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Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings Inc (JP:8309)
:8309

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings (8309) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8309

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings

(8309)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥5,417.00
▲(9.37% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth, stable operations, and a sound balance sheet), offset by less consistent free cash flow. Technicals remain bullish on trend but overbought readings temper the outlook. Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and a ~2.9% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified banking franchise
SMFG's broad client mix across retail, SMEs and large corporates and its international footprint create multiple durable revenue channels. This diversification reduces concentration risk, supports recurring fee and deposit bases, and enables cross‑sell of lending, payments and advisory services over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent free cash flow
Irregular free cash flow limits the bank's ability to consistently fund buybacks, dividends or discretionary investments from internal resources. Over time this can constrain capital allocation flexibility, increase dependence on external funding for strategic initiatives, and slow balance sheet optimization.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified banking franchise
SMFG's broad client mix across retail, SMEs and large corporates and its international footprint create multiple durable revenue channels. This diversification reduces concentration risk, supports recurring fee and deposit bases, and enables cross‑sell of lending, payments and advisory services over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings (8309) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc. operates as a trust bank in Japan and internationally. It offers supervising services for management strategies, and financial and human resource management; and corporate administration, operational process, r...
How the Company Makes Money
SMFG makes money primarily through its banking operations and other financial services conducted by its consolidated subsidiaries. The largest revenue driver is net interest income: the group gathers funds (e.g., customer deposits and wholesale fu...

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and stable operating margins support the income statement score (78). The balance sheet is solid with manageable leverage and a healthy equity base (72). Operating cash flow is strong but inconsistent free cash flow reduces overall stability (65).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.79T2.78T2.34T1.69T1.27T1.23T
Gross Profit1.48T1.51T1.21T1.14T1.16T1.09T
EBITDA367.01B404.16B142.56B312.23B266.72B242.43B
Net Income281.77B257.63B79.20B191.00B169.08B142.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.72T78.25T75.88T69.02T64.63T62.16T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.50T25.17T22.83T21.60T18.22T18.49T
Total Debt18.57T31.70T17.68T12.87T13.53T12.24T
Total Liabilities76.56T75.12T72.74T12.87T61.89T59.44T
Stockholders Equity3.13T3.10T3.11T2.79T2.72T2.69T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.000.001.40T2.55T-172.08B6.49T
Operating Cash Flow0.000.001.47T2.62T-120.26B6.55T
Investing Cash Flow-1.76T-1.76T-2.58T960.27B-879.21B-475.49B
Financing Cash Flow-47.59B679.22B-85.75B-217.51B-125.08B-219.72B

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4953.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5161.71
Positive
100DMA
4897.36
Positive
200DMA
4439.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
66.77
Negative
RSI
60.37
Neutral
STOCH
79.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8309, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4953 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5062.63, below the 50-day MA of 5161.71, and above the 200-day MA of 4439.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 66.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8309.

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥3.71T8.799.31%3.31%16.24%78.76%
71
Outperform
¥16.87T10.719.14%2.38%-3.62%23.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
¥1.76T12.217.83%2.54%19.38%29.95%
63
Neutral
¥4.35T10.698.37%1.80%8.28%28.63%
63
Neutral
¥9.69T14.355.28%2.73%2.17%9.55%
61
Neutral
¥5.21T10.083.72%3.03%-1.36%38.26%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8309
Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings
5,388.00
2,252.60
71.84%
JP:8308
Resona Holdings
1,866.00
848.74
83.43%
JP:7186
Concordia Financial Group
1,528.50
733.54
92.27%
JP:6178
JAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co
1,845.00
581.99
46.08%
JP:7182
Japan Post Bank Co
2,724.50
1,385.49
103.47%
JP:8411
Mizuho Financial Group
6,790.00
3,576.95
111.33%

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Corporate Events

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust to Turn Leasing Unit into Joint Venture with Fuyo and Yokohama FG
Mar 30, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Fuyo General Lease, and Yokohama Financial Group have signed a memorandum of understanding to restructure Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Panasonic Finance into a joint venture. The move is part of Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group&#82...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Reshapes Top Management Ahead of April 2026
Feb 26, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group announced leadership changes effective April 1, 2026, appointing Managing Executive Officer Masanori Watanabe as Representative Executive Officer and CFO of the holding company. Watanabe, a long-time group insider with ...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Posts Solid Capital Ratios Despite Rising Risk-Weighted Assets
Feb 13, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group reported its consolidated Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio at 11.46% as of December 31, 2025, with Tier 1 and total capital ratios at 12.81% and 14.19%, respectively, slightly lower than at the end of March but comfor...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Posts Strong Nine-Month Profit and Raises Annual Dividend Outlook
Jan 30, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group reported consolidated ordinary income of ¥2,111.2 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 1.6% year-on-year, with ordinary profit rising 5.5% to ¥329.6 billion and net income attributable to ow...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Completes ¥30 Billion Share Buyback and Plans Full Cancellation
Jan 9, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has completed a board-authorized share repurchase program and will cancel all shares acquired under the plan as part of its capital management strategy. Between November 13, 2025 and January 8, 2026, the group repurchas...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Reports Progress on ¥30 Billion Share Buyback
Jan 5, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has disclosed the status of its ongoing share repurchase program, buying back 3,315,200 shares of common stock for approximately JPY 15.3 billion via market purchases on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between December 1 and D...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026