 90 yen per share in annual dividends. By delivering higher ordinary dividends year-on-year without relying on commemorative payouts, Tokyotokeiba underscores its commitment to predictable shareholder returns and signals confidence in the sustainability of earnings from its core operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Posts Higher Profits and Lifts Dividend Outlook for 2026
Feb 13, 2026

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. reported solid earnings for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 3.3% to ¥41.76 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent up 7.8% to ¥10.46 billion. Profitability indicators improved, as operating profit climbed 10.7% and the equity ratio edged up to 75.3%, supported by strong cash flows from operating activities.

The board raised the annual dividend for 2025 to ¥118 per share and forecasts a further increase to ¥146 per share in 2026, signaling confidence in stable cash generation and shareholder returns. For 2026, the company projects modest top-line growth of about 2% and a roughly 3% rise in profit attributable to owners, suggesting a strategy centered on steady expansion and disciplined capital allocation rather than aggressive growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Cancels 680,000 Treasury Shares to Streamline Capital Structure
Jan 30, 2026

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. has completed the cancellation of 680,000 shares of its own common stock, effective January 30, 2026, pursuant to Article 178 of the Companies Act, following a resolution by its board of directors in December 2025. As a result of this move, the company’s total number of issued shares has been reduced to 28,084,854, a capital policy action that typically aims to enhance capital efficiency and may be seen as shareholder-friendly by increasing the relative ownership stake of remaining shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Raises Payout Ratio and Dividend Target Under New Five-Year Policy
Dec 26, 2025

Tokyotokeiba has revised its dividend policy for the five-year period covered by its Medium-Term Management Plan 2030, running from the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026 through 2030, to enhance shareholder returns in line with its focus on maximizing shareholder value. The company will lift its standard consolidated payout ratio from 30% to 35% and adopt an annual dividend guideline of ¥137 per share, up from a previous lower limit of ¥90, while retaining its practice of paying interim and year-end dividends and reserving the flexibility to adjust payouts in years when profits fluctuate significantly due to external factors, signaling a more shareholder-friendly capital allocation stance without compromising its commitment to stable, long-term operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6334.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Launches 2030 Plan to Build World-Class Urban Entertainment Racecourse
Dec 26, 2025

Tokyotokeiba has unveiled a five-year medium-term management plan, dubbed “Future-Oriented Space Creation Project: the 1st Furlong – Medium-Term Management Plan 2030,” to lay the groundwork for its 2035 long-term vision of becoming a leading creator of entertainment-centric community spaces. The plan prioritizes upgrading Oi Horse Racing through a new training center, enhancements to its SPAT4 system, and new fan information services, while simultaneously developing a world-class urban “entertainment racecourse” and transforming the Oi bay area into a landmark tourism hub; financially, the company is targeting FY2030 net sales of at least ¥48 billion and operating profit of at least ¥19 billion, average ROE of 10% or higher, disciplined leverage and an A credit rating, approximately ¥75 billion of strategic investment funded by about ¥90 billion in operating cash flow, and a standard dividend payout ratio of 35%, all underpinned by a revamped human capital strategy and ESG initiatives focused on place, planet, and people.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6334.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Completes ¥3.85 Billion Share Buyback via ToSTNeT-3
Dec 22, 2025

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. has completed a share buyback program authorized by its board on December 19, 2025, repurchasing 653,400 common shares for approximately 3.85 billion yen through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s off-auction ToSTNeT-3 system on December 22, 2025. The initiative, undertaken to enable a more flexible capital policy and improve capital efficiency, nearly reached the board-approved ceiling of 680,000 shares and 4.1 billion yen, signaling an active stance on capital management and potential support for shareholder returns and the company’s market valuation.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6334.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Launches ¥4.1 Billion Share Buyback and Cancellation to Boost Capital Efficiency
Dec 19, 2025

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. has approved a share buyback and subsequent cancellation of treasury shares as part of its capital policy aimed at improving capital efficiency and enhancing shareholder value. The company plans to repurchase up to 680,000 common shares, or about 2.55% of its outstanding shares excluding treasury stock, for a maximum of ¥4.1 billion via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 off-auction trading system at the December 19, 2025 closing price of ¥5,890, with the transaction scheduled for December 22, 2025 and the repurchased shares to be cancelled on January 30, 2026. This move reduces the share count and is intended to strengthen shareholder returns, though the company notes that market conditions could limit the full execution of the planned buyback.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6334.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Acquires Large Chiba Site for New Racehorse Training Center
Dec 19, 2025

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. has approved the acquisition of approximately 810,000 square meters of land in Ichihara City, Chiba Prefecture, to build a new training center and relocate stables as part of its broader redevelopment of the Oi Racecourse. The land, to be purchased at a fair, objectively valued price and funded through a mix of internal funds and borrowings, underpins the company’s strategy to develop stronger racehorses and further promote Oi Horse Racing, with management emphasizing that the financial impact on the current fiscal year will be minimal, as most related capital expenditures will occur in future periods.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6334.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

TOKYOTOKEIBA Launches Five-Year Plan to Build Urban Entertainment Racecourse and Boost Profitability by 2030
Dec 19, 2025

TOKYOTOKEIBA has unveiled a five-year medium-term management plan, “Future-Oriented Space Creation Project: the 1st Furlong – Medium-Term Management Plan 2030,” covering fiscal years 2026–2030 as the first phase toward its 2035 long-term vision. The plan centers on upgrading Oi Horse Racing as a model for public competitions through a new training center, SPAT4 system enhancements, and new fan information services, while simultaneously developing a world-class urban “entertainment racecourse” and an attractive bay-area landmark community around the Oi Racecourse. Financially, the company targets FY2030 net sales of at least ¥48 billion and operating profit of at least ¥19 billion, implying roughly 3% and 5% average annual growth, alongside a five-year average ROE of 10% or higher, controlled leverage, and a standard dividend payout ratio of 35%. Backed by an expected ¥90 billion in operating cash flow, TOKYOTOKEIBA plans approximately ¥75 billion of strategic investment focused on entertainment-racecourse and racing-related projects, while maintaining financial discipline and enhancing shareholder returns. The company is also rolling out a new personnel system and organizational structure to strengthen human capital, and advancing ESG initiatives under the themes of PLACE, PLANET, and PEOPLE, aiming to balance sustainable societal contributions with the group’s growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6334.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyotokeiba Outside Director Koji Sato Passes Away; Board Remains in Compliance
Dec 18, 2025

Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. announced that outside director and independent officer Koji Sato passed away on December 14, 2025, resulting in his retirement from the board as of that date, and the company expressed gratitude for his contributions. The company emphasized that, despite this change, the number of directors continues to satisfy legal and Articles of Incorporation requirements, indicating that governance and board structure remain compliant and operationally unaffected for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9672) stock is a Buy with a Yen6334.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyotokeiba Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9672 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026