tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
AGEHA Inc. (JP:9330)
:9330
Japanese Market

AGEHA Inc. (9330) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
0 Followers

Top Page

JP:9330

AGEHA Inc.

(9330)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
¥907.00
▲(11.43% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/04/26
The score is weighed down primarily by the 2025 swing to losses and soft revenue trends. Improving balance-sheet leverage and a strong 2025 free-cash-flow rebound provide support, while technical indicators and valuation (negative P/E, no dividend yield provided) remain broadly neutral-to-weak.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet leverage
Low and improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.10–0.20) gives balance-sheet resilience, lowers fixed financing costs and preserves borrowing capacity. Over the next several quarters this supports investment flexibility, reduces default risk, and cushions cyclical advertising revenue swings.
Free cash flow recovery
A strong rebound in operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2025, with FCF positive in most years, enhances financial flexibility. Sustainable cash conversion supports capex, working capital and potential shareholder returns or strategic investments if management can sustain improvement after prior volatility.
Resilient gross margins
Gross margin holding near ~52% indicates the core advertising services retain pricing power or cost efficiency. Stable gross profitability provides a durable earnings floor, helping recovery of operating margins if revenues stabilize and enabling targeted margin-improvement actions without immediate structural cost cutting.
Negative Factors
Swing to losses
The company swung from profit to a loss in 2025, with operating and net margins turning negative. This deterioration weakens internal funding for growth, pressures returns to shareholders, and increases reliance on cash reserves or external financing, limiting strategic options over the medium term.
Declining revenue trend
Revenue has trended down after earlier strong growth, with reported RevenueGrowth at -8.15%. A shrinking top line erodes operating leverage, makes fixed-cost absorption harder, and raises the bar for margin recovery and reinvestment; sustained decline signals structural demand or competitive pressures.
Volatile cash generation
Cash flow has been inconsistent—a large outflow in 2024 followed by a 2025 rebound—reducing predictability of funding for operations and investments. This volatility increases execution risk, making multi-quarter planning and reliable shareholder actions harder unless cash conversion stabilizes.

AGEHA Inc. (9330) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AGEHA Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAGEHA Inc. provides branding consultancy and solutions for businesses in Japan. It offers corporate, purpose, sustainability, adoption, and inner/outer branding support services. It serves major companies, small and medium-sized companies, and venture companies. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAGEHA Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its software solutions, which are offered via subscription-based models or one-time licensing fees. Key revenue streams include recurring revenue from cloud services, consulting fees for implementation and integration of software solutions, and maintenance contracts. The company has established significant partnerships with major industry players, allowing it to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, AGEHA benefits from ongoing demand for digital transformation services, particularly in sectors like healthcare and finance, which are increasingly investing in technology to improve their operations.

AGEHA Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: the company swung from profit to a loss in 2025 with negative operating and net margins and soft revenue trends, which is the biggest drag. Offsetting this, leverage is low/improving and 2025 operating cash flow/free cash flow rebounded strongly, though cash generation has been volatile.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Profitability deteriorated meaningfully in the latest year (2025-09-30): the company moved from a profit in 2024 to a loss in 2025, with operating and net margins turning negative despite gross margin holding relatively steady around ~52%. Revenue has also been trending down recently (down slightly in 2025 after a larger decline in 2024), reversing the strong growth seen in 2022–2023. The main strength is resilient gross profitability, but the sharp swing to operating losses and the lack of recent revenue growth weigh heavily on the score.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Leverage looks manageable overall, with debt-to-equity improving substantially versus 2021–2022 and remaining low in 2024–2025 (roughly ~0.10–0.20). Equity is sizable relative to assets, supporting balance-sheet stability. However, returns to shareholders have weakened and turned negative in 2025, reflecting the shift to losses; this profitability pressure is the key offset to otherwise improved leverage metrics.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation is volatile: 2025 shows strong positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, a major rebound from the large cash outflow in 2024. Free cash flow is positive in most years and improved sharply in 2025, supporting financial flexibility. The weakness is consistency—cash flow swung dramatically year to year—and recent profitability is negative, which can make sustained cash generation harder to rely on even though near-term cash results are favorable.
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.55B1.56B1.74B1.40B1.17B
Gross Profit808.02M816.75M864.99M770.38M585.88M
EBITDA-64.07M48.53M119.83M120.63M61.25M
Net Income-63.65M27.84M74.91M79.55M31.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.31B1.29B1.46B972.38M924.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments868.03M582.00M1.08B600.64M584.63M
Total Debt177.79M100.59M329.34M426.50M548.91M
Total Liabilities408.37M336.57M534.77M657.80M689.75M
Stockholders Equity901.81M955.98M927.45M314.58M235.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow201.46M-354.44M48.45M142.70M76.60M
Operating Cash Flow226.26M-347.48M49.22M146.27M86.21M
Investing Cash Flow-24.93M80.33M-5.18M-7.87M-14.35M
Financing Cash Flow84.70M-228.07M432.54M-122.40M-149.94M

AGEHA Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price814.00
Price Trends
50DMA
826.60
Positive
100DMA
812.74
Positive
200DMA
822.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
27.43
Negative
RSI
68.99
Neutral
STOCH
71.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9330, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 814 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 855.70, below the 50-day MA of 826.60, and below the 200-day MA of 822.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 27.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9330.

AGEHA Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥1.62B47.811.00%5.79%-30.56%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
¥3.27B7.90-4.44%
56
Neutral
¥1.29B11.523.86%3.93%-4.20%
55
Neutral
¥1.31B47.701.98%5.87%
51
Neutral
¥1.29B-13.57
44
Neutral
¥3.76B-4.58-83.17%91.97%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9330
AGEHA Inc.
902.00
-123.00
-12.00%
JP:2156
Saylor Advertising Inc.
314.00
-18.58
-5.59%
JP:4760
Alpha Co., Ltd.
1,600.00
143.95
9.89%
JP:7063
Birdman Inc.
139.00
-115.00
-45.28%
JP:7067
Branding Technology, Inc.
1,030.00
114.90
12.56%
JP:7069
CyberBuzz, Inc.
811.00
40.00
5.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026