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eREX Co., Ltd. (JP:9517)
:9517
Japanese Market

eREX Co., Ltd. (9517) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9517

eREX Co., Ltd.

(9517)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
¥759.00
▲(23.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/03/25
The overall stock score of 55 reflects a mixed outlook for eREX Co., Ltd. The company's financial performance shows signs of recovery with improved profitability and cash flow, which is a positive factor. However, the technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the valuation suggests limited upside potential. The absence of earnings call insights and notable corporate events leaves the current assessment reliant on financial and technical data.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow recovery
The shift to positive free cash flow and a strong operating-cash-to-net-income ratio indicates durable cash-generation improvement. This strengthens liquidity, funds necessary capex in renewable utilities, supports debt service or buybacks, and gives management flexibility for strategic investments over the next several quarters.
Stabilized margins and profitability
Recovering gross and EBIT margins plus a return to positive net margin show operational improvements and cost control. Margin stability provides a recurring earnings base, supporting sustainable cash flow and reinvestment capacity, and reduces the likelihood of recurrent losses if revenue stabilizes.
Moderate leverage and stable balance sheet
A balanced debt-to-equity ratio and healthy equity ratio indicate manageable leverage and capital structure. This reduces refinancing risk for capital-intensive renewable projects, preserves access to credit, and gives the company headroom to fund growth initiatives without immediate equity raises.
Negative Factors
Negative revenue trend
A multi-quarter revenue decline undermines scalability and puts sustained pressure on margins and cash flow if not reversed. In a capital-intensive renewable utilities sector, top-line contraction limits ability to absorb fixed costs, weakens pricing leverage, and constrains long-term growth investment capacity.
Low returns and thin net margin
Low ROE and minimal net margins indicate limited profitability versus capital employed. This reduces the company's ability to generate attractive shareholder returns, reinvest internally at high ROIC, or build significant retained earnings, leaving performance sensitive to small revenue or cost swings.
Volatile revenue and profitability history
Historical volatility in revenue and profits increases forecasting and execution risk for management. For utility and renewables projects that require multi-year planning and financing, such instability complicates contract negotiation, capital allocation, and makes long-term strategic commitments more uncertain.

eREX Co., Ltd. (9517) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

eREX Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptioneREX Co.,Ltd. engages in the generation and supply of power in Japan. The company operates a biomass power plant. It is also involved in electricity trading. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyeREX Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of renewable energy products, including solar panels and energy storage systems, as well as through its energy management services. The company's revenue model includes direct sales to consumers and businesses, installation services, and maintenance contracts. Additionally, eREX capitalizes on government incentives and subsidies for renewable energy projects, which significantly boost its earnings. Strategic partnerships with other technology firms and collaborations with local governments enhance its market reach and operational capabilities, further strengthening its revenue streams.

eREX Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
eREX Co., Ltd. is showing signs of financial recovery with improved profitability and cash flow in the latest fiscal year. Despite revenue challenges, margins have stabilized, and the balance sheet remains solid with manageable leverage. The company's cash flow situation has improved, enhancing its liquidity position. Continued focus on revenue growth and cost management will be key to sustained financial health.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
The company has shown volatility in its revenue and profitability over the years. Recent recovery in profitability is noted, with a gross profit margin of 11.98% and an EBIT margin of 5.61% for the year ending March 2025. The net profit margin improved to 1.24% from a significant loss in the previous year. However, revenue growth has been negative, indicating potential challenges in maintaining revenue levels.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.70, indicating balanced leverage. The equity ratio of 41.81% reflects a stable capital structure. Return on equity for 2025 was 3.30%, which is a recovery from losses in 2024 but still indicates room for improvement. Overall, the balance sheet shows a stable financial position.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow has improved significantly, with a free cash flow of ¥13.9 billion in 2025 compared to negative figures in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 9.20, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth has been positive, indicating improved cash management and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue174.82B171.22B244.98B296.31B230.50B141.88B
Gross Profit20.37B20.50B-9.17B25.73B22.85B24.56B
EBITDA9.94B11.33B-16.27B21.60B19.48B18.06B
Net Income236.00M2.12B-22.26B9.13B9.65B6.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets149.04B153.38B145.18B171.48B157.16B127.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.55B33.61B23.51B33.62B27.16B31.70B
Total Debt46.17B45.62B57.78B55.66B53.59B47.67B
Total Liabilities79.88B80.90B89.95B97.09B90.34B73.39B
Stockholders Equity61.73B64.14B47.51B62.07B55.71B44.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0013.90B-26.29B20.12B-595.00M16.09B
Operating Cash Flow0.0019.50B-23.23B21.49B13.31B18.70B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-5.53B-6.56B-14.58B-22.98B-9.67B
Financing Cash Flow0.0032.00M15.15B-225.00M4.66B6.41B

