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Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. (JP:8869)
:8869
Japanese Market
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Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. (8869) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8869

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd.

(8869)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
¥835.00
▼(-26.63% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/16/26
The score is held back mainly by weak cash-flow quality and elevated, rising leverage, alongside a clearly bearish technical setup. These risks are partially offset by an inexpensive valuation (low P/E) and a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Multi-year Revenue Expansion
Sustained revenue expansion over 2021–2025 indicates the company has grown its core real estate operations and market reach. Multi-year top-line growth supports longer-term scale benefits, contract pipelines and recurring income potential versus one-off cyclical spikes.
Negative Factors
Elevated, Rising Leverage
Significantly higher leverage increases refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity for an asset-heavy real estate firm. Elevated debt constrains financial flexibility, amplifies downside in asset-value declines, and raises the risk of stressed liquidity during market slowdowns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year Revenue Expansion
Sustained revenue expansion over 2021–2025 indicates the company has grown its core real estate operations and market reach. Multi-year top-line growth supports longer-term scale benefits, contract pipelines and recurring income potential versus one-off cyclical spikes.
Read all positive factors

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. (8869) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Meiwa Estate Company Limited develops, sells, and manages condominiums in Japan. It also engages in real estate leasing and brokerage activities. The company was incorporated in 1942 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan....
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is moderate (revenue grew over 2021–2025 but declined -6.81% most recently; margins improved vs 2025 but remain below 2023 peaks). Balance sheet is weak due to rising, elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.35 in 2026). Cash flow is the largest negative factor with inconsistent/often negative operating cash flow and mostly negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue96.69B90.11B79.90B71.25B62.32B57.21B
Gross Profit20.37B18.90B16.57B15.53B15.66B12.93B
EBITDA9.19B7.85B5.49B5.22B6.16B3.98B
Net Income4.98B3.83B2.90B2.78B4.42B2.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets149.50B151.16B152.10B124.15B116.54B95.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.20B20.92B22.47B34.90B34.15B27.70B
Total Debt82.42B86.52B86.81B59.02B57.86B48.65B
Total Liabilities112.82B114.26B118.12B92.18B86.54B69.14B
Stockholders Equity36.69B36.89B33.98B31.97B30.00B26.57B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-15.00M-33.93B-2.44B215.00M-7.01B
Operating Cash Flow0.00625.00M-33.37B-1.83B419.00M-6.89B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-574.00M-5.84B2.44B-2.41B-45.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.60B26.79B140.00M8.35B12.08B

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1138.00
Price Trends
50DMA
921.40
Negative
100DMA
1010.46
Negative
200DMA
1028.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-39.12
Positive
RSI
27.81
Positive
STOCH
18.30
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8869, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1138 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 850.70, above the 50-day MA of 921.40, and above the 200-day MA of 1028.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -39.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.81 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.30 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8869.

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
¥101.27B21.372.19%3.42%7.82%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
¥108.56B6.952.93%14.99%73.33%
61
Neutral
¥114.58B7.3115.81%2.93%12.51%12.42%
57
Neutral
¥61.84B9.292.89%4.32%11.25%
52
Neutral
¥39.73B21.020.45%23.11%8.31%
49
Neutral
¥17.71B4.913.54%12.77%32.07%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8869
Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd.
801.00
-86.14
-9.71%
JP:8934
Sun Frontier Fudousan Co
2,373.00
355.24
17.61%
JP:2980
SRE Holdings Corp.
2,401.00
-1,449.80
-37.65%
JP:3252
JINUSHI Co.,Ltd.
2,892.00
865.79
42.73%
JP:3465
KI-Star Real Estate Co., Ltd.
3,440.00
1,074.39
45.42%
JP:8818
Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd.
2,120.00
668.16
46.02%

Meiwa Estate Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

Meiwa Estate Delivers Strong FY2026 Results but Signals Earnings Slowdown Ahead
May 15, 2026
Meiwa Estate reported strong earnings for the year ended March 31, 2026, with net sales up 12.8% to ¥90.1 billion and operating profit surging 47.9% to ¥7.75 billion, lifting profit attributable to owners of parent by 32.1% to ¥3.83...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026