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Kyushu Railway Company (JP:9142)
:9142
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Kyushu Railway Company (9142) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9142

Kyushu Railway Company

(9142)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,018.00
▼(-2.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/13/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and margins, but held back by persistent negative free cash flow and only moderate cash conversion. Technical indicators are neutral-to-soft (negative MACD and price below key longer-term moving averages), while valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue & profit recovery
Sustained revenue growth and a turnaround to positive net income indicate durable operational recovery and scale. Higher top-line and profitability provide recurring cash generation potential and resilience across cycles, supporting reinvestment in network and non-rail businesses.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flow
Consistent negative free cash flow despite operating improvement signals heavy, ongoing reinvestment needs. Over time this can strain internal funding for growth or dividends and create reliance on external financing, important for a capital-intensive railroad.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & profit recovery
Sustained revenue growth and a turnaround to positive net income indicate durable operational recovery and scale. Higher top-line and profitability provide recurring cash generation potential and resilience across cycles, supporting reinvestment in network and non-rail businesses.
Read all positive factors

Kyushu Railway Company (9142) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kyushu Railway Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kyushu Railway Company engages in operating a network of railway lines in Japan. It operates through Transportation, Construction, Real Estate and Hotels, Retail and Restaurant, and Other segments. The Transportation segment provides railway; loca...
How the Company Makes Money
JR Kyushu generates revenue primarily from (1) Transportation services: it earns passenger fare and related railway service revenue from operating conventional rail lines and the Kyushu Shinkansen, including commuter, intercity, and tourist-orient...

Kyushu Railway Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong operating recovery with revenue growth (293.9B in 2021 to 500.4B in 2026) and profitability turning positive (net income -19.0B to 45.5B), plus improved EBIT margin (to 14.8%) and higher gross margin (to 42.6%). Offsetting this, cash flow quality is weaker: free cash flow is negative across all years shown (2026: -13.1B), and OCF-to-net income conversion is only moderate—important for a capital-intensive railroad. Balance sheet appears stronger in 2026 with much lower debt-to-equity (0.09), but the sharp shift versus prior years adds uncertainty.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue467.77B500.39B454.39B420.40B383.24B329.53B
Gross Profit197.06B213.08B183.99B159.42B133.49B92.21B
EBITDA103.03B74.04B97.39B82.07B66.16B32.97B
Net Income48.63B45.47B43.66B38.45B31.17B13.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13T1.22T1.16T1.10T1.01T963.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.79B44.97B46.08B62.26B52.30B78.74B
Total Debt448.28B467.92B434.17B415.17B362.20B335.17B
Total Liabilities673.33B727.56B696.62B661.68B602.36B574.31B
Stockholders Equity457.58B493.93B456.51B441.43B406.05B388.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-13.06B-16.25B-44.62B-42.71B-45.02B
Operating Cash Flow0.0072.85B96.67B89.03B62.08B56.46B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-87.13B-107.41B-111.89B-97.58B-95.73B
Financing Cash Flow0.0012.51B-6.93B32.25B8.96B52.54B

Kyushu Railway Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4100.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3676.94
Negative
100DMA
3799.96
Negative
200DMA
3857.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-52.24
Positive
RSI
39.30
Neutral
STOCH
18.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9142, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4100 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3604.70, above the 50-day MA of 3676.94, and above the 200-day MA of 3857.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -52.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9142.

Kyushu Railway Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥3.32T5.9811.29%0.74%9.52%22.53%
67
Neutral
¥544.03B11.909.26%2.68%10.12%5.85%
62
Neutral
¥1.20T8.9911.29%3.00%8.07%15.81%
60
Neutral
¥3.86T15.527.85%1.69%6.83%10.68%
58
Neutral
¥221.99B6.5712.70%1.68%6.91%58.68%
57
Neutral
¥545.67B9.759.94%2.49%3.80%11.82%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9142
Kyushu Railway Company
3,522.00
-222.45
-5.94%
JP:9022
Central Japan Railway Company
3,479.00
379.50
12.24%
JP:9020
East Japan Railway Company
3,412.00
488.13
16.69%
JP:9001
Tobu Railway Co
2,783.00
303.19
12.23%
JP:9021
West Japan Railway Company
2,628.50
-391.62
-12.97%
JP:9031
Nishi-Nippon Railroad Co., Ltd.
2,816.00
687.76
32.32%

Kyushu Railway Company Corporate Events

JR Kyushu Updates Medium-Term Plan and Sets Outlook Through FY27.3
May 12, 2026
Kyushu Railway Company has presented an update to its JR Kyushu Group Medium-Term Business Plan for 2025–2027, outlining its strategic direction and operational priorities for the coming years. The company aims to align its rail and related ...
Kyushu Railway Revamps Board and Executive Team to Advance Medium-Term Plan
May 11, 2026
Kyushu Railway Company has approved a slate of director candidates ahead of its 39th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on June 23, 2026, including the reelection of ten directors and the addition of three new directors, one of whom comes from...
JR Kyushu Raises Profitability Targets in Updated 2025–2027 Medium-Term Plan
May 11, 2026
Kyushu Railway Company has updated its JR Kyushu Group Medium-Term Business Plan for 2025–2027, reflecting stronger financial ambitions based on recent performance trends. The company remains focused on reinforcing its position as a key tran...
Kyushu Railway Hikes Annual Dividend and Reaffirms Shareholder Return Policy
May 11, 2026
Kyushu Railway Company’s board has approved a year-end dividend of ¥57.50 per share for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026, with a record date of March 31, 2026, pending shareholder approval at the June 23 annual meeting. Together wit...
JR Kyushu posts higher FY2026 profits and lifts dividend as earnings and balance sheet strengthen
May 11, 2026
Kyushu Railway Company reported consolidated operating revenues of ¥500.4 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, up 10.1% year on year, with operating income rising 25.5% to ¥74.0 billion and net income attributable to owners of the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 13, 2026