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Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited (JP:7976)
:7976
Japanese Market

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited (7976) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7976

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited

(7976)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,517.00
▲(15.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial strength (notably a strong, low-leverage balance sheet and multi-year revenue growth), tempered by a meaningful deterioration in free cash flow and softer earnings in 2025. Technicals are neutral-to-mixed and valuation appears fair with a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
Sustained revenue growth across 2021–2025 signals durable demand for core writing instruments and stationery. Persistent top-line expansion supports scale economies, distribution leverage and investment in product lines and overseas expansion, underpinning medium-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
A shift to negative free cash flow in 2025 indicates weakening cash conversion and higher reinvestment or working-capital strain. Persistently negative FCF would limit ability to fund growth organically, pay dividends or reduce debt without drawing on reserves or external financing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
Sustained revenue growth across 2021–2025 signals durable demand for core writing instruments and stationery. Persistent top-line expansion supports scale economies, distribution leverage and investment in product lines and overseas expansion, underpinning medium-term growth prospects.
Read all positive factors

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited (7976) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mitsubishi Pencil Co., Ltd. manufactures and supplies writing instruments in Japan. The company's products include pencils and colored pencils, water-based ink roller balls, oil-based ballpoint pens, mechanical pencils and refill lead, felt-tip pe...
How the Company Makes Money
Mitsubishi Pencil generates revenue through the sale of its diverse product lineup, which includes writing instruments, markers, and stationery items. The company employs a multi-faceted revenue model that includes direct sales through retail chan...

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and a very conservative balance sheet (low leverage, steadily rising equity) support the score. However, profitability cooled in 2025 (lower net income and EBIT/EBITDA) and cash generation weakened materially, with free cash flow turning negative in 2025.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue89.63B89.81B88.82B74.80B69.00B61.89B
Gross Profit47.38B43.41B46.84B38.45B33.95B30.67B
EBITDA16.31B15.15B16.64B17.02B13.10B10.80B
Net Income7.74B6.24B11.27B10.17B6.95B5.66B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets170.45B183.00B176.88B146.01B130.80B123.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.09B37.07B41.35B57.91B48.07B45.24B
Total Debt10.76B14.90B12.16B3.47B4.17B4.85B
Total Liabilities39.33B42.57B46.17B29.14B25.79B26.12B
Stockholders Equity128.64B138.53B128.36B114.67B103.09B95.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-3.52B2.51B9.91B5.70B4.40B
Operating Cash Flow0.002.41B6.47B11.76B7.28B8.37B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-7.92B-27.91B-71.00M-1.65B-3.94B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.87B4.11B-3.72B-3.90B-2.75B

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2177.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2344.26
Positive
100DMA
2252.10
Positive
200DMA
2159.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
34.63
Negative
RSI
58.71
Neutral
STOCH
84.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7976, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2177 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2381.10, below the 50-day MA of 2344.26, and above the 200-day MA of 2159.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 34.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7976.

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥127.74B19.052.09%6.39%-34.84%
71
Outperform
¥174.05B26.042.56%-0.26%3.35%
67
Neutral
¥388.42B18.138.83%2.33%6.29%8.74%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥23.38B17.721.69%-2.71%
47
Neutral
¥3.99B27.032.03%3.24%
42
Neutral
¥3.29B-15.384.11%33.06%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7976
Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited
2,466.00
157.42
6.82%
JP:7984
Kokuyo Co
905.20
254.46
39.10%
JP:7846
Pilot Corporation
4,968.00
1,086.20
27.98%
JP:7962
King Jim Co., Ltd.
821.00
-15.26
-1.82%
JP:7975
LIHIT LAB., INC.
1,175.00
103.27
9.64%
JP:7992
Sailor Pen Co., Ltd.
111.00
-31.00
-21.83%

Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited Corporate Events

Mitsubishi Pencil Introduces Share-Based Remuneration Plan
Nov 27, 2025
Mitsubishi Pencil Company, Limited has announced the introduction of a share-based remuneration plan for its management-level employees. This initiative aims to enhance employee engagement and increase the company’s medium- to long-term corp...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026