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Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. (JP:7811)
:7811
Japanese Market
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Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. (7811) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7811

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd.

(7811)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥2,001.00
▲(3.46% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/12/26
The score is held back primarily by financial performance concerns—especially the sharp 2026 revenue drop and uneven cash-flow conversion—despite an improving balance sheet. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and solid dividend yield, while technical indicators point to neutral-to-soft momentum rather than a strong uptrend.
Positive Factors
Improving Leverage
The company's leverage has steadily declined (D/E ~0.62 to ~0.37), improving balance-sheet flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest burden, increases capacity for opportunistic investments or buybacks, and materially lowers solvency risk over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2026 Revenue Drop
A sharp 41% revenue drop in 2026 is a material structural headwind. Such a steep contraction compresses operating leverage, reduces scale benefits, pressures margins and cash flow, and creates persistent growth uncertainty that may take multiple quarters to repair without clear demand recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Leverage
The company's leverage has steadily declined (D/E ~0.62 to ~0.37), improving balance-sheet flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest burden, increases capacity for opportunistic investments or buybacks, and materially lowers solvency risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. (7811) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nakamoto Packs Co.,Ltd. provides gravure printing services in Japan and internationally. The company offers double sided fixed position printing, coater processing, sheet printing, dry lamination, decorative sheets for building materials, flexible...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement is pressured by a sharp 2026 revenue decline (-41%) despite improved margins versus 2024, creating near-term growth risk. Balance sheet is a relative strength with declining debt-to-equity (~0.62 to ~0.37) and generally stable ~10% ROE. Cash flow is the key weak spot: free cash flow is volatile and in 2026 covers less than half of net income, indicating weaker cash realization.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
BreakdownTTMFeb 2026Feb 2025Feb 2024Feb 2023Feb 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue49.84B49.64B49.13B44.36B43.13B40.49B
Gross Profit8.96B9.14B8.60B6.65B6.48B6.89B
EBITDA4.55B4.22B4.21B3.03B3.51B3.80B
Net Income2.03B2.18B2.01B1.06B1.29B1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.11B40.52B39.97B38.48B34.58B33.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.54B7.66B7.64B7.53B5.10B4.88B
Total Debt8.37B7.75B8.28B8.81B8.19B7.99B
Total Liabilities19.77B18.43B19.66B19.99B18.11B18.26B
Stockholders Equity19.35B21.03B19.31B17.57B15.40B14.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.15B1.19B2.37B329.96M1.78B
Operating Cash Flow0.002.55B2.35B3.46B1.55B3.34B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-1.27B-1.16B-2.53B-775.72M-1.63B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.28B-1.24B-32.69M-683.88M-782.85M

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1934.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1909.94
Negative
100DMA
1884.89
Positive
200DMA
1860.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.47
Negative
RSI
54.73
Neutral
STOCH
86.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7811, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1934 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1830.20, above the 50-day MA of 1909.94, and above the 200-day MA of 1860.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -9.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7811.

Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥1.28T11.767.04%1.47%3.37%-31.10%
71
Outperform
¥115.11B21.7719.59%0.16%18.08%136.77%
68
Neutral
¥40.78B7.423.71%-0.04%93.95%
66
Neutral
¥9.31B2.002.83%2.55%44.60%
64
Neutral
¥16.83B8.163.62%7.07%79.18%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
¥5.82B-22.352.72%-1.30%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7811
Nakamoto Packs Co. Ltd.
1,883.00
297.27
18.75%
JP:7912
Dai Nippon Printing Co
3,028.00
1,122.71
58.93%
JP:4384
RAKSUL INC.
1,888.00
825.52
77.70%
JP:3551
Dynic Corporation
1,105.00
407.40
58.40%
JP:7914
Kyodo Printing Co., Ltd.
1,584.00
646.36
68.93%
JP:7916
Mitsumura Printing Co., Ltd.
1,930.00
683.81
54.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 12, 2026