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Colowide Co., Ltd. (JP:7616)
:7616
Japanese Market

Colowide Co., Ltd. (7616) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7616

Colowide Co., Ltd.

(7616)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,933.00
▲(11.54% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by improving but leveraged financials (strong cash flow offset by balance-sheet risk and thin net profits), supported by constructive technical momentum. These positives are tempered by a very high P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund store openings, support franchising investments and service debt. Over 2–6 months this cash generation underpins strategic flexibility and reduces reliance on external financing despite thin reported net income.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility in a cyclical consumer sector, increasing refinancing and interest risks. Elevated debt magnifies earnings volatility, constrains capital allocation choices and reduces the company's ability to absorb downturns or pursue opportunistic investments over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund store openings, support franchising investments and service debt. Over 2–6 months this cash generation underpins strategic flexibility and reduces reliance on external financing despite thin reported net income.
Read all positive factors

Colowide Co., Ltd. (7616) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Colowide Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Colowide Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates and franchises a chain of restaurants in Japan and internationally. The company also manufactures and sells pastries, baked pastries, and chocolates; manufactures, processes, and sells va...
How the Company Makes Money
Colowide Co., Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of its food products to retail and wholesale channels, as well as direct sales through its restaurant operations. The company benefits from economies of scale in pro...

Colowide Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: Income Statement is moderate (63) with revenue growth and solid gross/EBITDA margins but very thin net margin and past volatility; Balance Sheet is weak (44) due to elevated leverage and modest ROE; Cash Flow is strong (72) with positive, growing free cash flow, though debt remains a watch item.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue286.54B269.16B241.28B220.83B175.63B168.18B
Gross Profit169.42B156.77B139.37B124.21B96.69B92.66B
EBITDA36.57B32.58B32.12B17.18B27.72B11.85B
Net Income2.66B1.25B2.90B-6.80B1.44B-10.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets345.56B312.23B265.12B261.86B267.70B267.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.60B71.54B46.57B50.32B48.77B38.65B
Total Debt184.15B163.37B155.41B156.76B160.66B173.68B
Total Liabilities251.30B225.12B210.98B211.16B207.67B228.04B
Stockholders Equity83.86B77.54B44.95B42.74B50.30B31.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.55B17.40B16.92B19.56B18.09B-1.90B
Operating Cash Flow32.49B28.81B29.88B28.78B23.83B3.42B
Investing Cash Flow-31.28B-21.61B-13.58B-8.79B-3.52B-12.92B
Financing Cash Flow-6.39B17.95B-20.33B-18.75B-9.51B15.89B

Colowide Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1733.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1859.87
Positive
100DMA
1799.05
Positive
200DMA
1830.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
23.78
Negative
RSI
56.66
Neutral
STOCH
72.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7616, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1733 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1911.08, below the 50-day MA of 1859.87, and below the 200-day MA of 1830.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 23.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:7616.

Colowide Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥328.94B22.289.66%0.55%14.33%36.83%
66
Neutral
¥147.97B22.939.66%1.17%8.16%-6.01%
63
Neutral
¥774.42B45.719.53%0.55%15.58%60.90%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥207.15B19.690.29%8.99%61.95%
59
Neutral
¥1.49T28.6815.36%0.78%11.29%-4.88%
59
Neutral
¥334.14B75.070.56%9.28%7.59%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7616
Colowide Co., Ltd.
1,949.00
162.06
9.07%
JP:8179
Royal Holdings Co
1,516.00
245.64
19.34%
JP:3197
Skylark Holdings Co
3,404.00
472.39
16.11%
JP:7581
Saizeriya Co
6,740.00
2,771.49
69.84%
JP:7550
Zensho Holdings Co
9,450.00
1,309.17
16.08%
JP:3387
create restaurants holdings inc.
790.00
130.26
19.74%

Colowide Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Colowide Confirms Strong Nine-Month Earnings as Auditor Review Concludes With No Changes
Feb 13, 2026
Colowide Co., Ltd. reported consolidated revenue of ¥217.9 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, an 8.7% year-on-year increase, with business profit up 34.6% to ¥9.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surg...
Colowide Confirms Reviewed Nine-Month Results with Strong Profit Growth
Feb 13, 2026
Colowide Co., Ltd. reported that its quarterly consolidated financial statements for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, have completed an interim review by certified public accountants with no changes from the figures disclosed on February 1...
Colowide Subsidiary Atom Slashes FY2026 Forecast, Warns of Deeper Loss
Feb 10, 2026
Colowide announced that its consolidated subsidiary Atom Corporation has revised downward its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, and indicated it will assess and promptly disclose any material impact on Colowide’s c...
Colowide Posts Strong Nine-Month Earnings and Signals Continued Profit Growth
Feb 10, 2026
Colowide Co., Ltd. reported solid growth for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with revenue up 8.7% year on year to ¥217.9 billion and business profit jumping 34.6% to ¥9.6 billion. Profit attributable to owners of the parent rose...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026