eREX Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price614.00
Price Trends
50DMA
644.26
Positive
100DMA
655.13
Positive
200DMA
702.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
22.66
Negative
RSI
74.47
Negative
STOCH
96.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9517, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 614 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 670.40, below the 50-day MA of 644.26, and below the 200-day MA of 702.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 22.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.47 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9517.

eREX Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
63
Neutral
¥60.88B9.724.73%2.31%-1.96%33.15%
61
Neutral
¥67.77B12.544.59%-6.23%-19.98%
60
Neutral
¥7.51B12.772.29%4.05%38.64%
58
Neutral
¥39.93B43.231.46%25.53%-128.67%
55
Neutral
¥58.75B40.921.79%-15.80%
53
Neutral
¥62.85B8.646.76%28.85%-9.70%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9517
eREX Co., Ltd.
753.00
-0.96
-0.13%
JP:9511
Okinawa Electric Power Co
1,121.00
218.71
24.24%
JP:9519
RENOVA
692.00
68.00
10.90%
JP:1407
West Holdings Corporation
1,667.00
198.49
13.52%
JP:5074
TESS Holdings Co., Ltd.
567.00
320.04
129.59%
JP:9514
EF-ON, Inc.
347.00
-2.42
-0.69%

eREX Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Erex Doubles Year-End Dividend Forecast for FY2026
Mar 2, 2026

Erex Co., Ltd. has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, doubling the planned year-end dividend from 11 yen to 22 yen per share. This represents a significant increase from the previous fiscal year’s total dividend of 11 yen, reflecting stronger business progress and the company’s commitment to enhancing shareholder returns.

Management framed the higher dividend as part of a broader capital policy that balances profit distribution with financial stability. The company emphasized its plans to improve its financial position while continuing to invest in growth areas, aiming for sustainable growth and a further increase in corporate value over the long term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen754.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

eREX Sets 2026–2029 Mid-Term Plan to Drive Biomass-Led Growth in Japan and Southeast Asia
Mar 2, 2026

eREX has unveiled a new mid-term business plan covering fiscal years ending March 2027 to March 2029, positioning itself to capitalize on Japan’s accelerating decarbonization policies and surging electricity demand from AI-driven data centers. The plan formalizes an integrated upstream-to-downstream model, aiming to diversify earnings while linking domestic and overseas operations for mutually reinforcing growth.

eREX is deepening its presence in Southeast Asia, where it already operates Vietnam’s first commercial biomass plant and a certified wood pellet factory, and is building additional biomass plants and a hydro project in Cambodia alongside solar assets. The company also plans to launch biomass co-firing at existing coal plants in Vietnam to generate carbon credits for sale in Japan, while domestically it will grow its retail power and aggregation businesses, including BESS, to support greater renewable penetration and meet rising demand.

By reinforcing biomass fuel supply chains and exploring biomass-derived fuels suitable for uses such as SAF, eREX is seeking to secure stable feedstock and capture new green fuel opportunities. These moves are designed to strengthen its role in Japan’s energy transition, improve supply resilience, and enhance its competitive position in regional renewable energy and carbon markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen754.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

Erex Sets Three-Year Mid-Term Plan Targeting Higher Revenue and Profit
Feb 26, 2026

Erex Group has unveiled a new mid-term business plan covering the fiscal years ending March 31, 2027 to March 31, 2029, outlining a growth trajectory in revenue and profitability. The company projects consolidated net sales to rise from ¥174.9 billion in fiscal 2027 to ¥208.3 billion in fiscal 2029, with operating income expected to increase from ¥8.5 billion to ¥11.3 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent climbing from ¥5.5 billion to ¥9.5 billion over the same period.

