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Mitsui Fudosan Co (JP:8801)
:8801
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Mitsui Fudosan Co (8801) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8801

Mitsui Fudosan Co

(OTC:8801)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,005.00
▲(13.47% Upside)
Mitsui Fudosan Co's strong financial performance is the primary driver of its stock score, reflecting robust revenue and profit growth. Technical analysis indicates strong momentum, though caution is advised due to overbought signals. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced, with a reasonable P/E ratio and a modest dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates expanding market reach and effective business strategies, supporting long-term sustainability and profitability.
Cash Generation
Efficient cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Profit Margins
Improved profit margins reflect operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to stronger financial health and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Leverage Risks
High leverage can strain financial resources and limit strategic flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability and growth potential.
Debt Levels
While the debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, the high total debt level could impact the company's ability to respond to market changes or invest in new opportunities.
Free Cash Flow Consistency
Inconsistent free cash flow growth can hinder the company's ability to maintain financial flexibility and invest in future growth initiatives.

Mitsui Fudosan Co (8801) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsui Fudosan Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. is a leading Japanese real estate development and investment company, primarily engaged in the development, leasing, and management of various types of properties. Established in 1941 and headquartered in Tokyo, the company operates across multiple sectors, including residential, commercial, and mixed-use real estate. Its core services encompass property development, property management, and real estate investment, with a focus on creating sustainable urban environments and enhancing community value.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitsui Fudosan generates revenue through several key streams, including leasing income from its extensive portfolio of commercial and residential properties, sales of developed properties, and real estate management services. The company earns significant income from its commercial properties, which include office buildings, retail spaces, and hotels. Additionally, Mitsui Fudosan engages in residential development, selling condominiums and single-family homes. The company also benefits from partnerships and joint ventures with various stakeholders in the real estate sector, enhancing its reach and operational capabilities. Economic factors such as demand for housing, urban development trends, and the overall performance of the real estate market significantly influence its earnings.

Mitsui Fudosan Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call detailed significant achievements including record highs in various financial metrics, an upward revision of forecasts, and strong performance in segments such as leasing and overseas operations. However, the call also highlighted challenges such as increased interest burden and a decline in property sales to investors. Despite these issues, the positive highlights overshadow the lowlights, indicating overall strong financial health and performance.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Highs in Key Financial Metrics
Achieved new record highs for 9-month third quarter in sales, operating income, ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners. Second consecutive record for operating income and third for net profit.
Upward Revision of Full Year Forecast
Revised full year forecast for ordinary income from JPY 255 billion to JPY 265 billion and profit attributable to owners from JPY 215 billion to JPY 220 billion, setting new record highs.
Dividend Increase
Increased full year dividend per share guidance to JPY 72 from JPY 70, with fiscal year-end dividend per share raised to JPY 37 from JPY 35.
Leasing Segment Performance
Leasing segment recorded 9-month operating revenues of JPY 606.1 billion and operating income of JPY 130.7 billion, with a notable reduction in office vacancy rates to the low 2% range.
Strong Overseas Profits
Overseas profits increased by JPY 20.4 billion year-on-year, with leasing and property sales segments showing significant revenue and profit growth.
Facility Operations Growth
Facility Operations segment saw operating revenues improve by JPY 37.6 billion year-on-year and operating income rise by JPY 24.4 billion, driven by improved ADRs and increased spectators at Tokyo Dome.
Negative Updates
Interest Burden Increase
Interest burden under net interest income and expense increased by JPY 17.6 billion year-on-year due to rising U.S. interest rates.
Decline in Property Sales to Investors
Property sales to investors and overseas individuals saw a decline with operating revenue down JPY 35.8 billion and operating income down JPY 12.1 billion year-on-year.
Nonoperating Income and Expense Losses
Nonoperating income and expenses faced a negative JPY 45.5 billion, widening losses by JPY 18.4 billion.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter earnings call for Mitsui Fudosan, Executive Manager Atsuro Uchida highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's strong financial performance and revised forecasts. The company achieved record highs in sales, operating income, ordinary income, and profit attributable to owners of the parent for the nine-month period, with operating revenue reaching JPY 1.699 trillion, a 4.5% increase year-on-year. Operating income rose by 15% to JPY 245.2 billion, while ordinary income increased by 7.3% to JPY 199.7 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent grew by 13.1% to JPY 166.4 billion. The company also revised its full-year forecasts, raising ordinary income from JPY 255 billion to JPY 265 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent from JPY 215 billion to JPY 220 billion. Additionally, the full-year dividend per share guidance was increased to JPY 72 from JPY 70, signaling confidence in continued strong performance. The call also detailed segment results, with notable improvements in the Leasing and Facility Operations segments, and discussed the impact of foreign exchange rates on the balance sheet. Overall, Mitsui Fudosan demonstrated robust progress toward its financial targets, underpinned by strategic investments and favorable market conditions.

