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Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings Inc (JP:8309)
:8309
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Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings (8309) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8309

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings

(8309)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥6,143.00
▲(24.03% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by improving but mixed fundamentals: strong revenue/earnings momentum is offset by high/variable leverage and notably volatile cash-flow readings. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend and positive momentum, though near-term conditions look stretched. Valuation is a positive contributor due to a low P/E and a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue and EPS growth
Material top-line expansion and meaningful EPS growth indicate durable demand and improving profitability. Sustained revenue and earnings momentum enhances internal capital generation, funds strategic investments, and supports long-term credit capacity across economic cycles, strengthening franchise resilience.
Negative Factors
High and inconsistent leverage
Pronounced and variable leverage raises funding and regulatory risk over time. Fluctuating debt levels amplify sensitivity to interest-rate moves, constrain capital allocation, and can force defensive measures in downturns. Persistent leverage volatility undermines predictable return-on-equity improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue and EPS growth
Material top-line expansion and meaningful EPS growth indicate durable demand and improving profitability. Sustained revenue and earnings momentum enhances internal capital generation, funds strategic investments, and supports long-term credit capacity across economic cycles, strengthening franchise resilience.
Read all positive factors

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings (8309) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc. operates as a trust bank in Japan and internationally. It offers supervising services for management strategies, and financial and human resource management; and corporate administration, operational process, r...
How the Company Makes Money
SMFG makes money primarily through the earnings generated by its operating subsidiaries, with banking as the core profit engine. Key revenue streams include: (1) Net interest income: The group earns interest on loans and other interest-earning ass...

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (score 78) shows strong revenue growth and improved net income, but quality is tempered by margin volatility and limited latest margin visibility. Balance sheet (score 54) is large with improving equity, yet leverage is high and variable with uneven ROE. Cash flow is the weakest area (score 41) due to multi-year volatility and a zero/missing 2025 reading, reducing confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.79T2.95T2.78T2.34T1.69T1.27T
Gross Profit1.48T1.64T1.51T1.21T1.14T1.16T
EBITDA367.01B482.13B404.16B142.56B312.23B266.72B
Net Income281.77B317.57B257.63B79.20B191.00B169.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.72T82.17T78.25T75.88T69.02T64.63T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.50T27.42T25.17T22.83T21.60T18.22T
Total Debt18.57T20.79T31.70T17.68T12.87T13.53T
Total Liabilities76.56T78.58T75.12T72.74T12.87T61.89T
Stockholders Equity3.13T3.56T3.10T3.11T2.79T2.72T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00711.07B0.001.40T2.55T-172.08B
Operating Cash Flow0.00727.72B0.001.47T2.62T-120.26B
Investing Cash Flow-1.76T-3.32T-1.76T-2.58T960.27B-879.21B
Financing Cash Flow-47.59B2.06T679.22B-85.75B-217.51B-125.08B

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4953.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5295.28
Positive
100DMA
5187.21
Positive
200DMA
4685.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
81.90
Positive
RSI
49.40
Neutral
STOCH
25.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8309, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4953 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5547.80, below the 50-day MA of 5295.28, and above the 200-day MA of 4685.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 81.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:8309.

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
¥17.54T14.079.14%2.38%-0.74%43.85%
69
Neutral
¥4.70T17.638.37%1.80%16.13%23.10%
69
Neutral
¥1.85T17.007.83%2.54%23.44%31.25%
68
Neutral
¥3.81T11.959.31%3.31%0.67%25.79%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
¥10.97T20.825.28%2.73%26.25%28.43%
59
Neutral
¥5.81T15.693.72%3.03%-0.10%8.09%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8309
Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings
5,474.00
1,776.79
48.06%
JP:8308
Resona Holdings
2,039.50
781.44
62.11%
JP:7186
Concordia Financial Group
1,623.50
717.16
79.13%
JP:6178
JAPAN POST HOLDINGS Co
2,068.00
710.41
52.33%
JP:7182
Japan Post Bank Co
3,069.00
1,560.60
103.46%
JP:8411
Mizuho Financial Group
7,195.00
3,330.95
86.20%

Sumitomo Mitsui Holdings Corporate Events

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Unveils Asset‑Led Medium‑Term Growth Plan for 2026–2028
May 14, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has unveiled a new medium‑term management plan for fiscal years 2026 to 2028, following the near‑completion of its previous plan that strengthened profitability, capital efficiency and strategic investment c...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Raises Shareholder Payout Target and Links Dividends to Adjusted Profit
May 14, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has revised its shareholder return policy to better balance capital adequacy, growth investment, and returns, after meeting prior goals of progressive dividends and maintaining a payout ratio of at least 40%. The group ...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Plans 4-for-1 Stock Split and Charter Change
May 14, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has approved a four-for-one split of its common stock, effective August 1, 2026, aiming to lower the per-share investment price and make its shares more accessible to a wider range of investors. The move is designed to ...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Launches ¥50 Billion Share Buyback and Cancellation
May 14, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has approved a share repurchase of up to 14 million common shares, representing about 2% of shares outstanding, for a maximum total of ¥50 billion between May 15 and September 30, 2026, via market purchases on the ...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Lifts Profit, Ups Dividend and Announces Four-for-One Stock Split
May 14, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group reported a modest 2.1% rise in ordinary income to ¥2.98 trillion for the year ended March 31, 2026, while ordinary profit climbed 9.2% and net income attributable to owners surged 23.3% to ¥317.6 billion, lift...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Lifts FY2025 Profit and Dividend Forecasts
Apr 30, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group revised upward its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, marking a second increase for FY2025. The group now projects net income attributable to owners of the parent at ¥317 bill...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Corrects Third-Quarter Fiscal 2025 Trust Account Figures
Apr 20, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group has issued a correction to the explanatory materials for its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, originally disclosed alongside its nine‑month consolidated financial statements under Japanese GAAP. The revision aff...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust to Turn Leasing Unit into Joint Venture with Fuyo and Yokohama FG
Mar 30, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Fuyo General Lease, and Yokohama Financial Group have signed a memorandum of understanding to restructure Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Panasonic Finance into a joint venture. The move is part of Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group&#82...
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Reshapes Top Management Ahead of April 2026
Feb 26, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group announced leadership changes effective April 1, 2026, appointing Managing Executive Officer Masanori Watanabe as Representative Executive Officer and CFO of the holding company. Watanabe, a long-time group insider with ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026