The plan signals management’s intention to steadily strengthen earnings capacity and scale in its energy operations, suggesting a more robust financial base that could support further investment and strategic initiatives. While the company cautions that the figures are subject to change depending on future conditions, the outlined targets indicate confidence in demand and Erex’s competitive positioning in Japan’s evolving power market, with potential implications for shareholder returns and capital allocation policies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen708.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

Erex Cuts Operating Profit Outlook but Lifts Net Income Forecast for FY 2026
Feb 26, 2026

Erex has revised its full-year consolidated forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, keeping net sales and pretax profit unchanged but cutting operating income to ¥7.1 billion from ¥8.6 billion, while raising net income attributable to owners to ¥4.0 billion. The downgrade in operating income reflects losses linked to the civil rehabilitation of partner ENETRADE Inc. and timing issues in loss recognition on unpurchased inventory, but stronger-than-planned domestic power sales, stable biomass plant operations, lower PKS fuel costs, and reduced profit attributable to non-controlling interests are expected to lift bottom-line profit and earnings per share, signaling resilience in core operations despite one-off charges.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen708.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

eREX Posts Solid Underlying Earnings as It Expands Renewable Power Strategy
Feb 13, 2026

eREX Co., Ltd. reported that its retail and fuel businesses delivered steady growth for the first three quarters of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with net sales and income before taxes progressing largely in line with full-year plans. Operating income was temporarily pressured by the impact of ENETRADE’s civil rehabilitation and inventory allowance losses tied to the suspension of the Itoigawa Power Plant, but on a normalized basis the operating income progress rate reached 79.0%, underscoring resilient underlying performance supported by favorable financial income.

eREX emphasized it is building a solid domestic business foundation in Japan across retail, trading, aggregation, and power generation and fuel, while positioning itself as a pioneer in a new era of electric power centered on renewables. By leveraging its expertise in biomass power and co-firing to promote decarbonization in Southeast Asia, where electricity demand is expanding, the company aims to strengthen its industry positioning and open additional growth avenues beyond its home market, which could benefit shareholders and energy market stakeholders over the longer term.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen639.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

eREX Posts Lower Nine-Month Profit but Sticks to FY2026 Earnings and Dividend Outlook
Feb 13, 2026

eREX Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥127.98 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, a modest 1.1% year-on-year increase, while operating income fell 41.9% to ¥4.66 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent declined 15.4% to ¥3.74 billion. Despite weaker interim profitability, the company maintained a solid equity ratio of 43.4%, confirmed its full-year forecast calling for higher operating income and net profit versus the prior year, and kept its plan for an annual ¥11 per-share dividend for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, signaling confidence in its financial stability and medium-term earnings outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen639.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

eREX Launches Shareholder Benefit Program to Boost Liquidity and Engagement
Feb 10, 2026

eREX Co., Ltd. has approved the introduction of a new shareholder benefit program, the “erex Premium Yutai-Club,” starting from the fiscal period ending March 2026, to reward shareholders holding at least 300 shares at the end of March and September each year. Eligible shareholders will receive points, roughly equivalent to yen, that can be redeemed for a wide array of products and experiences or converted into common shareholder benefit coins, with the initiative aimed at boosting share liquidity, broadening the investor base, and digitizing shareholder management to strengthen communication and support sustainable business growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen639.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

EREX Maintains Full-Year Guidance Despite Profit Drop in First Nine Months of FY 2026
Feb 10, 2026

EREX Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥127.98 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, a modest 1.1% increase year on year, while operating income fell 41.9% to ¥4.66 billion and net income attributable to owners declined 15.4% to ¥3.74 billion, reflecting margin pressure despite stable revenues. The company’s equity attributable to owners rose to ¥67.82 billion and its equity ratio improved to 43.4%, and it maintained its full-year forecast for fiscal 2026, projecting higher operating income and a 61.3% jump in net income to ¥3.42 billion on slightly higher sales, alongside plans to pay a year-end dividend of ¥11 per share, signaling confidence in its financial base and future earnings recovery.

Management left dividend and earnings forecasts unchanged, suggesting the recent profit decline is viewed as temporary and manageable within its capital structure. With total assets up to ¥156.43 billion and no changes in consolidation scope or core accounting policies, stakeholders are likely to focus on the company’s ability to restore profitability in the final quarter and meet its guidance, which implies a stronger earnings performance ahead despite earlier headwinds.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9517) stock is a Hold with a Yen639.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on eREX Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:9517 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025