Mitsui Fudosan Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitsui Fudosan Co presents solid financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, efficient operations, and a stable financial structure. Despite a high level of debt, the company is on a positive financial trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Mitsui Fudosan demonstrates strong financial performance with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, reflecting robust revenue growth rates. The company's gross profit margin and net profit margin have improved, indicating enhanced profitability. Margins, such as EBIT and EBITDA, have also shown positive trends, signifying operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement shows a healthy growth trajectory and profitability, with minimal weaknesses observed.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. The company has shown a steady increase in stockholders' equity, improving its equity ratio over time. The return on equity is competitive, highlighting effective use of equity financing. However, the high level of total debt suggests potential leverage risks, which should be monitored closely.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Mitsui Fudosan's cash flow statement reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, demonstrating efficient cash generation from operations. There is significant free cash flow growth, indicating improved financial flexibility. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, reflecting good cash management. Despite these strengths, the company should ensure consistent free cash flow growth to sustain long-term cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.80T2.63T2.38T2.27T2.10T2.01T
Gross Profit692.16B635.13B593.13B526.68B450.44B397.92B
EBITDA569.22B513.25B473.42B430.70B356.48B301.97B
Net Income308.01B248.80B224.65B197.00B176.99B129.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.75T9.86T9.49T8.84T8.21T7.74T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments234.28B164.17B184.28B144.26B156.23B199.64B
Total Debt4.52T4.42T4.43T4.05T3.67T3.62T
Total Liabilities6.43T6.59T6.25T5.81T5.29T5.09T
Stockholders Equity3.21T3.15T3.11T2.90T2.80T2.56T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00327.77B20.87B-65.04B29.90B-88.47B
Operating Cash Flow0.00599.25B241.70B297.71B271.47B187.86B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-320.06B-368.11B-421.68B-202.19B-123.36B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-271.28B141.11B111.09B-147.47B-74.24B

Mitsui Fudosan Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1767.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1657.76
Positive
100DMA
1568.49
Positive
200DMA
1457.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
44.27
Negative
RSI
53.98
Neutral
STOCH
51.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8801, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1767 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1723.23, above the 50-day MA of 1657.76, and above the 200-day MA of 1457.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 44.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8801.

Mitsui Fudosan Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥1.01T9.5812.53%2.90%11.00%88.70%
78
Outperform
¥4.90T15.669.59%1.89%18.31%71.89%
75
Outperform
$1.07T10.4419.60%1.94%3.13%11.87%
73
Outperform
$986.53B10.2519.43%5.13%5.16%6.00%
71
Outperform
$4.03T20.947.67%1.32%7.97%13.59%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8801
Mitsui Fudosan Co
1,746.00
512.24
41.52%
JP:1878
Daito Construction
2,909.50
-356.86
-10.93%
JP:8802
Mitsubishi Estate Company
3,615.00
1,496.21
70.62%
JP:3288
Open House Co
8,985.00
3,486.04
63.39%
JP:3289
Tokyu Fudosan Holdings
1,412.50
456.76
47.79%

Mitsui Fudosan Co Corporate Events

Mitsui Fudosan Reports Strong Earnings Growth
Nov 8, 2025

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. is a prominent real estate company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, specializing in property development, leasing, and management services across Japan.

Mitsui Fudosan Announces Major Share Repurchase Plan
Nov 7, 2025

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. has announced a significant share repurchase plan, aiming to buy back up to 60 million common shares, equivalent to 2.2% of its issued shares, for a maximum of 57 billion yen. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance shareholder returns and maintain a flexible capital policy, aligning with its long-term vision to innovate and grow sustainably.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8801) stock is a Buy with a Yen1780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui Fudosan Co stock, see the JP:8801 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui Fudosan Increases Dividend Forecast for Fiscal Year
Nov 7, 2025

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. announced an increase in its dividend payouts following a resolution by its Board of Directors. The company raised its second quarter dividend per share to 17.00 yen and revised its year-end forecast to 17.00 yen per share, resulting in an annual dividend forecast of 34.00 yen, which is 1.00 yen higher than the previous forecast. This decision aligns with the company’s shareholder return policy and reflects its positive financial outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8801) stock is a Buy with a Yen1780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui Fudosan Co stock, see the JP:8801 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui Fudosan Reports Strong Financial Performance for H1 2025
Nov 7, 2025

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. reported a strong performance for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with a notable increase in revenue and net income compared to the previous year. The company’s revenue from operations rose by 16.4%, while net income attributable to shareholders surged by 72.3%. This positive financial outcome reflects the company’s strategic initiatives and robust market positioning. The company also announced an increase in its annual dividend forecast, indicating confidence in its future financial stability and growth prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8801) stock is a Buy with a Yen1780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui Fudosan Co stock, see the JP:8801 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui Fudosan Reports No Share Repurchases in October 2025
Nov 4, 2025

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. announced that it did not repurchase any of its shares during the period from October 1, 2025, to October 31, 2025, despite having an ongoing resolution to repurchase up to 50 million shares by January 31, 2026. This lack of repurchase activity could indicate a strategic decision to delay or reconsider the buyback plan, potentially impacting shareholder expectations and market perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8801) stock is a Buy with a Yen1780.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui Fudosan Co stock, see the JP:8801 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui Fudosan Reports No Share Repurchases in September
Oct 1, 2025

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. announced that it did not repurchase any of its common shares during the period from September 1 to September 30, 2025, despite having a resolution to repurchase up to 50 million shares by January 31, 2026. As of September 30, 2025, the company had repurchased 1,677,700 shares for approximately 2.09 billion yen, reflecting a cautious approach in executing its share buyback plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8801) stock is a Buy with a Yen1800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui Fudosan Co stock, see the JP:8801 Stock Forecast page.

Mitsui Fudosan Reports No Share Repurchases in August
Sep 1, 2025

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. announced that it did not repurchase any of its shares in August 2025, despite having a resolution to buy back up to 50 million shares by January 2026. This indicates a cautious approach in its share repurchase strategy, which may impact investor expectations and market perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8801) stock is a Buy with a Yen1515.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitsui Fudosan Co stock, see the JP:8801 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025